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Author Topic:   Dating Methodology and its Associated Assumptions
jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 11 of 217 (144746)
09-25-2004 7:12 PM
Reply to: Message 7 by Cold Foreign Object
09-25-2004 5:38 PM


The KBS Tuff dating fiasco (1976 "Nature" magazine) used Isochron methods, the very methods that are claimed to ensure errors cannot occurr because of anomalous loss or gain of argon.
While I don't think many really consider the dating controversy over KBS Tuff and the other Tuffs from the area a 'fiasco', it is a good example of how science works to correct itself and provided even more support for evolution and the descent of man.
Here is a great interview with Dr. Ian McDougall where he discusses that very incident as well as the general growth in both knowledge and technique in dating. It also shows how multiple means of dating are used to cross check results.
Also, here is a link to the dates for some of the other tuffs found in the Koobi Fora Formation and it's the other tuffs that date from 700,000 years ago to 3.5 million years ago.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 09-25-2004 5:38 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 14 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 09-25-2004 8:14 PM jar has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 18 of 217 (144912)
09-26-2004 8:59 PM
Reply to: Message 17 by Cold Foreign Object
09-26-2004 7:57 PM


Re: KBS Tuff
Did you read the links relating to this I provided? It explains how they determined which dates were likely to be realistic.
Dating of this tuff by the K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar methods had given a wide range of numerical ages from about 1.6 to 2.6 Ma, leading to much debate, particularly as the older age would have meant that ER 1470 was the oldest hominid known at that time. The co-leaders of the Koobi Fora Research Expedition, Richard Leakey and Glynn Isaac, invited me to participate in further isotopic dating of the tuffs, a number of which were known to occur in the sedimentary sequence. In principle, isotopic dating of alkali feldspar crystals found within pumice clasts in a tuff would yield an age for the igneous eruption. As deposition of a tuff within a sedimentary basin generally would have occurred within a very short interval after the eruption, days to perhaps tens of years, extending to hundreds of years at most, the age obtained on a tuff also provides a close estimate of the age of deposition. Thus, in 1978 I was able to undertake field work at Koobi Fora, collecting pumice clasts and tuffs from a number of horizons throughout the sequence, under the guidance of the geologist of the expedition at that time, Ian Findlater. Subsequently, our initial K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar dating results on the KBS Tuff were published in Nature in 1980 and 1981, showing that it had a quite reproducible age of 1.88 0.02 Ma. These results were seen as resolving the controversy on the numerical age of the KBS Tuff and thus of ER 1470 recovered from sediments just below the tuff (e.g. see Hay, R. L., Nature 284: 401, 1980).
From and interview with Dr. Ian McDougall.
One of the nice things about science is the key issue of reproduciblity. Issues like age or other controversial questions are subjected to peer review and testing by other researchers. In this case multiple samples from multiple sites were used to cross check with the result that the tufs were dated with a high degree of confidence.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 09-26-2004 7:57 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 26 of 217 (145810)
09-29-2004 8:42 PM
Reply to: Message 24 by Cold Foreign Object
09-29-2004 8:07 PM


KBS Tuff = Example of Science at its best.
Did you read the links relating to this I provided? It explains how they determined which dates were likely to be realistic.
Dating of this tuff by the K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar methods had given a wide range of numerical ages from about 1.6 to 2.6 Ma, leading to much debate, particularly as the older age would have meant that ER 1470 was the oldest hominid known at that time. The co-leaders of the Koobi Fora Research Expedition, Richard Leakey and Glynn Isaac, invited me to participate in further isotopic dating of the tuffs, a number of which were known to occur in the sedimentary sequence. In principle, isotopic dating of alkali feldspar crystals found within pumice clasts in a tuff would yield an age for the igneous eruption. As deposition of a tuff within a sedimentary basin generally would have occurred within a very short interval after the eruption, days to perhaps tens of years, extending to hundreds of years at most, the age obtained on a tuff also provides a close estimate of the age of deposition. Thus, in 1978 I was able to undertake field work at Koobi Fora, collecting pumice clasts and tuffs from a number of horizons throughout the sequence, under the guidance of the geologist of the expedition at that time, Ian Findlater. Subsequently, our initial K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar dating results on the KBS Tuff were published in Nature in 1980 and 1981, showing that it had a quite reproducible age of 1.88 0.02 Ma. These results were seen as resolving the controversy on the numerical age of the KBS Tuff and thus of ER 1470 recovered from sediments just below the tuff (e.g. see Hay, R. L., Nature 284: 401, 1980).
From and interview with Dr. Ian McDougall.
One of the nice things about science is the key issue of reproduciblity. Issues like age or other controversial questions are subjected to peer review and testing by other researchers. In this case multiple samples from multiple sites were used to cross check with the result that the tufs were dated with a high degree of confidence.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 24 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 09-29-2004 8:07 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 46 of 217 (147336)
10-04-2004 11:00 PM
Reply to: Message 45 by Cold Foreign Object
10-04-2004 10:31 PM


