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Author Topic:   Peanut Gallery
Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 511 of 1725 (590672)
11-09-2010 11:49 AM
Reply to: Message 510 by nwr
11-09-2010 11:43 AM


Re: schminductive reasoning
Nwr writes:
Specifically, I do not agree that Newton was making a generalization based on limited specific observations.
Can you explain what you do think he was doing then?
Maybe we need a thread dedicated to this stuff....

This message is a reply to:
 Message 510 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 11:43 AM nwr has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 513 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 12:09 PM Straggler has replied

Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 512 of 1725 (590675)
11-09-2010 12:04 PM
Reply to: Message 510 by nwr
11-09-2010 11:43 AM


Re: schminductive reasoning
Specifically, I do not agree that Newton was making a generalization based on limited specific observations.
I see. What's the difference between Newton's limited set of observations of "all known bodies" leading to a theory of "all bodies" (which I'm going to start calling schminduction if this argument continues to future posts) different than bluegenes observations of "all known supernatural beings" leading to the theory "all supernatural beings"?
Where Newton was doing science and was schminducting, bluegenes is apparently not doing science because he is not schminducting?
If you think I am arguing for the position taken by bluegenes, then you are mistaken. I believe I have already been clear (see Message 288) that I would not consider the "bluegenes theory" to be a scientific theory.
I wasn't implying anything about your position regarding bluegenes' theory. I was just trying to get you to avoid your pet topic of your disdain for philosophy and the role of induction and to try and address what I was actually saying (by using different words with meanings you can define yourself) - if you wanted to address what I was saying at all, that is.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 510 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 11:43 AM nwr has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 514 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 12:20 PM Modulous has replied

nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 513 of 1725 (590676)
11-09-2010 12:09 PM
Reply to: Message 511 by Straggler
11-09-2010 11:49 AM


Re: schminductive reasoning
nwr writes:
Specifically, I do not agree that Newton was making a generalization based on limited specific observations.
Straggler writes:
Can you explain what you do think he was doing then?
There is more than one way that you can have a bunch of observations that appear to be specific instances of a general statement.
One method is induction. I'm not sure why philosophers see only that one method.
Another method is to define a standard, such that observations are to be made in accordance with that standard. Then all observations that are made by following that standard will have the appearance of being specific instances of the general statement which is the standard.
I say that Newton was setting standards. And we are still using some of Newton's standards even today. The Wikipedia definition of "dyne" is pretty much the restatement of one of Newton's laws in the form of a standard of measurement.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 511 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 11:49 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 516 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 12:35 PM nwr has replied

nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 514 of 1725 (590679)
11-09-2010 12:20 PM
Reply to: Message 512 by Modulous
11-09-2010 12:04 PM


Re: schminductive reasoning
Modulous writes:
What's the difference between Newton's limited set of observations of "all known bodies" leading to a theory of "all bodies" (which I'm going to start calling schminduction if this argument continues to future posts) different than bluegenes observations of "all known supernatural beings" leading to the theory "all supernatural beings"?
Newton's laws are a standard upon which observation is based. As far as I know, he proposed those standards on theoretical grounds, and then his "limited set of observations" were used to demonstrate the efficacy of his standards.
When bluegenes proposes a set of standards that we should follow when making observations of supernatural beings, I will agree that he is doing science about supernatural beings as they are defined by his proposed standard. However, I'm inclined to doubt that RAZD would accept that proposed standard as defining what he (RAZD) means by "supernatural beings."

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 512 by Modulous, posted 11-09-2010 12:04 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 534 by Modulous, posted 11-09-2010 5:39 PM nwr has replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.4


Message 515 of 1725 (590681)
11-09-2010 12:34 PM
Reply to: Message 505 by Straggler
11-09-2010 5:59 AM


Re: missed the bunny putt - can I have a Mulligan?
Straggler seems to see it:
So we agree that RAZ is playing debate games and that finding the "Bobby Henderson of the IPU" has no bearing on bluegenes argument.
However, bluegenes had a slip of the tongue, as Panda worded it, and left a crack open in that door. RAZD immediately jumped through that crack. The crack was that he stated his theory in a manner that allowed RAZD to demand to produce some of the "plenty of evidence" bluegenes claimed to have that the IPU was made up and therefore did not exist, not evidence that the IPU could not exist and therefore had to be made up. That was the flaw in bluegenes presentation.
As for the Easter Bunny stuff - I agree with you that the big green block of formal statements on the logic of deciding where you are on the Dawkins scale regarding the Easter Bunny seems a bit silly. I suspect RAZD inside is really a 6.8 or so on the Bunny, unless he has drastically altered his worldview in the intervening years. For the purpose of this forum, however, he could probably stake out a claim he is more like a 5.999999 so as not to have to produce evidence that the Easter Bunny does not exist.
Satirical logic?

