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Author Topic:   Investing In Inflation
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 36 of 85 (485760)
10-11-2008 11:16 AM
Reply to: Message 35 by Buzsaw
10-11-2008 9:00 AM


Central Banks
I know very little about US constitutional history but a couple of general points:
1) Central banks (whether US Fed, European Central, British national, or any other national central bank) are in place to stabilise economies, control the money supply to avoid runaway inflation and act as a last resort supply of funds to private banks in times of crisis (such as now). In themselves central banks make no profits and pay any excess funds into the governing body of the nation (or nations) to which they are accountable. Any central bank surplus is therefore either money which does not have to be raised through taxation or extra money for public expenditure.
2) The current crisis is a direct result of the short term greed of unregulated private investment banks practising the sort of pure unchecked freemarket capitalism that is so ideologically inherent to the current US administtation. Practises which have resulted in investment bankers and their advocates/investment partners in the Bush administration making billions of dollars in untaxed income whilst simultaneaously plunging the US economy into unprecedented levels of debt.
Are you really saying that the current crisis is the result of some sort of socialist secret plan slowly taking place under the very noses of the 8 year Republican administration?
Is it not true that the last democrat administration left the finances of the US in relatively good order as compared to the current administration?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 35 by Buzsaw, posted 10-11-2008 9:00 AM Buzsaw has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 37 by Buzsaw, posted 10-11-2008 3:54 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 39 of 85 (485778)
10-11-2008 5:11 PM
Reply to: Message 37 by Buzsaw
10-11-2008 3:54 PM


