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Author Topic:   Dems and Reps at age 3?
anglagard
Member (Idle past 862 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 3 of 61 (396741)
04-21-2007 9:49 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by nator
04-21-2007 8:43 PM


A Bit Oversimplistic
In order for this research to actually mean anything, one would have to define conservative or liberal.
Is a person who believes in less federal power but more fiscal responsibility a conservative or a liberal?
Is a person who believes drugs and prostitution should be legalized but also believes in strict enforcement of crimes against person or property a conservative or a liberal?
Indeed isn't even the thread title a bit oversimplistic? Are all conservatives Republican and all liberals Democrat?
Is a Libertarian liberal because they don't believe in victimless crimes or a conservative because they don't believe in welfare.
Is a Green a conservative because they believe in conserving the environment for the use of their descendants or a liberal because they believe the solution must be at the federal level?
Today people argue that even gender is not an either-or proposition, in at least some cases with merit. Should I seriously consider an article that makes all the flavors of political opinion an either-or proposition?

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 Message 1 by nator, posted 04-21-2007 8:43 PM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 4 by nator, posted 04-21-2007 9:55 PM anglagard has replied

  
anglagard
Member (Idle past 862 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 10 of 61 (396777)
04-22-2007 12:35 AM
Reply to: Message 4 by nator
04-21-2007 9:55 PM


Re: A Bit Oversimplistic
It's still a matter of imposing a two-dimensional model on a multi-dimensional reality.
From the same article:
Block acknowledges that his sample skews left and his subjects' hometowns are "appreciably different from much of America," but he maintains that his results are valid at least within his geographical area.
Without access to the original article containing details on the research (I tried), it is difficult for me to comment on it's methodology, but I still have difficulty with the idea of jamming everyone into two absolute categories. I think the research would have been more informative if the number of categories had been expanded to better accommodate the diversity of political opinion that exists. Had that been done, I think the results would be far more revealing as to any childhood political predispositions.
Also, I would like to add that today in the US for the first time, registered independents outnumber either republicans or democrats. Maybe I am not alone in questioning these ready-made labels.

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 Message 4 by nator, posted 04-21-2007 9:55 PM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 11 by nator, posted 04-22-2007 10:41 AM anglagard has replied

  
anglagard
Member (Idle past 862 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 12 of 61 (396832)
04-22-2007 12:37 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by nator
04-22-2007 10:41 AM


Re: A Bit Oversimplistic
nator writes:
So what are you saying? That the correlation doesn't actually exist? The results are invalid?
First, I haven't seen the value of any correlation coefficients so I don't know to what degree any correlation exists.
Second, I believe from what I have read so far the results have limited validity.
Angla, all scientific studies simplify the questions they ask. No scientific study considers every single possible variable that may affect the outcome. If they tried to do this, we would never learn anything about anything.
All scientific studies are imperfect, incomplete snapshots of a specific phenomenon (or several phenomena). It is through the accumulation of numerous studies over time that point to the same outcome that a consensus agreement about the explanation for that phenomena is reached.
There are well-designed studies and there are not so well-designed studies. I am concerned that this study has some researcher bias.
From page 3 of the article in the OP:
quote:
Even with impeccable methodology, bias may creep into the choice of which phenomena to study. "There is a bias among social scientists," admits Glaser. "They look for the variables that are unflattering. There probably are other nice personality traits associated with conservatism, but they haven't shown up in the research because it's not as well studied."
That's why, as I quoted in my last post, at least one of their methods to determine their subject's political leanings was a scale, not an either-or measure.
The study's political categories accurately reflect the social, economic, and moral differences between the major groups as they existed in the late 1980's. They are largely true today, as well.
If you want to look at individual case studies so that all the subtle nuances of each person's worldview will be independently considered, that's fine, but you can't do science that way.
There is a third way, which would be to determine where opinions cluster into definable groups. A study which uses a two-dimensional scale to lump fiscal conservatives, semi-libertarians, neocons, and evangelicals under the umbrella term conservative is not as useful as one that distinguishes between such groups.
Here are a few other small problems I have with this study.
1. It acts as a propaganda instrument against independent and third-party movements by implying one must either be a conservative/republican or liberal/democrat or be in some mushy middle.
2. By being from 1989, it does not take into account any clusters of political beliefs that may have developed since that time, which somewhat limits it's applicability to the current situation.
3. It may hurt the cause of the Democratic Party in the next election by turning off fiscal conservatives and quasi-libertarians through implying they have negative behavioral characteristics. Since the neocon view of government is for huge intrusive scale, limited personal freedom, and reckless spending, the values of the two above mentioned groups are not being well represented by the Republican Party at present.
To conclude, I am not mainly saying the study is 'right' or 'wrong,' I'm just saying it could have been better designed.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by nator, posted 04-22-2007 10:41 AM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 15 by nator, posted 04-23-2007 9:12 AM anglagard has replied
 Message 21 by Zhimbo, posted 04-23-2007 10:31 AM anglagard has not replied

  
anglagard
Member (Idle past 862 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 14 of 61 (396876)
04-23-2007 1:47 AM
Reply to: Message 13 by Coragyps
04-22-2007 1:16 PM


