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Author | Topic: On the Origin of Life and Falsifiability | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Blue Jay Member (Idle past 2725 days) Posts: 2843 From: You couldn't pronounce it with your mouthparts Joined: |
Hi, Genomicus.
Dr A. beat me to the point I was going to make, but I'll reiterate it in my own words anyway. To me, the evidence you presented against the RNA World and the evidence you presented against Panspermia are analogous. Remarkably so, in fact. In grade school, I remember being taught to use this format for analogies: x:y = a:b It's read "x is to y as a is to b."
(actually, I think the "=" might have been two colons "::", but it's close enough) Now, insert the following values for the variables: x = "RNA is inherently unstable"y = RNA World Hypothesis a = "basal prokaryotes are vulnerable to cosmic rays"b = Panspermia To me, this analogy holds perfectly true with these values inserted. The two evidences (x and a) address very similar questions about their respective proposed protobionts, don't they? They both rely on a reasonable modern surrogate to examine the chemical/physiological shortcomings of their putative biotic progenitors. Where they differ is in where their explanatory power comes from. I would argue that the phylogenetic falsification of the Panspermia hypothesis has more power from a historical perspective, but less power from a mechanistic perspective, than the biochemical falsification of the RNA World hypothesis. The core of your argument is that only the historical approach grants the power of Popperian falsification. I would argue that you are just showing a little phylogenetic chauvinism.-Blue Jay, Ph.D.* *Yeah, it's real Darwin loves you.
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Blue Jay Member (Idle past 2725 days) Posts: 2843 From: You couldn't pronounce it with your mouthparts Joined: |
Hi, Paul.
PaulK writes: I'd personally suggest that the historical approach naturally acts against generality. Investigating one specific case, and only that one case is a limitation. Can you explain that a little more? Are you basically saying, if you have one phylogenetic tree, it's hard to make inferences about anything that doesn't fit inside that tree?-Blue Jay, Ph.D.* *Yeah, it's real Darwin loves you.
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Blue Jay Member (Idle past 2725 days) Posts: 2843 From: You couldn't pronounce it with your mouthparts Joined: |
Hi, Kbertsche.
kbertsche writes: ringo writes: Science is the process of going from data to conclusions. All that you are describing here is "data analysis". That's true, but since the "data analysis" part is the part Ringo identified as differing for science and ID, what exactly is the problem with that?
kbertsche writes: Science proceeds by abduction; it starts with one or more theories (which could be viewed as "potential conclusions") and collects data in an attempt to prove one or more of these theories false. Hopefully one theory will be verified and will be tentatively concluded to be correct. Since we're in the game of philosophical nitpicking, science doesn't start with theories: it starts with hypotheses (or propositions), and the iterative process of the scientific method is what eventually turns a subset of those hypotheses into theories, while discarding the remainder. For creationism/ID, the process doesn't really begin with a hypothesis or proposition: it begins with an axiom, and the data is evaluated or rejected based on its conformity to that axiom. It's "conclusion first, even at the expense of data." To bring this back toward the topic, one of the major failings of Intelligent Design and creationism is the falsifiability criterion: objections or divergences from the predictions of the creation hypothesis are only used as a basis for obscuring or interpreting away shortcomings in the hypothesis, and not for evaluating the accuracy of the overall Design concept, which is what makes it an "axiom." Genomicus is proposing that several mainstream OoL hypotheses could fall into this same trap. The RNA World Hypothesis seems particularly popular these days, and Genomicus's objections to it are one way of trying to "keep the science honest," so to speak. This is part of the evaluation process: Genomicus is trying to make sure we only consider valid, testable propositions, and he's challenging our hypotheses on those grounds. Ultimately, I think he's just got some bits of the philosophy wrong, but he still deserves a lot of credit for showcasing how science is different from creationism: we consider and reconsider our propositions fastidiously, just as Ringo said.-Blue Jay, Ph.D.* *Yeah, it's real Darwin loves you.
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Blue Jay Member (Idle past 2725 days) Posts: 2843 From: You couldn't pronounce it with your mouthparts Joined: |
Hi, Genomicus.
Genomicus writes: Wait. So in your effort to demonstrate that lithopanspermia is not falsifiable, you're divining the possible existence of analogs of proteases, ABC transporters, and nucleases, which would have then been lost under mysterious selective pressure that somehow allowed such a loss to not affect the reproductive fitness of the population in a negative way, and wherein no homologs were preserved; and then cells evolved proteases, ABC transporters, and nucleases. I have three objections to your comment here:
Edited by Blue Jay, : No reason given.-Blue Jay, Ph.D.* *Yeah, it's real Darwin loves you.
