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Author Topic:   An Inconvenient Truth
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5846 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 61 of 109 (348709)
09-13-2006 10:40 AM
Reply to: Message 60 by crashfrog
09-13-2006 10:26 AM


Re: proof of the pudding
Thinner and thinner, Holmes.
Yes, it appears your interest in dealing with the topic as well as evidence provided to you is getting thinner and thinner. Heck in this case you didn't explain what your point was in your first or second posts. Just two insults in a row.
Edited by holmes, : none

holmes {in temp decloak from lurker mode}
"What a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away." (D.Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 60 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 10:26 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 63 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 10:44 AM Silent H has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1494 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 62 of 109 (348711)
09-13-2006 10:41 AM
Reply to: Message 59 by Silent H
09-13-2006 9:43 AM


Re: manipulation of science by gov't
So, the first sentence limits my claim to my org, and states that there were people in his administration at that org interfering with proper science to bolster publicity campaigns, based on scaring people about envrionmental concerns.
What people? Oh, right. You refuse to say. My bad!
The second sentence states that Gore used the environment as Bush uses terrorism.
Still waiting for you to prove that, or even identify exactly what you mean by that claim. For instance, Bush used terrorism to start a war in Iraq. Did Gore ever start a war in Iraq using the environment as pretense?
You have seen and ultimately switched claims to agree that there had been complaints of interference by the administration on scientists.
No switching occured in any of my posts. That's just another of your distortions.
And in the last two articles I gave you from PEER itself, you can see that the administration was actually undercutting enforcement and opening pollutant controls
In one single instance. Clinton was a compromiser, remember? Hardly surprising to see him compromise. Of course, the problem with compromise is that it always pisses off somebody, and they turn around and claim you weren't doing enough.
Again, I never claimed that the environment was Clinton's top priority, or that he always did what was best for the environment, or any other such nonsense. One example of Clinton compromising on the environment doesn't buttress your position that Clinton had a record of failure on environmental issues.
Under C/G there was less oversight and direct control, and it most certainly covered less activities.
None at all is the implication of your article. How was Gore influencing policy that he had little or no oversight, uh, over?
Its like you are having a problem when a police officer explains that a mob boss exerted control over a gambling operation, because current gambling houses have ownership records and management on site which directly oversee the croupiers.
No, it's more like I'm having a problem with the assertion that a CEO in New York is responsible for the decision of a floor manager in Hong Kong to fire a guy. If Gore wasn't setting policy directives for your little manager, how is he to blame for what policies that little manager chooses to put into place? Is Gore to blame for cancelling casual Fridays, as well? Sheesh.
Ruch openly stated that Clinton was less effective than Bush Sr. While that administration was heavy on environmental messages, they did not follow through with actions and in fact made many concessions.
Beltway bickering. It happens when you make compromises. People make hyperbolic statements of opposition. It's not evidence of anything.
I gave you two articles by PEER, who you accepted as a source in an earlier post when they were generally slamming Bush. Oh wait now they slam Clinton/Gore? Now its just a rumor mill?
Apparently, now they're contradicting themselves, aren't they? If we read it your way, they are. First they're slamming Clinton, now they're slamming Bush for not being as good as Clinton?
You picked a pretty funny source to hang your entire argument on, Holmes. A source that pretty consistently has proven me right.
The only consistent position you have taken is that C/G could not have not done anything I have said
Absolute nonsense, Holmes. I've never stated that.
The position I have taken hasn't changed - Clinton made compromises on environmental issues like he did everything else. He wasn't perfect on environmental issues, but he wasn't derelict either. Particularly not compared to the current guy, and you were even kind enough to provide an article that supported exactly that, remember?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 59 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 9:43 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 67 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 11:28 AM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1494 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 63 of 109 (348712)
09-13-2006 10:44 AM
Reply to: Message 61 by Silent H
09-13-2006 10:40 AM


Re: proof of the pudding
Heck in this case you didn't explain what your point was in your first or second posts.
Funny, you're the master of implication when it suits you, but all of a sudden your command of the English language has disingenuously disappeared?
Let me spell it out for you, Holmes, since apparently you're having reading problems. You're splitting hairs, you look ridiculous, and you've been remarkably consistent about criticizing a movie you haven't seen, even though you hate when people do that.
Is my point clear enough now? What on Earth is wrong with you?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 61 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 10:40 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 64 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 10:55 AM crashfrog has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5846 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 64 of 109 (348717)
09-13-2006 10:55 AM
Reply to: Message 63 by crashfrog
09-13-2006 10:44 AM


