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Author Topic:   Climate Change Denier comes in from the cold: SCIENCE!!!
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 107 of 960 (750702)
02-21-2015 2:02 AM
Reply to: Message 101 by marc9000
02-20-2015 8:30 PM


What action do I propose to "do something" about my fear of a future financial crisis? And here's my answer - THE U.S. GOVERNMENT SHOULD STOP BORROWING MONEY. Do you have any answers to global warming that are that direct and simple?
In other words, you are not personally going to do anything about your fear of a future crisis. You want the government to fix the problem while you go on doing what you do. On the other hand, you want people who are concerned about global warming to take on the problem strictly by taking personal actions.
No, I don't have a solution for global climate change that involves a bunch of people sitting on their butts ranting about government spending all the while sucking off the government teat. But then, I don't think that's a great way to judge a solution.

Je Suis Charlie
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 101 by marc9000, posted 02-20-2015 8:30 PM marc9000 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 112 by frako, posted 02-21-2015 6:09 PM NoNukes has seen this message but not replied
 Message 121 by marc9000, posted 02-22-2015 8:51 PM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 125 of 960 (750815)
02-22-2015 9:31 PM
Reply to: Message 121 by marc9000
02-22-2015 8:51 PM


If the burning of fossil fuels directly contributes to their way of life, heating their homes, delivering them food, powering their cars, it's much more related to what they object to, than my spending habits are to what I object to, government spending habits.
Right. So let's look at home heating. We can stop heating our homes or we can provide home heating that does not burn or does so more efficiently fossil fuels. You seem to think that only the first option is viable.
Have you stopped using everything involving government spending? Or is it somehow only AGW that is a personal responsibility.
I don't borrow money without a concrete plan to pay it all back, with interest, in a prescribed amount of time.
Good for you. Now stop burning carbon without a plan to remove the 'ash' from the atmosphere. Let's get the government to do that too. And those holding government granted monopolies too.

Je Suis Charlie
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 121 by marc9000, posted 02-22-2015 8:51 PM marc9000 has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 132 of 960 (750890)
02-23-2015 11:04 PM
Reply to: Message 131 by glowby
02-23-2015 10:36 PM


Explain how rounding up from Celsius, adding 67% to its value, is a valid way to arrive at the equivalent Fahrenheit.
Perhaps that's not an accurate description of the math. Nonetheless, an increase of 0.55 degrees C corresponds to approximately a 1 degree F increase in temperature. I have no idea if that is what marc9000 actually meant.

Je Suis Charlie
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 131 by glowby, posted 02-23-2015 10:36 PM glowby has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 134 by RAZD, posted 02-24-2015 9:46 PM NoNukes has seen this message but not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 139 of 960 (766181)
08-13-2015 8:57 PM
Reply to: Message 138 by foreveryoung
08-13-2015 8:09 PM


If you measure the energy of infrared radiation by multiplying planks constant by the frequency of the infrared radiation, and doing the same for mid level ultraviolet radiation
I want to see some numbers. But my first objection is that your calculation does not take into account the relative intensity of UV and IR. The calculation you describe gives a per photon result. We've known from the nineteenth century that high energy photons take lots of energy to make and are thus disfavored with regards to emission from black bodies.
The reason consensus scientists disregard this is because they measure the energy of radiation by its wavelength as if it were a wave.
There is no difference between using wavelength or frequency to calculate the energy of a photon. In fact, wavelength is simply inversely proportional to frequency for light waves(exactly for vacuum and pretty close for air).It is also possible to use energy intensity measurements as well as wave math to achieve the same result. I call total BS on this part. But I'm willing to be shown that scientists have been complete idiots.
The corroborating evidence for this is the nearly flat rate of increase in global temperatures since 1998 when compared to the rate of increase from 1970 to 1998.
This already has an explanation consistent with ACW. So we're going to need a bit more corroboration. Where are you getting this stuff?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 138 by foreveryoung, posted 08-13-2015 8:09 PM foreveryoung has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 140 by foreveryoung, posted 08-13-2015 9:20 PM NoNukes has replied
 Message 141 by foreveryoung, posted 08-13-2015 9:34 PM NoNukes has replied
 Message 144 by foreveryoung, posted 08-13-2015 10:39 PM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 142 of 960 (766185)
08-13-2015 10:09 PM
Reply to: Message 141 by foreveryoung
08-13-2015 9:34 PM


