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Author Topic:   Antropic Principle and Extraterrestrial Life
The Dread Dormammu
Inactive Member


Message 1 of 26 (156350)
11-05-2004 5:00 PM


C.S. Lewis in "Mere Christianity" wrote about the possibility of life on other planets and came to the concultion that neither the presense nor absence of life on other planets, could help or harm his faith. He reasoned that if the universe were literaly teeming with life then that would mean that God meant for us all to share his creation together. If the universe were devoid of life save for us, that would be further evedence of our specail realtionship with God.
From a scientific perspective I believe that their is a sort of "point of no return" beyond whitch we would have to believe in a miraculous creation of life.
If it is only unlikely that life will arise we can appeal to an aspect of the anthropic principle. Even if life has a small chance of arising materialisticly intellegent creatures will only exist where life has arisin. Meaning it's no obvious miracle that we exist.
However after a certain point of unlikelyness (say the difficulty of life arising even in our entire universe is miniscule) it passes a threshold and it seems more likely that there was some "miracle" that produced life.
It is my personal beleif that there is an abundance of life thoughut our galaxy, but I'm interested in other takes on this problem.

Replies to this message:
 Message 5 by Loudmouth, posted 11-05-2004 6:01 PM The Dread Dormammu has replied
 Message 16 by jar, posted 11-06-2004 7:34 AM The Dread Dormammu has replied

  
AdminJar
Inactive Member


Message 2 of 26 (156361)
11-05-2004 5:17 PM


Thread moved here from the Proposed New Topics forum.

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The Dread Dormammu
Inactive Member


Message 3 of 26 (156362)
11-05-2004 5:27 PM
Reply to: Message 2 by AdminJar
11-05-2004 5:17 PM


Heh
I was wondering whether this would go into "faith and belief" or into
"origin of life"

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2 by AdminJar, posted 11-05-2004 5:17 PM AdminJar has not replied

Replies to this message:
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jar
Member (Idle past 414 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 4 of 26 (156363)
11-05-2004 5:32 PM
Reply to: Message 3 by The Dread Dormammu
11-05-2004 5:27 PM


Re: Heh
Well, it could have gone in either but since you started with Clive questioning the effect of life on belief it seemed better here.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
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Loudmouth
Inactive Member


Message 5 of 26 (156370)
11-05-2004 6:01 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by The Dread Dormammu
11-05-2004 5:00 PM


quote:
It is my personal beleif that there is an abundance of life thoughut our galaxy, but I'm interested in other takes on this problem.
That is my "belief" as well. I would phrase it thus "I think that it is highly probable that life exists on other planets". Right now all we can do call it a probability or speculation, but I have no problem with that.
The bigger question is whether or not we will ever be able to know if life exists outside of our solar system. SETI, for example, is searching for INTELLIGENT life by detecting non-terrestrial radio signals, and I believe more recently, laser signals. The tougher search is for non-intelligent life. Not only is the speed of light a universal speed limit, it also puts a large obstacle in the way of research outside of our solar system. Life on other planets may be a question that we are never able to answer, that is unless signs of life are found on Mars or Europa.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by The Dread Dormammu, posted 11-05-2004 5:00 PM The Dread Dormammu has replied

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The Dread Dormammu
Inactive Member


Message 6 of 26 (156430)
11-05-2004 9:17 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by Loudmouth
11-05-2004 6:01 PM


