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Author Topic:   Pseudoskepticism and logic
Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


Message 21 of 562 (524940)
09-20-2009 11:24 AM
Reply to: Message 19 by Izanagi
09-20-2009 10:53 AM


Re: still no evidence?
According to wiki, Agnosticism is just the view that certain claims are unknown or unknowable. Just because something is unknowable doesn't preclude a person from having a claim. You can be both agnostic and atheistic. You don't believe in God but you concede that the existence of God is unknown at this time or unknowable.
If that is the case, then what exactly is different about them? They sound analogous without the qualifiers there.
The people who need to provide evidence for their claims are the ones who are not agnostic (e.g. those who claim to know that God exists or doesn't exist). Because they claim it is knowable, they must provide the empirical data to support their claim.
Unless of course from the outset their claim entails that it is an unprovable position, yet may be more likely due to any number of reasons.
A claim is strengthened, obviously, with rock solid empirical evidence. Anecdotal evidence is at least admissible, but does not have the explanatory power that empirical evidence does.
You can make any number of claims, but the claimant always needs to remember that the burden of proof ultimately lies with them.

"Three passions, simple but overwhelmingly strong, have governed my life: the longing for love, the search for knowledge and unbearable pity for the suffering of mankind." -- Bertrand Russell

This message is a reply to:
 Message 19 by Izanagi, posted 09-20-2009 10:53 AM Izanagi has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 24 by Izanagi, posted 09-20-2009 2:24 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied

Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


Message 39 of 562 (525036)
09-21-2009 10:02 AM
Reply to: Message 38 by Straggler
09-21-2009 8:08 AM


Re: The Unicorn Rides Again
Can you demonstrate how atheism rather than agnosticism with regard to the immaterial pink unicorn can be justified by the criteria you are insisting upon? If you cannot then why do you think your criteria are valid?
An atheist disbelieves in deities and an agnostic believes that they do not yet have the capacity to believe or deny the existence of deities.
These are distinguishing terms, are they not? For if they weren't distinguished from one another, how can one be an "Agnostic Atheist" if they are completely synonymous? That would be a needless redundancy if it were not this way, seems to me.
The point that RAZD is making, and I am in agreement, is that atheism lends itself to a hardnosed approach towards questions of divinity. Agnostics tend to be open-minded on the fact that one cannot positively prove a negative false. One cannot disprove something does not exist if it in fact does not exist. That would be inclusive of immaterial pink unicorns.
Your goal here, no doubt, is to point to the absurdity of "immaterial pink unicorns" to prove a point. But it proves nothing, other than the fact that one cannot disprove the non-existence of something.
What in your mind distinguishes agnostics from atheists?

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence." --John Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 38 by Straggler, posted 09-21-2009 8:08 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 40 by Modulous, posted 09-21-2009 10:57 AM Hyroglyphx has not replied
 Message 43 by onifre, posted 09-21-2009 12:58 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied
 Message 44 by Straggler, posted 09-21-2009 1:28 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied

Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


Message 349 of 562 (527084)
09-30-2009 9:40 AM
Reply to: Message 348 by bluegenes
09-30-2009 8:58 AM


Re: Absence of evidence is......
quote:
So the absence of evidence is evidence of absence?
  —RAZD
Most certainly.
The absence of evidence being evidence of absence is a logical fallacy. Just because you have no immediate evidence of something does not necessarily mean that something did not occur or something does not exist, rather it could also mean that not enough evidence has been gathered to make a determination either way.
That is what RAZD is saying.
You were not being "pseudo-skeptical" in not investigating the dragon. Consistent absence of evidence for existence is evidence of absence for existence in most cases, and all of us are forced to act on that assumption.
No one is saying that we should believe in all things equally because it might be true, however implausible it may seem. It simply denotes the difference between agnosticism and atheism.
The manner in which people are speaking about atheism is that it is synonymous with agnosticism, and if it is, is it not redundant to refer to oneself as an "agnostic atheist" (which is a tautology) if they are the same thing?
To be an atheist is to deny the supernatural, which is fine. Why is it not acceptable to neither confirm nor deny a belief in the supernatural until proof in either direction is established?

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence." --John Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 348 by bluegenes, posted 09-30-2009 8:58 AM bluegenes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 350 by greyseal, posted 09-30-2009 10:02 AM Hyroglyphx has replied
 Message 351 by Stile, posted 09-30-2009 10:07 AM Hyroglyphx has replied
 Message 357 by bluegenes, posted 09-30-2009 11:47 AM Hyroglyphx has not replied

Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 352 of 562 (527118)
09-30-2009 10:35 AM
Reply to: Message 350 by greyseal
09-30-2009 10:02 AM


