I think Percy made a
very good point way back in Message 21:
A truly scientific IDist, one who excluded the supernatural, would be one who believed* that conditions on the earth were insufficient to produce the diversity and complexity of life's history over the last 4 billions years. That wouldn't mean he's advocating an infinite regression. He would recognize that there would be planets in the universe where conditions were conducive not only to life but to complex and very intelligent life. He would simply be arguing that Earth is not one of those planets, and he would be looking for evidence of intelligent intervention in life's history.
*Note: Italics mine
This grabs it in a nutshell for me, with the caveat that I would use a different word than the loaded
believed. I might suggest
hypothesized or even
theorized, or maybe just
suspected. The procedure to measure this would also measure the other ID views in a simple 1, 0 manner. In other words, if experiments to test this out found evidence one way or the other, it would either rule out or rule in ID of any stripe you want, except RAZD's dude. Later on in the thread (sorry to be late to the fun) we finally get to the concept of randomness versus directed (non-random) changes.
SO:
I would propose that the body of evidence would have its randomness** measured. By appropriately measuring the myriad of variables, dropping data points into histogram bins of tiny size, but not too tiny, we can examine the results and compare them against a pure random system. If there is no difference of even faint consequence, then all we have is the RAZD dude at the beginning that set everything into motion - untestable, unfalsifiable and unusable for this thread purpose.
Now, I profess ignorance of the actual data analysis going on - however, I am certain that if a significant departure from randomness had ever been observed repeatedly, we would know about it by now. So I have to assume that currently
nothing has given evidence of a departure from the Random Model. To use Rrhain's terminology, the Model works. And using another branch of statistics that's often used to predict the Mean Time Between Failure of various complex systems and the current sample size of the data in question, I currently arrive at my positive evidence against Intelligent Design of the kind Percy describes with a Confidence Factor that is acceptable for me at the moment.
**Note: Complex systems in constant agitated, perturbed, repeated motion tend to sort things, but in a predictable way most of the time. They can be evaluated in a way that would reveal randomness/non-randomness.
- xongsmith, 5.7d