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Author | Topic: What is Evidence? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3
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A statement of fact E is evidence for a theory T if E is compatable with T but ~E is not compatable with T.
Unfortunately, there's a problem: being "evidence" for a theory is a very, very weak criteria and most "evidence" for a theory is so trivially weak it's not really worth mentioning. For example, that Jon is alive is evidence that Jon is the murderer, but that evidence is so weak as to be meaningless as it also applies to every other living person. Perhaps we could define the strength of evidence in terms of the extent to which it narrows possible theories down?
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
Fact - an objective record of reality. Is repeatable and verifiable. It is possible for something to 'be a fact' and then 'not be a fact' at a later time. For example, if I show you my red hat and say "my hat is red", and you agree, then it is a fact. However, if I lose my hat, and then continue to claim that it is red... it's some likely information, but it's no longer a fact. It is no longer repeatable or verifiable. (Someone could have painted my hat). I must disagree, repeatability really shouldn't be taken as part of the criteria for a fact otherwise you cannot have any historicaly facts, which is silly. Nor am I sure what you expect to gain from repeatable over merely verifiable?
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
Trying to logical demonstrate the validity of empirical reasoning is a) not possible (see Kant), b) silly and c) circular.
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
It's evidence of roughly twelve trillion different things from no 1: you're no longer blind to no 12,111,834,121,649: trees have green leaves.
Evidence only means anything in the context of a theory for which it is being considered as evidence.
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
Iff X then E X=thing that creates evidenceE=evidence resulting from X Under this definition almost nothing is evidence. It is astonishingly rare (if even possible) for a piece of evidence to be unique to a single possible theory. I cannot think of a single example, can you?
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
I have no idea what you mean by "equating it to material things".
According to your definition "iff X then E", E is evidence only when X is the only possible explaination of E. I cannot think of a single example of a piece of evidence for any theory ever that meets this requirement. Can you?
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
Depends on how we define evidence. Anyway you like. Can you now?
Are you equating evidence to material things? No. Evidence could be a material thing, or it could not be. A piece of evidence could be one thing, or it could be a trillion. A 'piece of evidence' is whatever you want to present as a 'piece of evidence' so that we can consider whether it is, in fact, evidence for your statement. Edited by Mr Jack, : Clarify
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
You're dodging the question I posed. Give me an example of evidence you think meets your definition, please.
Is evidence indivisible, a non-count mass, or simply an holistic entity individually composed? The only reasonable definition on that axis is whatever you've chosen to present, as I already said. Evidence, as I've said several times now, is only meaningful with respect to what it is evidence for.
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
What I am trying to get at is this:
We find a 'rock' made of pulverized sea-shell material (what is that stuff called?) which is weathered in a certain way (let's say, consistent with desert wind erosion). We conclude from this that the area was once covered by a large sea, which dried up and became a desert, later developing into the temperate climate we see now. Here is the issue, and here is why I cannot answer your question until you tell me how you define evidence. If we consider the 'rock' itself to be evidence, then we would undoubtedly conclude that there is not a one-to-one correspondence in which each event can lead to only one evidence. However, if we consider each aspect of the 'rock' to be evidence, then it is possible (though, as I said, I am even in doubt that such an understanding can be borne out) that we can consider each event to lead to only one evidence: the weathering evidences wind of XY type; the pulverizing evidences forces of XY type; the seashells evidence an evironment of XY type; and, of course, that wind of XY type means desert, force of XY type means earthquake, and environment of XY type means sea are all pieces of evidence in themselves, as well as the fact that we can infer XY types from the aspects of the 'rock' with which we find ourselves currently presented. Not even the individual characteristics of the rock mean your iff standard. Maybe, just maybe, if you took all the known knowledge about a geological area you could narrow things down to a single geological history, but even then you'd have uncertainty - what happened in the lost horizons? When precisely did the sea dry up? Was there a brief reversal in the drying process? Etc., etc. Now, I suppose, that you could paint your theory in such broad terms that all the possible theories that could have formed your evidence are contained; but even then you can always jump the rails and offer a ridiculous alternative (i.e. "it was martians!"). So, again, I'm left asking: can you think of any evidence that means your definition? Any evidence at all?
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
Are you saying, then, that a particular irreducibly holistic piece of evidence could potentially evidence more than one possible thing? Or, are you saying that being irreducibly holistic is not a criterion for evidence? I have no idea what an irreducible holistic bit of evidence would consist of, or why it is relevent to anything. And, yes, I'm saying that every piece of evidence is evidence of more than one thing. Now, will you please provide one single example that you think meets your 'iff X then E' criteria?
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Dr Jack Member Posts: 3514 From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch Joined: Member Rating: 8.3 |
So, you're claiming that your rock is an example that meets your criteria? Well, that's clearly wrong.
LOL. I already pointed to the irreducibly holistic aspects of the 'rock'. Can the existence of pulverized seashells be anything more than evidence for the existence of pulverized seashells? Yes, it could be evidence for the rock making space people, it could be evidence for the existence of a race of ancient fish with seashells instead of scales, it could be the result of a bizarre geological process that produces pseudo-organic remains, it could be the result of a mass extinction of land living shelled organisms in a massive flood. The rock alone cannot tell us.
Now, the question to you is this: is there a reason why we should not break the 'rock' down into separate irreducibly holistic aspects, each of which may evidence only one other thing? Or, is there some way you can conceive of evidencing two separate things from the same irreducibly holistic unit aboard either the mental or physical host form of the 'rock' and its associations? I have no idea what an irreducible holistic evidence would be, or how it's any way useful as a concept. You seem to believe that you can take the rock reduce it to a finite set of individual concepts and treat those as it's fundamental "evidences", I think that's fundamentally at odds with reality. Taking your rock, it's brute structure is powerful evidence for it's origin, but it's microscopic structure provides supporting evidence and evidence for the exact species involved, it's chemical composition provides another evidence. But if we wanted to use the rock as evidence for something else, say the law of gravity, then it's mass is suddenly relevant. And if we want to consider the geological history of the area it's from, well, it's one tiny peice of a vast jigsaw puzzle. So, once again, I come back to this: evidence is only meaningful in the context of what you are trying to present it as evidence for. Being "evidence" is not a property, irreducibly holistic or otherwise, of a thing; it's a property of what we're doing with a thing.
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