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Blue Jay Member (Idle past 2725 days) Posts: 2843 From: You couldn't pronounce it with your mouthparts Joined: |
Hi, Genomicus.
Genomicus writes: Now, the following details concerning radiation resistance in prokaryotes have been elucidated:
This is well outside my area of particular expertise, but one pattern really jumps out to me. See all the words above that I highlighted in yellow? Those words all describe active processes; as in, they only work when the cell is actively metabolizing. And every one of those mechanisms you describe includes these yellow-highlighted words. So, unless a microbe is actively metabolizing during its long space voyage, these are not mechanisms that would enhance an organism's survival during panspermia. In fact, none of these mechanisms actually protects a microbe from ionizing radiation: rather, they repair a microbe after ionizing radiation. They would need some other means of actually surviving the radiation in order to get the chance to repair themselves afterwards (unless, again, they have some means of maintaining an active metabolism in deep space). So, perhaps the real "trick" to panspermia isn't about being able to repair yourself: it's about having enough of yourself left to repair once you arrive. And, if it's possible to survive a panspermia voyage without activating any genomic mechanisms, wouldn't it be hypothetically possible to find a panspermia scenario that doesn't actually require any particular genomic characteristics at all? ---
Genomicus writes: 1. FUCA is indeed supposed to have come from an alien planet, but not one so starkly different than Earth that FUCA could not have survived the early environ of Earth. This means that there is a not inconsiderable degree of overlap with respect to selection pressures. There are a lot of weasel words in there. How different is "starkly different"? What degree of overlap is "not inconsiderable"? And, what does that imply for the mutability of a planet-jumping genome? You can't falsify a hypothesis by applying assumptions that are not strictly essential to the hypothesis. Any putative falsification must work equally well for any range of possible tolerances, or it isn't a true falsification.
Genomicus writes: This, then, significantly strengthens my argument that it is biologically unreasonable and unrealistic to argue that a FUCA -- equipped with a repertoire of efficient proteases, nucleases, phosphatases, and ABC transporters -- would lose these genes as a consequence of some as-of-yet undiscovered selective pressure. I agree with this. But you've slipped into an argument about the plausibility of what I'm going to call the "LUCA~FUCA Hypothesis." As you said in Message 1, "...no amount of evidence for the plausibility of {a hypothesis} will be able to establish the historical accuracy of that hypothesis." It is entirely possible that the genome of FUCA was radically different from the genome of LUCA, with different types of proteins serving the functions of ATP transport, breakdown of oxidizing agents, etc.; and that entire suites of FUCA's molecular machinery, optimized for function in an alien environment of unknown character, had been completely replaced in LUCA by entirely new machinery that operates more efficiently in Earth's environment. Is that possibility plausible? I don't know, but your own conditions were that we don't incorporate evidence about plausibility, so I raised my objections and proposed alternative hypotheses. It seems to me that any falsification attempt will inevitably require components addressing both the plausibility and the historicity of the proposed hypothesis. Much of the historicity is only available to us via extrapolation, no matter which route we take, and we will ultimately rely on arguments about plausibility to fill in those gaps. Edited by Blue Jay, : No reason given. Edited by Blue Jay, : No reason given.-Blue Jay, Ph.D.* *Yeah, it's real Darwin loves you.
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Blue Jay Member (Idle past 2725 days) Posts: 2843 From: You couldn't pronounce it with your mouthparts Joined:
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Hi, Paul.
PaulK writes: It seems to me that bacterial spores would be a far more promising material than live bacteria. And if the falsification relies on the assumption that living bacteria rather than spores were transferred - and it sounds to me as if that is what you're saying - then it really isn't much of a falsification. If spores can make the journey without those tricks, then the tricks aren't really necessary. Yeah, that's what I was trying to get at. I also think Genomicus was too dismissive of the possibility that an icy comet may in fact be sufficient protection against ionizing radiation. I was going to hold off on the details until I saw Genomicus's rebuttal, though: give him the chance to steer the conversation, since it's his topic.-Blue Jay, Ph.D.* *Yeah, it's real Darwin loves you.
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Blue Jay Member (Idle past 2725 days) Posts: 2843 From: You couldn't pronounce it with your mouthparts Joined: |
Hi, Genomicus.