Re: Absence of evidence is......
quote:
Some people say god always was, and then created the universe. Why not save a step, and say the universe always has been, and requires neither a creator nor a beginning?
  —Carl Sagan
It is a good philosophical question pointing to an infinite regression, however, we know empirically that the universe indeed did have a beginning. That makes the question moot, but cannot automatically disqualify a god.
What you can do with things pertaining to God is to debunk certain inconsistencies. For instance if someone makes a claim that Genesis is the accurate and infallible Word of God, you can debunk that which is logically inconsistent within the text and in essence bring in to disrepute the vailidity of such a God. That is wholly different because now we are dealing with specifics and specific claims.
If all the world apparently works as well as it does without divine interference, why would you still put a god high on the list of things you believe in without evidence?
I'm not a theist nor an atheist. I am agnostic. Secondly, you are making an appeal to incredulity. However absurd something may sound on a personal level, it does not negate a claim in and of itself (see: argumentum ad absurdum).
Either you do NOT believe that everything could exist without a god, or you are fooling yourself for some other reason.
That's a faulty premise.
As I said with the teapot - it could be there...but belief in it is rather pointless because it is not provable.
But we aren't talking about what we do believe in, are we? We are not discussing belief or disbelief in God, but rather agnosticism which neither believes nor disbelieves. THAT is the most logically consistent answer for someone who can neither prove nor disprove the existence or non-existence of God.
This is what RAZD is pointing out and I happen to agree.

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence." --John Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 350 by greyseal, posted 09-30-2009 10:02 AM greyseal has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 358 by greyseal, posted 09-30-2009 12:23 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied

Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 353 of 562 (527134)
09-30-2009 11:01 AM
Reply to: Message 351 by Stile
09-30-2009 10:07 AM


Re: Absence of evidence is......
If there is an absence of evidence for keys in my pocket, then this is evidence for the absence of keys in my pocket.
Okay, so then there not being any ambiguous evidence that water exists on the moon therefore means that there is no water on the moon? You see, the premise does not follow and that's the point. There very well may have been water on the moon but ONLY that we didn't have any evidence to suggest otherwise. But does that negate the possibility? Obviously not. Surely you can see why you are declaring a logical fallacy.
If I check my pocket and no keys are found, it is not a logical fallacy to conclude that there are no keys in my pocket.
If we checked the moon for water and didn't find any, does that mean the moon doesn't have any water or that no evidence exists AS OF YET to suggest there is? If you can understand that simple illustration then you can understand why RAZD makes sense.
Just because it sounds similar to the "absence of evidence is not evidence of absence" fallacy doesn't mean that you can conflate the context.
Some people have claimed it outright. And there is evidence to suggest that.

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence." --John Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 351 by Stile, posted 09-30-2009 10:07 AM Stile has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 354 by Stile, posted 09-30-2009 11:06 AM Hyroglyphx has replied
 Message 356 by Perdition, posted 09-30-2009 11:35 AM Hyroglyphx has replied

Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


(2)
Message 361 of 562 (527200)
09-30-2009 2:22 PM
Reply to: Message 354 by Stile
09-30-2009 11:06 AM


Re: Absence of evidence is......
You need to make sure that the fallacy actually applies to the concept being discussed before you claim that the fallacy is actually disrupting the logic behind the statements.
Can you please expound on why it doesn't apply?

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence." --John Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 354 by Stile, posted 09-30-2009 11:06 AM Stile has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 364 by Stile, posted 09-30-2009 3:05 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied

Hyroglyphx
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 363 of 562 (527205)
09-30-2009 2:39 PM
Reply to: Message 356 by Perdition
09-30-2009 11:35 AM


Re: Absence of evidence is......
No, it means there is some evidence that there is no water on the moon.
No, a lack of evidence isn't positive evidence that something does not exist, which is what I'm trying to say. It just means there is no evidence in favor of their being water, but it obviously does not negate the possibility. So it is with God.
It means, until we find conflicting evidence, it is rational to BELIEVE there is no water on the moon. It may turn out you're wrong, and in this case, it seems we were, but being wrong does not automatically mean you were being irrational.
What is irrational is stating that the absence of evidence is evidence of absence. That is a faulty premise, as I've just illustrated.
If you look high and low for something and find no evidence of that thing, it makes sense to give its existence a low probability.
I agree, but that's not the same thing. The statement is saying that if you can't find evidence, then it is evidence that it's not their at all. But that is not necessarily the case. It may be there but have not yet discovered it. I mean, doesn't that go without saying?
Notice, the probability is not zero, and things with low probability happen and exist all the time. Until you find evidence that something does, in fact, exist, it seems, to me anyway, irrational to assert its existence with any sort of conviction beyond, "Well, it's possible, I guess..." which is far lower than 4 on the scale.
If you find the belief in God to be irrational and not based on anything credible, I certainly won't berrate you on that. Skepticism is a good thing. That's not really the argument though. The argument is whether or not the best answer applies to agnosticism versus (a)theism, since evidence refuting it lacks by the very nature of it.
Obviously on some level we all understand that we can't "prove" a non-existent thing if it in fact does not exist. Of course. But it does not mean then it doesn't exist.
There was no evidence to suggest water was on the moon at one time. Then there were theories based on scanty information. Then it was proven there is in fact water on the moon. But if we go by the logical fallacy of "absence of evidence is evidence of absence," it negates even the possibility simply because they had no reason to assume it. That is what is irrational.
Had somebody said, "Oh, yes, there is water on the moon," it would be the same kind of logical fallacy, by insisting something based on no evidence. I am saying, and apparently RAZD as well, there is not enough information in either direction to make any kind of definitive claim.

"Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence." --John Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 356 by Perdition, posted 09-30-2009 11:35 AM Perdition has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 365 by Perdition, posted 09-30-2009 3:20 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied
 Message 366 by bluegenes, posted 09-30-2009 4:04 PM Hyroglyphx has not replied

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