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| Author | Topic: Who Owns the Standard Definition of Evolution | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
sensei writes: quote: So you fail to understand even a single question. I'm not gonna repeat myself. But seriously, you should quit your job, better not than tomorrow. Did I guess right about the point I think you're trying to make (see my Message 223)? If so then I think everyone's missing it because they see it as having so little merit that they wouldn't expect anyone to make it, in which case you need to make clear to everyone why this argument has merit. And if I guessed wrong then please try to explain your point again, because it just isn't coming across to anyone. --Percy Edited by Percy, : Link to message.
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
sensei writes: Like when a noob claims if two things are the same color, they must be the same object. And one replies, you can have a red car and a red flower. Then you reply, but but but cars can also be blue. You miss the point like this all the time at every single step of the logic. You are extremely ignorant and clueless. This doesn't seem an accurate analogy to what Taq's been saying, but I also think it's possible he doesn't see the point you're trying to make. If your point is important to you and you think others would find it important too then it would be worth your effort to expend your energies on clarification rather than on ad hominem, which I don't think will settle anything. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
Tanypteryx writes: The chances of you correctly predicting 10 consecutive flips of the coin is 2^10, or 1 in 1024. If this is incorrect, show us you can do the math. I'm pretty sure sensei gets this probability point. My guess is that he's analogizing to a coin which is not "true", but he hasn't confirmed that yet. --Percy Edited by Percy, : Spelling.
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
K.Rose in Message 200 writes: The Macroevolution link you provided, unintelligible to most laymen, discusses common materials found across lifeforms, which is as much or more of an argument for a Creator. Much as a refrigerator or bicycle manufacturer would re-use favorable design features across various products. The link Taq provided was to the section on Prediction 1.2: A nested hierarchy of species from 29+ Evidences for Macroevolution: Part 1. It makes clear that nested hierarchies cannot be formed from things like refrigerators or bicycles, and it clearly explains why. The nesting is a reflection of the evolutionary branching that took place in the past, something that doesn't happen with refrigerators or bicycles. A nested hierarchy means that the phylogenetic tree is objectively formed, which means the node characteristics (primarily DNA) drive the organization. With refrigerators and bicycles many tree-like organizational structures are possible. One person might organize bicycles with manufacturers at the top level, bicycle types at the next level, and size at the next level. Another person might put bicycle types at the top level and manufacturers next. Other manner of organization are possible, too. But with a nested hierarchy only one organization is consistent with node characteristics. This means that only one node qualifies for the top position. For mammals the top node would be the common ancestor of all mammals. The top node could never be, for example, cetaceans, because no mammalian order, like primates, rodents and carnivores, are descended from cetaceans. DNA analysis makes this very, very clear. A nested hierarchy means you have a tree with evolutionary branching. Life isn't the only thing that produces a nested hierarchy. Languages do, too. If I come across other things that produce a nested hierarchy I'll mention them.
Besides, at issue is the key dynamic of evolution, the linchpin, the one that is foisted ubiquitously on the public, which asserts that one higher life form (mammal, reptile) can eventually procreate to a completely different higher life form. Evolution occurs in all life, not just in "higher" life forms, and again, "higher" isn't really meaningful. Evolution is an accepted scientific theory and is no more foisted on the public than any other accepted scientific theory. You're free to believe evolution is wrong and misguided and atheistic and whatever else you like. No one can stop you. But if you want to knock evolution from its perch as accepted science then you're going to have to do science yourself and produce the evidence that accomplishes that. But this has already been tried. ICR, CRS, Answers in Genesis and a host of others all tried to make inroads into scientific circles to make creationism or Intelligent Design into accepted science, and they all failed. Because they're religion, not science. Sometimes "Einstein was wrong" people come here. They, like you, complain about a false theory being foisted on the public.
Where is the evidence and certainty for that presented, beyond the explanation "Life Form A shares traits with Life Form B and somewhere in-between is where the evolution happened"? Again, there is no certainty within science. All science is tentative. And evolution is ubiquitous. Evolution occurs every time there is reproduction. How could that not be so given that mutations are inevitable and selection is unavoidable? --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
I subscribe to the Times - I think I might have read that article when it first came out. Yes, this is what I was thinking of when I mentioned law enforcement tracking down criminals.
--Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4
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Tanypteryx writes: My guess is that he's analogizing to a coin which is not "true", but he hasn't confirmed that yet.​ By "not true" I assume you mean a coin that has been distorted in a way that makes one side face up more than the other side when it's flipped. Yes, that's it.
What would a distorted coin flip process tell us anything about reproduction? What possible point is he trying to demonstrate? In Message 228 sensei said my guess was wrong and that I should add myself to the ranks of the idiots. But he does offer further explanation this time:
sensei in Message 228 writes: Taq claims that it is the same as the p-value, which is simply not true. The p-value of 1/1024 gives the probability of observing ten times tails, given that we have a fair coin. If you know any Baysian statistics, you should know that this is not the same as the probability that we have a fair coin, given what we observed. Prob(A|B) ≠Prob(B|A). Very rooky mistake by Taq. So finally we know what he's asking: Since the probability of ten consecutive tails is 1/1024 given a fair coin, is that the same as the probability that we have a fair coin. The question seems meaningless to me. He'll have to clarify further. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
K.Rose writes: Where does the extrapolation cease to be valid? Good question, and it will remain a good question so long as the ancestry in question is/was not available for proper measurement and observation. It seems possible to me that you haven't grasped PaulK's question. PaulK can correct me if I'm misunderstanding this, but I think he means that given the DNA of a person we can extrapolate back to their parents and their parents' parents and their parents' parents' parents, and so on. At what point does that extrapolation cease to be valid?
