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The Importance of Potentially Disconfirming Evidence

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Author Topic:   The Importance of Potentially Disconfirming Evidence
jar
Member (Idle past 422 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004

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Message 169 of 182 (116058)
06-17-2004 1:00 PM

Has anyone posted the design explanatory filter?
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If so, could it be referenced for us dummies?
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Aslan is not a Tame Lion
Replies to this message:
 Message 170 by MrHambre, posted 06-17-2004 1:19 PM jar has not replied
 Message 171 by John Paul, posted 06-17-2004 1:29 PM jar has replied
  
jar
Member (Idle past 422 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004

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Message 177 of 182 (116095)
06-17-2004 3:14 PM 		Reply to: Message 171 by John Paul
06-17-2004 1:29 PM

Re: DEF
I can see how that might be applied to future predictions, but it seems to me to fall apart with anything that already exists,
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First, the probability of something occuring is totally unimportant if it happened. It happened.
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Second, speaking of probabilities of something occuring is silly unless you also include large numbers of both solutions and time. The odds against winning a lottery might seem high to those who have only one ticket. Those of us with all the tickets do not find it remarkable.
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In addition, buying all the tickets for every lottery makes it pretty easy to beat the odds fairly regularly.
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Based on that definition I'd say ID is a crock and certainly not something worth wasting any further time on.
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Thank you sir.
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Aslan is not a Tame Lion
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