Yeah - I goofed there. Many beers into the night. Sarcastic? Silly? Over-the-top? Obfuscational?

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 505 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 5:59 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 517 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 12:38 PM xongsmith has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 516 of 1725 (590682)
11-09-2010 12:35 PM
Reply to: Message 513 by nwr
11-09-2010 12:09 PM


Re: schminductive reasoning
Nwr writes:
Another method is to define a standard, such that observations are to be made in accordance with that standard. Then all observations that are made by following that standard will have the appearance of being specific instances of the general statement which is the standard.
How do you derive your standard? And why would you expect any observations to meet that standard unless the standard itself is itself inductively derived from observations?
Nwr writes:
The Wikipedia definition of "dyne" is pretty much the restatement of one of Newton's laws in the form of a standard of measurement.
I don't see what is different about this unit to any other?
1 Newton of force is that required to accelerate 1KG by 1 m/s^2
But so what?
It is F=ma that is fundamental here. Not the units we measure any of the quantities in surely?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 513 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 12:09 PM nwr has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 522 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 1:43 PM Straggler has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 517 of 1725 (590683)
11-09-2010 12:38 PM
Reply to: Message 515 by xongsmith
11-09-2010 12:34 PM


Re: missed the bunny putt - can I have a Mulligan?
X writes:
However, bluegenes had a slip of the tongue, as Panda worded it, and left a crack open in that door. RAZD immediately jumped through that crack.
There is a crack here. And words keep pouring out of it in your posts. But it isn't the kind of crack you are talking about.
X writes:
The crack was that he stated his theory in a manner that allowed RAZD to demand to produce some of the "plenty of evidence" bluegenes claimed to have that the IPU was made up and therefore did not exist, not evidence that the IPU could not exist and therefore had to be made up.
Can you show me anywhere where I, bluegenes or anyone else has ever claimed that "the IPU could not exist"?
You keep making this dumbass mistake. But nobody here has made that claim.
X writes:
That was the flaw in bluegenes presentation.
But you have again demonstrated you lack of comprehension and nothing else.
X writes:
I suspect RAZD inside is really a 6.8 or so on the Bunny, unless he has drastically altered his worldview in the intervening years.
Are you suggesting that RAZ doesn't even believe in the validity of his own logical arguments?
Oh you (pseudo)skeptic you!!!
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 515 by xongsmith, posted 11-09-2010 12:34 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 524 by xongsmith, posted 11-09-2010 2:22 PM Straggler has replied

Jon
Inactive Member


Message 518 of 1725 (590688)
11-09-2010 1:02 PM
Reply to: Message 506 by Straggler
11-09-2010 7:02 AM


Re: Science is pseudoskeptical
that all mutually exclusive conclusions are equally valid was recently put forwards by Bluejay
I am not sure your description of Bluejay's position on this matter is wholly adequate.
The belief that all knowledge is deductively derived from internally consistent axioms
This, of course, is exactly the case... I believe.
He, jar, CS and others seem unable to comprehend that having been falsified is not the sole and single deciding factor when considering the relative worth of different explanations.
I do not think any of them have argued this.
And in general there seem to be two camps starting from completely different points
It is not at all that there are different starting points, but more-so that one 'camp', as you put it, is aware of more of the starting points, while the other 'camp' is either oblivious to them or (as pointed out above) refuses to accept them.
Jon

Check out Apollo's Temple!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 506 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 7:02 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 520 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 1:26 PM Jon has replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.4


(1)
Message 519 of 1725 (590689)
11-09-2010 1:16 PM
Reply to: Message 507 by Modulous
11-09-2010 7:25 AM


