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Author Topic:   Who Owns the Standard Definition of Evolution
K.Rose
Member
Posts: 160
From: Michigan
Joined: 02-02-2024
Member Rating: 1.0


Message 256 of 700 (915185)
02-10-2024 7:49 PM
Reply to: Message 202 by dwise1
02-10-2024 6:04 AM


Greetings dwise:
From your posts I can say that we have some commonality in background, and I suspect we would agree many things. On those things we don't I would hope we could agree to disagree.
I always enjoy a good truism, and a phrase that comes to mind is "be humble, you could be wrong".

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 Message 202 by dwise1, posted 02-10-2024 6:04 AM dwise1 has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22806
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.5


(1)
Message 257 of 700 (915186)
02-10-2024 7:58 PM
Reply to: Message 235 by Tanypteryx
02-10-2024 3:00 PM


Tanypteryx writes:
My guess is that he's analogizing to a coin which is not "true", but he hasn't confirmed that yet.​
By "not true" I assume you mean a coin that has been distorted in a way that makes one side face up more than the other side when it's flipped.
Yes, that's it.
What would a distorted coin flip process tell us anything about reproduction? What possible point is he trying to demonstrate?
In Message 228 sensei said my guess was wrong and that I should add myself to the ranks of the idiots. But he does offer further explanation this time:
sensei in Message 228 writes:
Taq claims that it is the same as the p-value, which is simply not true. The p-value of 1/1024 gives the probability of observing ten times tails, given that we have a fair coin. If you know any Baysian statistics, you should know that this is not the same as the probability that we have a fair coin, given what we observed. Prob(A|B) ≠ Prob(B|A). Very rooky mistake by Taq.
So finally we know what he's asking: Since the probability of ten consecutive tails is 1/1024 given a fair coin, is that the same as the probability that we have a fair coin. The question seems meaningless to me. He'll have to clarify further.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 235 by Tanypteryx, posted 02-10-2024 3:00 PM Tanypteryx has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 280 by sensei, posted 02-11-2024 3:36 AM Percy has replied

  
Admin
Director
Posts: 13092
From: EvC Forum
Joined: 06-14-2002


Message 258 of 700 (915187)
02-10-2024 8:00 PM
Reply to: Message 237 by Theodoric
02-10-2024 3:08 PM


Theodoric writes:
If you want to start with the personal attacks we can just let the admin deal with you.
We might be a bit short on admin resources. I'm already a participant, leaving only Adminnemooseus and AdminNosy.

--Percy
EvC Forum Director

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Percy
Member
Posts: 22806
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 259 of 700 (915188)
02-10-2024 8:26 PM
Reply to: Message 240 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 5:42 PM


K.Rose writes:
Where does the extrapolation cease to be valid? Good question, and it will remain a good question so long as the ancestry in question is/was not available for proper measurement and observation.
It seems possible to me that you haven't grasped PaulK's question. PaulK can correct me if I'm misunderstanding this, but I think he means that given the DNA of a person we can extrapolate back to their parents and their parents' parents and their parents' parents' parents, and so on. At what point does that extrapolation cease to be valid?
I accept that Evolutionary biologists read common ancestry into the genetics evidence;
Common ancestry is simply what happens reproduction. It's unavoidable. A great grandmother is a common ancestor of all her children, all her grandchildren, and all her great grandchildren. You'll often see a picture of a grandparent with a large collection of their progeny gathered around. Common ancestry is just a fact. It's not true that it's being read into genetic history because it *is* genetic history. DNA evidence of genetic history *is* evidence of common ancestry.
however, all genetic evidence points to a Creator.
I think you're reading a Creator into genetic evidence.
Please not that I would not conspire to prevent biologists from pursuing the common ancestry conclusion, nor would I forcibly prevent them from pursuing this, nor intimidate them into abandoning the pursuit, nor force-feed them my views.
I'm not as optimistic as Tanypteryx that this isn't something religion couldn't do at some point.
Also, the fact that you have drawn a conclusion from a set of evidence does not make that conclusion fact.
You're in effect saying, "You could be wrong," and then leaving it at that, instead of showing how he's wrong.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 240 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 5:42 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22806
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.5


(1)
Message 260 of 700 (915189)
02-10-2024 8:33 PM
Reply to: Message 241 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 5:56 PM


K.Rose writes:
Regarding morphology, relatedness, and species designations: The concept of common ancestry - maybe this is better described as something else, perhaps?...
I'm talking about common ancestry. If you're talking about something else then you'll have to tell us what it is.
...is the part of evolutionary biology that put its supporters at such stark, sometimes virulent odds with the Creationists.
Honest scientific investigation means following the evidence where it leads. Seeking conclusions that don't offend anyone's religious beliefs isn't part of the process.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 241 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 5:56 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22806
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 261 of 700 (915190)
02-10-2024 8:52 PM
Reply to: Message 246 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 6:51 PM


K.Rose writes:
As a starting point it's reasonable to assume that past life has been lived much as it is today, in general, and albeit in much less physical/material comfort and with far more day-to-day threat to life and health.
But we're talking about all life, right? Not just people.
But it sounds like we're in agreement that life in the past was lived pretty much as it is today. In that case, why wouldn't common ancestry have occurred in the past, just like it does today?
But the unknown outweighs the known. We can take the scraps of data that we do have and put together an explanation of how it all went down, giving meticulous consideration to each data point. But, absent any proper record-keeping, we can never really be certain of how accurate that explanation really is.
Our knowledge will always remain incomplete, and all science is tentative. We accept as likely true that for which we have sufficient evidence. If you think the evidence insufficient for something in particular, such as common ancestry, then you have to make the case. The claim, "Well, we don't know everything so you could be wrong," carries no weight because it can be said about literally everything.
Ancestry.com may be one of the foremost DNA experts, I don't know. But based on the timing and presentation of their product they seem to be more oriented toward curious pre-neophytes, rather than actual biologists.
You mentioned them in response to one of my posts about DNA analysis and common ancestry. I don't myself see how they fit into the discussion, and I don't know anything about them.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 246 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 6:51 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22806
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 262 of 700 (915191)
02-10-2024 9:00 PM
Reply to: Message 247 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 7:04 PM