Re: Central Banks
Stabilizing economy: A strict 100% gold standard, i.e. 100% Gold for 100% paper certificate is the least problematic, safe and non-partisan method of economy stabilization, in that it does not enrich the holders of the money and gold deposits beyond a reasonable and fair encumbrance for their role as holders of wealth. How does the gold supply expand? By mining new supplies and by limiting gold bullion ownership to the government as was the case during the era of the gold standard.
Avoidance of runaway inflation: No way can a strict gold standard where every $$ of certificate issued is backed by an equal amount of deposited gold or silver inflate the economy.
I am no economist but is this not all a bit limiting?
What if it is necessary to go to war, for example? Should the ability of a nation to defend itself rest on the market value of the gold reserve it holds at any given time?
Less extreme cases can be made regarding the need to borrow in the short term in order to invest in the infrastructure of a nation such that it can be prosperous in the long term future.
To put it into context I would never be able to purchase a property in which to live without borrowing. As long as I am able to pay back that loan and do not borrow more than I can afford to repay over time the investment I have made will hold me in excellent stead in the future.
Likewise a developing nation that may not be able to build a transport infrastructure, for example, without borrowing but whom will never develop or be prosperous without such a transport infrastructure in place, would surely be doing the prudent long term and sensible thing by borrowing in order to invest. No?
Supply of funds in time of crisis: A government void of debt and rich in prosperity will have, on hand in deposit, reserves of gold and silver sufficiently beyond what would be required in time of crisis, in that primarily it would not be paying off billions to private bankers to enrich their personal coffers via allowing them to print paper bills and charge interest to the folks at the expense of the folks under governance for the creation of the money supply in circulation.
This is all very well for a nation that starts off with both a surplus of wealth and a fully functioning industrial and social infrastructure in place. But anywhere less fortunate that requires investment to be made in order to have any chance of prosperity in the future will be so hamstrung that a deadly spiral of decay will inevitably ensue. This inequality and hopelessness will in turn arguably create global mass migration issues from the countries unable to prosper to the countries that do have wealth. Extreme inequality with no hope of improvement or investment in the future is also arguably a root cause of international violence.
Control of the money supply: This is the major problem with the privately owned central banks. These few elitist private entities enjoy the privilege of control of the money supply, i.e. the national economy to advance their own private wealth and power.
Who are you trying to kid, Straggler? Can you document that to be the case? I'm all ears/eyes. Do you realize how many billions five or six percentage of the new money created by inflation in the last decade has been applied to enrichment of the Central bankers?
Are you aware of the unique position the bankers of the Federal Reserve are in to do insider trades and positional strategies to cash in on the advance knowledge they have to cash in on their own actions relative to the money supply by raising or lowering interest rates?
Well central banks are not put in place by governments to make profits and central bankers are not employed to illegally benefit from insider knowledge. If this is what is happening and, as you seem to be implying, the Bush administration knew that this was happening then this would seem to be a failing of the administration to regulate, control and apply the law such that the central bank actually does it's job and meets it's intended purpose.
Here in the UK the big money in banking is made (or at least it was until recently) by investment bankers. Not central bankers. Central bankers, whilst I am sure they are well remunerated, are effectively civil servants and cannot expect to benefit from the sort of practices you speak of. Unless of course they are doing so illegally. In which case the law needs to be applied by the government of the day.
Nonsense. Shorting the markets is a necessary and proper hedge for investors, businesses, corporations and whoever, to protect themselves from catastrophic loss, to ultimately establish the real value of the markets and to engage in the free enterprise of the American capitalist way. The media is holding this silly notion up to the public in order to obscure the root cause of this crisis and undermine free enterprise; mainly the Federal Reserve System's fiat scheme of enrichment and power. Ultimately the buck stops with the Fed Res Sys. They create the monetary crisis and they profit from it.
If the US central bank is as corrupt as you suggest it seems a rather major failing of a government that has been in power 8 years to have presided over this state of affairs. Especially given the catastrophic consequences of not dealing with such a situation. If the administration knew then they are complicit. If they did not then they are incompetent. Which do you think it is?
Are you really saying that the current crisis is the result of some sort of socialist secret plan slowly taking place under the very noses of the 8 year Republican administration?
......And don't forget, the 8 year spend-spend years of the Democratic Congress who initiate the bill and who's prominent fiscal members such as Chris Dodd and Barney Frank etc pshawed the Republican warning's of Bush, McCain etc that Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac were in trouble, needing government oversight and regulation.
If the Bush administration knew all this why did they not do something about it? Is the administration in power really so powerless regarding the state of the nations finances? Again either they are complicit or incompetent. Which is it?
Is it not true that the last democrat administration left the finances of the US in relatively good order as compared to the current administration?
Yes, I am aware of that, in that the Democrat Clinton Administration coasted along for eight years on the prosperity which the Republican Reagan Administration enriched America with.
Did not Reagan leave the US in the same sort of debt that the present republican administration is about to leave the country in?
It seems that you are not applying your own harsh borrowing ideals to your favourite president
I’m sorry but if an administration presides over the country primarily responsible for the sort of financial meltdown the world is currently experiencing for the 8 years preceding that meltdown then it is either directly responsible or grossly incompetent in allowing the institutions that are responsible to act in such a way without taking any action.
Talk of socialist plots just smacks of blame game aversion tactics or deep rooted delusional paranoia. Or both. Either way it does not inspire much confidence in the ability of the present administration, or those directly related to it, to successfully rectify the current woeful situation.
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 37 by Buzsaw, posted 10-11-2008 3:54 PM Buzsaw has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 40 by Buzsaw, posted 10-11-2008 9:00 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 44 of 85 (485846)
10-12-2008 11:16 AM
Reply to: Message 40 by Buzsaw
10-11-2008 9:00 PM


Re: Central Banks
If you are suggesting that central banks should be non-profit making institutions charged with maintaining the stability of a nations economy rather than pursuing their own selfish interests then I wholly agree.
The thing is that this appears to be already the case in most instances. In the specific instance of the US central bank I am not really in a position to argue this point as my knowledge of it's working practises is very limited. So I will follow with interest what others, such as Subbie and yourself, have to say on the matter.
Of course, ideally on a gold standard with a fixed price on gold, inflation would not be a factor but that is unrealistic since a gold standard would be impossible except on a global scale today.
As discussed in my previous post I think this would lead to some very undesirable international outcomes.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 40 by Buzsaw, posted 10-11-2008 9:00 PM Buzsaw has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 45 by Phat, posted 10-14-2008 8:10 AM Straggler has replied
 Message 47 by Buzsaw, posted 10-20-2008 5:26 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 46 of 85 (486010)
10-14-2008 6:28 PM
Reply to: Message 45 by Phat
10-14-2008 8:10 AM


