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Author Topic:   Clear faults in Darwin's formulation of Natural Selection
Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 2 of 42 (32115)
02-13-2003 9:05 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by Syamsu
12-03-2002 8:16 AM


I have a strong feeling of deja vu here but ...
quote:
Many people still reference Darwin's original formulation of Natural Selection, not realising that it's a
work of prosa and contains many scientific errors.
"Can it, then, be thought improbable, seeing that variations useful to man have undoubtedly occurred, that other variations useful in some way to each being in the great and complex battle of
life, should occur in the course of many successive generations? If such do occur, can we doubt,
(remembering that many more indiviuals are born than can possibly survive) that individuals having
any advantage, however slight, over others, would have the best chance of surviving and
procreating their kind?" (C. Darwin, Origin of Species)
1: it is not generally true that many more individuals are born then can possibly survive. All individuals
die, not a share of them, but all individuals die. It's also not generally true that many more individuals
are born then can reproduce, this is only sometimes true.
It depends on the scope and meaning of 'survival'. As you pointed
out the style of Darwin's day was somewhat prosaic, and must
be interpreted as 'lay' usage of language.
One does not tend to refer to dying of old age as a failure to survive.
Survival tends to refer to living past some unanticipated
life-threatening event.
In that, common usage, Darwin was completely correct. Many more
offspring are produced than can possibly survive. Look at turtles,
salmon, wild rabbits, and so on.
Infant mortality rates in the wild are pretty high.
Adult mortality rates are high enough!
quote:
2: Just like it is wrong to say that atoms battle to get freeflying electrons, it is wrong to say that
living beings battle to stay alive. There is no such battle among plants, or animals, but rather there is
a fluctuating chance that they stay alive for some limited timeframe. (as before, in the long run the
chance of survival is zero)
The 'battle for existence', apart from being metaphorical, does
not refer to battling one another to survive.
It means that living a long and healthy life is not something that
can be achieved in the wild without some considerable effort.
quote:
3: to have an advantage over others ... would have the best chance of surviving and procreating, is simply a tautology.
Tautology is a kind of literary redundancy, like saying 'baby puppy'.
The above is a cause and effect relationship of sorts.
IF A has an advantage over B
THEN A has a higher survival chance
IF G has a higher survival chance
THEN G is more likely to procreate
quote:
The modern formulation of Natural Selection is: differential reproductive success of variants.
This has the "error" of being a meaningless comparison because there is no longer the requirement for
competition/replacement to take place for the formulation to apply. There doesn't have to be a
physical relationship between the variants for the formulation to apply.
I'll try this again (although several months of posting have resulted
in you starting from scratch again!!)
1. Animals are born
2. Some animals die before reproducing
3. Some survivors procreate
4. Back to 1.
2. is natural selection.
3. encompasses sexual selection.
both 2&3 have some chance elements that get thrown into the mix.
quote:
The safe definition of Natural Selection is:
Natural Selection = for an organism to either reproduce or fail to reproduce (to be selected in, or to be selected out)
No.
quote:
fitness = chance of reproduction of an organism
No.
{Added by edit}
The above NS sequence is not entirely accurate as there can
be a loop around 2-3. That is some animals may breed in
one or two seasons, but be killed/die after that, while others
may continue breeding into three or more seasons --> thus some
parents leave more offspring than others over their lifespan
(natural or cut-short).
[This message has been edited by Peter, 02-13-2003]

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Syamsu, posted 12-03-2002 8:16 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 5 by Syamsu, posted 02-13-2003 11:38 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 6 of 42 (32637)
02-19-2003 7:33 AM
Reply to: Message 5 by Syamsu
02-13-2003 11:38 AM