Re: proof of the pudding
about criticizing a movie you haven't seen, even though you hate when people do that.
So we're going to keep me as a subject huh? Okey doke. I don't "hate" when people criticize a movie they haven't seen. I will criticize a person for doing so if they are arguing a movie is bad, and mention plot points which aren't there or things they would not have seen.
I'm wondering how you think you know such a thing about me when I have only criticized one person for doing something close, and it was Jar for saying how bad LOTR was quality wise when he viewed on a poor B&W tv.
You may call it splitting hairs, but when I am clearly stating I have not seen it and people should go and see it if they want, and that my criticism is restricted to his website for the film, his PP presentation on which it is based, and commentary about CC from people who have viewed his film... then I am explicitly NOT criticizing the film.
In fact you can start by showing quotes where I actually critique the movie.

holmes {in temp decloak from lurker mode}
"What a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away." (D.Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 63 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 10:44 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 65 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 11:07 AM Silent H has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1494 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 65 of 109 (348722)
09-13-2006 11:07 AM
Reply to: Message 64 by Silent H
09-13-2006 10:55 AM


The Shape of Holmes to Come
I will criticize a person for doing so if they are arguing a movie is bad, and mention plot points which aren't there or things they would not have seen.
"Apocalyptic visions"
"Politics above science"
These are things you said you were sure were in the movie, remember? Because of who you "know Gore is." Nobody's saying that you've claimed to have seen it. But it's pretty obvious you've been criticizing what you assume is its content for two whole threads, now. You can backpedal, I guess. I hear its a good workout for the calves?
I'm going to turn my crystal ball ahead to October 13th, after Holmes gets back from watching the film:
quote:
Well, I saw the film, and I have to say, I was absolutely correct about everything I said about it before.
Just watch. There's absolutely no possibility that Holmes will make any argument except that he was essentially correct in accurately predicting criticisms of a movie he hadn't even seen yet. Or else he won't even bother to post about it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 64 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 10:55 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 69 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 11:54 AM crashfrog has replied

  
FliesOnly
Member (Idle past 4172 days)
Posts: 797
From: Michigan
Joined: 12-01-2003


Message 66 of 109 (348726)
09-13-2006 11:24 AM
Reply to: Message 46 by Silent H
09-12-2006 6:00 PM


