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Author Topic:   Coronavirus and Pandemics
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 687 of 955 (875853)
05-08-2020 9:30 AM
Reply to: Message 685 by NosyNed
05-08-2020 1:04 AM


Re: What's your bet. Mid May
So if everything (deaths perday stays the same) the US won't pass spain for 6 months
but as you say, the us deaths will trend up while spains goes down
so it can be much faster than that
but it can't trend up and down fast enough to make mid may
We will also be seeing new hotspots in places not yet affected, in addition to states like Georgia, Texas and Florida that are ignoring or discarding protective measures, along with new testing in current areas. I am pessimistic about Trump's ability to deal with any increase, as he'll disregard it while he concentrates on how he wants to recover the economy for his election.
I'd guess Aug 1 at the earliest
We'll see
Any other takers?
Enjoy

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmericanZenDeist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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This message is a reply to:
 Message 685 by NosyNed, posted 05-08-2020 1:04 AM NosyNed has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 689 by jar, posted 05-08-2020 9:54 AM RAZD has seen this message but not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 712 of 955 (876227)
05-14-2020 5:25 PM
Reply to: Message 711 by Percy
05-14-2020 12:26 PM


Re: The Latest Data
Other countries that began loosening up before we did are already beginning to see new outbreaks. There's no reason to expect that won't happen here. The Wisconsin Supreme Court just yesterday struck down the governor's stay-at-home order, and reports say that bars and restaurants are jammed. The eventual outcome is predictable.
indeed, and the people should be tracked with the phone GPS locations so we can show the causes of new hotspots.
Here's the bar graph of new cases from ArcGIS Dashboards ...
While it is nice to see the downward trends this still means lots of people dying and not cured. What we have is an increasing population of people that have survived. We don't know if they are immune or can become carriers.
What is the proportion of people who have survived from those that were positive?
I won' feel completely safe until the death rate is near zero.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmericanZenDeist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1432 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 730 of 955 (876332)
05-17-2020 1:03 PM
Reply to: Message 729 by JonF
05-17-2020 12:52 PM


Re: The stupidity of these people is unfathomable.
Have his base line up to test it.

we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand
RebelAmericanZenDeist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)

This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
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