quote:
Many more offspring are produced than can possibly live past some unanticipated life-threatening event, is not correct by any means.
So you disagree with the observations of naturalists
the world over for many years?
quote:
I didn't intend to say organisms battle each other.
Nonetheless, that's what the implication appeared to be.
You, on the one hand, say that Darwin's writing is prosaic,
and them on the other take each phrase as a formal description.
The 'battle for existence' is a metaphor.
quote:
Are you saying that plants make an effort to reproduce?
Yes. They must grow, spread out roots to gain nutrients from
the environment in order to develop their seed-bearing
mechanism of choice (flower, spore, what have you), they must
bend their leaf surfaces toward the available light.
There is a quite significant effort involved in a plant's
struggle for survival.
quote:
If there is any effort to a plants reproduction it's on the part of the environment, because effort can only be where randomness is.
The last part lost me ... but how exactly can the environment
extert an effort?
quote:
It can also be in the nervous system of some animal, but maybe that randomnes should be noted as environment to the organism, in stead of as phenotype.
Why can effort only be where randomness is?
Even if everything were predictable in advance, one would still
have to expend energy to survive.
quote:
Tautology is saying the same thing twice.
Having an advantage is the same as having a higher chance of reproduction, and therefore a tautology.
Only if you define 'advantage' as meaning 'higher chance of
reproductive success'. The usual formulation does not
define advantage in that way.
The usual formulation of NS says that those individuals with
an advantage will have a higher chance of reproduction (see
below for more). Advantage leads to greater reproductive success.
quote:
There is no cause(advantage) which leads to an effect (higher chance of reproduction), there is just a varying chance of reproduction.
Think about what you just stated above.
Organisms have a varying chance of reproduction.
This means that some organisms can have a higher chance of
reproduction that others.
A factors which will affect this include any trait which gives
one organism a survival or breeding advantage over another
organims (or group of organisms).
quote:
In many months you have not learned to make your theory general. Your theory does not apply to plants, because plants are not animals. Your biased definition of Natural Selection towards animals
leads you to talk about "effort" to reproduce.
NS, as I have described it, applies to any organism (indeed to
anything that self-replicates and interacts with an environment).
If a plant has a seed with a better flight characteristic, and
seeds stand a better chance of survival if they fall further
from the parent, then the plant has an advantage.
quote:
Now you have double layered selection. First only selection on survival before reproduction (2), and then selection after survival before reproduction, but still before reproduction(3). It's ridiculous.
1. Whether or not a new-born/sprouted/etc. organism has any chance
of reproduction depends upon on it surviving to breeding age/maturity.
2. The number of offspring that any breeding-age organism leaves will
increase with each breeding season through which it survives.
If an 'advantaged' individual bears 3/5 surviving young for 5 seasons
while a 'dis-advantaged' individual bears 2/5 surviving young
for 3 seasons there will be a shift in the overall population
characteristic toward the advantaged trait(s).
quote:
It's strange that you now deny my definition of Natural Selection where before you have accepted this definition.
If the 'definition' of NS you supplied in the previous post is 'your' definition then I have never agreed with this.
I find it somewhat alarming that, after thinking we were moving
toward some common ground, you seem to have discarded all of the
previous line of discussion and started back with 'NS don't work'!!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by Syamsu, posted 02-13-2003 11:38 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 7 by Syamsu, posted 02-19-2003 10:03 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 8 of 42 (32660)
02-19-2003 10:35 AM
Reply to: Message 7 by Syamsu
02-19-2003 10:03 AM


You should appreciate the difference between a 'defintion'
and an 'illustration' or 'description'.
Your original post here stated that Darwin's formulation
of natural selection was in error. The three points you
raised have been shown not to be errors.
1. 'Many more offspring than can possibly survive.'
This is an observation of the natural world, not really open
to dispute. Even with your board 'survival' concept this
statement is true since none of the offspring will 'survive'
in the sense that you use it.
It the intended, and commonly understood usage of, 'survival'
this statement is borne out by many examples; turtles, frogs,
rabbits, ... pick an animal which still roams the wild.
2. 'Battle for existence'
This, as you yourself pointed out, is prosaic. A metaphor
for the effort required to subsist in the wild. Do you deny
that all creatures have to work with (and in some cases against)
their environment to survive? Animals have to regulate their
temperatures, and forage for food and water. Plants have to
compete for water and other nutrients from the soil, and for
sunlight from the skies, and (for flowering plants) to attract
a sufficient number of pollinators. It is not easy in the wild
habitats across the world.
3. 'Advantage' and 'greater chance of procreation'
Are not the same thing. One has an effect on the other.
Just because an individual is the biggest and the strongest
deson't mean it WILL procreate more, only that it is more likely to
on the basis of it's survival advantages.
In terms of the glossary defintion here, there is no problem as
far as I can see with the way I describe NS, and the way the
glossary defines it. Please point out where the views diverge.
What is your actual objection to NS anyway? I have yet to
understand this.
If there is a drought, the individuals who can survive the
drought are the ones who get to procreate ... if they survived
due to a heritable feature, then the future population will
be better adapted to drought survival.
It's not just about reproduction, which you even suggest in your
objection to point 2 in your original post.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 7 by Syamsu, posted 02-19-2003 10:03 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 9 by Syamsu, posted 02-19-2003 11:43 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 12 of 42 (32779)
02-20-2003 9:01 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by Syamsu
02-19-2003 11:43 AM