Re: proof of the pudding
Good morning...again:
Holmes writes:
I was discussing his site. As a "great environmentalist" he shares no data freely, even stuff he got for free from other people. And instead shills for his book, movie, and soundtrack.
Admittedly, I have not been to his site. However, I fail to see how making a buck should diminish his standing as an environmentalist. Stuff costs money Holmes. People want to be paid, supplies need to be bought, bills need to be paid, etc. What planet do you live on?
Now, should some of the stuff, if he feels it's so important, be made available for free. Yes, I agree with you that some things (like the refs) should be made available. But, like I said, money is a necessity. Does the site mention where the money goes?
Holmes writes:
Reduce is the first part of environmentalism. You explain how selling books and soundtracks adds to that cause.
Here you go again with that condescending "you explain" line of argument. Ok, fine, I'll play along and explain it to you. Here on planet Earth, including even the United States, very few things in life are free. Wouldn’t it be nice if everything he needs (transportation, food, lodging, etc) would be donated? Alas, that is not the case, so he needs to spend money to get the message out. And getting the message out is a very important part of spreading the word. Now, I suppose by your standards, Al Gore could be an utterly fantastic environmentalist by living naked in the woods and feeding on berries and dead animals he finds (only, of course, if they died of NATURAL CAUSES). But then again, what purpose would that serve? Of what value is being an environmentalist if you don’t teach others? How are the uninformed to become informed? Are you suggesting that the best way for him to get out the message would be to stand on the highest mountain and simply yell it out?
You see, teaching others is an additional step that is oh so very important in being an environmentalist, and it’s costly to do so. I would have thought someone as brilliant as you would have known this. I don't know though...maybe you're independently wealthy or something and money means nothing to you.
Holmes writes:
I mean I really just don't get your point here. Let's forget that most coastal cities face this problem anyway due to erosion, and so already have coastal engineering as part of their planning. Why could cities who are facing such issues because of rising water not be able to construct defenses? I want a serious answer.
So you're equating current problems with erosion to potential future sea level increases? Wow.
Ok, let me try this again. I'm going to ignore any potential natural causes for this portion of the discussion (I will hopefully explain these later). Currently, the evidence suggests that global warming (as a result of greenhouse gasses (not just CO2)) is melting the polar ice sheets at an "alarming" rate (as in much more quickly than we earlier predicted). Granted, this "alarming rate" is not meant to imply "over night", but that's not my point anyway. The point is this:
Why should coastal cities, in the future...as the sea levels are rising to the point that "coastal engineering" becomes a neccesity...why should these cites have to deal with this problem when, if people reduced greenhouse gas emissions NOW, the whole situation could have been avoided in the first place. That's what I'm asking Holmes.
If what we do NOW could prevent what you so desperately want to do in the future from needing to be done at all (a VERY VERY VERY costly endeavor I might add...you gonna give em the money Holmes?), why are you apparently so against it? When/if you reply to this, please do not tell me that we're gonna face the problem anyway. That's not what I'm addressing here. My point is actually quite simple. We could "save" there cities from flooding by NOT flooding them.
Now, will they flood anyway, even if we reduce our greenhouse gas emissions? Perhaps. Perhaps not. But if we do not reduce our greenhouse gas emissions then our only option will be to do what you really seem to have a raging hard-on about doing. If we end up needing to do that anyhow, so be it. But the point is this, maybe, just maybe, if we act now, we can avoid the whole issue, or at least delay it for longer period of time.
Now let’s move on the your seemingly “bug up the ass” about NATURAL CAUSES.
First let's look at an earlier exchange:
FliesOnly writes:
by reducing CO2 and other green house gasses emissions we can FAR MORE EASILY deal with NATURAL climate changes.
and your reply (ignoring that I said that this was just a hypothesis of mine)
Holmes writes:
Based on what evidence are you making this conjecture? Yeah you had a fun ride trying to pretend I wasn't asking for that but there it is. The point I had been making is that natural climate changes have been and so certainly can be more drastic than we are seeing today.
ARRRRRG! I just punched my mother in the face...you happy now?
Actually, you're argument is ridiculous. How to I explain this? Ok, let's try this approach:
In the future, our climate is going to change...agreed? Now, we have petty strong evidence (that even you agree with) that our current actions (i.e.: greenhouse gas emissions) are quite problematic and in all likelihood will have rather dramatic consequences for future generations (which you seem to disagree with). These consequences will likely include major coastal flooding, and severe temperature fluctuations in may areas. That is to say, let’s suppose that most of the ice on Greenland melts. The effects of this fresh water, entering the oceans so close to the area where colder saltwater sinks and flows back towards the southern oceans, will be major to say the least.
Ya with me so far? Ok, so what can we do? Well I for one think that maybe we should lower/reduce/stop our greenhouse gas emissions, and for some strange reason you seem to agree with this idea too, but at the same time you also seem to be saying that if we do indeed lower/reduce/stop out greenhouse gas emissions, it'll have no effect on these outcomes anyway, so why bother.
You go on and on and on about natural climate changes and keep asking me what these changes will be and what we are going to do about them. Read this next part S L O W L Y Holmes. I don't fucking know what these changes will be nor do I know what our future generations are going to do about them. Of course, neither do you and here is why...they're natural changes that haven't occurred yet. So what's you point? You seem to be arguing out of both sides of your mouth. First you say you agree that we should reduce greenhouse gas emissions, then you say it won't matter anyway.
Look, for all we know, if we stop our greenhouse gas emissions, future generations may live in paradise until such time that our sun explodes (or whatever it is that's suppose to happen) and the planet is destroyed (and nothing we can do will prevent that, so why worry about it). We just don’t know what natural changes will occur. We do know that our manmade emissions will likely have major effects. Which one do you think we should deal with first?
Holmes writes:
Let me ask, if not for CO2 accumulation, do you have ANY CLUE as to how hot or cold it would be for the next 100-1000 years? What trend and so what effects we'd be facing?
No Holmes, I do not. And I ask again...what's you point?
Holmes writes:
We can stop CO2 and suddenly the temps spike higher or drop out from under us. The only thing we do by eliminating CO2 (and let me make it clear I think this is worthwhile) is remove our contribution to a raised level of temp, we do not guarantee anything about how temps will change or what we will face from them.
For the love of God Holmes...NO SHIT! Man oh man oh man, you do so love to state the obvious, don't you. And yet again I ask...what's your point?
Holmes writes:
See this is how fanatics get. When you don't fit the cardboard cutout villain they think you must be because you disagree with certain aspects of their position, or Gods forbid question their icons, they get confused.
So now I'm a fanatic? Cool, I've never been called a fanatic before. My mother will be so proud (once she gets over the fact that I punched her in the face that is). I'm not really that confused Holmes. I'm just concerned that perhaps you should seek some professional help to deal with this duel personality you seem to have.
Holmes writes:
If that's what you got out of Gore's movie, then my point is made.
Yes...I completely formulated my opinion based solely on the Al Gore movie. I have never read anything in my life in any way related to global warming. I have never seen any data at all that in any way supports the concept(s) of global warming except what I saw in the movie. Hell, for that matter, I had never even heard of global warming until I saw the Al Gore movie. So your point is made...which is, as far as I can tell, that we should reduce greenhouse gas emissions so that we, as a species, can go extinct by NATURAL CAUSES, as God intended.
If nothing else, you sure are a hoot to deal with. You accuse me if taking things out of context and then you say this:
Holmes writes:
You sure ought to.
Well, again, let's look at the entire exchange shall we"
FliesOnly from message 43 writes:
You are, if nothing else, simply amazing with your ability to turn anything into a pile of shit. I really could not care less about natural fluctuations. They're natural Holmes...meaning we can do nothing about them because once we do, then they are no longer natural now are they? Why do you repeatedly (and quite annoyingly I might add) insist with your "now you will demonstrate" line of reasoning. We're not talking about natural fluctuations. We're talking about the Al Gore movie and the implications of global warming as a result of MANMADE contributions to the system Those are things we CAN DO something about.
And your reply to just a portion of my response:
Holmes writes:
You sure ought to.
Again, do you see the part where I mention how, since they are natural fluctuations, then there's really nothing we can do about them. Now, granted, I did say that I could not care less about them. But, when taken in context, I think your average fifth grader could have understood the meaning behind that sentence. Since, however, you seem incapable, let me explain what I meant.
I was addressing the idea that we could do something to alter these natural fluctuations by adding "stuff" to their composition (you know...like we are currently doing). Of course, once we do that, then they are, by definition, no longer natural, so I don’t really concern myself with them (i.e. I could not care less).
I was NOT implying that we should not react to these fluctuations. Who knows, maybe we will need to do some "coastal engineering". I'm ok with that, if that's where the climate takes us. They will be what they will be.
Moving on:
Here is the entire quote from message 41
Holmes from message 41 writes:
Uh... I didn't say we're fucked. I said we are going to face the same challenges anyway. You said that claim was pathetic? You will now demonstrate how ending human factors will alter the change the nature of our climate so that it does not fluctuate as it has in the past. Or is it that natural fluctuations have no effects, only manmade ones do because we are bad?
And my reply:
FliesOnly writes:
Who said natural fluctuations have no effect. Not me, that's for sure.
And here is you current reply to that quote:
Holmes from message 46 writes:
Maybe if you could read my posts more than one sentence at a time you would understand what I am saying. The sentence you quoted was out of context. But that's okay since you didn't get the other part in context either.
First, let me point out that the only way to read a post is one sentence at a time. Well, at least for us mere mortals. Perhaps you have some amazing ability to read multiple sentences at once that the rest of us can only envy.
And second, how did I take your sentence out of context?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 46 by Silent H, posted 09-12-2006 6:00 PM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 73 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 1:38 PM FliesOnly has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5846 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 67 of 109 (348727)
09-13-2006 11:28 AM
Reply to: Message 62 by crashfrog
09-13-2006 10:41 AM