Genomicus writes: See Mautner 2002 and Mautner et al. 1997, and other work along these lines, for observations that meteorite material can sustain growth and metabolism of prokaryotic organisms. I don't think those papers are as relevant as you think they are. Here's an excerpt from the methodology on the first paper:
quote: In a nutshell, they grew plants and algae on meteorite-based soil under Earth-like* conditions. I don't think that does very much to advance a panspermia argument.
*I had to google "μEm−2 s−1": it's micro-Einsteins per square meter per second. An Einstein is a mole of photons. So, using this conversion table, 80 μEm−2 s−1 for a cool white fluorescent light is about 6000 lux. Full daylight is 10,000 lux, and interior lighting is usually around 50-100 lux. They don't mention temperature, so I assume they used ambient temperatures, with this light as the only additional heat source. That's probably going to be a rather warm growth chamber. Genomicus writes: Most published papers on lithopanspermia AFAIK are based on the premise that prokaryotes will continue to metabolize during the voyage through space. I'm not very familiar with the panspermia literature, so I guess I can't argue with you. But, I was always under the (apparently unjustified) assumption that panspermia generally assumes microbial spores, rather than active organisms. Having the microbes active during transit really complicates the issue of evolutionary adaptation before, during and after transit, though.
Genomicus writes: My discussion so far has been mainly focused on lithopanspermia because I don't find the cometary model as convincing... Well, then I think you need recognize that your falsification would only apply to that specific type of panspermia, and not to the overall Panspermia Hypothesis as a whole. The main reason why I disagree with your claim that Panspermia is falsifiable is because your proposed falsification is much narrower in scope the overall concept. And, I believe that this will be true of any proposed falsification. There will always be possibilities for panspermia that are not easily falsifiable.
Genomicus writes: ...nonetheless, survival of prokaryotes in the icy interior of a comet would require its own set of proteins for (1) protection from cold temperatures, and (2) mechanisms allowing for activating a dormant state among these prokaryotes, as they would not exposed to the kind of organic molecules (for metabolism) found in meteorites. A comet would not be any more frozen than a meteorite or any other space object, so these same restrictions should apply to any panspermia model. Unfortunately, there are a lot of anti-freeze proteins (AFPs) in life on Earth. Freeze tolerance is apparently possible with a very small suite of semi-specialized AFPs, and many different clades of organisms have independently evolved (and lost) novel types of AFP, so it's much harder to wield the power of phylogenetics against this one.
Genomicus writes: Well, a planet with a surface temperature of several thousand degrees Celsius isn't exactly going to be friendly to prokaryotic life. What about a meteorite at deep-space temperatures?
Genomicus writes: ...my concern is when abiogenesis models are patently shown to face chemical difficulties -- but these can always be cavalierly tossed aside with the riposte, "Well, we don't really know how early Earth was like, so maybe the conditions were just right to make this particular chemical scenario plausible." So, in a way, an appeal to ignorance is made in an effort to keep the hypothesis alive -- but at the expense of falsifiability IMHO. And I completely agree with you on this. My whole argument is that Panspermia is no different from the other models in this regard: there are always going to be a whole lot of messy contingencies that can't be easily dismissed, so we'll have to continue considering alternative panspermia models for a very long time after these phylogenetic have ostensibly "falsified" panspermia. To me, that means it isn't really a falsification at all.
Genomicus writes: Moreover, assuming your scenario was plausible, my falsification model for lithopanspermia would still hold: the FUCA --> LUCA scenario you propose involves the elimination of functional analogs of ABC transporters + the innovation of ABC transporters. Yet since the function of ABC transporters is so important to prokaryotic life, it is exceedingly difficult to imagine an evolutionary scenario wherein prokaryotic life would ever exist without the functional equivalent of ABC transporters... I think I made a mistake somewhere. I latched onto ABC transporters as my example because they were one of the few proteins you mentioned that I actually knew a little about. But, they don't seem to be on the list of proteins Cavalier-Smith suggested were absent from LUCA, so I guess they aren't an example of what I thought. Sorry about that. My general point is that you're trying to have it both ways: you're trying to claim that a gene can be both essential to an organism's survival, and possibly absent from LUCA. If a certain genomic feature is legitimately essential, then all organisms should have it, and the LUCA~FUCA assumption is appropriate. But, such a genomic feature would be useless for your phylogenetic falsification, because it can't be missing from any organism. On the other hand, if the genomic feature is not essential, then it is useful for your falsification, because it could hypothetically be lacking in some organisms. But the LUCA~FUCA assumption is no longer appropriate, because such a genomic feature could believably be lost between FUCA and LUCA.-Blue Jay, Ph.D.* *Yeah, it's real Darwin loves you.
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