It seems there have not been much studies on the actual temperatures at subduction zones, so all the maths is just speculation. Just through deductive reasoning its pretty clear that if you move two plates past each other there is less friction than if you collide or grind them roughly into each other. So speculate all you want on the maths, if two plates slide smoothly over one another, this has less effect than if two plates collide, and the effect is as yet unquantified. Guesswork.
Moore Foundation grant funds study of Tohoku earthquake faultBrodsky, a professor of Earth and planetary sciences, helped organize the Japan Trench Fast Drilling Project (JFAST), which successfully drilled across the Tohoku earthquake fault earlier this year and installed a temperature observatory on the fault. The observatory allows scientists for the first time to measure the frictional heat produced by the fault slip of a great subduction-zone earthquake.
Earthquakes occur as giant plates in the Earth's crust grind past each other. Tectonic forces push the plates forward, while friction on the faults between plates holds them back. According to Brodsky, the lack of measurements of the frictional force during the sliding motion of an earthquake is one of the major impediments to progress in earthquake science.
"Observing and analyzing the temperature on the fault following the recent magnitude 9 Tohoku earthquake provides a unique and probably never-again achievable window into this critical value," Brodsky said. "What we learn will inform and prepare us for the next earthquakes, including the one predicted for the Cascadian subduction zone that lies along the coast of Oregon and Washington."