Re: manipulation of science by gov't
For instance, Bush used terrorism to start a war in Iraq. Did Gore ever start a war in Iraq using the environment as pretense?
You realize you are commiting a logical fallacy right?
I said they used environment like Bush. I'll spell it out again. They BOTH hype an issue, including manipulation of science to distort the issue, in order to get people excited about a cause and see them as the "solution" to that cause.
In one single instance. Clinton was a compromiser, remember? Hardly surprising to see him compromise. Of course, the problem with compromise is that it always pisses off somebody, and they turn around and claim you weren't doing enough.
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahaha. Hey look again. Those were two different articles about two totally separate things. If you browse their site you will find more. All I was doing was pulling up two different cases (and funny enough I selected two so you could see it wasn't just a single issue) which had direct correspondence to manipulation.
And that is not to mention that one of the articles was describing a large pattern of behavior, not a single compromise.
Hey the guy whose words you accepted when you thought he was slamming Bush Jr, said CLINTON HAD A WORSE ENVIRONMENTAL RECORD THAN BUSH SR. Is there as reason you can't deal with that? Your gears get stripped trying to reverse into posing Ruch as a whiner instead of a champion truth teller against Bush?
If Gore wasn't setting policy directives for your little manager, how is he to blame for what policies that little manager chooses to put into place? Is Gore to blame for cancelling casual Fridays, as well? Sheesh.
He and his administration were setting policy. And it doesn't have to be down to the level of a CEO firing a floor manager to influence it how I said. I might point out that he specifically addresses one of his gem policy concerns in that PPP.
Apparently, now they're contradicting themselves, aren't they? If we read it your way, they are. First they're slamming Clinton, now they're slamming Bush for not being as good as Clinton?
How is PEER contradicting itself? Here's a little diagram: Bush Sr > Clinton > Bush Jr
Here is it in written out form: Clinton was being criticized for failures, and interferences, during his administration. Then when Bush Jr came into office things got a lot worse.
You might explain the consistency according to your position. Oh that's right... when Ruch says bad things about Bush he is telling the truth, when he's saying bad things about Clinton he's engaging in "beltway bickering".
You picked a pretty funny source to hang your entire argument on, Holmes. A source that pretty consistently has proven me right.
Explain how the two articles I provided proved you right? He said Clinton had a worse record than Bush Sr. They stated that they received complaints from people regarding political interference, and in those earlier articles discuss some interference.
The only thing I've seen you do is wave away what is being said. Your assertions have proven you right, nothing else. Heck, you didn't even read far enough to know that there was more than one case being discussed.
Particularly not compared to the current guy, and you were even kind enough to provide an article that supported exactly that, remember?
Uh... I said from the very first article that Bush and Co are worse than C/G. So yeah not only do I remember, I stated so. I have stated this many times since. That doesn't change what happened under C/G. They don't get a medal for being better than someone who is much worse.
What's more it does nothing to undercut my point which was that where I worked such things happened. You can continue to believe that your "human" administration made some foibles, and anyone that disgreed is just some sad person. You can continue to believe that they never were involved in any way with manipulation of science to support publicity for their own administration. What do I care?
I saw it, it happened, and it influences how much faith I put in something regarding scientific evidence on environmental issues. Oh yeah, that's right you can criticize what happened in my life, without having been there.
How about we just leave it up to the court of public opinion at this point and get back to the data? I have a post addressing it and am much more interested in that than your theories of what occured in my and others' lives.