I chose not to use the word probable
I choose not to use the word "proabable" on purpose. That word implies that I have some notion of the odds involved in hypercycles giving rise to cells etc, and I don't.
Perhaps I should not even have used the word "belief" (too strong), "hunch" would have been closer to the mark.
In terms of inteliegent life elsewhere in our galaxy, I remeber reading an article in SciAm where they discussed the possibiltiy of a civilization that collonized other planets. Even if each new colony took, on average, 1000 years before it was able to send out the next set of pioneers the entire galaxy could be "populated" in a few milion years, not that long evolutionarly speaking.
This would, of course, not be a civilization. Problems in communication and, consequently, control would limit civilizations to a solar system at max.
If it is tue that intellgent life can rapidly colonize the milkyway. Our falure to detect it could mean 4 things.
1) It is highly improbable that life can arise from inorgainc origins.
2) Though it is probable that life will arise from inoganic origins it is improbable that such life will become intellegent. (I strongly disagree wtih this since, on average, cephalization ratios increase over time for ALL animal phyla).
3) Though it is highly likely that life will arise, and that it will become intellgent, (and will wish to colonize) colonization in our galaxy has not yet begun or has begun and not yet reached us.
(This one seems false. How many other clades had a good chance of becoming intellegent and how many millions of years ago did they exist? Reptiles seemed to have had a good shot. If they hadn't caught a stroke of bad luck a decendant of the dinosaura might have started posing questions about exsistance millions of years ago.)
4) (This is my own personal favorite though it sounds more like a good SF novel than a sound theory).
Intellegent life and its collinization of the galaxy has occored there are multiple civilizations close enough to have already received our radio and television signals.
The probelm with this one is that we should have heard from them by now thanks to SETI. (Now for the crackpot sci fi part.)
Perhaps radio signals serve a similar function to Bioluminessense in the aphotic zones, this could be bad news for us. I think a great SF novel could start with us receving an extraterrestrial signal that we finaly decode to mean "For gods sake SHUT UP, do you want to get eaten?"

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Replies to this message:
 Message 7 by RustyShackelford, posted 11-05-2004 9:40 PM The Dread Dormammu has replied

  
RustyShackelford 
Inactive Member


Message 7 of 26 (156435)
11-05-2004 9:40 PM
Reply to: Message 6 by The Dread Dormammu
11-05-2004 9:17 PM


Re: I chose not to use the word probable
In terms of inteliegent life elsewhere in our galaxy, I remeber reading an article in SciAm where they discussed the possibiltiy of a civilization that collonized other planets. Even if each new colony took, on average, 1000 years before it was able to send out the next set of pioneers the entire galaxy could be "populated" in a few milion years, not that long evolutionarly speaking.
Really? Wow. That's some pretty solid evidence for there not being any other intelligent life on our galaxy.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 6 by The Dread Dormammu, posted 11-05-2004 9:17 PM The Dread Dormammu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 8 by NosyNed, posted 11-05-2004 9:52 PM RustyShackelford has not replied
 Message 9 by The Dread Dormammu, posted 11-05-2004 9:55 PM RustyShackelford has replied

  
NosyNed
Member
Posts: 9003
From: Canada
Joined: 04-04-2003


Message 8 of 26 (156444)
11-05-2004 9:52 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by RustyShackelford
11-05-2004 9:40 PM


Solid evidence
I was once at a talk my Freeman Dyson. At the end he was asked if he thought there was other intelligent life. He said, though he wanted there to be, no. "Where are they?" was his reason. So you are in good company.
However, it is not really "solid" evidence. It does mean that some of the underlying assumptions are possibly (even probably) wrong.
Maybe it never becomes possible for desirable for anyone to attempt intersteller travel. Maybe intelligence is not a good survival tactic and if reached causes the extinction of the species. Maybe, maybe, maybe. Too many underlying unknows to say.

This message is a reply to:
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The Dread Dormammu
Inactive Member


Message 9 of 26 (156447)
11-05-2004 9:55 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by RustyShackelford
11-05-2004 9:40 PM


Well I dunno.
Well there could be lots of it near us that we just haven't detected (see #4) also there could be unoccupied patches etc. I'll try to find the article.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by RustyShackelford, posted 11-05-2004 9:40 PM RustyShackelford has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 11 by RustyShackelford, posted 11-05-2004 9:58 PM The Dread Dormammu has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1487 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 10 of 26 (156448)
11-05-2004 9:56 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by NosyNed
11-05-2004 9:52 PM


I was once at a talk my Freeman Dyson.
Not to brag, but... well, ok, to brag. Me and a few friends once got Freeman Dyson to go out and see "The Matrix" with us.
He didn't much like it. Too loud, he said.