Re: KBS TUFF is the subject
Did you read the links relating to this I provided? It explains how they determined which dates were likely to be realistic.
Dating of this tuff by the K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar methods had given a wide range of numerical ages from about 1.6 to 2.6 Ma, leading to much debate, particularly as the older age would have meant that ER 1470 was the oldest hominid known at that time. The co-leaders of the Koobi Fora Research Expedition, Richard Leakey and Glynn Isaac, invited me to participate in further isotopic dating of the tuffs, a number of which were known to occur in the sedimentary sequence. In principle, isotopic dating of alkali feldspar crystals found within pumice clasts in a tuff would yield an age for the igneous eruption. As deposition of a tuff within a sedimentary basin generally would have occurred within a very short interval after the eruption, days to perhaps tens of years, extending to hundreds of years at most, the age obtained on a tuff also provides a close estimate of the age of deposition. Thus, in 1978 I was able to undertake field work at Koobi Fora, collecting pumice clasts and tuffs from a number of horizons throughout the sequence, under the guidance of the geologist of the expedition at that time, Ian Findlater. Subsequently, our initial K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar dating results on the KBS Tuff were published in Nature in 1980 and 1981, showing that it had a quite reproducible age of 1.88 0.02 Ma. These results were seen as resolving the controversy on the numerical age of the KBS Tuff and thus of ER 1470 recovered from sediments just below the tuff (e.g. see Hay, R. L., Nature 284: 401, 1980).
From and interview with Dr. Ian McDougall.
One of the nice things about science is the key issue of reproduciblity. Issues like age or other controversial questions are subjected to peer review and testing by other researchers. In this case multiple samples from multiple sites were used to cross check with the result that the tufs were dated with a high degree of confidence.
In fact, McDougall also revealed the "scatter" that Fitch chastised Berkeley for was even greater in his reported results.
McDougall (on Fitch scatter): 0.52 to 2.64 million years for one set of samples and ages of 8.43 to 17.5 million years on another set before settling on their 2.6 million date.
Again, you make these totally unsupported assertions. According to what Dr. McDougall said, "Dating of this tuff by the K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar methods had given a wide range of numerical ages from about 1.6 to 2.6 Ma".
Where did you get the figures you assert above?
You also assert
This date only split the difference of the discordant dates produced by our two top notch teams leaving the descrepancy only half as much for both sides.
yet the interview that has been provided to you at least three times now tells an enitely different story. There was no spliting of the dates. Instead, all new samples were gathered at the site under the supervision of the geologist. Those new samples were analyzed.
Thus, in 1978 I was able to undertake field work at Koobi Fora, collecting pumice clasts and tuffs from a number of horizons throughout the sequence, under the guidance of the geologist of the expedition at that time, Ian Findlater.
Why do you continue in thread after thread to make unsupported assertions even after they have been shown to be false?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 45 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-04-2004 10:31 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 48 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-04-2004 11:21 PM jar has replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 49 of 217 (147350)
10-04-2004 11:34 PM
Reply to: Message 48 by Cold Foreign Object
10-04-2004 11:21 PM