Re: Central Banks
For one thing, China owns a big portion of the gold. Letting them come out on top is not in our best interests at this point in time.
Aha!! That wily old Buz is actually a secret Maoist socialist in disguise. I knew it. God bless China.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 45 by Phat, posted 10-14-2008 8:10 AM Phat has not replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 48 of 85 (486446)
10-20-2008 5:46 PM
Reply to: Message 47 by Buzsaw
10-20-2008 5:26 PM


Re: Central Banks
they have the power to create and control the money supply.
Surely that is the point?
The question is whether or not they are doing this to make profits for their own employess, shareholders, chief excutives etc. etc. etc. or in the interests of the country whose currency they attempt to manage.
What ultimately happens to all this money that you say the federal bank makes? Who ends up with it?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 47 by Buzsaw, posted 10-20-2008 5:26 PM Buzsaw has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 49 by Buzsaw, posted 10-20-2008 6:28 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 53 of 85 (486478)
10-21-2008 8:32 AM
Reply to: Message 49 by Buzsaw
10-20-2008 6:28 PM


Re: Central Banks
Bankers, lawyers and doctors all are in the position to exploit the folks, imo, particularly the bankers.
I have no doubt that there are unscrupulous bastards who are bankers. Investment bankers in particular.
But your accuasations seem to amount to more than that. You seem to be suggesting that the US central bank specifically is institutionally corrupt. You have also suggested that the system is almost setup to enable this institutional corruption.
Are you saying that the Fed is acting illegally?
Are you saying that the laws that the Bush administration has the power to change are inadequate to stop this "corruption" occurring legally?
Which is it?
What exactly is the Fed doing that you object to and is it illegal or not?
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 49 by Buzsaw, posted 10-20-2008 6:28 PM Buzsaw has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 55 by Buzsaw, posted 10-22-2008 7:43 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 78 of 85 (487026)
10-27-2008 7:18 AM
Reply to: Message 55 by Buzsaw
10-22-2008 7:43 PM


Re: Central Banks
Usurping power to control the amount of money coined/created, to regulate the value of money by raising and lowering interest rates and to regulate the amount of money circulated. It's not as simplistic as that, but that's what it amounts to.
But is that not their job to do just that? To seek to control the currency in the best interests of the nation that they serve? Are you saying that they are not doing that? If not who are they doing it in the interests of? Why has the Bush administration not acted to make the central bank achieve it's intended aim? If it is not doing so.
As I understand it, most of the billions (which the Federal Reserve creates} paid by the government/folks to the banks to bail them out of their bad loans will go to the bank's vaults and they have no obligation to make it available to the folks for the stimulation of the economy.
Who arranged the conditions of these loans? The fed? The government? Here in the UK there is a lot of debate about how much say the government now actually has over those banks that it now has a financial stake in. Is that debate not going on in the US too?
That's a nice deal for the private businesses which went broke making bad judgment. That would've been nice for me and my business in the down years.
I agree to some extent but on the other hand if one major high street banking institution goes down how many people's savings, mortgages and jobs does that take with it? It is that sort of meltdown it is hoped can be avoided.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 55 by Buzsaw, posted 10-22-2008 7:43 PM Buzsaw has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 80 by Buzsaw, posted 10-27-2008 11:12 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 85 of 85 (487201)
10-28-2008 2:21 PM
Reply to: Message 80 by Buzsaw
10-27-2008 11:12 PM


Re: Central Banks
1. Yes it is but the Constitution relegates the control of the currency to Congress, not private banks, who's first interest tends to be for their own interests. That's what's so bad about the whole system since the Fed Res was created.
Are you saying that the US central bank should be nationalised? Buz you pinko commie!! Whatever next?
The UK central bank is state run and does not seem to have the problems that you are saying that the US central bank does in terms of siphoning off profits to it's shareholders and chief execs.
However I am just not convinced that your assertions regarding the Fed are actually true. You have still not provided any evidence that they are making major profits at the expense of the nation.
2. It's primarily Congress's responsibility to oversee the Fed Reserve. Congress has had a Democrat majority the past 8 years and Dems goaded the banks into making bad loans to minorities and others who were very bad loan risks. Of course the banks were bailed out by Congress. They always come out with the $$ in their pockets and the folks get soaked.
Erm I am no experet but I know for a fact that the above is just not true. Factually untrue.
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 80 by Buzsaw, posted 10-27-2008 11:12 PM Buzsaw has not replied

  
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