I think you have missed the point entirely.
Survival means survival of unexpected events.
Suppose a creature has an unimpeded lifespan of 25 years.
Within that 25 years there are many instances when, due
to some environmental factor, the organism could die.
Due to some heritable trait, 20% of the population are more
liekly to reach the maximal, 25 year age than others.
Also, 5% are, due to some heritable trait, only likely to reach
an age of 6 years.
The first group will leave more offspring than the latter
group.
The heritable trait frequency in the population will change.
Survival does not mean immortal.
Survival means the ability to survive adversity.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by Syamsu, posted 02-19-2003 11:43 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 13 by Syamsu, posted 02-20-2003 9:19 PM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 14 of 42 (32818)
02-21-2003 12:02 PM
Reply to: Message 13 by Syamsu
02-20-2003 9:19 PM


1. The example I suggested in my previous post was as general
as I could make it. The organism in question could just as
easily be a petunia bush as a fruit bat.
2. Survival in Darwin's sense doesn't mean what you are suggesting.
All organisms have a natural maximum lifespan (they all die eventually), but not all individual organisms reach that
maximal age.
When one dies of old age, you do not hear (in English anyhow)
people say 'Well they survived a long time.' they say
'He/she's had a good innings!' or 'They lived a long life.'
'Survive' does not mean 'live'.
I can survive a fire or an earthquake or a drought (plants are
susceptible to those too you know that's why I chose it), but I
don't 'survive' my life, I live it.
Your problem seems to be the meaning that you ascribe to the
word 'survival' ... your meaning is not the one commonly held
amongst english speaking natives ... one of whom was Charles
Darwin.
All of that is off-the-topic here though. You stated
3 'faults', I have explained why they are not faults.
[This message has been edited by Peter, 02-21-2003]

This message is a reply to:
 Message 13 by Syamsu, posted 02-20-2003 9:19 PM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 15 by Syamsu, posted 02-22-2003 6:40 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 16 of 42 (32925)
02-23-2003 10:10 AM
Reply to: Message 15 by Syamsu
02-22-2003 6:40 AM


I have repsonded to the three 'faults' that you cited in your opening
post.
You have then left them and carried on with a discussion
that we have been having for some months, but from a point
somewhere back in time (months ago).
The fundamental defintion of NS is not disputed anywhere.
Some individuals have a survival advantage, and therefore
tend to leave more offspring.
If the advantage was a heritable one then there are more
individuals in the population with this advantage than before.
The above is how all evo's will understand NS.
If you then wish to discuss how NS can drive evolution
you will get some differences coming in as different
people will have different ideas about how NS acts to
promote evolution.
They are two separate issues.
NS happens. It is observed to happen. I really cannot see
why you object so strongly to it.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by Syamsu, posted 02-22-2003 6:40 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 17 by Syamsu, posted 02-23-2003 10:44 PM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 18 of 42 (33003)
02-24-2003 1:50 AM
Reply to: Message 17 by Syamsu
02-23-2003 10:44 PM


Variation is not essential to NS ... but without it
the net result is either a slide into extinction
or rises in population numbers to levels supportable
by the environment.
The definition in the glossary does not require variation,
it says that::
'[NS] often act[s] on hereditary (genetic) variation'
{my emphasis}
Often means that it doesn't always. The glossary defintion
here is one with which evo's will agree.
If there is no variation then there is no evolution ... but
there is still natural selection.
I still do not understand the exact nature of your objection to
the observed phenomenon of natural selection.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by Syamsu, posted 02-23-2003 10:44 PM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 19 by Syamsu, posted 02-24-2003 5:42 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 20 of 42 (33030)
02-24-2003 7:51 AM
Reply to: Message 19 by Syamsu
02-24-2003 5:42 AM


