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Author Topic:   The War in Europe
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 631 of 1124 (893402)
04-10-2022 2:58 PM


It may be wishful thinking but I'm feeling a bit of a change in the NATO thinking. I've heard a few retired generals commenting that it may be possible for Ukraine to actually win if they get enough help (short of air and boots).
The other part is a feeling that if we don't fight this war successfully by proxy now, we'll be fighting it for real in 10 years time when Russia will be better prepared.
But they still feel they're walking a tightrope. Personally I think the steady ratcheting up is correct - so long as we are actually doing enough.

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif. Je suis Parisien. I am Mancunian. I am Brum. I am London. Olen Suomi Soy Barcelona. I am Ukraine.

"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.


Replies to this message:
 Message 632 by AZPaul3, posted 04-10-2022 5:10 PM Tangle has replied
 Message 634 by Tanypteryx, posted 04-10-2022 5:37 PM Tangle has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8564
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 632 of 1124 (893403)
04-10-2022 5:10 PM
Reply to: Message 631 by Tangle
04-10-2022 2:58 PM


Personally I think the steady ratcheting up is correct - so long as we are actually doing enough.
If Ukraine are resisting the Russians but not defeating them are we doing enough?

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 631 by Tangle, posted 04-10-2022 2:58 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 633 by Tangle, posted 04-10-2022 5:15 PM AZPaul3 has not replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 633 of 1124 (893404)
04-10-2022 5:15 PM
Reply to: Message 632 by AZPaul3
04-10-2022 5:10 PM


AZPaul writes:
If Ukraine are resisting the Russians but not defeating them are we doing enough?
They defeated them in Kyiv. Who knows...

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif. Je suis Parisien. I am Mancunian. I am Brum. I am London. Olen Suomi Soy Barcelona. I am Ukraine.

"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.


This message is a reply to:
 Message 632 by AZPaul3, posted 04-10-2022 5:10 PM AZPaul3 has not replied

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 4451
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 634 of 1124 (893405)
04-10-2022 5:37 PM
Reply to: Message 631 by Tangle
04-10-2022 2:58 PM


I've heard a few retired generals commenting that it may be possible for Ukraine to actually win if they get enough help (short of air and boots).
The Russians got their asses kicked in Afghanistan and I'm hoping for the same outcome in Ukraine. I hope we are actually helping that happen!

What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 631 by Tangle, posted 04-10-2022 2:58 PM Tangle has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 635 by AZPaul3, posted 04-10-2022 5:57 PM Tanypteryx has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8564
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 635 of 1124 (893406)
04-10-2022 5:57 PM
Reply to: Message 634 by Tanypteryx
04-10-2022 5:37 PM


You and Tangle are right, the Russian may very well defeat themselves, again. The human cost has been too high, though, and is not about to stop.
What can we do to shorten this thing? Force it to a conclusion.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 634 by Tanypteryx, posted 04-10-2022 5:37 PM Tanypteryx has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 636 of 1124 (893409)
04-11-2022 8:21 AM
Reply to: Message 630 by ringo
04-10-2022 2:11 PM


Re: Opinion of a General
ringo writes:
I'm thinking that Putin's attack on Ukraine may be less like Hitler's attacks on Poland and France and more like Stalin's attack on Finland.
Hitler's gains in Europe and Putin's attacks on Chechnya, Georgia, the Crimea, the Donbas region and now all of Ukraine seem right in line with each other. They both seem like plays for more territory, influence, power and respect.
Wasn't Stalin's main concern about Finland its potential use as an enemy base of operations? The amount of territory he was originally demanding wasn't that great.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 630 by ringo, posted 04-10-2022 2:11 PM ringo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 637 by ringo, posted 04-11-2022 11:52 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 637 of 1124 (893412)
04-11-2022 11:52 AM
Reply to: Message 636 by Percy
04-11-2022 8:21 AM


Re: Opinion of a General
Percy writes:
They both seem like plays for more territory, influence, power and respect.
Hitler's aim was tangible: lebensraum. Putin's goal seems to be restoration of the glory of the Tsarist Empire. And his methodology is diminishing Russia's influence and respect.
Percy writes:
Wasn't Stalin's main concern about Finland its potential use as an enemy base of operations?
Putin claims the same thing. That may be a good thing, allowing him to pull back and save face by declaring "victory".

