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Member (Idle past 637 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
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Author | Topic: The persistent question of evidence (RAZD and subbie only) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
It seems to me that the first place to start is to define some terms. I have thoughts in mind that I will supply when I have a bit more time than I do now, but I'd like to see what you have in mind as well.
Evidence: what does it mean for something to be evidence for or against a particular proposition? God: what do you mean when you talk about god? We won't get anywhere productive without agreeing when something is or is not evidence of a particular fact, nor will we unless we agree about what we are talking about when we talk about god. Also, as I mentioned in my post in the Topic Proposal thread, I'd like this to be a stand alone debate. Feel free to quote from anything else you said in any other conversation (with or without quotation notation), but please don't simply refer to another conversation and ask me to read that for purposes of this discussion. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
No worries. I can't guarantee a rapid response either, because I'm lazy and want to mull these things over, and probably take them up in a piecemeal fashion.
Well, I agree as far as that goes. But what does it mean to say that something is evidence supporting or invalidating a hypothesis? Perhaps this seems self-evident, something not in need of definition. But I think it's crucial for us to agree on what this word means. As I imagine you are aware, I'm an attorney. Let me begin with the definition of evidence that the law uses and see where that gets us. Fact X is evidence is support of hypothesis Y if the existence of X makes Y more probable than it would be without. The converse, obviously, would be that fact X is evidence against hypothesis Y if the existence of X makes Y less probable than it would be without. Evidence does not need to conclusively establish or invalidate a hypothesis by itself to be evidence in support of or against a hypothesis. For example, the genetic similarity between humans and chimps is evidence in support of the ToE, but does not by itself make one conclude that the ToE is valid.
If we cannot agree on what we mean when we talk about the existence or non existence of gods, I can't conceive of how we can rationally discuss the question. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
Well, there's quite a mish mash of stuff in that post. In no particular order....
No, the rules of evidence are pretty much the same regardless of what type of trial it is. The level of proof differs from criminal to civil, and different levels of proof in different types of civil actions as well. I'm not really sure what you're saying here, or what it has to do with this discussion.
I just sorta skimmed your summation of your discussions with others because they don't really interest me at the moment. I do agree that the standard of evidence has to be the same for both sides. My question still remains: do you agree with my definition of "evidence?"
I'm certainly aware that there are people who believe in different gods. My argument is that the tremendous diversity and lack of consensus suggests that there is not in fact an actual being behind those beliefs. If there were, there would be agreement. If course, this argument would be clearer if we could agree at some level about what constitutes a god for purposes of this discussion. As I said before, without this agreement, it's futile to discuss what constitutes evidence supporting the existence or non-existence of gods. Would you care to take a stab and defining god for purposes of our discussion? Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
It seems that our various posts are raising multiple issues that might be more clearly addressed for now in separate subthreads. I shall endeavor to subtitle these separate subthreads to hopefully make it easier to follow them. This is likely to result in multiple responses to single posts initially.
Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
For now, we seem to agree with this statement as at least one part of our definition of evidence:
I do agree with your concern about subjective evidence. We could reduce that concern by adding a requirement that evidence must be objectively available for others to review and verify. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
Well, I first note that 1 seems to include two questions that cannot both be answered in the affirmative as they seem to be asking opposite things. I suspect scrivener's error. As before, the difficulty in proceeding lies in the fact that we don't know what we are talking about when we say "god/s." If I assume that by "god" you simply mean a supernatural creation by superstitious pre-scientific humans in an effort to explain to their satisfaction certain natural phenomenon that they don't understand, then it's perfectly reasonable to suppose that they could completely understand gods since gods are their creation. It's also reasonable to suppose that they could create gods to be completely inscrutable. If we suppose that we're talking about some kind of trickster god who wants to use humans as his catspaw for amusement, it's easy to imagine that it would be impossible for any human mind to comprehend that god because he might be deliberately misleading us. If we suppose a benevolent, omnipotent god who only wants to guide us to a more perfect existence, then I would assume that such a god would be able to make himself known to any human in ways that that human understands and would still be consistent with any other interaction with any other human. I'm not sure your forest analogy is apt. A forest is a collection of millions of different entities, a god is a single entity. (Unless you are suggesting that we broaden our discussion to include a pantheon. Since we so far seem unable to arrive at an agreement on what "god" means, it would seem counterproductive to instead switch the discussion to a group of them.) Perhaps you meant to suggest that "god" could be a collection of many different attributes, some of which he displays to one group and others of which he displays to another. I must reject this suggestion unless you are willing to commit to a trickster god, because it's clear to me that there are multiple inconsistent attributes among the various world religions. And I cannot conceive of how a benevolent, omnipotent god could account for multiple inconsistent religions.
Surely a benevolent, omnipotent god could at least make himself known to humans in a consistent manner. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
Please, do me the courtesy of assuming that I mean what I say, rather than trying spin it into something you think you can use to advance the debate. If you insist on reading what I write to mean something else, this discussion is pointless.