holmes {in temp decloak from lurker mode}
"What a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away." (D.Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 62 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 10:41 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 71 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 1:01 PM Silent H has replied

  
FliesOnly
Member (Idle past 4172 days)
Posts: 797
From: Michigan
Joined: 12-01-2003


Message 68 of 109 (348729)
09-13-2006 11:33 AM
Reply to: Message 53 by Silent H
09-13-2006 3:43 AM


Re: proof of the pudding
Holmes writes:
I was responding to HIS false accusations that I was telling people NOT to see the movie and/or not to believe anything in it. I told him that wasn't true and then went on to say what I figured it would be like, and have previously explained why I would feel so.
I am assuming that the "HIS" in the above quote is referring to me. Please show me where I said you told people NOT to see the movie and/or not to believe anything in it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 53 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 3:43 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 70 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 12:05 PM FliesOnly has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5846 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 69 of 109 (348734)
09-13-2006 11:54 AM
Reply to: Message 65 by crashfrog
09-13-2006 11:07 AM


Re: The Shape of Holmes to Come
"Apocalyptic visions" "Politics above science" These are things you said you were sure were in the movie, remember?
No. Show me where I said those things about this movie. And even if true, you are admitting that I am discussing what I think would be in there, not stating what IS in there. I would never criticize someone for saying what they THINK might be in a movie.But here is a link to my first post in this thread.
First paragraph...
We recently had a thread on this movie. I have yet to see it because it isn't available where I am, though I suppose I will when it comes around. However, given Gore's past history with social causes and blowing things out of proportion I have little faith that the movie actually contains solid scientific evidence, analyzed carefully, to draw sober conclusions.
Huh gee whiz. I say I will probably see it when it comes around. I wonder what that means? And I seem to be stating what doubts I have about how good it will be on the science level... not asserting what it actually is. Not even close.
I then go on to discuss comments from other threads and then criticize what I did find at the website. That makes up the majority of my post. I go on to question the poster's support for Kyoto and address what I think about Gore and how he uses environmental issues.
I then wrap up the whole discussion so as not to confuse anyone on my position regarding the movie...
I'm not saying people shouldn't go see his movie. Just remember to liberally salt your popcorn with skepticism. Demand actual evidence, data. Look into where that data comes from and what context it is being shown.
Did you even read my post?
But it's pretty obvious you've been criticizing what you assume is its content for two whole threads, now.
How can that be, when I have from the very first post and repeatedly throughout the thread stated I'm not saying people should not go see it? All I suggested is that there is the POTENTIAL for errors, and that I don't have much faith that there aren't, so people should make sure to understand the evidence and not just rely on the movie.
I think its funny that you stil haven't watched the PPP after giving me so much shit for not watching a movie that's not out where a live or pirating it. I think it's also funny that you've managed to avoid dealing with the fact that the website for the movie contains factual statements which are NOT part of scientific consensus.
is there a reason I should not think there are factual errors in a movie where the website for the movie contains such?
There's absolutely no possibility that Holmes will make any argument except that he was essentially correct in accurately predicting criticisms of a movie he hadn't even seen yet. Or else he won't even bother to post about it.
Guess what, my point in criticizing the movie will not be "I told you there were errors", it will be to address the errors. If they are there then I will address them. If they aren't there then I will say I saw no factual errors.
What I can say is that I have no idea what's in it till I see it, but I don't have much faith there won't be errors given his website for the movie (which contains some), his presentation on which it is based (that contains some), and my personal experiences with how he treats science (whether you believe that or not).
Here's a peek into a crystal ball... Crash refuses to deal with evidence about CC, nor what issues might be wrong in the PPP on which the movie is based, and instead will resort to personal attacks to lead discussion on me rather than the important issues the movie is supposed to be about.
Prove me wrong. PLEASE, prove me wrong.

