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Author | Topic: US Census Fertility Report found 53.8% females 25-29 childless ( Social Security hurt | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LamarkNewAge Member Posts: 2424 Joined: Member Rating: 1.3 |
This fertility data was just published this month, and never before has the 25-29 group been majority childless.
The 30-34 female group is much more fertile but the 30.8% childless rate is also a new record. The majority of the childless female population is college educated. Social Security was not considered in the report (I don't think anyway ), but the funding shortfall is really being seen as more and more severe with every passing year since the Great Recession. After the projections showed full funding of future benefits till 2042, for most of the first 21st century decade (2000 up till 2008) of official analysis , that 100% funding limit has been lowered and lowered for the last 9 years till the year of reckoning has now been sunk all the way down to 2029. 2009 began with a 2037 projected year for the funding dropping, based on projected revenue ( which would be strictly Pay As You Go as the surplus would be exhausted thus nothing additional to fund benefits - just the raw day to day payroll tax payments from workers to immediately be used to pay retirees ) , from 100% down to 73%. Now it is 2029 for the surplus to be exhausted, and then only 71% of benefits can be paid. My solution is to bring in a ton of very young people from Africa and to start NOW. There is no other solution honestly. This thread is a proposal to discuss the various issues covered (fertility alone, Social Security alone, or a combination of both ).
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Admin Director Posts: 13046 From: EvC Forum Joined: Member Rating: 2.7 |
Thread moved here from the Proposed New Topics forum.
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xongsmith Member Posts: 2587 From: massachusetts US Joined: Member Rating: 7.0
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LNA asks:
My solution is to bring in a ton of very young people from Africa and to start NOW. There is no other solution honestly. This thread is a proposal to discuss the various issues covered (fertility alone, Social Security alone, or a combination of both ). It's simple: just eliminate the cap on FICA deductions. This isn't even their vaunted flat tax - it gets cut off for the rich above an amount, like 117k! What a deal! For starters. Edited by xongsmith, : No reason given.- xongsmith, 5.7d
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ringo Member (Idle past 442 days) Posts: 20940 From: frozen wasteland Joined: |
LamarkNewAge writes:
You don't need to make an effort to bring more people in. Just stop persecuting the ones who are already in.
My solution is to bring in a ton of very young people from Africa and to start NOW.
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LamarkNewAge Member Posts: 2424 Joined: Member Rating: 1.3 |
China is literally paying couples to have more children and has been for awhile.
In 2000, there were 18.5 million 18 year olds entering the workforce. The number of 18 year olds entering the workforce, as opposed to going to college, fell to 10.5 million. By 2020, the number will fall to 7 million in a nation that will cross 1.4 billion people by then. Many big job businesses are already starting to leave China for Africa, and I just read about the moves to Ethiopia. Japan. The latest population projections have the island nation dropping to 80 million people in 2060. See June 3, 2017 New York Times for shocking article in Business section. South Korea. The population has peaked at 50 million people, and the 1.2 birth rate per female means that the nation will loose a good many millions by 2050. I'm never going to complain too much when nations totaling nearly 1.6 billion people are collectively going to remain at around the same amount by 2050, but it is something that hasn't sunk in HERE in the United States. I am amazed how many people that I talk to who still think that South Korea is a nation much poorer than the United States. China is a very difficult nation to understand and especially economically. The population issues combined with economics are really really really really something to watch with interest. Immigrants finally getting brought into Japan and South Korea ( in significant numbers ) ? NOT YET! Necessary for sure. Necessity will be the mother of increased immigration as a matter of sound and, frankly, required policy. We better take notice. Americans better take notes.
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NoNukes Inactive Member
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China is literally paying couples to have more children and has been for awhile. I have been unable to confirm your statement. I do see articles dated as late as this past March suggesting that China needs to encourage more births, but nothing saying that they are doing so, or that there is a new policy that includes paying couples to have more children. In fact, China ended the one child policy in 2015. How long is "for awhile"? Months? Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846) History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King I never considered a difference of opinion in politics, in religion, in philosophy, as cause for withdrawing from a friend. Thomas Jefferson Worrying about the "browning of America" is not racism. -- Faith Some of us are worried about just how much damage he will do in his last couple of weeks as president, to make it easier for the NY Times and Washington post to try to destroy Trump's presidency. -- marc9000
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LamarkNewAge Member Posts: 2424 Joined: Member Rating: 1.3 |
Article - NewsTimes
quote: Here is the original article. Chinese authorities are offering wedding subsidies and cash payments to lure 'high quality' women into having more babies Tara Francis Chan Jul. 30, 2018, 4:53 PM China Is Trying to Incentivize More Women to Have Babies China is gaining income, and the latest PPP PROJECTIONS for 2018-20223 for all nations are found in this link. Countries by Projected GDP per capita 2021 - StatisticsTimes.com China will HAVE a yearly PPP income per person (PPP is purchasing power parity) at $26,086 in 2023 while we will be at $71,805. India will be at $11,785 The world will be $22,562 The world has never been at 1/3 the PPP income of the United States but 2023 is apparently so close. (this world average includes U.S. income so that inflates the world total) In 2005 , 15% of the world OUTSIDE THE U.S. had per capita income at half the United States (in PPP) That went up to 16% in 2014. I don't know what it is now, but nations like Turkey and Russia should be getting closer. Poland just hit $31,430 in PPP so they added to the 16%! We are at $62,152. Hungary just passed too. Malaysia (population 31 million) is about to. Look at some of countries that suffer from out shitty foreign and/or immigration policy. Russia is at $28,958 and Turkey $28,347 in 2018. (Turkey has close to 5 million refugees that Europe and United States won't take) Here is one for resilience. Iran is at $21,241 today and will still be at $27,188 in 2023. Iran has some good internal decision making, to be almost at 50% per capita PPP income in 2023 considering all that nation has had inflicted on it. This is interesting. Seychelles is $30,084 and will be at close to $38,000 in 2023. The country only has around 100,000 people so it wont change the World statistics. But this country lets any AFRICAN come into the country visa free! If Seychelles can do it then why can't we?
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NoNukes Inactive Member |
Not paying women to have children. Instead they are subsidizing weddings.
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846) "Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, the wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tossed to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door! We got a thousand points of light for the homeless man. We've got a kinder, gentler, machine gun hand. Neil Young, Rockin' in the Free World. Worrying about the "browning of America" is not racism. -- Faith I hate you all, you hate me -- Faith No it is based on math I studied in sixth grade, just plain old addition, substraction and multiplication. -- ICANT
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LamarkNewAge Member Posts: 2424 Joined: Member Rating: 1.3 |
quote:
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