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Author Topic:   Record breaking heatwave
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


Message 1 of 19 (886993)
06-27-2021 1:32 PM


Where I live is predicted to reach 113 degrees F today, so it will be interesting to see how accurate that prediction is. Yesterday we hit 101 and 103-107 was predicted by different sources. I can google weather underground and it will show me the local weather stations that are regularly updating their readings online.

I have always been interested in my local weather and how that averages out to give me trends in local climate. When I couple those observations with notes on daily observations of insects (adult emergence dates), plants (leafing and blooming dates), and vertebrates (nesting and mating dates) for the past 60 years, a distinct pattern emerges.

This year we have noticed that Western Tiger Swallowtail Butterflies (Papilio rutulus) are the most abundant we have ever seen. The working hypothesis is that the caterpillars pupated and emerged as adults, before the migratory birds that normally feed them to their nestlings arrived in the spring. A similar effect is being observed with plants and their pollinators getting out of synch.

I sure hope we don't lose power and AC this week! Stay cool.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


Message 2 of 19 (886994)
06-27-2021 3:05 PM


Todays temperature range: 66F to 113F (predicted). I'm at 96.1F on a calibrated lab thermometer at 11:40 AM.

I know there are EvC members who experience +100F days routinely, but they are fairly rare still in the Pacific Northwest and I'm mostly stuck inside during the primary flight hours for my local dragonflies. I can't even work on images in my lab because my new air conditioning unit isn't installed yet.

In 2020 100+ was recorded north of the arctic circle for the first time. Weather records are broken somewhere every day, but this looks like a distinct trend to me. Predictions of the effects of the current climate shift by scientists, like glaciers melting, storm and drought intensity, wildfire seasons and intensities, fresh water supply and many others seem to be consistently under estimated.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


Replies to this message:
 Message 9 by nwr, posted 06-27-2021 8:44 PM Tanypteryx has responded

  
ringo
Member
Posts: 19294
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005
Member Rating: 5.1


(1)
Message 3 of 19 (886995)
06-27-2021 3:11 PM


It's a scorching 77 here today, supposed to be in the 90s for most of the week. No AC for me. But is will go down to the 60s at night.

"I've been to Moose Jaw, now I can die." -- John Wing

  
Raphael
Member (Idle past 4 days)
Posts: 171
From: Southern California, United States
Joined: 09-29-2007


(1)
Message 4 of 19 (886996)
06-27-2021 5:43 PM


HEAT SURVIVAL
I have family in the Seattle area, seems like its pretty intense up there! In fact I think its been hotter there the last day or so than in SoCal. A weather feat indeed!

Courage as you survive the heatwave!

- Raph

Edited by Raphael, : No reason given.

Edited by Raphael, : No reason given.


Replies to this message:
 Message 5 by dwise1, posted 06-27-2021 6:20 PM Raphael has not yet responded
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dwise1
Member
Posts: 4740
Joined: 05-02-2006
Member Rating: 4.5


(1)
Message 5 of 19 (886997)
06-27-2021 6:20 PM
Reply to: Message 4 by Raphael
06-27-2021 5:43 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
It's been quite normal here in Southern California. Temperatures in the high 70's which I recall as being normal this time of year. Though actual mileage may vary depending on how far you live from the ocean (I live six miles away). When I read Tanypteryx' report I wondered which side of the mountains he's on.

I also have family in the Seattle area and my weather app reports temperatures around 100°F even though they're right next to the ocean. My weather app shows for Seattle 99° today, 109° tomorrow, 91° Tuesday, and down in the mid-80's for the rest of the week. So maybe the end is in sight (and it's not another train coming at us in the tunnel).

 
One of the things I learned from the Navy's Basic Meteorology correspondence course (I would earn extra retirement points by doing the courses, plus I love to learn) was the effects of rising and sinking air, AKA adiabatic cooling and heating.

As air rises, it expands and cools. We see this in low pressure systems. But as air sinks, as in a high pressure system, it compresses and heats up. In SoCal, the reason why the Santa Ana Winds are hot is because they are coming from a high pressure area that's also at a higher altitude, so the winds must descend to get to us which causes them to heat up.


This message is a reply to:
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Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


Message 6 of 19 (886998)
06-27-2021 6:31 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by dwise1
06-27-2021 6:20 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
When I read Tanypteryx' report I wondered which side of the mountains he's on.

I'm in the Willamette Valley between the Coast Range and the Cascades.

It's 15:30 and 108F.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by dwise1, posted 06-27-2021 6:20 PM dwise1 has not yet responded

  
anglagard
Member
Posts: 2338
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006
Member Rating: 5.1


(1)
Message 7 of 19 (886999)
06-27-2021 6:34 PM
Reply to: Message 4 by Raphael
06-27-2021 5:43 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
Raphael writes:

have family in the Seattle area, seems like its pretty intense up there! In fact I think its been hotter there the last day or so than in SoCal. A weather feat indeed!

In the meantime, it's 66 F here after a nice rainstorm. Not to gloat, I lived in the Pacific Northwest for a few years, summer used to be the best season (no constant drizzle), considering the lack of AC, they must be suffering. Besides, it will get hot as f**k come July and August here right around the corner, so no reason to be smug, karma is coming.


