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Author | Topic: Who Owns the Standard Definition of Evolution | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
K.Rose Member Posts: 160 From: Michigan Joined: Member Rating: 1.0 |
Greetings dwise:
From your posts I can say that we have some commonality in background, and I suspect we would agree many things. On those things we don't I would hope we could agree to disagree. I always enjoy a good truism, and a phrase that comes to mind is "be humble, you could be wrong".
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Percy Member Posts: 22806 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 5.5
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Tanypteryx writes: My guess is that he's analogizing to a coin which is not "true", but he hasn't confirmed that yet. By "not true" I assume you mean a coin that has been distorted in a way that makes one side face up more than the other side when it's flipped. Yes, that's it.
What would a distorted coin flip process tell us anything about reproduction? What possible point is he trying to demonstrate? In Message 228 sensei said my guess was wrong and that I should add myself to the ranks of the idiots. But he does offer further explanation this time:
sensei in Message 228 writes: Taq claims that it is the same as the p-value, which is simply not true. The p-value of 1/1024 gives the probability of observing ten times tails, given that we have a fair coin. If you know any Baysian statistics, you should know that this is not the same as the probability that we have a fair coin, given what we observed. Prob(A|B) ≠ Prob(B|A). Very rooky mistake by Taq. So finally we know what he's asking: Since the probability of ten consecutive tails is 1/1024 given a fair coin, is that the same as the probability that we have a fair coin. The question seems meaningless to me. He'll have to clarify further. --Percy
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Admin Director Posts: 13092 From: EvC Forum Joined: |
Theodoric writes: If you want to start with the personal attacks we can just let the admin deal with you. We might be a bit short on admin resources. I'm already a participant, leaving only Adminnemooseus and AdminNosy.
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Percy Member Posts: 22806 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 5.5 |
K.Rose writes: Where does the extrapolation cease to be valid? Good question, and it will remain a good question so long as the ancestry in question is/was not available for proper measurement and observation. It seems possible to me that you haven't grasped PaulK's question. PaulK can correct me if I'm misunderstanding this, but I think he means that given the DNA of a person we can extrapolate back to their parents and their parents' parents and their parents' parents' parents, and so on. At what point does that extrapolation cease to be valid?
I accept that Evolutionary biologists read common ancestry into the genetics evidence; Common ancestry is simply what happens reproduction. It's unavoidable. A great grandmother is a common ancestor of all her children, all her grandchildren, and all her great grandchildren. You'll often see a picture of a grandparent with a large collection of their progeny gathered around. Common ancestry is just a fact. It's not true that it's being read into genetic history because it *is* genetic history. DNA evidence of genetic history *is* evidence of common ancestry.
however, all genetic evidence points to a Creator. I think you're reading a Creator into genetic evidence.
Please not that I would not conspire to prevent biologists from pursuing the common ancestry conclusion, nor would I forcibly prevent them from pursuing this, nor intimidate them into abandoning the pursuit, nor force-feed them my views. I'm not as optimistic as Tanypteryx that this isn't something religion couldn't do at some point.
Also, the fact that you have drawn a conclusion from a set of evidence does not make that conclusion fact. You're in effect saying, "You could be wrong," and then leaving it at that, instead of showing how he's wrong. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22806 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 5.5
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K.Rose writes: Regarding morphology, relatedness, and species designations: The concept of common ancestry - maybe this is better described as something else, perhaps?... I'm talking about common ancestry. If you're talking about something else then you'll have to tell us what it is.
...is the part of evolutionary biology that put its supporters at such stark, sometimes virulent odds with the Creationists. Honest scientific investigation means following the evidence where it leads. Seeking conclusions that don't offend anyone's religious beliefs isn't part of the process. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22806 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 5.5 |
K.Rose writes: As a starting point it's reasonable to assume that past life has been lived much as it is today, in general, and albeit in much less physical/material comfort and with far more day-to-day threat to life and health. But we're talking about all life, right? Not just people. But it sounds like we're in agreement that life in the past was lived pretty much as it is today. In that case, why wouldn't common ancestry have occurred in the past, just like it does today?