This message is a reply to:
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RustyShackelford 
Inactive Member


Message 11 of 26 (156450)
11-05-2004 9:58 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by The Dread Dormammu
11-05-2004 9:55 PM


Re: Well I dunno.
If there were colonizers out there planet hopping, you'd have to assume a world like our own, which already supports life, would be very desireable to them........so I don't think they'd just be lying in wait nearby simply because they're uninterested in us.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by The Dread Dormammu, posted 11-05-2004 9:55 PM The Dread Dormammu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 13 by The Dread Dormammu, posted 11-05-2004 10:28 PM RustyShackelford has replied
 Message 17 by NosyNed, posted 11-06-2004 2:05 PM RustyShackelford has not replied

  
The Dread Dormammu
Inactive Member


Message 12 of 26 (156455)
11-05-2004 10:17 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by NosyNed
11-05-2004 9:52 PM


Other Maybes
Other factors could be.
1: Actual amount of time it takes to colonize galaxy acording to their hypothisis: I read the article a long time ago maybe it was a few HUNDRED million years (Still not all that long geologicaly but you should note I could be an order of magnitude off).
2: Signal strength: I remember the article also said we hadn't detected any signals for a large portion of the galaxy but then they seemed to be expecting some pretty hugely powerful signals.
3: Patchy colonization: The article also assumed that they would spread out evenly in an expanding sphere.
In short we have some information to help us but not enough to adress the antropic principle, for example we know that intellgent radio communicating life isn't inevitable on every planet.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 8 by NosyNed, posted 11-05-2004 9:52 PM NosyNed has not replied

  
The Dread Dormammu
Inactive Member


Message 13 of 26 (156459)
11-05-2004 10:28 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by RustyShackelford
11-05-2004 9:58 PM


Thats not the point
so I don't think they'd just be lying in wait nearby simply because they're uninterested in us.
Well thats the point maybe they are VERY interested in us maybe they are on their way! The (addmitedly farfetched) suggestion of #4 is that they stay quiet so they don't get invaded themselves. Let's say they are right next door to us and got our radio signals 30 years ago, for the sake of argument. Well, how long will it take them to reach us?
Depending on their speed (remember there is no suggestion of faster than light travel) it could be centurys, maby even millenia, before we are horribly subjugated and devoured.
And they would have to factor in how much we would advance tecnilogicaly while they are twiddling their thumbs in hypersleep (or whatever). Maybe it's better to collonize UNpopulated worlds so you don't have to deal with the hassle of entrenched civilizations.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by RustyShackelford, posted 11-05-2004 9:58 PM RustyShackelford has replied

Replies to this message:
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RustyShackelford 
Inactive Member


Message 14 of 26 (156464)
11-05-2004 10:36 PM
Reply to: Message 13 by The Dread Dormammu
11-05-2004 10:28 PM


Re: Thats not the point
But, odds are, they'd be able to detect us without us sending radio signals........not to mention that if they were crawling all over the place, why haven't we detected THEM?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 13 by The Dread Dormammu, posted 11-05-2004 10:28 PM The Dread Dormammu has not replied

Replies to this message:
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pink sasquatch
Member (Idle past 6043 days)
Posts: 1567
Joined: 06-10-2004


Message 15 of 26 (156565)
11-06-2004 2:28 AM
Reply to: Message 14 by RustyShackelford
11-05-2004 10:36 PM


Re: Thats not the point
We count as intelligent life, and we aren't interstellar colonizers, and may never be.
Why does "intelligent life elsewhere in the universe" have to mean superintelligent technologically advanced planet hoppers?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 14 by RustyShackelford, posted 11-05-2004 10:36 PM RustyShackelford has not replied

Replies to this message:
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