holmes {in temp decloak from lurker mode}
"What a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away." (D.Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 65 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 11:07 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 72 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 1:08 PM Silent H has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5846 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 70 of 109 (348735)
09-13-2006 12:05 PM
Reply to: Message 68 by FliesOnly
09-13-2006 11:33 AM


Re: proof of the pudding
Please show me where I said you told people NOT to see the movie and/or not to believe anything in it.
Here...
Al Gore makes a movie that basically is designed to teach the largely non-scientific public a pretty complex scientific concept, and you tell us we should not listen because there may be some errors. You seem to want to throw the baby out with the bath water because you think that maybe some of the claims made in the movie are not accepted by 100% of the scientific community. Get real.
If you've got some other read on that I'd like to know.
It should be as genius as when you acted like I was saying something new when I said I was telling people to see the movie, but make sure they understand the science, even though that was in my opening post.

holmes {in temp decloak from lurker mode}
"What a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away." (D.Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 68 by FliesOnly, posted 09-13-2006 11:33 AM FliesOnly has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 74 by FliesOnly, posted 09-13-2006 1:50 PM Silent H has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1494 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 71 of 109 (348743)
09-13-2006 1:01 PM
Reply to: Message 67 by Silent H
09-13-2006 11:28 AM


Re: manipulation of science by gov't
You realize you are commiting a logical fallacy right?
No, just taking your argument to a ridiculous extreme in order to get you to pin it down a little farther. As you've framed it, your statement could mean anything - including a host of things that are actually legitimate political behavior.
They BOTH hype an issue, including manipulation of science to distort the issue, in order to get people excited about a cause and see them as the "solution" to that cause.
Substantiate the distortion.
And to what end? In the case of Bush, that end was getting a popular consensus behind a series of events designed to be profitable and advantageous for corporate interests he and others were and are involved in.
To what nefarious end did Gore et al. perform these supposed manipulations? What did they get out of allegedly manipulating the science?
Hey the guy whose words you accepted when you thought he was slamming Bush Jr, said CLINTON HAD A WORSE ENVIRONMENTAL RECORD THAN BUSH SR.
Beltway hyperbole surrounding a contentious issue. Certainly in the article he doesn't give any reason to believe that's his measured, professional opinion on the issue. It's just something she shot his mouth off about because he was pissed.
It's pretty obvious. It's amazing that you would mistake that for evidence of anything.
He and his administration were setting policy.
Specifically, which policies did they set? Which directives were made, directing managers to suborn the science for political end?
Why is that something I have to keep asking you?
Uh... I said from the very first article that Bush and Co are worse than C/G.
Then we're in complete agreement. What are we still arguing about? Y
Oh yeah, that's right you can criticize what happened in my life, without having been there.
No. But I can tell you what my perception of you is, and that's as a person who is fundamentally dishonest, and will essentially say anything that is required to appear right.
I can't tell you that you didn't have the experiences that you had. How the hell would I know? But I can tell you that, because you often lie, I believe you to be lying when you tell me these things. Certainly I have no reason to believe you to be telling the truth.
I apologize if that comes as a shock to you, to find out that I don't trust your word on anything. If that's such a problem for you, then perhaps you'd like to conduct yourself a little more honestly? That would go a long way towards repairing your image and credibility.
I have a post addressing it
Are you talking about your reply to my post with the graphs?
Honestly, I was making one point, and one point only - that the people who assert that there's no scientific consensus about anthropogentic climate change, or that there's no data to suggest it, are beyond wrong; they're ridiculously wrong and are wasting people's time. (In other words, they need to come the fuck on.)
You agreed with that, so I don't see anything to respond to. And that's essentially the thesis of Gore's movie - anthropogenic climate change is a reality agreed upon by an overwhelming consensus of scientists, the data is a lot more obvious than opponents would suggest, and depending on how you model and extrapolate, the consequences of a continued warming trend could be very dire indeed if nothing is done to mitigate.
Gore takes a measured stance, one that I haven't been very successful at articulating, particularly since I saw the movie once, several months ago.
I don't see anything in the rest of that post that I would be interested in replying to, since your comments don't seem directed at any position that I hold. I guess, for a lark, I could defend something I don't believe, but why on Earth would I do that with someone as fundamentally disingenuous as you?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 67 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 11:28 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 76 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 2:37 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1494 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 72 of 109 (348746)
09-13-2006 1:08 PM
Reply to: Message 69 by Silent H
09-13-2006 11:54 AM