"I call that bold talk for a one-eyed fat man!"
-- Lucky Ned Pepper

This message is a reply to:
 Message 636 by Percy, posted 04-11-2022 8:21 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 4451
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


(4)
Message 638 of 1124 (893415)
04-11-2022 10:29 PM


Volodymyr Zelenskyy's full 60 Minutes interview in Ukrainian
Volodymyr Zelenskyy's full 60 Minutes interview in Ukrainian
quote:
Language translation is more art than science. Different translators have varied opinions of words and their meaning. For our interview with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, we used the services of three, independent, interpreters of the Ukrainian language. The first translation occurred in the moment, simultaneously, during the interview. Later, a second translator watched the entire interview on video and translated Ukrainian to English verbatim. In the final editing process, a third translator sat with us and verified the edits that are always necessary for clarity and concision. At some points in our story, when phrases in English and Ukrainian did not match each other in length, we made the best effort possible to convey Mr. Zelenskyy's comments with precision and context. As a service to Ukrainian speakers, we are posting the hour-long, April 7th interview in its entirety.

The wartime president: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks with Scott Pelley in Kyiv (translated English version)
Every time I see Zelenskyy I admire him more. He seems to be a man of dignity, honor, integrity and a humble self awareness. He appears to be a really good leader also! Character does still matter.
Edited by Tanypteryx, : No reason given.

What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


Replies to this message:
 Message 639 by Phat, posted 04-12-2022 2:42 AM Tanypteryx has not replied

  
Phat
Member
Posts: 18349
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.0


Message 639 of 1124 (893416)
04-12-2022 2:42 AM
Reply to: Message 638 by Tanypteryx
04-11-2022 10:29 PM


Re: Volodymyr Zelenskyy's full 60 Minutes interview in Ukrainian
I totally agree. Volodymyr Zelenskyy is to be respected. He almost makes me want to have the guts (along with my country) to stand for freedom and against totalitarianism. I still have fears, but if that's what it takes, it is indeed a spiritual war as well as an actual one. We live in serious times.

"A lie can travel half way around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes." ~Mark Twain "
***
“…far from science having buried God, not only do the results of science point towards his existence, but the scientific enterprise itself is validated by his existence.”- Dr.John Lennox

“A God without wrath brought men without sin into a Kingdom without judgment through the ministrations of a Christ without a Cross.”
H. Richard Niebuhr, The Kingdom of God in America

“The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of a doubt, what is laid before him.” — Leo Tolstoy, The Kingdom of God is Within You
(1894).


This message is a reply to:
 Message 638 by Tanypteryx, posted 04-11-2022 10:29 PM Tanypteryx has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


(2)
Message 640 of 1124 (893417)
04-12-2022 9:08 AM


Where the World Stands on Russian Invasion
I was hoping to find a definitive list of which countries support Russia and which support Ukraine, but no such luck. I put this together myself, and it isn't complete, though all the major countries are on it. If someone knows of some news outlet that has a done a complete job please post it.
I think some countries must be waffling, because I found some contradictory information out there. For example, I found one article saying that China does not support Russia, but other information said they did, and I've read articles about China continuing trade with Russia, aiding Russia with sanctions, and issuing sympathetic propaganda, so I put China in the "Supports Russia" category. I had similar problems with Hungary and Turkey, which I also put in the "Supports Russia" category.
Supports Russia:
  • Armenia
  • Belarus
  • China
  • Cuba
  • Hungary
  • India
  • Iran
  • Kazakhstan
  • Kyrgyzstan
  • Pakistan
  • Syria
  • Turkey
  • Uzbekistan
  • Venezuela
Supports Ukraine:
  • Australia
  • Belgium
  • Bulgaria
  • Canada
  • Czech Republic
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Iceland
  • Italy
  • Japan
  • Kenya
  • Libya
  • Luxembourg
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Romania
  • Slovakia
  • South Korea
  • Sweden
  • United Kingdom
  • United States
Neutral:
  • Algeria
  • Bolivia
  • Morocco
  • Mozambique
  • South Africa
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
Some sources:
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : Typo.