First, I do not count variation as a requirement for NS.
You pointed that out correctly from your interpretation
of my previous posts.
Second, I made no comment on whether or not the study
of extinction was useful/interesting. I merely stated that
the consequence of NS without variation in the population
would be to either select against (leading ultimately to
extinction) or selection for (leading ultimately to a population size
only limited by available resources).
In terms of thinking things through, I would have to contend that
it is you who are lacking. You have a view which you are no
longer attempting to support in the slightest. Every time I
suggest a NS description or respond to one of your posts in a
negative manner you simply start stamping your foot and saying
'tisn't!' as far as I can see.
What is you objection to Natural Selection?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 19 by Syamsu, posted 02-24-2003 5:42 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 21 by Syamsu, posted 02-24-2003 9:46 PM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 23 of 42 (33208)
02-26-2003 2:05 AM
Reply to: Message 21 by Syamsu
02-24-2003 9:46 PM


quote:
I have no problem with the definition of Natural Selection that doesn't require variation to apply.
Then we agree, and we can leave it at that.
quote:
It's just that this is not the common definition as it is in the glossary, or much of anywhere else,
and several selfrespecting Darwinists I talked to, argue that the definition without variation is wrong.
I already pointed out in post #18 that the glossary defintion
on this site does not state variation as a requirement for
natural selection, but that when it acts on variation evolution
results.
The following links provide explanations or defintions for
NS, none of them state that variation is a requirement.
http://www.counterbalance.org/biogloss/natsel-body.html
http://www.gate.net/~rwms/EvoDefinition.html#natural selection
FishBase Glossary
quote:
Even you have defined Natural Selection requiring variation. Yes you say it can also apply without variation, but this is not how you have defined it in a few posts previous, where you said that
every evo accepts the definition requiring variation. That is ridiculous, that you define it one way, but use it in another. I supposed you do this because you don't find selection without variation to provide meaningful knowledge. I was just guessing here, since you gave no reason at all why you do this.
I suspect you are misreading me, or that I have been unclear.
Natural selection is not evolution.
NS drives evolution, if and only if there is heritable
variation within a population.
I think a part of the problem is that NS is not really considered
worth thinking about apart from in connection with evolution. The
concepts are so fundamentally entwined that separating them
becomes very difficult. Any illustrative description, or recorded
observation of NS will focuss on cases where evolution has ocurred
because that's when you see the 'power' of NS.
No fundamental defintion of NS requires variation.
Many defintions found are of 'evolution by natural selection'.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 21 by Syamsu, posted 02-24-2003 9:46 PM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 27 by Syamsu, posted 02-27-2003 5:56 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 29 of 42 (33356)
02-27-2003 8:48 AM
Reply to: Message 27 by Syamsu
02-27-2003 5:56 AM


Natural Selection w/o variation ..
1. The process by which individuals’ inherited needs and abilities are more or less closely matched to resources available in their environment, giving those with greater "fitness" a better chance of survival and reproduction.
Above, the part up to the italics is a definition of NS, the
part in italics is a consequence when variation is present.
The definition does not require variation, it simply includes
the consequence of natural selection.
2."Here are a list of the conditions Darwin thought were required for evolution by natural selection:
......2. Organisms *vary* in many ways,..."
This is under a list started by the phrase 'requirements for
evolution by natural selection'. It is not part of the definition
of natural selection.
The last one I'll give you does include variation as part of
itsm defintion ... so maybe you are right that there is some
disparity in views. On the otherhand the definition is targetted
at evolution again.
However, natural selection as described by Darwin IS the
effect of the environment on the individual. Variation is
only required once we use NS to explain evolution.
[This message has been edited by Peter, 02-27-2003]

This message is a reply to:
 Message 27 by Syamsu, posted 02-27-2003 5:56 AM Syamsu has not replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 30 of 42 (33358)
02-27-2003 8:58 AM
Reply to: Message 26 by Syamsu
02-26-2003 10:15 PM


The main problem you are having is that you have
redefine natural selection for yourself.
You seem to say:
NS is whether or not a individual reproduces.
Standard form is:
NS is how environmental factors affect which individuals
live to produce offspring (or more offspring).
They are not the same.
I do see that there are definitions stated as being of NS that
are so deeply entwined with 'evolution by ns' and that is not
made clear.
To re-iterate::
Evolution requires variation.
Natural selection doesn't require variation.
When considered as a mechanism for evolutionary change
considering NS without variation is not useful.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 26 by Syamsu, posted 02-26-2003 10:15 PM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 31 by Syamsu, posted 02-27-2003 10:10 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 32 of 42 (33408)
02-28-2003 4:43 AM
Reply to: Message 31 by Syamsu
02-27-2003 10:10 AM