Re: The Shape of Holmes to Come
However, given Gore's past history with social causes and blowing things out of proportion I have little faith that the movie actually contains solid scientific evidence, analyzed carefully, to draw sober conclusions.
Gosh, how might I ever have gotten the idea that you had already pre-judged the movie? How could I possibly have not recognized what an amazingly balanced and open mind you were committed to approaching this with? I mean there's certainly nothing in the above to suggest that you've reached any kind of position on what is likely to be in the movie, right?
What I can say is that I have no idea what's in it till I see it
Oh, really? Seems like you've got quite an idea of what's in it, already.
This is a joke, right Holmes? I mean, please tell me you're kidding. How else could a rational person assume that, as long as they make it explicit that they haven't seen the movie, they can say whatever they like about it, come to whatever prior conclusions or suspicions they want, and then somehow be immune to criticism that they're coming to conclusions about what a movie is like without having seen it? I mean, you've precisely admitted to doing what you were accused of!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 69 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 11:54 AM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 75 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 1:54 PM crashfrog has not replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5846 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 73 of 109 (348757)
09-13-2006 1:38 PM
Reply to: Message 66 by FliesOnly
09-13-2006 11:24 AM


Re: proof of the pudding
I didn't say people should not charge for working in the environmental field.
I am raising my eyebrow when a multimillionaire who is saying how important science and scientific data are on an issue that relates to energy and waste of resources (particularly deforestation), runs a website which contains NO science, and instead sells books and soundtracks.
As a side issue, I don't really care where the money is going. I imagine it will be toward a charity of some kind. What difference does that make? He could have gotten out data and collected money just the same, without the waste. Why is there a stock dilemma between what he did and nothing at all?
Of what value is being an environmentalist if you don’t teach others? How are the uninformed to become informed? Are you suggesting that the best way for him to get out the message would be to stand on the highest mountain and simply yell it out?
My suggestion was that when you hit the "science" button on his website, you got some science data, instead of base propaganda assertions mixing fact and fiction. But hey, you know I guess I never realized one's only choice is between hawking books and soundtracks (lots of data there I'm sure) and yelling from the top of a mountain.
Now, will they flood anyway, even if we reduce our greenhouse gas emissions? Perhaps. Perhaps not. But if we do not reduce our greenhouse gas emissions then our only option will be to do what you really seem to have a raging hard-on about doing. If we end up needing to do that anyhow, so be it. But the point is this, maybe, just maybe, if we act now, we can avoid the whole issue, or at least delay it for longer period of time.
Gee, with the exception of the second sentence, that looks like something I'd say about the topic.
As far as the second sentence goes, I don't have a hard on for everyone to build coastal defenses. I am pointing out that most already have some form and that we have that technology available to us if need be. We don't have to suffer "Atlantis" city problems. Also, as I have been pointing out, there is no guarantee that if we don't reduce emissions we WILL face such a problem. These are all possibilities and we are not sure what the exact results will look like. Worst case scenarios suggest that in 100+ years we'd face significant sea level rise. That scenario makes a LOT of assumptions.
I'm willing to agree we should keep in mind that it IS a possibility while making decisions about CO2 assumulation.
Summing up: If we address CO2 accumulation there is a chance that we may avoid having to build stronger coastal defenses for many areas (based on sea level rise). If we don't there is a chance that we may have to build stronger coastal defenses for many areas in than we'd have to otherwise.
We just don’t know what natural changes will occur. We do know that our manmade emissions will likely have major effects.
You may not have realized it but you just wriggled your way out of having to answer the question I asked. Lets tackle this in pieces. Start with providing evidence for that second sentence.
Right now these are just glittering generalities.
I might add you keep having a problem with my position. I believe that we ought to be shaping policies that reduce CO2 accumulation. There are many reasons to do this, but probably the least important are "major effects" of accumulation. The reason such things are low to me is that there is little evidence to back most of these scenarios, and we do not know what the climate is going to do anyway.
Maybe you should be realizing that I am saying there are MORE reasons for reducing CO2 accumulation, and one's that have greater impact than possible longterm temperature effects.
I'm just concerned that perhaps you should seek some professional help to deal with this duel personality you seem to have
That was my point. I seem to have a dual personality because my actual position conflicts with your cardboard cutout version of what my position must be.
Again, do you see the part where I mention how, since they are natural fluctuations, then there's really nothing we can do about them.
I'm going to point out that you misrepresented what I was directly replying to. Please don't do that again. I was responding to a sentiment that we shouldn't care about natural fuctuations. I said you should. And you should. We need to understand these processes, so that we can know what other effects we might have on the environment. We also need to understand them so that we can figure out (predict) what we will be facing as trends in the future.
By the way, you keep betraying a position about the extremity of what we face from the environment..
as far as I can tell, that we should reduce greenhouse gas emissions so that we, as a species, can go extinct by NATURAL CAUSES
If I'm arguing that we aren't likely to go extinct from the effects of artificial temps, why would I think we are going to go extinct from the effects of natural temps?
I thought I was pretty clear that life has survived, including human life at similar and higher temps with less tech.
First, let me point out that the only way to read a post is one sentence at a time.
Within a post one has paragraphs, sections, and the whole thing. While I get your sarcastic point that you literally must read sentence by sentence, my sarcastic point was that you might want to treat sentences in the context of the paragraph, section, and entire post they sit in.
The specific issue here was that you made this pretense...
Who said natural fluctuations have no effect. Not me, that's for sure.
Yeah, I didn't say you said that. I was sarcastically ASKING if you had said that as opposed to what came before it. That's what OR means. Even if you didn't say the thing which came before that does not mean I am saying you said the latter. The whole context is pretty apparent.
You chopped a sentence out (intentionally or not) to create a zinger with no point. It was only possible to have happened unintentionally if you were treating sentences as if they were not part of a larger structure.