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


(2)
Message 641 of 1124 (893421)
04-12-2022 2:55 PM


Couple of question marks
Hungary is an EU and NATO member so whether it's of much consequence what their embarrassing leader says and does is moot
Turkey is providing arms to Ukraine.

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif. Je suis Parisien. I am Mancunian. I am Brum. I am London. Olen Suomi Soy Barcelona. I am Ukraine.

"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.


Replies to this message:
 Message 644 by Percy, posted 04-13-2022 8:42 AM Tangle has replied

  
DrJones*
Member
Posts: 2290
From: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Joined: 08-19-2004
Member Rating: 7.6


(5)
Message 642 of 1124 (893425)
04-12-2022 7:49 PM


russia v. ukraine
A comparision of the two militaries by a guy who knows what he's talking about.
I Commanded U.S. Army Europe. Here's What I Saw in the Russian and Ukrainian Armies. - The Bulwark

It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds
soon I discovered that this rock thing was true
Jerry Lee Lewis was the devil
Jesus was an architect previous to his career as a prophet
All of a sudden i found myself in love with the world
And so there was only one thing I could do
Was ding a ding dang my dang along ling long - Jesus Built my Hotrod Ministry
Live every week like it's Shark Week! - Tracey Jordan
Just a monkey in a long line of kings. - Matthew Good
If "elitist" just means "not the dumbest motherfucker in the room", I'll be an elitist! - Get Your War On
*not an actual doctor

Replies to this message:
 Message 643 by Theodoric, posted 04-12-2022 7:51 PM DrJones* has not replied

  
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9202
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


Message 643 of 1124 (893426)
04-12-2022 7:51 PM
Reply to: Message 642 by DrJones*
04-12-2022 7:49 PM


Re: russia v. ukraine
I read that earlier today. Amazing and insightful.

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts

"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up why would you have to lie?


This message is a reply to:
 Message 642 by DrJones*, posted 04-12-2022 7:49 PM DrJones* has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 644 of 1124 (893427)
04-13-2022 8:42 AM
Reply to: Message 641 by Tangle
04-12-2022 2:55 PM


Tangle writes:
Hungary is an EU and NATO member so whether it's of much consequence what their embarrassing leader says and does is moot
Hungary is maintaining its joint military agreements with Russia and and is refusing to support the EU sanctions on Russian oil and gas.
Turkey is providing arms to Ukraine.
You could be right about Turkey. My distrust of Erdoğan probably influenced me.
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : Typo.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 641 by Tangle, posted 04-12-2022 2:55 PM Tangle has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 649 by Tangle, posted 04-13-2022 12:35 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 645 of 1124 (893428)
04-13-2022 8:57 AM


The Washington Post is currently running an opinion piece by Michael Gerson that summed up my view pretty well (If Putin isn’t stopped in Ukraine, the Baltics are likely next). Here's the concluding paragraph:
quote:
The lesson? Ukraine, with aggressive help from NATO, must defeat Russian forces, or the United States might soon face the question: Do we really fight for Lithuania? Though we are obligated, the decision and task would not be easy. Helping draw a NATO redline at Ukraine could help the United States preserve itself from impossible choices of the future.
Taking on NATO head on if it means restoring Soviet Union era vassal states isn't something that Russia would shy away from. Given the dearth of NATO troops and armaments in the Baltic States and no NATO bases at all, the Russian army would swarm over the Baltic states and present the west with a fait accompli.
--Percy

Replies to this message:
 Message 646 by AZPaul3, posted 04-13-2022 10:57 AM Percy has replied

  
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