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Author Topic:   Gun Control III
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 4512
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 4.2


Message 827 of 834 (862098)
08-31-2019 7:18 PM


Midland-Odessa
Midland-Odessa Texas. 5 dead, 20+ injured, shooter killed.

Another Texas mass shooting


Eschew obfuscation. Habituate elucidation.

Replies to this message:
 Message 828 by Percy, posted 09-01-2019 6:15 PM AZPaul3 has acknowledged this reply

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 18842
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 2.5


Message 828 of 834 (862137)
09-01-2019 6:15 PM
Reply to: Message 827 by AZPaul3
08-31-2019 7:18 PM


Re: Midland-Odessa
Today on Meet the Press I watched a Republican (Rick Scott, FL) and a Democrat (Julián Castro, TX) offer useless solutions to the gun problem. Rick Scott deemed it a mental health problem while Julián Castro called for modestly tightening up gun registration laws. Scott's approach is no solution at all while Castro's is at least a move in the right direction, but neither will significantly reduce our high gun death rate because the real problem is too many guns and too lax gun regulations.

Here's a table of guns per capita and the gun homicide rate for North American and European countries. The United States is an extreme outlier. We have at least three times as many guns per capita as any other country, and our homicide rate is at least four times greater:

CountryGuns Per 100 PersonsGun Homicides per 100,000
United States120.54.46
Serbia39.10.61
Canada34.70.75
Finland32.40.32
Iceland31.70.00
Austria30.00.12
North Macedonia29.80.19
Norway28.80.10
Switzerland27.60.15
Sweden23.10.32
Portugal21.30.42
France19.60.21
Germany19.61.01
Luxembourg18.90.00
Greece17.60.53
Slovenia15.60.20
Italy14.40.35
Croatia13.70.35
Belgium12.70.14
Czech Republic12.50.15
Hungary10.50.11
Latvia10.50.18
Denmark9.90.11
Bulgaria8.40.34
Spain7.50.15
Ireland7.20.21
Estonia5.00.15
Moldova3.00.45
Netherlands2.60.29
Romania2.60.04
Poland2.50.04

--Percy


This message is a reply to:
 Message 827 by AZPaul3, posted 08-31-2019 7:18 PM AZPaul3 has acknowledged this reply

Replies to this message:
 Message 829 by Tangle, posted 09-02-2019 10:39 AM Percy has responded

    
Tangle
Member
Posts: 7068
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 829 of 834 (862153)
09-02-2019 10:39 AM
Reply to: Message 828 by Percy
09-01-2019 6:15 PM


Re: Midland-Odessa
Looking at those numbers I couldn't really see a strong correlation between guns and homicides but was surprised to find that it's r=0.87 - a very strong correlation.

But if you remove the USA as a massive outlier, you get r=0.27 - a very weak correlation.

Not sure what to think about that ... except that the USA is weird.


Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif. Je suis Parisien. I am Mancunian. I am Brum. I am London.I am Finland. Soy Barcelona

"Life, don't talk to me about life" - Marvin the Paranoid Android

"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.


This message is a reply to:
 Message 828 by Percy, posted 09-01-2019 6:15 PM Percy has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 830 by Chiroptera, posted 09-02-2019 11:04 AM Tangle has not yet responded
 Message 831 by Percy, posted 09-02-2019 3:43 PM Tangle has responded

  
Chiroptera
Member
Posts: 6800
From: Oklahoma
Joined: 09-28-2003
Member Rating: 7.2


(1)
Message 830 of 834 (862155)
09-02-2019 11:04 AM
Reply to: Message 829 by Tangle
09-02-2019 10:39 AM


Re: Midland-Odessa
Not sure what to think about that ... except that the USA is weird.

1. Americans are a very violent people.

2. You shouldn't let violent people have guns.

Edited by Chiroptera, : Typo.

Edited by Chiroptera, : Another one.


Hard as it is to fathom, Mr President, just because you’re the leader of the free world doesn’t entitle you to a free pass. Unfortunately, just a free press. -- Neil Cavuto

This message is a reply to:
 Message 829 by Tangle, posted 09-02-2019 10:39 AM Tangle has not yet responded

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 18842
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 2.5


Message 831 of 834 (862165)
09-02-2019 3:43 PM
Reply to: Message 829 by Tangle
09-02-2019 10:39 AM


Re: Midland-Odessa
Tangle writes:

Looking at those numbers I couldn't really see a strong correlation between guns and homicides but was surprised to find that it's r=0.87 - a very strong correlation.

But if you remove the USA as a massive outlier, you get r=0.27 - a very weak correlation.

Before I posted I did a scatterplot on the data just to see if it looked like there was strong correlation, though I didn't expect one other than the one datapoint for the US. I figured it would take large differences in the number of guns per capita (like the one between the US and Europe) to reveal a strong correlation given other factors, such as gun regulations and culture.

What did you do to extract the numbers into your analysis tool?

--Percy


This message is a reply to:
 Message 829 by Tangle, posted 09-02-2019 10:39 AM Tangle has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 832 by Tangle, posted 09-02-2019 4:20 PM Percy has responded

    
Tangle
Member
Posts: 7068
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.5


(1)
Message 832 of 834 (862171)
09-02-2019 4:20 PM
Reply to: Message 831 by Percy
09-02-2019 3:43 PM


Re: Midland-Odessa
Percy writes:

What did you do to extract the numbers into your analysis tool?

Nothing clever, I just typed in the numbers into Excel and used its CORREL function.

If you used Excel to draw your scattergraph you can add a trendline and tick the r2 function box too.


Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif. Je suis Parisien. I am Mancunian. I am Brum. I am London.I am Finland. Soy Barcelona

"Life, don't talk to me about life" - Marvin the Paranoid Android

"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.


This message is a reply to:
 Message 831 by Percy, posted 09-02-2019 3:43 PM Percy has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 833 by Percy, posted 09-02-2019 6:13 PM Tangle has not yet responded

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 18842
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 2.5


Message 833 of 834 (862182)
09-02-2019 6:13 PM
Reply to: Message 832 by Tangle
09-02-2019 4:20 PM


Re: Midland-Odessa
I also put the numbers in Excel, using Emacs, then just used the scatterplot function. I didn't know about the trendline or the "r2 function box", I'll check it out.

--Percy


This message is a reply to:
 Message 832 by Tangle, posted 09-02-2019 4:20 PM Tangle has not yet responded

    
Percy
Member
Posts: 18842
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 2.5


Message 834 of 834 (862281)
09-03-2019 3:03 PM


Bad Solutions Moving Forward, Good Solutions Stalled
Guns are moving into the classroom. Anyone who understands that guns increase rather than lessen danger knows this is a bad move. It's only a matter of time before a teacher or staff member carries out a shooting, perhaps a mass shooting, maybe an accidental shooting. Brief excerpt:

quote:
Among the most extreme and divisive options, some school districts have chosen to arm staff members, putting guns in the hands of teachers to protect schools from guns in the hands of students.


A pistol in the waistband of a teacher, who
will wear an outer shirt to hide the weapon at school.

AbE: Does that look like a safe way to carry a gun? Does that gun look very effective against an assault weapon with a 50 round magazine?

--Percy

Edited by Percy, : AbE.

Edited by Percy, : Formatting.


    
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