Re: KBS TUFF is the subject
Trying to change the topic again WILLOWTREE? That seems to be your prefered tactic instead of answering the questions asked of you. Perhaps it's because you once again are just plain lying? Could it be that yet again you've been caught lying?
So let's try to stick to the topic of the thread.
WILLOWTREE asserted
quote:
In fact, McDougall also revealed the "scatter" that Fitch chastised Berkeley for was even greater in his reported results.
McDougall (on Fitch scatter): 0.52 to 2.64 million years for one set of samples and ages of 8.43 to 17.5 million years on another set before settling on their 2.6 million date.
I asked "Where did you get the figures you assert above?"
Do you have an answer?
You also asserted:
quote:
This date only split the difference of the discordant dates produced by our two top notch teams leaving the descrepancy only half as much for both sides.
yet the interview that has been provided to you at least three times now tells an enitely different story. There was no spliting of the dates. Instead, all new samples were gathered at the site under the supervision of the geologist. Those new samples were analyzed.
Thus, in 1978 I was able to undertake field work at Koobi Fora, collecting pumice clasts and tuffs from a number of horizons throughout the sequence, under the guidance of the geologist of the expedition at that time, Ian Findlater.
Why do you continue in thread after thread to make unsupported assertions even after they have been shown to be false?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 48 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-04-2004 11:21 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 52 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-05-2004 10:01 PM jar has replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 53 of 217 (147674)
10-05-2004 10:18 PM
Reply to: Message 52 by Cold Foreign Object
10-05-2004 10:01 PM


Re: KBS TUFF is the subject
jar reasonably asked WILLOWTREE:
quote:
Why do you continue in thread after thread to make unsupported assertions even after they have been shown to be false?
to which WT responded:
Your above comment is an unsupported opinion uttered to trick an Admin into intervening in your behalf.
You might be right, let's check.
Look at Message 11 to begin with.
You're response was in Message 14 where you said...
Jar:
With all due respect I am not engaged here to "learn" per se.
Later you repeated the same false statement that McDougal simply split the difference between the previously determined dates.
I again pointed out that was not at all what really happened, that McDougal returned to the site and collected additional samples under the direction of the on-site geologist in Message 18,Message 26 and Message 46. And you still maintain that I am making unsupported assertions.
I have asked you to provide the support for your assertions. Can you at the least make an attempt to provide backing for your claims that all that happened was that McDougal split the difference between the other dates and that McDougal showed a scatter equal to your claim?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 52 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-05-2004 10:01 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 54 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-05-2004 11:00 PM jar has replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 55 of 217 (147680)
10-05-2004 11:25 PM
Reply to: Message 54 by Cold Foreign Object
10-05-2004 11:00 PM


Re: KBS TUFF is the subject
For the most part you have only argued by website.
Well, let's see if that is true or simply yet another of your assertions?
The topic is " Dating Methodology and its Associated Assumptions"
I said
One of the nice things about science is the key issue of reproduciblity. Issues like age or other controversial questions are subjected to peer review and testing by other researchers. In this case multiple samples from multiple sites were used to cross check with the result that the tufs were dated with a high degree of confidence.
and
Again, you make these totally unsupported assertions. According to what Dr. McDougall said, "Dating of this tuff by the K-Ar and 40Ar-39Ar methods had given a wide range of numerical ages from about 1.6 to 2.6 Ma".
and
There was no spliting of the dates. Instead, all new samples were gathered at the site under the supervision of the geologist. Those new samples were analyzed.
In addition, I supplied links to the interview with McDougal, a direct link to the actual source, the person who did the studies.
So far you have not supplied a single source for your assertions on this subject. You are not debating links or even my comments, only making assertions.
Perhaps that will change.
WILLOWTREE writes:
Jar, I thought you were a Bible believing Protestant ?, if I am right, then the Bible is perceived better. This shoud be a win/win for you - no ?
What does that have to do with anything?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 54 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-05-2004 11:00 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 85 of 217 (152164)
10-22-2004 11:13 PM
Reply to: Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 11:02 PM