he primary problem with greenhouse gas theory is that it is based on the pervasive assumption that electromagnetic radiation propagates through space and through Earth's atmosphere in a manner similar to waves in matter so that radiant energy is proportional to the square of the amplitude of the waves and is thus summable across some finite bandwidth
From a geophysicist eh?
Note that calculation described here does not use the wavelength in the calculation as you suggested in your original post. Hence my comment that you can use wavelength to calculate energy. That's not the same thing as what Ward says at all, which is that energy is calculated using an inappropriate amplitude (or amplitude squared).
In any event, it is okay to use the amplitude to calculate energy as long as the amplitude is of the proper value such as watt-hr/square meter or joules/square meter. What I want to see here is an example calculation that does not use enery/cm2 but instead uses some inappropriate value of amplitude.
The second thing I'd note is that all colors of light contribute to warming and not just infra red. Infra-red is important because it is the dominant color of re-radiated light due to the low temperature of the earth's surface. The correct comparison is all colors light reaching the earth pre-ozone hole vs the augmented amount due to the ozone hole and not just infra-red vs ultraviolet.
Also, it is not the absorption by CO2 that is important, it is the heating effect on the earth.
Show me an erroneous calculation in a relevant paper. You might also show us the paper you are quoting from.
Here is an example graph from which it is okay to use amplitude to calculate the energy for various frequencies.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 141 by foreveryoung, posted 08-13-2015 9:34 PM foreveryoung has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 146 by foreveryoung, posted 08-18-2015 6:09 PM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 143 of 960 (766186)
08-13-2015 10:37 PM
Reply to: Message 140 by foreveryoung
08-13-2015 9:20 PM


Are you saying the intensity of UV photons striking the earths surface
I am saying that current amount of UV radiation emitted from a body with a surface temperature of 5700 degrees, like sol, is small compared to the amount of other energy emitted. I was probably incorrect about absorption of UV not being an issue if we are talking about CO2 being kept in the atmosphere.
But the UV light is just absorbed by earthly materials and then primarily re-radiated as infra-red. That's why CO2's affect on infra-red is important. The earth's temperature is so low that it radiates hardly any UV light.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 140 by foreveryoung, posted 08-13-2015 9:20 PM foreveryoung has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 145 of 960 (766188)
08-13-2015 11:56 PM
Reply to: Message 144 by foreveryoung
08-13-2015 10:39 PM


The intensity of infrared radiation emitted from earths surface is 359 w/m2 assuming a black body. The intensity of UV radiation reaching earths atmosphere is 1400 w/m2.
Assuming that those numbers are correct, are those values really something that we want to compare? Even now, with the hole in the ozone layer, the amount of UV reaching the earth is far less than 1400 w/m2.
But where did you get that number? An estimate of the amount of sunlight reaching the earth;s atmosphere over all frequencies, is on average about 1400 w/m2. So I don't have much faith in what you are telling me about UV alone.
The two references below both cite 1370 w/m2 based on the suns output (based on suns color) and the inverse square law.
Part 2: Solar Energy Reaching The Earth’s Surface | ITACA
http://www.powerfromthesun.net/Book/chapter02/chapter02.html
To put those numbers into perpective, what is the intensity of all light reaching the earth in the same units, and what percentage of that is UV.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 144 by foreveryoung, posted 08-13-2015 10:39 PM foreveryoung has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 147 of 960 (766545)
08-19-2015 12:33 AM
Reply to: Message 146 by foreveryoung
08-18-2015 6:09 PM


just seemed obvious to me cfcs were responsible for late twentieth century warming since its mechanism used radiation 48 times stronger than infrared and the cfcs high concentration tracked the period of warming exactly
There have been some recent papers addressing and purporting to debunk claims that cfcs are responsible. You might want to be prepared to discuss that once you get the Ward's issue straightened out.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 146 by foreveryoung, posted 08-18-2015 6:09 PM foreveryoung has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 148 by ICANT, posted 08-19-2015 9:38 AM NoNukes has replied
 Message 169 by foreveryoung, posted 08-19-2015 11:20 PM NoNukes has replied
 Message 170 by foreveryoung, posted 08-19-2015 11:39 PM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 154 of 960 (766582)
08-19-2015 11:12 AM
Reply to: Message 148 by ICANT
08-19-2015 9:38 AM


Re: Change
Are you satisfied with Dr. Adequate's answers?
He's covered the bases, and even provided a reference. I'll add the fact that in the antarctic, even though sea ice is growing, the ice on land is decreasing.
Is Antarctica losing or gaining ice?
I'll further add, that we've seen this stuff explained for something close to five years. The fact that you can still find a recent article full of crap does not invalidate old articles explaining exactly what has happened. Dr. Adequate did provide a recent article, but it turns out that this is old denier nonsense.
Let me suggest that whatever the actual truth is about AGW, the scientist that believe in it are not idiots. If you think you have found some simple mistake, the way you and foreveryoung did, why not at least check for the scientific response before running off half cocked?
Al Gore predicted the polar caps would be gone by now. He really believed in global warming or with lining his pockets with other peoples money. Which he did.
And this stuff does not rise and fall with the credibility of Al Gore. I find it somewhat amusing that people think Al Gore's pocketbooks are an indicator, while those of people involved with the industry of burning carbon have motives as pure as the drive snow.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 148 by ICANT, posted 08-19-2015 9:38 AM ICANT has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 160 by ICANT, posted 08-19-2015 4:53 PM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 155 of 960 (766583)
08-19-2015 11:32 AM
Reply to: Message 152 by ICANT
08-19-2015 10:19 AM