Re: inductive reasoning
Modulous writes:
Would you agree that inductive reasoning is an essential part of the scientific method? That Newton didn't examine every single mass interaction that has ever or will ever take place before deriving the laws of motion, gravity etc? That we haven't tested the DNA of all Chimpanzees and all Humans? That it is perfectly fine from a scientific point of view to say "All known Chimp and Human DNA is consistent with the theory that they ALL share recent common ancestry"?
This is the "Ace of Spades" logic you speak of. It's right there in science.
Would you agree that a theory must make predictions?
Would you agree that if those predictions are risky, that makes the theory better (eg, if the prediction fails - the theory is falsified is risky)?
Would you agree that a theory should be falsifiable?
Would you agree that a theory must be consistent with all the known evidence?
Yes to all of that, provisionally. However, what I accept and agree with is not relevant to the point.
Modulous continues:
If you you agree with all of these - could you please explain what the problem with bluegenes theory as he stated it was?
You claim "He screwed up on a technicality" but all you offer as evidence of this is that he stated the wording of his theory, and his claim that all known evidence is consistent with it. This is a technical point, but I fail to see the screw up.
But, to use that example, the analogy of RAZD's 1st Task is to show rain forming in a cloud. It is not to show that rain cannot form elsewhere and falsify the theory.
Yes, bluegenes has given evidence that humans regularly imagine supernatural beings. So we know that analogous rain does form in analogous clouds. The theory "all rain forms in clouds" is consistent with all the evidence and is not falsified by any.
Oh you missed it! I'm talking about the molecular build up of the clouds water vapor droplets around some dust mote until it is too heavy to remain in the cloud. That is the crack in the door bluegenes left open.
If the IPU is entirely a figment of human imagination, as the theory claims, and if bluegenes has plenty of evidence to support that, then he should be able to provide the specific evidence of the making up of the IPU - the creation of the story on alt.atheist in the usenet archives and so forth.
Since that evidence is apparently rapidly fading into oblivion here, the statement he has plenty of evidence is false. He only has the other kind, the kind Straggler has put forth. He had to word the theory in such a way as to not have to produce the making-up forensic evidence for every case, or even only for cases that such evidence should be relatively easy to find, just enough cases to get an induction up and going.
He could have admitted, in the 3rd post (after RAZD's OP and the Admin promotion post), "That evidence you seek is unfortunately not available in a rigorous manner, like it is for the FSM. But that does not change the magnitude of the power of the theory." Then things would have proceeded to the next issues. Let RAZD score that point. Afterall, it's not going to get him any closer to Mornington Crescent.
Again you seem to be telling me that RAZD is arguing that science is logically invalid - despite also telling me that this is 'silly'. It is possibly true that science is logically invalid - and has been argued by many before. The difference is, that if RAZD reserves this argument only for hypothesis related to supernatural beliefs and does not bring it up for other theories then this is special pleading, no?
I don't think that is the case here (RAZD arguing that science is logically invalid) - but, yes, if it were, that would be special pleading.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 507 by Modulous, posted 11-09-2010 7:25 AM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 521 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 1:36 PM xongsmith has replied
 Message 538 by Modulous, posted 11-09-2010 6:32 PM xongsmith has seen this message but not replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 520 of 1725 (590691)
11-09-2010 1:26 PM
Reply to: Message 518 by Jon
11-09-2010 1:02 PM


Re: Science is pseudoskeptical

This message is a reply to:
 Message 518 by Jon, posted 11-09-2010 1:02 PM Jon has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 526 by Jon, posted 11-09-2010 2:37 PM Straggler has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 521 of 1725 (590692)
11-09-2010 1:36 PM
Reply to: Message 519 by xongsmith
11-09-2010 1:16 PM


Re: inductive reasoning
X writes:
If the IPU is entirely a figment of human imagination, as the theory claims, and if bluegenes has plenty of evidence to support that.......
If ALL baby rabbits are sourced from other rabbits, as the theory claims, and if there is plenty of evidence in support of this theory as any biologist would claim then you should be able to show that this rabbit (**hands Xongsmith a baby rabbit**) was not plucked from a conjurers hat.
Right?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 519 by xongsmith, posted 11-09-2010 1:16 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 525 by xongsmith, posted 11-09-2010 2:28 PM Straggler has replied

nwr
Member
Posts: 6412
From: Geneva, Illinois
Joined: 08-08-2005
Member Rating: 4.5


Message 522 of 1725 (590693)
11-09-2010 1:43 PM
Reply to: Message 516 by Straggler
11-09-2010 12:35 PM


Re: schminductive reasoning
Straggler writes:
How do you derive your standard?
A standard is a construct, an invention. Newton was a brilliant inventor.
Straggler writes:
And why would you expect any observations to meet that standard unless the standard itself is itself inductively derived from observations?
Sigh! How can you be so confused.
My wristwatch meets the time standard. It does not meet the time standard because somehow the time standard is derived from observations. Rather, it meet the time standard because I damn well set my watch using that standard.
A standard is not a description of our observations, it is a method that we follow in order to make those observations. If we followed the method given in the standard, then our observation is made in accordance with the standard.
Is standard time a result of induction, based on observations? Hell, no. People are still arguing against the use of standard time, at least in rural parts of USA. They wouldn't be arguing against it if it were inductively derived from observations.
Straggler writes:
It is F=ma that is fundamental here.
It is F = ma that is the fundamental standard here.
If you were to go back to some time before Newton (and before Galileo), you would find that "mass" did not exist as a fundamental concept. Rather, mass and weight were treated as the same. And I think you would find that "force" was an intentional concept, based on human intentions (humans forcing things), and quite different from our modern scientific conception of force.
Newton gave us new concepts of mass and force, and his laws set standards for the use of those concepts within science.