What about the discard dates in the KBS Tuff dating fiasco ?
Those discard dates ranged from one half million to 17.5 million years. (already posted - do you want me to retrieve them ?)
This is the precise context of the accusation.
That too is false. You have been shown that is a false assertion by direct post to the interview with Ian McDougall who did the dating.
In case you missed it, here is the link one more time to the interview.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 82 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 11:02 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 116 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 5:01 PM jar has replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 126 of 217 (153851)
10-28-2004 6:59 PM
Reply to: Message 116 by Cold Foreign Object
10-28-2004 5:01 PM


jar said
That too is false. You have been shown that is a false assertion by direct link to the interview with Ian McDougall, the person who did the dating.
to which WILLOWTREE replies:
quote:
The reason why your opinion carries no weight of validity is because you have a 100 percent record of never conceding or admitting or even staying silent pertaining to anything with which you disagree.
But in this case we are not dealing with opinion, but rather facts. You made an unsupported assertion. I pointed you to an interview done with the person who actually did the study, an interview where he laid out his methods and the results.
Those are not issues that can be disputed. There were no hidden or discarded dates. All of the dates were published and the procedures and method documented.
You are simply wrong here. There is no question, it's not a matter of opinion, you are simply incorrect.
The Red Hand of Zara proves that no amount of evidence and no matter how clear - you will deny the obvious.
Totally off topic. If you have anything to say related to your unsupported assertion there, take it to that thread.
On this basis I must conclude that the same dishonesty must extend into your arguments about evolution = proven bias against Bible regardless of evidence.
You have a habit of whining that anyone who posts evidence contrary to your assertions is dishonest. You might do better if instead of simply calling other posters dishonest you tried to provide some evidence.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 116 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 5:01 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 128 of 217 (153883)
10-28-2004 8:32 PM
Reply to: Message 127 by Cold Foreign Object
10-28-2004 7:45 PM


A question for WILLOWTREE
John came home from work. He took all the coins from his pocket and placed them all in a pile. One hour later he moved half the coins from the first pile into a second pile. An hour after that he moved half the coins from the first pile into the second pile. He repeated that every hour on the hour.
Sometime later I came by and found there were 64 coins in the first pile and 960 coins in the second pile.
How many hours before I came by did John come home?

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 127 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 7:45 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 129 by NosyNed, posted 10-28-2004 8:39 PM jar has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 137 of 217 (153911)
10-28-2004 10:16 PM
Reply to: Message 136 by Cold Foreign Object
10-28-2004 10:10 PM


Bump for WILLOWTREE
Still waiting for an answer to the question asked in Message 128.
Once we get that settled we can go on to the next question.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 136 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 10:10 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 149 of 217 (153990)
10-29-2004 12:39 AM


Bump for WILLOWTREE
Still waiting for an answer to the question asked in Message 128.
Once we get that settled we can go on to the next question.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 155 of 217 (154044)
10-29-2004 6:14 AM
Reply to: Message 150 by Cold Foreign Object
10-29-2004 12:52 AM


Fourth request for an answer from WILLOWTREE
Still waiting for an answer to the question asked in Message 128.
Once we get that settled we can go on to the next question.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 150 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-29-2004 12:52 AM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 170 of 217 (154224)
10-29-2004 5:36 PM
Reply to: Message 166 by Cold Foreign Object
10-29-2004 5:09 PM


Fifth such request to WILLOWTREE
Still waiting for an answer to the question asked in Message 128.
Once we get that settled we can go on to the next question.
This message has been edited by jar, 10-29-2004 04:36 PM

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 166 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-29-2004 5:09 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

jar
Member (Idle past 416 days)
Posts: 34026
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004


Message 193 of 217 (154599)
10-31-2004 11:40 AM
Reply to: Message 185 by Cold Foreign Object
10-30-2004 8:48 PM


Sixth Request for an answer from WILLOWTREE
Still waiting for an answer to the question asked in Message 128.
Once we get that settled we can go on to the next question.

Aslan is not a Tame Lion

This message is a reply to:
 Message 185 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-30-2004 8:48 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

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