Re: Change
Are you sure he did not make that prediction in his acceptance speech of his nobel prize in 2007
Al Gore cannot make is own predictions. Here is what Al Gore did say in his speech.
quote:
Last September 21 (2007), as the Northern Hemisphere tilted away from the sun, scientists reported with unprecedented distress that the North Polar ice cap is "falling off a cliff." One study estimated that it could be completely gone during summer in less than 22 years. Another new study, to be presented by U.S. Navy researchers later this week, warns it could happen in as little as 7 years.
So Al Gore referenced two scientist's studies that themselves are tentative. He makes no claim that the shorter one is more correct, but not only have those become Gore's predictions, but somehow Gore is stuck with a 2014 prediction rather than a 2029 prediction.
Instead of repeatedly asking us what Gore said, why did you not simply reproduce it yourself?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 152 by ICANT, posted 08-19-2015 10:19 AM ICANT has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 166 of 960 (766632)
08-19-2015 5:35 PM
Reply to: Message 157 by ICANT
08-19-2015 4:23 PM


Re: Change
There was 170,000 sq miles more polar ice this year than there was in 1979.
Your question has already been addressed. To be clear though, your number is for polar sea ice only and not all of the polar ice. I don't see any indication of the thickness of the sea ice either.
The polar parts of the oceans are a significant part of the earth, but they are not by any stretch the entire portion of the oceans. So yeah it is possible for the earth's oceans to be warmer overall and yet have the polar caps a bit colder.
http://www.epa.gov/...ndicators/oceans/sea-surface-temp.html

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 157 by ICANT, posted 08-19-2015 4:23 PM ICANT has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 171 of 960 (766664)
08-20-2015 12:29 AM
Reply to: Message 170 by foreveryoung
08-19-2015 11:39 PM


Ward is saying that waves only exist in matter and the matter must have bonds between them as we see in solids and liquids.
Waves only exist in matter? Really? Perhaps you should let us look at the paper. Perhaps Ward said something that makes some sense.
Ward says radiation exists purely as frequency in free space and within gases and the only correct way to calculate its energy is through Plank's equation.
Radiation exists purely as frequency? Does characterization "purely as frequency" make any sense to you? You've had a heat/light/sound type physics course, right?
Electromagnetic radiation is a propagating traverse wave of time varying electric and magnetic fields. Frequency is a property of the wave and is not material in any way It is simply the number of oscillation of a wave passing by a point per second.
...UV radiation much more energetic than infrared.
You don't need any of the BS to get me to accept this. The energy of a single photon of UV radiation is definitely greater than that of a single IR photon. That comparison remains even for light propagating through a vacuum.
it must be shown that its flux ( quantity per square meter ) is at least close to that of infrared. I have not determined that yet.
Wrong. You have to show that the UV energy is a substantial part of all of the energy that reaches the earth from the sun.
If it can be shown that mid level UV flux striking earths surface in the late 20 th century was at least on the same order of magnitude as infrared during that time, would you be willing to say your confidence in co2 as the prime cause of global warming is less than 50% ?
No. Infra red is important because it can be trapped on the earth and not because it is the major means by which sunlight reaches the earth. Once the sun's energy reaches earth it can be reflected away or it can heat up the earth, but when it is re-radiated from the earth, it is re-radiated almost exclusively as IR regardless of how it arrived on earth.
It might be far easier to simply show me where UV light is handled improperly in a scientific paper. That would carry some weight.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 170 by foreveryoung, posted 08-19-2015 11:39 PM foreveryoung has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 175 by foreveryoung, posted 08-20-2015 1:26 AM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 172 of 960 (766665)
08-20-2015 12:33 AM
Reply to: Message 169 by foreveryoung
08-19-2015 11:20 PM


The objections were lightweight in my estimation
Surely you realize that this is not any kind of argument.
The objections were lightweight in my estimation and Lu published another paper debunking the objections.
Sounds like we might have something to discuss.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 169 by foreveryoung, posted 08-19-2015 11:20 PM foreveryoung has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 176 by foreveryoung, posted 08-20-2015 1:30 AM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 183 of 960 (766694)
08-20-2015 11:57 AM
Reply to: Message 176 by foreveryoung
08-20-2015 1:30 AM


My argument is that nucitelli and cook have no argument whatsoever.
That would not be an argument. That would be your assertion. An argument would require you to demonstrate what they said. So far I don't see any arguments from you.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 176 by foreveryoung, posted 08-20-2015 1:30 AM foreveryoung has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 184 of 960 (766695)
08-20-2015 12:02 PM
Reply to: Message 179 by foreveryoung
08-20-2015 2:07 AM


So you believe light exists between source and where it illuminates an object? Where is your evidence??
You can measure the magnetic and electric field strengths at all points between the source and the destination. When you do so, you will find a time varying magnetic and electric field at every point and varying in both time and space. A propagating, time varying electo-magnetic field is a wave.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
If there are no stupid questions, then what kind of questions do stupid people ask? Do they get smart just in time to ask questions? Scott Adams

This message is a reply to:
 Message 179 by foreveryoung, posted 08-20-2015 2:07 AM foreveryoung has not replied

  
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