If we assume that a god is a being that humans do not understand, then a natural consequence of that is that humans will not understand it, whether pre-scientific, from different cultures and different backgrounds, or with different abilities. Thus, tautologically, the answer to questions 1 and 2 is yes. I cannot assess the likelihood of a god appearing the same to different people without knowing more about the god. Thus, I cannot answer questions 3, 4 and 5, other than to note that differences in cultures, backgrounds and abilities often generally affect how people perceive, recall and relate any experience. If it will advance our discussion, I will concede that it's possible that if a god existed, that god could be perceived differently by different people from different cultures and different backgrounds and with different abilities, and I think it's possible that if there were a god, it might be an entity that human minds could not completely understand. You criticize the various hypothetical examples of gods that I used in an attempt to show why your questions cannot yet be answered. I was not in any way trying to proffer these as actual examples of possible gods, but simply to demonstrate the futility of pursuing your questions in the absence of some sort of definition of god.
Yes, I'm more than willing to discard any definition of a god that has been falsified by logic or human experience.
Yes, I'm also willing to attribute any aspect of religious beliefs to human embellishment.
Nothing comes immediately to mind. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
This is only a partial response to one single question from your post. I shall address other points if it becomes necessary.
No. I have stated several times that it's impossible to discuss evidence for or against god without a definition of "god." I see two possible alternatives. The first is that you could supply a definition for purposes of this discussion. The second is that we could go, in serial fashion, through every different concept of "god" that people currently do or in the past have believed to exist. The latter seems ridiculous and unnecessary. Unless and until we can agree on what a "god" consists of, I can't conceive of a way to proceed. Perhaps you have another idea. Or perhaps you are ready to supply a definition. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
This is absurd. You are taking the position that it's impossible for someone to prove or disprove the existence of a being you are unable to define or describe with any degree of detail or clarity. I will have to concede that your challenge is impossible. I cannot prove the non-existence of an undefined entity. If anyone else wants to take a stab at this fool's errand, I hereby abandon this Great Debate. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
High RAZD
I've got a snorfdoogle named Luxury Yacht living in my pants. I bet you can't disprove that. And I can make my point without any extraneous colors, fonts or boxes. Envoy. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
Amusingly, it turns out that you aren't actually making any claim at all about gods, so there's really nothing to prove or disprove. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
Probably, but orienteering was never my strong suit. Where I think you and I depart is about what constitutes evidence pro or con. I suppose my position can be loosely summarized as follows: Most (if not all) definitions of "god" include a supernatural component. There has never been any repeatable, objective evidence of any supernatural phenomenon, and all repeatable, objective observations are consistent with a non-supernatural universe. Therefore, all evidence supports the conclusion that there are no supernatural forces operating in the universe. This position is always subject to modification should new evidence come to light. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
Probably not, certainly not if you can't tell me anything about the nature of the supposed creator, or the purpose of creating the universe. I do hope you're not planning a god of the gaps argument here. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined: |
This, of course, is nothing more than your personal opinion about how universes ought to be, with no evidence to support it. Perhaps you should question your own answer.
Then you don't understand the "god of the gaps" position. It assumes that a god is responsible for any phenomenon we don't understand, and takes things that we don't understand as evidence of the existence of a god. This seems to be what you are doing; assuming that the existence of an ordered universe is evidence that a god is responsible for the order.
I have concluded that the complete lack of any reliable evidence for the existence of any gods is a sufficient basis for concluding that there are no gods. I must, as a practical matter, admit the possibility that one or more gods exist but do not affect our universe in any observable manner. However, since there is no evidence of any gods affecting our universe in any observable manner, I simply see no reason to postulate their existence, any more than I see a reason to postulate the existence of Russell's teapot.
Perhaps that question is better addressed to those who claim to have absolutely no doubt that gods do exist. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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subbie Member (Idle past 486 days) Posts: 3509 Joined:
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Really? Let's see.
Nope, nothing logical there, simply assumptions. You chided me earlier in this thread because you thought I was assuming things about gods, and here you are actually making assumptions about a god. What evidence do you have to support your claim that there would be laws/forces in place if god/s created the universe?
No, I'm trying to tell you what the rest of the world means by "the god of the gaps." You are of course free to ascribe to it any other meaning you wish, but in the interests of clarity, I would ask you to define what you think it means.
It assumes that god/s put the laws in place.
The fact that you don't understand the difference between evidence and proof does not mean that the difference is not there. You might recall that earlier in this thread established a general definition of "evidence." quote: It seems clear to me that if one looks for some object or entity where one would expect it to be and fails to find it, that makes it more likely that the object or entity does not exist. As you point out, it's possible that further search could reveal the existence of the entity. That, of course, is precisely why I reserve the right to change my position if new evidence comes to light. If you disagree that not finding something where it's expected to be makes it more likely that it doesn't exist, you need to explain why. Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against unintelligible propositions. -- Thomas Jefferson We see monsters where science shows us windmills. -- Phat It has always struck me as odd that fundies devote so much time and effort into trying to find a naturalistic explanation for their mythical flood, while looking for magical explanations for things that actually happened. -- Dr. Adequate ...creationists have a great way to detect fraud and it doesn't take 8 or 40 years or even a scientific degree to spot the fraud--'if it disagrees with the bible then it is wrong'.... -- archaeologist
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