Jesus was a liberal hippie

This message is a reply to:
 Message 516 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 12:35 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 523 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 2:03 PM nwr has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 92 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 523 of 1725 (590698)
11-09-2010 2:03 PM
Reply to: Message 522 by nwr
11-09-2010 1:43 PM


Invention and Discovery
Nwr writes:
It is F = ma that is the fundamental standard here.
So - I ask again - How was this standard derived if not by observation?
Nwr writes:
A standard is a construct, an invention. Newton was a brilliant inventor.
You think Newton invented rather than discovered the relationship between mass, force and acceleration? That it didn't exist before he came along?
Do you think any suitably technologically advanced civilisation (e.g. an alien civilisation) would "invent" this same relationship?
Nwr writes:
Sigh! How can you be so confused.
Not so much confused as that I think what you are saying is simply silly.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 522 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 1:43 PM nwr has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 528 by nwr, posted 11-09-2010 2:52 PM Straggler has replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.4


Message 524 of 1725 (590700)
11-09-2010 2:22 PM
Reply to: Message 517 by Straggler
11-09-2010 12:38 PM


Re: thanks for the Mulligan
Straggler asks:
Can you show me anywhere where I, bluegenes or anyone else has ever claimed that "the IPU could not exist"?
You keep making this dumbass mistake. But nobody here has made that claim.
Sorry, I meant the armchair philosophical arguments, hopefully accompanied by a fine cigar or at least a fine pint of something or a fine sherry. Because those kind of arguments are fun.
Armchair Philosophical Arguments ==> made up
as opposed to
Forensic Objectively Gathered Evidence ==> made up
Consider this from RAZD, in correspondance with Rrhain in Message 477:
yes
Hi Rrhain,
Rrhain asks:
Would the inventor of the IPU (BBHH) being a human count as incontrovertible evidence that the IPU (BBHH) "is unequivocally and absolutely a fictional invention and not a supernatural being"? That is, would the person who actually invented it coming forward be sufficient?
Or a group, that perhaps came up with it.
That would certainly be some objective evidence that could be checked and - presumably - verified.
Rrhain:
She is a recent invention and it is conceivable to actually find the person who did it as opposed to other beings that are so old that any of the people who may have been there when invented are long since gone.
I agree, and that is why I think it should have been a slam dunk to find.
And it could be possible to show that there are no references (with name variations?) to any predecessors, thus making the more likely to be a sole invention of a single person (or possible a group effort).
This would be like my brother xongsmiths ID of the FSM originator.
Enjoy.
Now, doesn't this indicate that RAZD is in fact looking for EXACTLY the same kind of evidence I latched onto from day one (Message 260) in this discussion? Why did I understand what RAZD was asking for and you did not? Now you may argue all you want on the merits of this line of attack in the Debate, but surely you must admit that refusing to address the 1st question asked is a bad mark on bluegenes? And by address, I don't mean that bluegenes should comply, but explain why he cannot go down that rabbit hole.
Oh, and BTW, how do you know the IPU is imperceptable? Maybe some IPU Priests will come forward soon and announce that the Imperceptability of the PU is only in effect for the period 1054-2054 A. D. - or that the Imperceptability is only in effect for non-believers.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 517 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 12:38 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 527 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 2:45 PM xongsmith has not replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.4


Message 525 of 1725 (590701)
11-09-2010 2:28 PM
Reply to: Message 521 by Straggler
11-09-2010 1:36 PM


Re: inductive reasoning
Straggler continues:
If ALL baby rabbits are sourced from other rabbits, as the theory claims, and if there is plenty of evidence in support of this theory as any biologist would claim then you should be able to show that this rabbit (**hands Xongsmith a baby rabbit**) was not plucked from a conjurers hat.
Right?
YES. That is the kind of evidence, assuming they also presented me with things like film of the baby rabbit being born out of the mother rabbit's womb. A slam dunk, piece of cake. Not an armchair gedanken think tank result.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 521 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 1:36 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 531 by Straggler, posted 11-09-2010 3:04 PM xongsmith has seen this message but not replied

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