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Author Topic:   Counter-Intuitive Science
petrophysics1
Inactive Member


Message 168 of 182 (601540)
01-21-2011 9:48 AM
Reply to: Message 167 by Panda
01-21-2011 6:59 AM


Re: Counter-Intuitive Math
You are correct except that what happened to your 1/3 odds when the goat was seen in one of the doors is your odds for your original choice became 2/3.
If you switch they become 1/2.
If you stick they are 2/3, why would you lower your odds?
The problem is covered in the movie "21", if you are like me and count cards you will understand it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 167 by Panda, posted 01-21-2011 6:59 AM Panda has replied

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 Message 169 by Panda, posted 01-21-2011 12:17 PM petrophysics1 has not replied

  
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