So being the world’s foremost expert in all things economic I will now pronounce to all the world the god given reality that is our economic future yet to come.
The long feared collapse of the U$dollar is going to happen.
Just not so soon or so abrupt.
The U$dollar is the store of value for all the world’s wealth. There is no competitor.
There is not enough real estate nor gold nor both combined to store the present world wealth the U$dollar presently stores. As more switch to those other forms of wealth-storage there will be major increases in the value of each to the point that it will become insanely expensive to own either. And the trading of these things is done in increments of what? Micro grams and postage stamp sized suburban lots?
The Great Big Basket of World Currencies is a political nightmare waiting to happen on all the world’s national banks let alone the effort needed to keep the thing in value and stable all over the world at least most of the time. That’s difficult enough to do with the U$dollar throughout each trading day let alone a dozen or so currencies roiling and boiling all over everybody’s basket. Again, it will be done, but it is not going anywhere fast.
The central banks know what levers to push and buttons to pull to keep this capitalist tanker afloat and going on an ever increasing sea of liquidity. But they can’t keep it up for more than, I don’t know, another couple generations or two or three? 40, 80 +- years? The dire predictions we hear in this thread might actually come to pass given enough time.
What is going to happen quicker is the revolution. Not only an economic collapse but the societal collapse that caused it. Yeah societal collapse, then economic. Shifting weather patterns, shifting social patterns, shifting economic patterns. More drought and sever winter storms. More social disparity. Pandemics. Famine.
Bring on the guillotine. War.
By the end of this century, certainly by the middle of the next, there may not be much need for either the U$dollar or a Great Big Basket of World Currencies.
Eschew obfuscation. Habituate elucidation.