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Author Topic:   The Truth About Evolution and Religion
Percy
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Posts: 22480
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 289 of 419 (561533)
05-21-2010 6:44 AM
Reply to: Message 287 by Wounded King
05-21-2010 5:29 AM


Re: Why not look at something meaningful.
Hi WK,
About statistics, what I think what you actually calculated is one over the probability of getting the proper three sequences of A, B and T in a single trial.
But the A, B and T sequences are presumably constructed independently, rather than all together in a single trial? And on a planet sized body there could be literally bazillions of trials? And there must be a number of unknown factors (given our lack of certainty about conditions on the ancient Earth) governing the construction and breaking down of nucleotide sequences?
Unlike creationists, I don't think we're in a position to calculate probabilities of even simple sequences like A, B and T, but I think your number probably represents an extremely low lower bound.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 287 by Wounded King, posted 05-21-2010 5:29 AM Wounded King has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 296 by dkroemer, posted 05-21-2010 7:50 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied
 Message 303 by Wounded King, posted 05-21-2010 5:26 PM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
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