K.Rose in Message 247 writes:
Throughout this string I have requested empirical testing that demonstrates common ancestry for all life forms. I have yet to see it. However, here is an aggregate summary of the responses I have received:
"Many highly knowledgeable scientists have been working on this for a very long time, and this explanation represents their conclusions. Anyone who challenges this explanation is either uneducated in the matter or willfully ignorant."
I think there have been some insulting exchanges, and I'm sorry you've come away feeling this way.
Again, with no empirical test data presented, and no accounting for the unknowns.
You're just resetting to an earlier position. I think we've already established that there's plenty of DNA to analyze and a great deal of analytical results. You haven't identified any actual problems or issues yet.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 247 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 7:04 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
kjsimons
Member
Posts: 825
From: Orlando,FL
Joined: 06-17-2003


(1)
Message 263 of 700 (915192)
02-10-2024 9:08 PM
Reply to: Message 254 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 7:33 PM


LOL! Then you don't actually follow what empirical evidence supports for the age of the Earth. You are a lying hypocrite!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 254 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 7:33 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8630
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.3


(1)
Message 264 of 700 (915193)
02-10-2024 10:33 PM
Reply to: Message 251 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 7:20 PM


I don't mind that there are those that there are those who disagree with me vehemently.
Disagreement is an understatement. Over the last 100+- years your creationism has been totally refuted in ALL its aspects. That you resurrect these tired old PRATTs ...
Point refuted a thousand times - RationalWiki
... from decades past is testament to your lack of scholarship, critical thinking skills and humility. I'm not surprised to learn this has plagued you all your life. Got to be a major disadvantage to go through life so arrogant yet so intellectually dense.
K, you are the typical religious nutjob. But then you already knew that. As you said you have suffered your whole life from that condition.
Creationists, religionists, Einstein wannabes, all come in here complaining how ill they are treated, being called stupid and getting no respect. I am a major offender.
There is reason for this. It is because you are, in fact, fucking stupid. You're mis-wired in the brain.
Your brain has accepted your majikal religious fantasies as real. You cannot discern your fantasies from this world's reality. Your thinking and your decisions, your morality, are directed by your priests and are suspect at best. To be ignored would be better.
You cannot be trusted to decide humanely anything within the human condition.
In this matter a large-scale misrepresentation is being foisted on the public ...
Indeed. Religious poison and its mythical conceptualizations masquerading as viable. Making life and death decisions from an emotional religious base with scant regard for reality. Religious misrepresentations of celestial aid to avoid death, cure illness and help find lost car keys.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 251 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 7:20 PM K.Rose has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 265 by Tanypteryx, posted 02-10-2024 11:03 PM AZPaul3 has replied

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 4572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 6.6


Message 265 of 700 (915194)
02-10-2024 11:03 PM
Reply to: Message 264 by AZPaul3
02-10-2024 10:33 PM


You nailed every single point! What are the odds of that?

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!
What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python
One important characteristic of a theory is that it has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie
If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --Percy
The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq
Why should anyone debate someone who doesn't know the subject? -- AZPaul3

This message is a reply to:
 Message 264 by AZPaul3, posted 02-10-2024 10:33 PM AZPaul3 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 266 by AZPaul3, posted 02-10-2024 11:18 PM Tanypteryx has replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8630
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 266 of 700 (915195)
02-10-2024 11:18 PM
Reply to: Message 265 by Tanypteryx
02-10-2024 11:03 PM


42?

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 265 by Tanypteryx, posted 02-10-2024 11:03 PM Tanypteryx has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 267 by Tanypteryx, posted 02-10-2024 11:26 PM AZPaul3 has replied

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 4572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 6.6


Message 267 of 700 (915196)
02-10-2024 11:26 PM
Reply to: Message 266 by AZPaul3
02-10-2024 11:18 PM


Nailed it again!

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!
What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python
One important characteristic of a theory is that it has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie
If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --Percy
The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq
Why should anyone debate someone who doesn't know the subject? -- AZPaul3

This message is a reply to:
 Message 266 by AZPaul3, posted 02-10-2024 11:18 PM AZPaul3 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 268 by AZPaul3, posted 02-10-2024 11:30 PM Tanypteryx has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8630
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.3


Message 268 of 700 (915197)
02-10-2024 11:30 PM
Reply to: Message 267 by Tanypteryx
02-10-2024 11:26 PM


You're easily entertained today. But thank you anyway. It's always good to be recognized even if for no reason. Kinda like Obama and his Nobel Prize.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 267 by Tanypteryx, posted 02-10-2024 11:26 PM Tanypteryx has not replied

  
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9426
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 269 of 700 (915198)
02-11-2024 12:30 AM
Reply to: Message 247 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 7:04 PM


The TOE and common ancestry are different things. So now you are using strawman arguments? Gish gallop next?

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts

"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up why would you have to lie?


This message is a reply to:
 Message 247 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 7:04 PM K.Rose has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 309 by K.Rose, posted 02-11-2024 1:38 PM Theodoric has replied

  
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9426
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 270 of 700 (915199)
02-11-2024 12:30 AM
Reply to: Message 247 by K.Rose
02-10-2024 7:04 PM


Duplicate post. 504 error

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts

"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up why would you have to lie?


This message is a reply to:
 Message 247 by K.Rose, posted 02-10-2024 7:04 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
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