|
Register | Sign In |
|
QuickSearch
EvC Forum active members: 66 (9164 total) |
| |
ChatGPT | |
Total: 916,469 Year: 3,726/9,624 Month: 597/974 Week: 210/276 Day: 50/34 Hour: 0/1 |
Thread ▼ Details |
|
Thread Info
|
|
|
Author | Topic: Coronavirus and Pandemics | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
It's official:
--Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
dwise1 writes: One of Rachel Maddow's guests tonight was the Commanding Officer of the US Army Corps of Engineers. Watch it! He knows what his troops need to do and they are preparing for immediate mobilization. All he needs is the Word from the White House to move and directions of what needs to be done. I expect Trump will take action very quickly - to remove this person from his post. To everyone: Ignoring the Trump razzing, you should read DWise1's above post because it lists some important parts of the federal role in this disaster that aren't receiving enough attention. Trump is using the daily coronavirus briefings and his other opportunities for airtime to campaign. He's the only one campaigning right now. "Equal time" opportunities should be given to the Democrats after each of his appearances. --Percy Edited by Percy, : Correct post attribution.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8
|
There’s no sports for betting. So, sports book posted an over/under on Trump’s words tells us that with no sports to bet on that gambling sites have turned their sights on Trump:
quote: I'll take the over on "we're doing a great job." --Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
Trump continues to express his wish to open the country up and get back to work against the advice of almost all relevant health experts and just as we've achieved the highest level of coronavirus infections in the world. All news organizations are reporting this, one article is https://www.cnbc.com/...ekend-on-plan-to-reopen-economy.html.
--Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8
|
Read it and weep. The graph's tooltip says the most recent data point is from two days ago, but the 84,000 number is about what I heard last night, so I think the latest data point is actually from yesterday:
This is a fairly ideal exponential curve, and where it's going can be projected fairly accurately. I project US infection numbers will be these in the coming days:
So I project that on Saturday, April 4, 2020, the number of US coronavirus infections will surpass a million by a substantial margin. That's only a little over a week away. If 6% require a ventilator that is 80,000 ventilators, but patients probably won't all need them at the same time, so that helps a little. The country began with about 160,000 ventilators and 13,000 in the national stockpile. I've heard that a large percentage of our ventilators, nearly half, are neonatal ventilators, and I'm not sure if the figures I've cited include those ventilators or not. Neonatal ventilators are not appropriate for adults. Also, I've seen it mentioned that a number of ventilators are older outmoded models probably not appropriate for severe cases. The shortage of ventilators will first become apparent in New York, which I estimate has around 15,000 ventilators now. Given where the numbers are going to be in a week, and given that a high percentage of all cases will still be in New York, their estimate of needing 40,000 ventilators sounds about right, even though Trump was on Hannity last night saying that he didn't believe the number would be that high. Trump is a ding dong who know little or nothing about almost everything, so it's pretty safe to assume he's wrong, especially since it goes against expert estimates and advice. --Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
What You Can Do About Coronavirus Right Now - The New York Times from the NYT contains an enormous amount of information.
I keep harping on the mask issue. The article repeats the advice that people who aren't sick and who aren't caring for someone sick don't need masks, but it equivocates a bit about crowded places like grocery stores. I feel like I've finally seen some reasonable advice about masks. I don't wear a mask to take a walk or play tennis, but I do wear a mask at the grocery store, the pet store, and the pharmacy. The few N95 masks we have won't last forever, and then we'll start wearing my wife's homemade masks. The article has a lot of advice about what to do at home. They recommend wiping down certain frequently used surfaces to keep them free of virus, but we're not doing any of that stuff because if we go somewhere like the grocery store then when we get home all the clothes go in the wash, we wash our hands with soap and water (our kitchen faucet turns on/off by motion sensing), then take a shower. We had pizza for dinner last night. We ordered online and I picked it up. I called from outside and asked if they could bring the pizza to the door, which they were happy to do. I put the pizza in the back seat, then brought it into the house and slipped it into a preheated 300° oven for 20 minutes - the cardboard is fine at that temperature. Since 15 minutes at 130 degrees is supposed to render the virus uninfective this seemed more than sufficient. I wiped down the back seat with isopropyl alcohol, and the front seat and steering wheel and miscellaneous things I'd touched just on general principle. I'll be doing the grocery shopping today after tennis (it's another nice day, high of maybe 60) and I'll be wearing an N95 mask. --Percy Edited by Percy, : Add subtitle.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
It was probably on Hannity, but yesterday Trump said that the US had perfomed more CV tests than any other country. This is true, but the US is by far the largest country where CV is a current problem. We've performed 600,000 tests, but that only earns us 18th place on the country list of number of tests per 100,000 population.
