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Author | Topic: Always talking about micro-evolution? | |||||||||||||||||||
crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
It's pretty obvious, reading this post, that you've never really studied the theory of evolution. I suggest you aquaint yourself with abasic college text on the subject. In particular you might pay attention to such keywords as "population genetics", "sexual selection", "evo-devo", "Hox genes", and "neoteny", for starters.
It's off-topic here to specifically address your points, but the questions you pose are kiddie stuff. Seriously. Do some homework and stop embarrasing yourself.
Claiming to be wise, they became fools... quote: It's pretty clear that I have a better understanding with the Bible than you have of the modern theory of evolution, and that's not saying much.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
The EXACT same problem with Neanderthal that is so well covered up, even though it was UNCOVERED by a creationist. Another wild claim that I challenge you to support with evidence.
The evolutionists scrambled to save face with Piltdown man A blatant falsehood transparent to anybody actually aquainted with the Piltdown story. We're getting a lot of ludicrous claims out of you, but very little - nothing, in fact - to substantiate them. Time to put up or shut up, Skeptick.
And I'll gladly debate you on the excellent science that goes into radiometric and other dating methods. You'd have to prove some kind of familiarity with the subject first. If you know as little about dating as you seem to know about evolution, we're not very keen to wade hip-deep through your ignorance. [This message has been edited by crashfrog, 02-10-2004]
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
I haven't seen a satisfactory argument out of you yet There's no evidence you'd be able to recognize one.
except when you admitted that there are plently of frauds and forgeries by evolutionists desperate for evidence. What an imagination you must have. I never admitted any such thing. Is this what you resort to when you're on the ropes? Fabricating straw men?
Instead of researching who took credit for debunking forgeries and frauds Hey, you were the one who brought it up. It's hardly my fault if you're going to try to debunk evolution using hisotry you've failed to do your homework on.
tell me what you think about Darwin's Black Box. It's one long argument from personal incredulity. Did you have evidence for some of the wild claims you've made but have yet to support with evidence? Do I need to remind you what you've abandoned/conceded in this thread again? Or can we assume that any sort of evidence is not forthcoming with you? Why should we debate with somebody who feels so unconstrained by the truth that they're free to make up whatever they please?
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
"Bones of contention". A book that threw the Germans into a frenzied panic. "Evidence" would be primary sources, not popular press science-history books.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
It's pretty clear that I have a better understanding of the Origin of Species than you have of the Bible, and that's not saying much. Straw man argument. I never said that my knowledge of the Bible was better than your knowledge of Darwin's Origin of Species. But the fact that you conflated the modern theory of evolution with a book Darwin wrote nearly 150 years ago is more evidence that you don't understand the theory of evolution. Did you look up those terms I gave you?
You swing, miss, then claim victory by proclamation. I'm claiming victory by default, because you've failed to show up for the debate. Remember, in debates, evidence is presented and claims are supported. You're failing to do either, once again. You've got one more chance. One more straw man argument or unsupported claim and we're done talking. Period. I'm not going to bother debating with somebody who's not going to put a little work into it.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
the probability that two randomly selected individuals would have the same profile is about 10-10 for the five VNTR loci Does "10-10" mean "1 in 10^10"?
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
How long do you think it took before the evolutionary process was able to devolep and arrange the colors of, say just the woodduck's HEAD and NECK, before the female woodducks would have noticed and started selecting the more handsome wooducks? How does that question even make sense? Let me put it to you this way. Let's say that you're at a track meet, and you're attracted to fast runners. In fact you want fast children so you've agreed to mate with the fastest runner. The question you're asking is akin to "how fast do they have to run before I'll mate with one of them?" It doesn't matter. "Fastest" is relative - most handsome is relative. So long as the ducks actually have feathers, one of them will have more handsome feathers than the others. The females have to mate. They're driven to do this. They'll choose the best mate they can find, but you're not going to find many ducks that are going to hold out forever. (That line of ducks doesn't last very long, you see.) It's not a question of "how handsome do you have to be to mate?" Evolution doesn't optimize. I don't have to outrun the bear. I just have to outrun you. (I don't have to be the handsomest possible duck to mate. I just have to be more handsome than you.)
Also, what dynamics of natural selection were at work to help the woodduck survive until this beautiful color scheme was able to arrange itself? The fact that the duck doesn't have to have perfect plumage to mate. It just has to not have the ugliest plumage around.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
Except that I knew a guy once, who tried that very same thing. Just before our lady's man could get down to actual business, some big ugly lookin' character came over and beat the tar out him, decisively eliminating his chances of passing on his good looks. Cute. Not sure what your point is, though. The fight doesn't always go to the strongest, though it is a good way to bet.
I'm glad you've cleared up the confusion. Yes. Selection isn't a process where only the victor gets the spoils. It's a process where the loser definately doesn't get any spoils.
How long would it take natural selection to develop these colors and then arrange each feather as they are on the woodduck's skin? Who cares?
Also, how did natural selection keep the good lookin' ducks from getting beat up by the ugly ducks while they were waiting on a satisfactory arrangement of their feathers? Why do you presume the ugly ducks are physically superior? I don't see that "good lookin' ducks" getting "beat up" is in any way an inevitable outcome.
