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Author Topic:   Statistics 101
macronking
Junior Member (Idle past 6258 days)
Posts: 1
Joined: 03-06-2007


Message 194 of 199 (388609)
03-06-2007 4:52 PM
Reply to: Message 188 by riVeRraT
03-06-2007 11:19 AM


Re: monty hall problem
Hi Riverrat,
I think you're confused about statistics. Even if you won the lotto, your a priori probability of winning does not change to 1. It's still 1 in some large number.
Also, there is no reason that the sequence 1-2-3-4-5-6 has any less odds of coming out than any other 6-digit sequence. Do you think that after 1-2-3-4-5 come out, ball number 6 says to itself "Hey, 1-2-3-4-5 just came out, and since that sequence means something to humans, I better try my best not to be picked?" Of course not.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 188 by riVeRraT, posted 03-06-2007 11:19 AM riVeRraT has not replied

  
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