The problem with knowing everything is learning nothing.

If you don't know what you're doing, find someone who does, and do what they do.

Republican = death


This message is a reply to:
 Message 4 by Raphael, posted 06-27-2021 5:43 PM Raphael has not yet responded

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Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


Message 8 of 19 (887000)
06-27-2021 6:41 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by anglagard
06-27-2021 6:34 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
Besides, it will get hot as f**k come July and August here right around the corner, so no reason to be smug, karma is coming.

Weather karma is a bitch!


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by anglagard, posted 06-27-2021 6:34 PM anglagard has not yet responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 10 by ringo, posted 06-28-2021 12:25 PM Tanypteryx has responded

  
nwr
Member
Posts: 5830
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 5.5


(1)
Message 9 of 19 (887002)
06-27-2021 8:44 PM
Reply to: Message 2 by Tanypteryx
06-27-2021 3:05 PM


I know there are EvC members who experience +100F days routinely, but they are fairly rare still in the Pacific Northwest and I'm mostly stuck inside during the primary flight hours for my local dragonflies.

Growing up in Perth (Australia) we often saw 105, and without air conditioning. I expect it is hotter there now.

Here in the Chicago area, the temperatures are okay (for now).

The usual suspects are still saying that it is all a hoax.


Fundamentalism - the anti-American, anti-Christian branch of American Christianity

This message is a reply to:
 Message 2 by Tanypteryx, posted 06-27-2021 3:05 PM Tanypteryx has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 11 by Tanypteryx, posted 06-28-2021 1:32 PM nwr has acknowledged this reply

  
ringo
Member
Posts: 19294
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005
Member Rating: 5.1


(2)
Message 10 of 19 (887012)
06-28-2021 12:25 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by Tanypteryx
06-27-2021 6:41 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
Tanypteryx writes:

Weather karma is a bitch!


It all averages out. You have nice, "normal" weather for a long while and then the extremes bite you.

The weather people at out local TV station (they're about twelve years old) don't seem to understand averages. Every time it's above average or below average, they're amazed. I feel like grabbing them by the throat and asking them, "Do you know what average means?"


"I've been to Moose Jaw, now I can die." -- John Wing

This message is a reply to:
 Message 8 by Tanypteryx, posted 06-27-2021 6:41 PM Tanypteryx has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 12 by Tanypteryx, posted 06-28-2021 1:34 PM ringo has acknowledged this reply
 Message 13 by dwise1, posted 06-28-2021 1:36 PM ringo has acknowledged this reply

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


(1)
Message 11 of 19 (887015)
06-28-2021 1:32 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by nwr
06-27-2021 8:44 PM


The usual suspects are still saying that it is all a hoax.

I would like to use a big magnifying glass on them.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by nwr, posted 06-27-2021 8:44 PM nwr has acknowledged this reply

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


(2)
Message 12 of 19 (887016)
06-28-2021 1:34 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by ringo
06-28-2021 12:25 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
Every time it's above average or below average, they're amazed. I feel like grabbing them by the throat and asking them, "Do you know what average means?"

Their intelligence is too far below average.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by ringo, posted 06-28-2021 12:25 PM ringo has acknowledged this reply

  
dwise1
Member
Posts: 4740
Joined: 05-02-2006
Member Rating: 4.5


(5)
Message 13 of 19 (887017)
06-28-2021 1:36 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by ringo
06-28-2021 12:25 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
"Do you know what average means?"

Now that's being just plain mean.

 
O'Reilly, the publisher famous for its long line of computer books with drawings of animals on the cover, also published Cooking for Geeks, an exercise in food science.

One of the recipes in the book is "A Mean Chocolate Chip Cookie". They test cooked the recipes, but when they got 30 to 40 recipes for chocolate chip cookies there was no way they were going to make 30 to 40 batches. All the recipes had the same ingredients, just different amounts, so they averaged out all the amounts to arrive at a mean chocolate chip cookie:

Preheat oven to 354.17°F / 178.98°C.

2.04 cups (245g) flour
0.79 teaspoons (3.81g) salt
0.79 teaspoons (3.63g) baking soda
6.44 tablespoons (87.9g) unsalted butter, softened to room temperature
2.1896 tablespoons (29.9g) unsalted butter, cold
4.2504 tablespoons (58g) unsalted butter, melted
0.84 cups (169g) light brown sugar
0.10 cups (20g) dark brown sugar
0.54 cups (109g) white sugar
1.33 (46g) eggs
0.33 (8g) egg yolk
1.46 teaspoons (6.08g) vanilla extract
0.17 tablespoons (2.51g) water
0.25 tablespoons (3.84g) milk
1.53 cups (257g) semi-sweet chocolate chips

Cover and chill dough in the refrigerator for 25 minutes.

Cook for 13.04 minutes.


This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by ringo, posted 06-28-2021 12:25 PM ringo has acknowledged this reply

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


Message 14 of 19 (887018)
06-28-2021 3:21 PM


It's noon and 104.9F. We thought it was going to be cooler today, but now it looks like we could surpass yesterday.

What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2620
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.8


Message 15 of 19 (887019)
06-28-2021 5:24 PM


2:24 and it's 111F.

What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


  
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