Biden has a 43.7% approval rating and 51% disapproval rating, based on the 538 site's average.
Trump is at 41.4% average approval and 53% disapproval.
(I very much hope Trump does not run, as I support Rand Paul. He is the only Republican candidate I would vote for, unless Democrats are stupid enough to pick a 2016-type warmonger)
(I might be more inclined to support other Republicans if Democrats end up developing the dangerous anti-free speech angle into a full-blown assault. I do not know enough about the Democratic positioning yet, and I hope this Jan 6/ Facebook stuff is just a short lived technique that is only going to be used in the feud against Trump)
There have been early polls taken, in battleground states, which show Trump winning all 5. It also polled support for Biden's position, on 10 key issues, verses Trump's position. It seems Trump scored a knockout, on all 10 issues, in all 5 states, but the poll was an internal Trump-funded poll. 538 got the results.
It's amusing speculation, but three years before the election how good is anyone's crystal ball?
The number of things that could happen between now and then . . .
Heck, the number of things that have happened already, from rising COVID-19 infection rates to the Afghanistan debacle to V.P. Harris behaving like a befuddled teen, to the Manchin-Sinema-Pelosi-Ocasio-Cortez-Omar-Schumer circular firing squad . . .
Imagine more stuff like that happening, or, on the other hand, equivalent stuff happening to the prospective nominees (Republican or primary challengers from the Democrat party) Biden may be facing.
Interesting Nevada Senate Race in 2022 (Democratic incumbent)
Nevada could be interesting because exit polls showed Trump won the Hispanic male vote verses Biden.
Trump only lost by 2%, in Nevada, in both 2016 and 2020
The Democratic incumbent is defending against a young man named Adam Laxalt.
I remember watching the hoard of moderate Republicans, on CNN, in 2008, lament the right wing turn of the party. There was disgust, at the hateful turn in politics.
There was a frequent guest, Michelle Laxalt, who smiled and talked about her late moderate father, the former Nevada Senator Pete Laxalt.
In 2013, she released information about her son, Adam. He was in his mid-20s. She said she slept with long-serving New Mexico Senator Pete Dominici, and she got impregnated. He offered to pay child support, but she preferred the relationship to be kept secret. She refused the support.
Now Adam has been a statewide elected official and he is running to defeat the Democratic incumbent Senator.
This is a major race to watch. Especially the Hispanic vote.
(Polls show that the Republican party has the edge in the Senate race, but it is early. The Democratic incumbent is trailing Laxalt)
VOTE BLUE! VOTE BLUE!! End the GOP nightmare that is strangling the country to death.
The GOP has NEVER done anything good without Democrat help. All they ever do is cut taxes for the rich and pass along the costs of running the government to the working poor. Fuck them. A bunch of sadistic racists. They stink 12 thousand times as bad as the Democrats, LNA - 12 thousand times worse.