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Author | Topic: For Wolf - Prophecy, Coincidence, or Made Up? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
Brian, using one part of the book to prove another is your view and seems silly to you. So be it. I see it as a true story over hundreds of years of text from different authors that has a climax in the gospels in the form of the story of Jesus. By that same logic, I could add the "Left Behind" series to the selection of books in the Bible, and say "Look, it must be true! It's teh prophecy fulfilled!!11!" ("Left Behind," btw, is a series of books about the rapture and fulfillment of the prophecies of Revelation) A book cannot prove anything by its mere existance, and it certainly cannot prove itself to be true. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
Then you believe it coincidence. Prove that it's not. We know only that the universe exists. What reason do you have to believe that it needed a "cause?" Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
The Mathematical Odds of Jesus Fulfilling Prophecy The following probabilities are taken from Peter Stoner in Science Speaks (Moody Press, 1963) to show that coincidence is ruled out by the science of probability. Stoner says that by using the modern science of probability in reference to eight prophecies, 'we find that the chance that any man might have lived down to the present time and fulfilled all eight prophecies is 1 in 10 to the 17th power." That would be 1 in 100,000,000,000,000,000. "Evidence that Demands a Verdict by Josh McDowell." OMG. You did NOT just bring THIS bit of tripe into the argument! You wouldn't even believe how hard I'm laughing right now. Here's more of that same logic:
quote: The math in these books is total bunk. They assume such things as "the probability of God's existance is 1 in 2." As in He either exists or He doesn't. But that's not the case - Either He exists, or Zeus exists, or there is no God, or there are many gods, or an infinite amount of other possibilities that are equally likely. The actual probability of God's existance is 1 in infinity! And it's circular logic to boot. Not to mention you are still using a book to prove itself. If a book fulfills its own prophecies, that's not so impressive - I can write a book that makes some predictions, and in the sequel I can write in the fulfillment of those "prophecies." It still doesns't prove that they actually happened, or if the characters even exist at all.
He fulfilled more than 8. To keep this in perspective, we are talking about specifics, such as riding into Jerusalem on a donkey, thirst while being executed and given vinegar, people casting lots for his clothes, being betrayed by a close friend, being betrayed for 30 pieces of silver, that silver used to buy a potter's field, being buried in a richman's grave....so on and so forth. All written in the same book as the prophecies themselves. You need supporting evidence Tal. You need to prove that these prophecies applied to Jesus, that Jesus even existed, that Jesus did the things in the prophecies you apply to Him... A book can SAY whatever the author wants, Tal. Until there is outside supporting evidence, the book is nothing but a fairy tale. Faith is all well and good, but it doesn't hold up in a debate where evidence is required. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
That will be covered in 1-4, and I'll repost 5 when I make that topic. And what about the rest of my post? Is that a concession? Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
hot damn - I know this is a classic Fallacy but I cannot remember the name? anyone? Red Herring, I believe. The existance or nonexistance of George Washington is wholly irrelevant to the existance or nonexistance of Jesus. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
That is an amazing argument (in favor of the need for improved math education). Well, the guy in the quote I provided was, as I recall, a philosophy professor. Obviously he should stick with that, and leave the probabilities to the math majors. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
Yes: leave the math to the math majors. I was thinking the very same thing about the guy I quoted ... By all means, SHOW me where my logic is flawed. I can show you several ways the gentlemen quoted WERE wrong in their probability calculations. Are you seriously proposing that there is a 1 in 2 chance that God exists? That all other religions throughout history are somehow less likely in the absence of additional evidence? Please, give us more than a cryptic and insulting one-liner to work with here. Otherwise you're just making personal attacks, a clear violation of the forum rules. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
sn't the problem with the a-priori assignment of a 50% probability that each of these claims is true? With the evidence at hand (The proper a-priori probability given our ignorance is a very very very small figure - near zero), we have no basis to excluse any of the other concepts in favour of this particular one. Therefore at the outset we must build into our calculation all of the other possible concepts. This gives us an infinite number of concepts? That's exactly what I said. I'd really like to know where he thinks I'm mistaken. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
moreover don't we have a problem that we (and forgive me I don't know the right terms) have no way of judging how possible each of the gods is? Would we not need to build this in? It IS built in. The probability of something existing when there is no evidence to suggest that it does is near-zero. God's existance is just as likely as the existance of the gods of any other religion, or an infinite number of theoretical worlds where no gods exist that similarly have no evidence to support their existance. Therefore, the existance of a single, all-powerful God is one possibility amongst an infinite number of equal possibilities. Note that the math in the quote I provided is also wrong, even if you bypass the flawed assumptions - there is a 50% chance that God does not exist - but there is a 97% chance that He was raised from the dead? That doesn't make any sense at all. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
How's this for Christianity?