I accept that Evolutionary biologists read common ancestry into the genetics evidence; Common ancestry is simply what happens reproduction. It's unavoidable. A great grandmother is a common ancestor of all her children, all her grandchildren, and all her great grandchildren. You'll often see a picture of a grandparent with a large collection of their progeny gathered around. Common ancestry is just a fact. It's not true that it's being read into genetic history because it *is* genetic history. DNA evidence of genetic history *is* evidence of common ancestry.
however, all genetic evidence points to a Creator. I think you're reading a Creator into genetic evidence.
Please not that I would not conspire to prevent biologists from pursuing the common ancestry conclusion, nor would I forcibly prevent them from pursuing this, nor intimidate them into abandoning the pursuit, nor force-feed them my views. I'm not as optimistic as Tanypteryx that this isn't something religion couldn't do at some point.
Also, the fact that you have drawn a conclusion from a set of evidence does not make that conclusion fact. You're in effect saying, "You could be wrong," and then leaving it at that, instead of showing how he's wrong. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4
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K.Rose writes: Regarding morphology, relatedness, and species designations: The concept of common ancestry - maybe this is better described as something else, perhaps?... I'm talking about common ancestry. If you're talking about something else then you'll have to tell us what it is.
...is the part of evolutionary biology that put its supporters at such stark, sometimes virulent odds with the Creationists. Honest scientific investigation means following the evidence where it leads. Seeking conclusions that don't offend anyone's religious beliefs isn't part of the process. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
K.Rose writes: As a starting point it's reasonable to assume that past life has been lived much as it is today, in general, and albeit in much less physical/material comfort and with far more day-to-day threat to life and health. But we're talking about all life, right? Not just people. But it sounds like we're in agreement that life in the past was lived pretty much as it is today. In that case, why wouldn't common ancestry have occurred in the past, just like it does today?
But the unknown outweighs the known. We can take the scraps of data that we do have and put together an explanation of how it all went down, giving meticulous consideration to each data point. But, absent any proper record-keeping, we can never really be certain of how accurate that explanation really is. Our knowledge will always remain incomplete, and all science is tentative. We accept as likely true that for which we have sufficient evidence. If you think the evidence insufficient for something in particular, such as common ancestry, then you have to make the case. The claim, "Well, we don't know everything so you could be wrong," carries no weight because it can be said about literally everything.
Ancestry.com may be one of the foremost DNA experts, I don't know. But based on the timing and presentation of their product they seem to be more oriented toward curious pre-neophytes, rather than actual biologists. You mentioned them in response to one of my posts about DNA analysis and common ancestry. I don't myself see how they fit into the discussion, and I don't know anything about them. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
K.Rose in Message 247 writes: Throughout this string I have requested empirical testing that demonstrates common ancestry for all life forms. I have yet to see it. However, here is an aggregate summary of the responses I have received: "Many highly knowledgeable scientists have been working on this for a very long time, and this explanation represents their conclusions. Anyone who challenges this explanation is either uneducated in the matter or willfully ignorant." I think there have been some insulting exchanges, and I'm sorry you've come away feeling this way.
Again, with no empirical test data presented, and no accounting for the unknowns. You're just resetting to an earlier position. I think we've already established that there's plenty of DNA to analyze and a great deal of analytical results. You haven't identified any actual problems or issues yet. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
K.Rose writes: In this matter a large-scale misrepresentation is being foisted on the public, even though it may be as subtle as "it is" vs. "it seems to be". You have yet to raise any objections that are true to evolution's view that life changes over time through a process of descent with modification combined with natural selection. You seem to have begun a reset to where you started of just saying evolution is wrong while ignoring the discussion of the past couple hundred messages where you were unable to find anything that was actually wrong. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4
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K.Rose in Message 254 writes: I don't have the exact number, but somewhere between 6000-7000 years. You're ignoring more than biology then. Onward Christian soldier, to physics, to chemistry, to astronomy, to cosmology, to geology, to boldly do battle with all the rebukes to your religious fantasies. More on topic, genetic analyses reveal events of biological change that took place millions of years ago. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4
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ICANT in Message 278 writes: Tangle writes: How old is the earth I am not K.Rose but it is a lot older than K.Rose said it is. You and K.Rose should get together in a thread and present your evidences to each other. You could build from these:
--Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
sensei in Message 279 writes: Percy in Message 231 writes: sensei in Message 171 writes: quote: Sure, because we know every function of all parts of the DNA, and nothing of genetics hold any mystery for us anymore, right? Really, such arrogance often leads to error. Rephrasing what you just said:
sensei rephrased: Wrong again. It's about the assumptions of parts of DNA not having any function,... Understandings of what were formerly considered DNA's non-functional regions have improved. Some regions *are* non-functional or have functions we do not yet understand, but others have functions. But a region doesn't have to have a known function to trace it's genetic history.
...so it should be random if there is no common ancestor. The fewest possible common ancestors is 1. Zero is not possible and is shown wrong by the existence of your own parents. In the Biblical view of you and K.Rose, if God created 10 million species then there are 10 million common ancestors, not none. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 23636 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 6.4 |
sensei in Message 280 writes: Percy: So you don't see any usefulness in a question like what is the probability that the common we have a common ancestor with all primates, given the observations shown by Taq? That question makes sense, your question makes no sense to anyone here. If you decide to clarify to the point where people understand then we can comment.
I mean, in the end, that is always the key question, as the main claim of Taq is that we share a common ancestor. If you think it's meaningless, then yeah, tell me what ranks you count yourself in? Are you asking whether I consider humans primates? Of course I do. It's definitional. It's like asking is a Ford Fairlane a car. Of course it is, by definition. --Percy
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