holmes {in temp decloak from lurker mode}
"What a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away." (D.Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 66 by FliesOnly, posted 09-13-2006 11:24 AM FliesOnly has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 79 by FliesOnly, posted 09-13-2006 3:49 PM Silent H has replied

  
FliesOnly
Member (Idle past 4172 days)
Posts: 797
From: Michigan
Joined: 12-01-2003


Message 74 of 109 (348760)
09-13-2006 1:50 PM
Reply to: Message 70 by Silent H
09-13-2006 12:05 PM


Re: Uh?
What?
I, from post 68, writes:
Please show me where I said you told people NOT to see the movie and/or not to believe anything in it.
and me again from post 30
FliesOnly writes:
Al Gore makes a movie that basically is designed to teach the largely non-scientific public a pretty complex scientific concept, and you tell us we should not listen because there may be some errors. You seem to want to throw the baby out with the bath water because you think that maybe some of the claims made in the movie are not accepted by 100% of the scientific community. Get real.
to which you post this:
Holmes writes:
If you've got some other read on that I'd like to know.
If I've got some other read on this? Of course I do. My read is exactly what's written, which says that you seem to feel we should not listen to what Al Gore says. Of course, this "read" of mine is based NOT just on that paragraph itself, but in the context of when/why it was written, You do understand the concept of "context" don't you? If you want to take what I said and twist it to mean that I told others that you said not to go see the movie, then fine. Really though Holmes, isn't that a bit of a stretch from what's actually written...especially if you include the remaining (missing) portions of the paragraph/quote?
For clarity, let me include the missing sentences:
FliesOnly from post 30 writes:
I saw the movie. I went in a bit skeptical and came out a bit skeptical. Some of the stuff I accepted and some of the stuff I thought was perhaps a bit overstated. So what. As Crashfrog said, the presentation seemed pretty fair to me. The movie is not set up for a scientific audience. That’s NOT who he’s trying to reach. Based on some previous posts you’ve made about this topic, it seems to me that your opinion of the average Joe on the street is overly generous when it comes to their understanding of science. When’s the last time you had to teach science to the mainstream public? For the most part, they just don’t get it. Scientific concepts are difficult for many people to understand.
Kinda puts a different spin on the whole concept, don't you agree?
And after re-reading your opening tome, I do acknowledge that you told people to see the movie but be skeptical. On that we agree. Sorry for any confusion and/or false accusations. However, I will say that it doesn't change my understanding of what you written since then.
I did notice something else in your opening post that I alluded to in post 30, which you have yet to respond to. There is some evidence (a recent paper in a Scientific Journal) that does support the hypothesis that global warming (as a result of human activities) actually has resulted in the stronger storms we have seen in recent years.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 70 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 12:05 PM Silent H has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 77 by Silent H, posted 09-13-2006 2:57 PM FliesOnly has replied

  
Silent H
Member (Idle past 5846 days)
Posts: 7405
From: satellite of love
Joined: 12-11-2002


Message 75 of 109 (348761)
09-13-2006 1:54 PM
Reply to: Message 72 by crashfrog
09-13-2006 1:08 PM


Re: The Shape of Holmes to Come
So far my prediction is coming true... too bad.
how might I ever have gotten the idea that you had already pre-judged the movie?
Wait, you'll have to show me where I was accused of having preconceptions of whether I'd like the movie, and certain aspects of the movie.
What I was disagreeing with was that I was criticizing the movie as if it has something in it. There's a huge difference between saying what you think will be in it, and having doubts, and telling people how good a movie actually is. That is difference is underlined when I start by saying that I will go see the movie and that I am not saying others should not.
How else could a rational person assume that, as long as they make it explicit that they haven't seen the movie, they can say whatever they like about it
If you have seen a number of a director's movies, you think it is irrational to state whether you are likely to enjoy his latest, and what elements might be present that you would not like? That seems pretty logical to me.
The problem would be saying because you saw previous material you KNOW what is in the new film and criticize it on those elements.
I said "I have little faith", that is not even close to a statement of knowledge or direct criticism. If it is a criticism of anything it is of previous material/experiences.

holmes {in temp decloak from lurker mode}
"What a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away." (D.Bros)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 72 by crashfrog, posted 09-13-2006 1:08 PM crashfrog has not replied

  
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