We're at around 170 tests per 100,000 people, though New York State is way up there at around 630 tests per 100,000. South Korea is at 710 tests per 100,000, and Italy at 600. We've got a ways to go. Source: Where the U.S. Stands Now on Coronavirus Testing - The New York Times --Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
dwise1 writes: To everyone: Ignoring the Trump razzing, ...
Uh, what "razzing"? I was just stating factual observations. It is a solid fact that Trump has screwed the pooch royally, so how does pointing that out amount to "razzing"? Sorry. I just thought your post was so strongly factual and well argued that it didn't need the couple swipes at Trump to distract from it, not that they weren't true. Trump *is* an idiot. He accused New York of not needing the ventilators on the grounds that they currently have enough, apparently not understanding that the apex of need lies in the future a few weeks away. Cuomo tried to explain this, but when someone doesn't understand something intuitively obvious, like "two plus two equals four" and really and truly doesn't get it, how do you explain it to them? I don't understand how 55% of Americans could think Trump is doing a good job managing the epidemic. I think maybe too much of America is sucked in by reality TV. Sign of the times:
--Percy Edited by Percy, : Grammar. Edited by Percy, : Grammar again.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
Here's the latest graph showing US infections rising above 100,000:
And here is the actual numbers against my projected numbers:
--Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
Articles about our president playing well with others:
--Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
I have discovered that disinfecting with isopropyl alcohol is very harsh on the skin and dries out your hands. I recommend against its use for that purpose. Wash with soap and water whenever possible, and when soap and water aren't available then use hand sanitizers that contain at least 60% isopropyl alcohol because they contain other agents that counteract the harshness.
We can find no hand sanitizer yet, despite that we're not that far from a huge Budweiser plant that is supposedly churning out hand sanitizer, so when I'm out and about and don't have access to soap and water I now sanitize my hands with isopropyl alcohol and then apply hand moisturizer. I've read that the online instructions for creating hand sanitizer at home from isopropyl alcohol and aloe and other things is an iffy way to go and should be avoided unless you know you have a valid set of instructions and you're good at measuring and mixing. --Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
Trump two days ago:
quote: Trump one day ago in a White House statement:
quote: Note the Trump signature moves. He reverses himself in a single day while blaming others for delays. In case anyone was wondering why Trump has singled out General Motors for special attention instead of Ford or General Electric or any other manufacturer, it's because about a week ago GM entered into a partnership with Ventec Life Systems to produce additional ventilators. While I can't find anything specific, my guess is that GM has no intention of retooling any of its active auto plants to produce ventilators, which never made any sense. I think their contribution to the partnership must be manpower and resources to help Ventec expand its current manufacturing capabilities. --Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8
|
Rhode Island hunting down New Yorkers seeking coronavirus refuge | Fox News, reports Fox News. The police state has arrived. From Rhode Island to send police, National Guard to track down New Yorkers fleeing the city:
quote: Here in New Hampshire we're gearing up for an influx of refugee New Yorkers who will be stealing clothes off clotheslines so they can fit in with the locals (there's no plaid flannel in New York City) and hiding out in tool sheds. --Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
I Am Hospitalized With the Coronavirus - The New York Times describes, among other things, the difficulty of discovering whether you have the coronavirus. Relevant excerpts:
quote: That's a lengthy excerpt, so let me summarize: It took twelve days after his initial symptoms for test results to confirm he had CV, and by that time he was very, very sick. --Percy
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Percy Member Posts: 22480 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 4.8 |
Faith writes: I can't keep all this in my head when I hear it on the radio so that's the best I can do at the moment. Who were you listening to on the radio?
I didn't get her name...etc... Again, no reference. You are preternaturally attracted to unreliable sources. Since you've provided not a single reference there's no reason to waste any time checking out what you say. But this is just part of your effort to justify calling it the China virus or Wuhan virus and to blame China for the pandemic. Instead of playing along with Trump's accuse and blame game why don't you do something constructive. Report on how things are going in Nevada or something. Besides, as I mentioned yesterday, Trump has flip-flopped again and is now cooperating with China. But wait a day and he'll flip-flop again. --Percy Edited by Percy, : Typo.
|
|
|
Do Nothing Button
Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved
Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024