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Author Topic:   Chances as discrete entities
Syamsu 
Suspended Member (Idle past 5618 days)
Posts: 1914
From: amsterdam
Joined: 05-19-2002


Message 1 of 5 (17228)
09-12-2002 4:06 AM


In his book "the Blind Watchmaker", Dawkins referenced an 18th or 19th century mathematician saying that it is impossible for a chance smaller then 1/10^250 or something (I can't remember the exact figure) to be realised.
So then this implies that chances (or realisable chances) are discrete entities. You could then say that a chance of say 20/100 then consists of (20/100)/(1/10e250)= a great many discrete chances.
What, if any, is the relationship to physical objects to these discrete chances? And how, if at all, do these discrete chances relate to one another.
I have read on talk.origins that things only exist on average. If I remember correctly this means that the existence of a thing is a chance event between the possible states of matter and anti-matter. I'm not to sure about the states being matter and anti-matter, but logically there should be the pairing of states of being realised and not being realised for any chance.
But on the other hand it seems that if chances have a smalles small, then it would be meaningless to for instance make predictions on a series of rolling the ball on the rouletteweel, or rolling dice beyond many times, beyond the smallest small chance.
I want to know this because I want to understand how the chance of reproduction relates to a generalised chance of existence. Darwinists confusingly often use the phrase "struggle for existence" which in literal interpretation is more or less suitable as a description of generalised chance, but not suitable as a description of chance of reproduction.
So... discrete chances? Bullshit, or not?
regards,
Mohammad Nor Syamsu

Replies to this message:
 Message 2 by Weyland, posted 09-17-2002 5:23 AM Syamsu has not replied
 Message 5 by Peter, posted 10-17-2002 8:10 AM Syamsu has not replied

  
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