But the unknown outweighs the known. We can take the scraps of data that we do have and put together an explanation of how it all went down, giving meticulous consideration to each data point. But, absent any proper record-keeping, we can never really be certain of how accurate that explanation really is. Our knowledge will always remain incomplete, and all science is tentative. We accept as likely true that for which we have sufficient evidence. If you think the evidence insufficient for something in particular, such as common ancestry, then you have to make the case. The claim, "Well, we don't know everything so you could be wrong," carries no weight because it can be said about literally everything.
Ancestry.com may be one of the foremost DNA experts, I don't know. But based on the timing and presentation of their product they seem to be more oriented toward curious pre-neophytes, rather than actual biologists. You mentioned them in response to one of my posts about DNA analysis and common ancestry. I don't myself see how they fit into the discussion, and I don't know anything about them. --Percy
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Percy Member Posts: 22806 From: New Hampshire Joined: Member Rating: 5.5 |
K.Rose in Message 247 writes: Throughout this string I have requested empirical testing that demonstrates common ancestry for all life forms. I have yet to see it. However, here is an aggregate summary of the responses I have received: "Many highly knowledgeable scientists have been working on this for a very long time, and this explanation represents their conclusions. Anyone who challenges this explanation is either uneducated in the matter or willfully ignorant." I think there have been some insulting exchanges, and I'm sorry you've come away feeling this way.
Again, with no empirical test data presented, and no accounting for the unknowns. You're just resetting to an earlier position. I think we've already established that there's plenty of DNA to analyze and a great deal of analytical results. You haven't identified any actual problems or issues yet. --Percy
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kjsimons Member Posts: 825 From: Orlando,FL Joined:
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LOL! Then you don't actually follow what empirical evidence supports for the age of the Earth. You are a lying hypocrite!
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AZPaul3 Member Posts: 8630 From: Phoenix Joined: Member Rating: 5.3
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I don't mind that there are those that there are those who disagree with me vehemently. Disagreement is an understatement. Over the last 100+- years your creationism has been totally refuted in ALL its aspects. That you resurrect these tired old PRATTs ... Point refuted a thousand times - RationalWiki ... from decades past is testament to your lack of scholarship, critical thinking skills and humility. I'm not surprised to learn this has plagued you all your life. Got to be a major disadvantage to go through life so arrogant yet so intellectually dense. K, you are the typical religious nutjob. But then you already knew that. As you said you have suffered your whole life from that condition. Creationists, religionists, Einstein wannabes, all come in here complaining how ill they are treated, being called stupid and getting no respect. I am a major offender. There is reason for this. It is because you are, in fact, fucking stupid. You're mis-wired in the brain. Your brain has accepted your majikal religious fantasies as real. You cannot discern your fantasies from this world's reality. Your thinking and your decisions, your morality, are directed by your priests and are suspect at best. To be ignored would be better. You cannot be trusted to decide humanely anything within the human condition.
In this matter a large-scale misrepresentation is being foisted on the public ... Indeed. Religious poison and its mythical conceptualizations masquerading as viable. Making life and death decisions from an emotional religious base with scant regard for reality. Religious misrepresentations of celestial aid to avoid death, cure illness and help find lost car keys.Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!
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Tanypteryx Member Posts: 4572 From: Oregon, USA Joined: Member Rating: 6.6 |
You nailed every single point! What are the odds of that?
Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned! What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python One important characteristic of a theory is that it has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --Percy The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq Why should anyone debate someone who doesn't know the subject? -- AZPaul3
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AZPaul3 Member Posts: 8630 From: Phoenix Joined: Member Rating: 5.3 |
42?
Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!
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Tanypteryx Member Posts: 4572 From: Oregon, USA Joined: Member Rating: 6.6 |
Nailed it again!
Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned! What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python One important characteristic of a theory is that it has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --Percy The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq Why should anyone debate someone who doesn't know the subject? -- AZPaul3
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AZPaul3 Member Posts: 8630 From: Phoenix Joined: Member Rating: 5.3 |
You're easily entertained today. But thank you anyway. It's always good to be recognized even if for no reason. Kinda like Obama and his Nobel Prize.
Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!
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Theodoric Member Posts: 9426 From: Northwest, WI, USA Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
The TOE and common ancestry are different things. So now you are using strawman arguments? Gish gallop next?
What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts "God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness. If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up why would you have to lie?
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Theodoric Member Posts: 9426 From: Northwest, WI, USA Joined: Member Rating: 4.9 |
Duplicate post. 504 error
What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts "God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness. If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up why would you have to lie?
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