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Author Topic:   Record breaking heatwave
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 1 of 19 (886993)
06-27-2021 1:32 PM


Where I live is predicted to reach 113 degrees F today, so it will be interesting to see how accurate that prediction is. Yesterday we hit 101 and 103-107 was predicted by different sources. I can google weather underground and it will show me the local weather stations that are regularly updating their readings online.

I have always been interested in my local weather and how that averages out to give me trends in local climate. When I couple those observations with notes on daily observations of insects (adult emergence dates), plants (leafing and blooming dates), and vertebrates (nesting and mating dates) for the past 60 years, a distinct pattern emerges.

This year we have noticed that Western Tiger Swallowtail Butterflies (Papilio rutulus) are the most abundant we have ever seen. The working hypothesis is that the caterpillars pupated and emerged as adults, before the migratory birds that normally feed them to their nestlings arrived in the spring. A similar effect is being observed with plants and their pollinators getting out of synch.

I sure hope we don't lose power and AC this week! Stay cool.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 2 of 19 (886994)
06-27-2021 3:05 PM


Todays temperature range: 66F to 113F (predicted). I'm at 96.1F on a calibrated lab thermometer at 11:40 AM.

I know there are EvC members who experience +100F days routinely, but they are fairly rare still in the Pacific Northwest and I'm mostly stuck inside during the primary flight hours for my local dragonflies. I can't even work on images in my lab because my new air conditioning unit isn't installed yet.

In 2020 100+ was recorded north of the arctic circle for the first time. Weather records are broken somewhere every day, but this looks like a distinct trend to me. Predictions of the effects of the current climate shift by scientists, like glaciers melting, storm and drought intensity, wildfire seasons and intensities, fresh water supply and many others seem to be consistently under estimated.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


Replies to this message:
 Message 9 by nwr, posted 06-27-2021 8:44 PM Tanypteryx has responded

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 6 of 19 (886998)
06-27-2021 6:31 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by dwise1
06-27-2021 6:20 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
When I read Tanypteryx' report I wondered which side of the mountains he's on.

I'm in the Willamette Valley between the Coast Range and the Cascades.

It's 15:30 and 108F.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by dwise1, posted 06-27-2021 6:20 PM dwise1 has not yet responded

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 8 of 19 (887000)
06-27-2021 6:41 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by anglagard
06-27-2021 6:34 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
Besides, it will get hot as f**k come July and August here right around the corner, so no reason to be smug, karma is coming.

Weather karma is a bitch!


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by anglagard, posted 06-27-2021 6:34 PM anglagard has not yet responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 10 by ringo, posted 06-28-2021 12:25 PM Tanypteryx has responded

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


(1)
Message 11 of 19 (887015)
06-28-2021 1:32 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by nwr
06-27-2021 8:44 PM


The usual suspects are still saying that it is all a hoax.

I would like to use a big magnifying glass on them.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by nwr, posted 06-27-2021 8:44 PM nwr has acknowledged this reply

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


(2)
Message 12 of 19 (887016)
06-28-2021 1:34 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by ringo
06-28-2021 12:25 PM


Re: HEAT SURVIVAL
Every time it's above average or below average, they're amazed. I feel like grabbing them by the throat and asking them, "Do you know what average means?"

Their intelligence is too far below average.


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by ringo, posted 06-28-2021 12:25 PM ringo has acknowledged this reply

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 14 of 19 (887018)
06-28-2021 3:21 PM


It's noon and 104.9F. We thought it was going to be cooler today, but now it looks like we could surpass yesterday.

What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 15 of 19 (887019)
06-28-2021 5:24 PM


2:24 and it's 111F.

What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 16 of 19 (887020)
06-28-2021 9:20 PM


Wow, it peaked at 112F and now 3 hors later it has dropped to 87F.

What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


Replies to this message:
 Message 17 by dwise1, posted 06-28-2021 10:41 PM Tanypteryx has responded

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 2572
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 18 of 19 (887022)
06-28-2021 10:56 PM
Reply to: Message 17 by dwise1
06-28-2021 10:41 PM


I was just outside and it is 76F. Crazy! My daughter is near Portland and it's still pretty hot up there. A nice breeze blowing in marine air. last Friday predictions were for high 90s all week.

92 tomorrow and 87 the next day. I can get back to work!


What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python

One important characteristic of a theory is that is has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie

If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --percy

The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq


This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by dwise1, posted 06-28-2021 10:41 PM dwise1 has not yet responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 19 by Minnemooseus, posted 06-29-2021 10:00 PM Tanypteryx has not yet responded

  
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