subbie writes:
RAZD writes:
(4) Absence of Contradictory Evidence:
There cannot be any contradictory evidence or the theory is falsified,....
Be careful you don't fall into naive falsificationism with this. I daresay that there hasn't been an hypothesis or theory ever proposed that wasn't contradicted by some observation in its early stages. Hypotheses and theories are modified every day to account for new information that the previous incarnation didn't agree with. In essence, it becomes a judgment whether the seemingly contradictory evidence can be accommodated by a modification, or if the whole thing must be consigned to the dustbin.
I think subbie makes an excellent point here, and I just wanted to add on. The discovery of contradictory evidence does not immediately render a theory false. In the same way that a single datum or experiment cannot "prove" a theory true, one bit of contradictory evidence cannot tear it down. Good theories are ones in which scientists have a high amount of confidence. Contradictory evidence only serves to lessen that confidence. Once it reaches a point where the contradictions outweigh the positive evidence, then the theory is done away with.
A great example of this is the way phylogenetic trees are constructed. Each tree is a hypothesis of the "true phylogeny" that is the relationships between the taxa of focus. Each hypothesis (tree) is tested with the collected data (morphology, molecular sequences, etc). If the same tree results with each data set tested then confidence in that tree grows until it becomes the accepted theory of how those taxa descended from a common ancestor. Once, that tree is well established, it's perfectly possible that new data could be discovered (let's say, a trait not used before is now used to test the tree) that gives a slightly different tree. Taxa A, B, C, and F are in a clade instead of A, B, C, and D. This one thing does not mean your original tree must be treated as complete bunk, it could very well be that there's something odd about that gene (perhaps it's a homoplasy not a homology).
A good theory doesn't have to be a perfect theory, it just has to be the best possible explanation we have right now for the evidence we have on hand.
We have many intuitions in our life and the point is that many of these intuitions are wrong. The question is, are we going to test those intuitions?
-Dan Ariely