Re: The Authoritarians
Coragyps writes:
This online book - not terribly long - reports on research that meshes with that in the OP.
http://home.cc.umanitoba.ca/~altemey/
Well worth the read, and it deals with the numerical measures, too.
This afternoon I finally made it through all 261 pages, and yes it is well worth the read. It fits in with some research I have been doing that I would like to add to your other topic.
The study in the OP in this thread is mentioned in the footnote on page 76 so there is a bit of 'mesh.' However on page 41 there is some discussion concerning the use of the term conservative to mean authoritarian, namely that it is shorthand and the meaning has changed over time.
I think terms such as conservative or liberal are not as definitive as the term used in the article, namely RWA - Right Wing Authoritarian. I also think I would easily win any bet that the correlation between the behavioral characteristics mentioned in the OP is far stronger with authoritarianism than conservatism because the term authoritarianism is not as fuzzy.

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 Message 13 by Coragyps, posted 04-22-2007 1:16 PM Coragyps has not replied

  
anglagard
Member (Idle past 862 days)
Posts: 2339
From: Socorro, New Mexico USA
Joined: 03-18-2006


Message 61 of 61 (397237)
04-25-2007 5:28 AM
Reply to: Message 15 by nator
04-23-2007 9:12 AM


Clarifications
Obviously I should have worded these responses better as my intended meaning has somehow been lost.
When I listed the 3 small problems, evidently I should have used the term minor or minute to indicate that I meant the opposite of large, or major.
anglagard writes:
1. It acts as a propaganda instrument against independent and third-party movements by implying one must either be a conservative/republican or liberal/democrat or be in some mushy middle.
quote:
No, it doesn't.
It is a scientific study. If the results are used that way by others, it is in no way an invalidation of the results any more than if people use results of gender difference studies to justify sexism.
There is at least one alternative to a two-dimensional chart:
So yes, I am arguing that a line is simpler than a two axes chart and therefore conveys less information. I suppose one could argue that either may be used for propaganda purposes.
2. By being from 1989, it does not take into account any clusters of political beliefs that may have developed since that time, which somewhat limits it's applicability to the current situation.
quote:
So? Studies of any magnitude and extending over decades will always lag behind current conditions. Does that mean the results are invalid?
It may be the most recently available, but that doesn't mean perfect. A minor quibble, but I mistakenly thought that the OP asked for discussion rather than a simple yes-no answer.
3. It may hurt the cause of the Democratic Party in the next election by turning off fiscal conservatives and quasi-libertarians through implying they have negative behavioral characteristics.
quote:
So what, we should bury the results because you don't like the political ramifications?
Jesus!
I can't believe I'm reading this.
Here's the one where misunderstanding as to my meaning has really been blown out of proportion IMO. Please allow me to clarify my exact meaning.
I think that demonizing the word liberal has had a negative effect upon political debate and therefore demonizing the word conservative would have the same effect.
After all, it was Bill Clinton's conservative fiscal policies that led to balanced budgets and were likely a factor in economic prosperity in the late 1990s. I would hate to think that people would think that a balanced budget is bad because it is due to conservative fiscal policies and the word conservative means bad.
After all, some people are quite susceptible to such grand generalizations and oversimplifications.
Also notice the use of the term, 'may' hurt. At any rate, another minor quibble.
What I did not mean was the article is a direct and immediate threat to any Democratic victory as has been implied. However, demonizing the term conservative may be a problem as it is as dishonest as demonizing the term liberal.
To conclude, I am not mainly saying the study is 'right' or 'wrong,' I'm just saying it could have been better designed.
quote:
I think, angla, that your political agenda is getting in the way of your scientific thinking.
I am a Syndico-Anarchist Libertarian, my primary agenda is to remove two subsets of what may be called the conservative movement from power, namely the evangelicals and neocons. I do not have any problems with balanced budgets or increased human liberties.
I consider the removal of neocons and evangelicals from any political power so important, I would much prefer to bring fiscal conservatives and possibly 'described as conservative' libertarians into the struggle than I am to demonize them or falsely ascribe to these subsets characteristics that are only present in neocons and evangelicals.
But I guess that's just my opinion.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by nator, posted 04-23-2007 9:12 AM nator has not replied

  
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