Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 65 (9164 total)
4 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,425 Year: 3,682/9,624 Month: 553/974 Week: 166/276 Day: 6/34 Hour: 2/0


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Does ID follow the scientific method?
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 34 of 325 (591965)
11-17-2010 7:05 PM
Reply to: Message 27 by Dawn Bertot
11-16-2010 10:51 PM


Hypotheses
DB writes:
Again, no hypothesis, just a method to determine if ID is a possibility, derived from a scientific approach.
If you want to claim that ID is able to be derived from the scientific method then we must first be abe to derive an ID hypothesis that is falsifiable.
In order to do that I suspect we will first need objective criteria in place to determine whether or not something has been designed.
I think this will be the first of numerous stumbling blocks.
DB writes:
We will be looking at IDs methods and SMs methods.
Methods of doing what exactly?
Scientific methods involve constructing hypotheses and testing them in order to construct reliable theories. Yes?
If we cannot construct a testable ID hypothesis then I don't see how we can take the next step of testing it.
DB writes:
Now, what is off limits I believe, is the conclusions of Macro-evolution and design itself, because both are conclusions, as ICANT was trying to demonstrate in the other thread.
OK. But without a testable hypothesis I am not sure where it is you want to start from?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 27 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-16-2010 10:51 PM Dawn Bertot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 38 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-18-2010 2:03 AM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 68 of 325 (592207)
11-19-2010 6:17 AM
Reply to: Message 38 by Dawn Bertot
11-18-2010 2:03 AM


Re: Hypotheses
DB writes:
I am claiming that the IDM is the same as used by the SM. It follows the same logical steps to derive its tenets or conclusions.
OK. The scientific method requires you to construct a hypothesis that can be tested.
DB writes:
This is not about hypothesis, but mechanichs and application of methods
But the hypothesis is part of the scientific method. How can you be following the scientific method if your methods are hypothesis-free?
DB writes:
Theories about what?
Nature. And how nature behaves.
DB writes:
The methods you use to form your hypothesis, how things work presently and hypothesis about what might have have happened, as you call them theories
I think I see where your confusion lies. You are conflating theories and hypotheses.
If you want to present intelligent design as a hypothesis based on the observation that nature appears to be designed then fair enough. But the next step would be to construct this hypothesis in such a way that it can be tested and falsified. This is done by making falsifiable predictions which are the necessary logical consequences of your hypothesis being correct. Predictions which genuinely test your hypothesis (as opposed to generic or trivial conclusions that don't tell you anything not already known). This is the tricky part and the part you are missing.
But until you are able to construct and test ID in this manner it will never get off the ground as a theory by any scientific standard. The best you can say is that it is a rather speculative possibility (i.e. a hypothesis).
And given that the alternative explanation (i.e. evolution) has passed numerous such tests - ID is a hypothesis that nobody actually interested in finding the most evidentially supported theory is likely to pay much attention to.
But if IDists starts predicting and discovering new evidence as a direct consequence their hypothesis all that would have to change.
So my advice is to construct your ID hypothesis and start the process of discovery.........

This message is a reply to:
 Message 38 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-18-2010 2:03 AM Dawn Bertot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 103 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-20-2010 2:23 AM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 93 of 325 (592318)
11-19-2010 1:41 PM
Reply to: Message 91 by Blue Jay
11-19-2010 12:54 PM


Re: One step would be to define what ID isn't
Good simple post.
I don't think that DB has got past step 1. As described far less succinctly than you in my last post to DB.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 91 by Blue Jay, posted 11-19-2010 12:54 PM Blue Jay has seen this message but not replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 222 of 325 (592758)
11-21-2010 7:39 PM
Reply to: Message 103 by Dawn Bertot
11-20-2010 2:23 AM


