Welcome to the fray Gordon.
The problem with most {creationist\IDist} "probability" calculations is that they fail to find the bound of what is possible first, and without knowing what is possible you cannot determine which result has what probability within that set.
No, the production of proteins isn't that unfeasible.
I'm not sure that your paper cited does what you imply it does.
While this paper seems to address the probability issue to some extent, I find that it still misses the mark. I see no real attempt to determine the actual possibilities involved.
And it ends up concluding that help was needed, making the (weak) anthropic principle argument, and it thus appears to support ID more than natural causes (via the "we ran out of reasons" argument).
{abe} One clue to this is the repeated reference to "fine tuning" in the paper, another is that it comes from
http://www.iscid.org/ {/abe}
I would also be interested in seeing more on the actual calculation methodology for the probabilities in the paper, as I get the impression that they make the same calculation error that the {creationists\IDists} do {abe} - especially given the source of the paper {/abe}.
See
http://
EvC Forum: the old improbable probability problemand
http://
EvC Forum: the old improbable probability problem
For a discussion of the common errors in such calculations, and you may see why I come to this conclusion.
Enjoy.
This message has been edited by RAZD, 11*07*2005 09:53 PM
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