quote: Mithra-ism certainly makes the Bible look like a close copy of a much older religion. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
The last "meaningful reply" (and I use the terms loosely) that you have made in this, your own thread, was 2 pages and nearly 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, you have been posting in other threads whuile seeming to ignore your own. It looks to us, Tal, like you don't have a leg to stand on in this argument and are simply retreating.
Either post a meaningful rebuttal for the arguments against you, or conceed so that we can all move on. B Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
In the beginning I told you it could be looked at in 3 basic ways. You fall into one of those categories, I fall into another. I don't have to defend any of them. "It's my OPINION, so you can't say I'm wrong!" You know, my then-13 year old stepdaughter used that one. As Jar said, you DO have to defend your position. Especially since he has provided pretty convincing evidence that you are flat wrong. You can have the "opinion" that the sky is green with yellow polkadots and that the moon is made of cheese, but you would still be wrong. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
Rahvin, did I not start out the OP saying there were 3 different ways you could look at the info? Look at the title! You can either take this as prophecy, coincidence, or made up. I never inferred with the title that this WAS absolute prophecy and there's noway you can look at it as anything but. If I say you can look at this 1 of 3 ways, and you pick way 2, what am I defending? The problem is that you are wrong. Jar has soundly proven that your "prophesies" were talking about something completely different, and had nothing to do with Jesus. If I say there are 3 differnt ways you can look at the color of the sky: 1) it's blue becuase the Earth is wrapped in blue celophane2) the air itself glows blue all the time 3) the specific chemical makeup of the air in the atmosphere filters out certain wavelenghts of light, and blue, being the shortest wavelength, gets through to us. This gives the appearance of a blue sky. You could say "Well, I picked number one, what am I defending? There are three ways to look at it, and this is my opinion!" But you would be flat wrong. Your opinion would be based on false facts. There is no celophane layer to the atmoshpere, and we can readily prove that. The "prophesies" you are using were not prophesies at all, and Jar has readily proven that.. You can't hide behind opinion. Opinions can be wrong. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
The Jews were discussing them as prophecies about the coming messiah before Jesus' day. The Jews of the time, as I understand it, also believed that the Messiah would be a strong military leader who would lead their people to freedom from Roman oppression. This was the general picture painted by those supposed prophesies you have mentioned. Obviously, if Jesus was the Messiah, then the Jews of the period were wrong. Just like you. You're using an appeal to authority. "The Jews though it was, so it MUST have been!" When your proposal stands on its own, it is soundly crushed by Jar's additional evidence. Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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Rahvin Member Posts: 4042 Joined: Member Rating: 8.0 |
Daniel says that 483 prophetic years (70 weeks = 70 x 7 years) will occur between the order to rebuild Jerusalem and the death of Messiah. These 483 prophetic years (360 days/year) correspond to 476.067 of our years (Julian years). Now we can count 476 years from 444 B.C. As we pass from B.C. to A.D. we gain a year since there is no 0 B.C. or A.D. 0. Eventually, we arrive at A.D. 33. Daniel says that after that date Jesus Christ dies and Jesus does die, at the end of the week on 14 Nissan A.D. 33. And yet there is dispute as to the exact date of Jesus birth and death (assuming they happened). Nobody is sure exactly when it happened. Or do you have conclusive evidence to support that Jesus dies exactly in line with your supposed prophesy? Every time a fundy breaks the laws of thermodynamics, Schroedinger probably kills his cat.
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