Guilty as charged!! My wording was just as loose as those
definitions that you complain about.
What I mean by NS (carefully worded this time)::
Natural Selection concerns the environmental factors
that affects the number of offspring produced by an individual.
For NS the focus is not on competition, but on survival to
reproduce.
quote:
The photosynthesis trait evolved, meaning a mutation occured that made it, and then it spread, it reproduced, it was selected for. That's the way it makes sense.
And the above, in a nut-shell, is exactly how evolutionists view
it.
If the photosynthesis trait arrived via a mutation, that means
that the mutation introduced a new variant into the population.
That variant could produce energy from sunlight, H2O and CO2,
while other individuals could not. This gave it an advantage,
and a greater chance of prolonged survival. Thus it left more
offspring with the heritable ps trait than those that coud not
do ps. Each of these generation-2 ps-plants also out-bred
their non-ps peers, and so on.
That is natural selection.
Evolution requires variation. In your example, the mutation
introduced a variation. Not all individuals within the population
suddenly develop the same mutation (unless you are Peter Borger).
Natural selection is about the relationship between traits and
survival (to reproduce).

This message is a reply to:
 Message 31 by Syamsu, posted 02-27-2003 10:10 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 33 by Syamsu, posted 03-02-2003 9:00 PM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 34 of 42 (33518)
03-03-2003 1:57 AM
Reply to: Message 33 by Syamsu
03-02-2003 9:00 PM


We have not been talking about evolution, we
have been talking about natural selection.
No 'ancestral forms' are still around today.
All life on earth (currently) has evolved over the
last 2-3 billion years (according to contemporary
science). Two (or more) current organisms may have
a common ancestor, but no living organism is
ancestor to any other living organism (excepting
its own offspring).

This message is a reply to:
 Message 33 by Syamsu, posted 03-02-2003 9:00 PM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 35 by Syamsu, posted 03-05-2003 10:11 AM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 36 of 42 (33718)
03-05-2003 5:37 PM
Reply to: Message 35 by Syamsu
03-05-2003 10:11 AM


It is highly unlikely that any creature exists today that
is completely unchanged from it's ancestors 2 billion years
ago.
When cells divide they suffer copy errors.
Natural selection does not preclude two variants surviving
within a population, or of the population splitting such that
sub-population-A stays put and follows one evolutionary path,
while sub-population-B moves on and follows another. The
variation may even make the variants able to exploit different
aspects of the same environment (I would suppose this to be
possible).
If you mis-understand natural selection as a concept, and it's
consequences for evolution that does not mean that the concepts
are wrong.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 35 by Syamsu, posted 03-05-2003 10:11 AM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 37 by Syamsu, posted 03-05-2003 11:23 PM Peter has replied

Peter
Member (Idle past 1509 days)
Posts: 2161
From: Cambridgeshire, UK.
Joined: 02-05-2002


Message 38 of 42 (34013)
03-10-2003 2:07 AM
Reply to: Message 37 by Syamsu
03-05-2003 11:23 PM


Just because one variant is at an advantage doesn't
mean that the other variant will be wiped out. It may
become less common, but not necessarily disappear
entirely.
Tell those who object to abiogenesis that highly unlikely
does not mean impossible, please.
Yes, I cannot say for certain, but logic says that since copy errors
happen, then over billions of years it would not be likely
that any species would retain exactly the same genotype.
There are some creatures which are phenotypically unchanged in
any major, species defining feature ... but I don't think anyone
is saying that they are identicle to their ancestors in the way
that you seem to mean.
A PS trait could evolve today, and maybe it did somewhere in the
universe ... who knows, and what point were you making?
You keep falling in back on this 'Darwin is wrong' thing, without
being very clear as to why.
Severla people here have described the most common understanding
of natural selection to you. Whether you quible over how formal
the definition is or not, NS happens and has been observed to
happen.
Organisms can only reproduce if they are alive.
In a population there IS variation.
Some variants will be able to stay alive longer than others.
Those that stay alive longest will have the most opportunity for
reproduction.
Those that leave the most offspring will have the most impact
on the genetic make-up (gene pool) of the future population.
Where is the problem in that reasoning?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 37 by Syamsu, posted 03-05-2003 11:23 PM Syamsu has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 39 by Syamsu, posted 03-10-2003 3:49 AM Peter has replied

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