Re: Hypotheses
Hi DB. Let me try a change of emphahsis. Let's try a real world example and see how your stated methods compare with the scientific method as I am advocating it.
REAL LIFE EXAMPLE
My computer won't power up. I press the 'On' button and absolutely nothing happens. I press it again. Zip, nada, nothing. My computer is but a lifeless lump of metal and plastic. I can hear the fridge humming so I know that there isn't a power cut going on. It occurs to me that I should check that the PC is actually plugged in at the wall socket. I heave the desk out of the way and take a look. It is plugged in. Damn. It is now looking likely that I will need some potentially expensive repairs to my computer but I won't give up just yet. I decide to make sure that the power cable itself is not the problem. I have a spare so I swap over the cables and try again. Still no signs of life. I start to prepare myself for the lengthy and expensive process of taking the PC to get repaired but decide to try one last thing. I unplug the computer from the wall socket and plug it into a different wall socket. Hey presto the PC revs up into life!! The beautiful sound of spinning hard disks is music to my ears. It appears that despite it being against all the odds the problem lies with the wall socket rather than the computer. I decide to double check this by plugging in a stereo to the potentially faulty wall socket and do indeed find that the radio is as lifeless as I would expect. I call an electrician.
SCIENTIFIC METHOD - FORMAL ANALYSIS
Evidence: PC appears to have no power
Hypothesis 1: Power cut
Test: Audio check that another electrical appliance is still working
Result: Fridge is powered on
Verdict: Hypothesis 1 refuted. New hypothesis required.
Hypothesis 2: PC not plugged into power source
Test: Visual check
Result: Computer is plugged into power source
Verdict: Hypothesis 2 refuted. New hypothesis required.
Hypothesis 3: The power cable is faulty
Test: Replace power cable
Result: PC remains lifeless
Verdict: Hypothesis 3 refuted. New hypothesis required.
Hypothesis 4: Power socket is faulty
Test: Try different power socket
Result: PC powers up
Verdict: Hypothesis 4 verified
Prediction derived as a logical consequence of hypothesis 4: No electrical appliance plugged into the original wall socket should receive any power
Test: Plug stereo into the faulty wall socket
Result: Stereo fails to receive any power
Verdict Hypothesis 4 has been verified to the point where it can be reliably described as a tentative conclusion
Tentative conclusion: The wall socket is faulty and an electrician is needed.
Obviously I did not consciously think through my computer problem in this formal "hypothesised" manner. The point is that we ALL use the scientific method ALL of the time without even thinking about it. Because in the absence of ALL of the evidence it is the only method of narrowing down the possibilities and reaching reliable (albeit tentative) conclusions.
THE CHALLENGE
Can you show how you would use your ID methodology to solve the simple real life example above?
DB writes:
Why will no one answer this question, why will no one agree or disagree initially that the IDs methods are the exact same as the SM in the form of Observation, experimentation evaluation and experimentation.
ID methods are fundamentally different because there is no testing of hypotheses.
DB writes:
Here is the question in another form, if the other refuses to be ansewred. Are these the basic tenets of the SM, Yes or NO?
No. ID methods are fundamentally different because there is no testing of hypotheses.
DB writes:
Please demonstrate which part of my process is not science in action
See above example.
DB writes:
Not a single post has attempted the answer to such a simple question, Why?
The answer is - ID methods are fundamentally different because there is no testing of hypotheses.
DB writes:
there is nothing speculative about IDs approach and you are being dishonest by not answering the question
I look forward to your response to the example above.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 103 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-20-2010 2:23 AM Dawn Bertot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 237 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-22-2010 1:39 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 239 of 325 (592841)
11-22-2010 1:44 PM
Reply to: Message 237 by Dawn Bertot
11-22-2010 1:39 PM


Re: Hypotheses
DB writes:
My experiment involved simply unpluging the computer from the wall and plugging it back into the same outlet, that is before trying to simply turn it back on
That would not have worked in the case cited above.
DB writes:
Now the point is this, while I was conducting my scientific experiment, I stopped short in any further investigation because the methods that I employed were sufficienct to come to a conclusion that was valid and solve the problem
No they weren't.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 237 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-22-2010 1:39 PM Dawn Bertot has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 241 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-22-2010 1:58 PM Straggler has replied

  
Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 245 of 325 (592854)
11-22-2010 2:30 PM
Reply to: Message 241 by Dawn Bertot
11-22-2010 1:58 PM


Re: Hypotheses
I think we have pinpointed the fundamental difference between the scientific method and the ID method with your approach to this example.
The ID method requires that you know the answer before you start or that you can effectively guess the answer to a given problem first time.
These are not reliable methods DB. They will never be equal to the methods of science in terms of reliability of tested conclusions.
How could they?
DB writes:
Can you explain why conclusion is invalid?
You apparently solved the immediate computer problem with a lucky guess that would not have worked in my example or a million others. If your method is to rely on lucky guesses then I would suggest that it is a rather unreliable method of drawing conclusions with regard to more complex problems than switching on PCs.
DB writes:
At any point in your process you could have terminated your investigation, had you come accross the solution to the problem, without more involved steps
Actually no.
Did you notice that even once I had resolved the computer problem I took additional steps to ensure that validity of the conclusion in question (by plugging an entirely different appliance into the failing socket)?
Testing. Reliability. Accuracy of conclusion. This is what is missing from the ID method and the conclusions that are derived from it.
This is why conclusions borne of ID methods are woefully inferior to those borne of the scientific method.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 241 by Dawn Bertot, posted 11-22-2010 1:58 PM Dawn Bertot has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024