If the good lookin' guys were better able to convince the ladies, why is the rock pigeon's color scheme so haphazard? Which one is the rock pidgeon? The drab one? Clearly female rock pidgeons have no plumage preference. Sexual selection is always based on the preference of the limiting reproductive resource, which is almost always the female (because the female is able to parent so many less offspring than the male, usually.)
I'm trying real hard to learn this material. It doesn't show. When we point out how your questions are based on misapprehensions, you turn around and ask them again. That doesn't look like learning to me. You still haven't looked up the terms I told you about, I see.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
But I'm still struggling to formulate a question that you can't dodge, and just give me the numbers that show the probability of random processes (mutations are random, right?) arranging something as simple as feathers on a woodduck's skin Well, the plumage coloration and pattern is probably governed by the interactions of maybe 3-4 genes. I can't give you the "odds" of this arrangement:
in a way that seems peculiarly as if it had been done by intelligence of some kind because I don't see what about wood duck plumage you find particularly intelligent. As you correctly pointed out, it's mal-adaptive, and only persists because the females, for whatever reason, prefer to mate with the colorful males. Why would an intelligent designer saddle wood ducks with a mal-adaptive coloration?
Just give me the odds of it happening the way the feather sequencing turned out on the woodduck's skin. I guess I don't see why you're so hung up on the odds. I can't calculate them because I don't know which genes control the pigmentation and arrangement of feathers. I don't know how many alleles there are for each gene. I don't know how the genes interact. And I especially don't know what plumage patterns resulting from these interactions you're likely to find more significant than others. It would be much more useful to ask "what are the odds that female wood ducks would come to prefer bright plumage?" but I can't even answer that, because I don't know the sample space - the enumeration of all possible wood duck brain states that would be relevant to their behavior in regards to plumage. You're asking for odds without being able to define the sample space. Answering your question isn't going to be possible, which you would know if you were really thinking about this stuff. If you want odds, then figure out these numbers: k: How many possible plumage configurations could be represented in the wood duck genome?n: Out of those, which ones do you consider significant? The "odds", then, should be somewhere around n out of k.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
a reply pertaining to "why" you are bantering on this subject...succinctly...may help filter my intrusion and rectify my involvement. Why...what? Why we're talking about the genetic basis of wood duck plumage? Because Skeptick brought it up, presumably hoping to catch us evilutionists in a contradiction. Why we're talking about evolution in general? Because that's what the forum is for.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
The remaining 97% that is non-functional, does that mean it has no function I think what that means is that it never expresses proteins. The "junk" DNA may very well have function, but that function wouldn't be related to its nucleotide sequences.
or that we perhaps need a different "de-coder" ring? No, because we're using the same "de-coder ring" that the cell uses.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
Please don't be so upset with me. What's throwing us off here is that you've gone from a tone of honest questioning (your first 3 or 4 posts), to one of arrogant superiority (the bulk of your exchanges with me), to one of supercillious deference (your recent posts), all in about 3 days. It's difficult to believe that these represent an honest change of heart, because that usually takes a lot longer. Plus when honest people really want to rectify their ignorance, they usually conclude that an internet forum is not a good substitute for a science education, and ask for reccommended texts for their edification. What they usually don't do is continue to ask the sort of questions creationists ask to try to entrap us, like "what did the male wood ducks do while they waited for their plumage to evolve to the females' high standards?" or some such. Is there any reason we shouldn't view your new tone of "I'm so ignorant, please don't hurt me" as simply one more disingenuous tactic?
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
Tell me, which stage should I now evolve into, that would be acceptable to you so we can continue with this topic? Why don't you evolve into a stage where you support assertions with evidence when asked? That's all we've ever wanted. If you've got questions, ask 'em. Nobody's worried that you're going to outsmart us, trust me. But be prepared to be corrected if your questions are based on premises that just aren't true. Fire away.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
But probability is certainly part of evolution theory, isn't it? Yes, but that hardly implies we'll be able to calculate the probabilities of any concievable event, right? Probability is a part of bookmaking, too, but I doubt you'd demand that a bookie tell you the precise odds of Superbowl MVP Tom Brady getting injured in next year's season. Reasonable people don't ask for odds that can't possibly be determined.
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crashfrog Member (Idle past 1498 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
But yet when it comes to turning a frog into a prince over millions of years, you say the odds are "mathematically inevitable". You have to be dodging on purpose to be missing points the way you are. What I said was not that frogs to princes was inevitable. What's inevitable is that a population of frogs will evolve into something. There's a considerable difference. What are the odds that life as we know it should exist? Very low indeed. What are the odds that life of any kind should exist? Mathematically inevitable. Don't confuse what is with what can only be.
What you must certainly mean is, evolutionists hope they're not asked about probability. As a matter of fact, I do hope creationists don't bring up probabilities - it's a pain in the ass to explain it to somebody who can't be bothered to actually learn something about probabilities.
For a frog to evolve into a human is simply ludicrous. Yes. Of course, the evolutionary model doesn't predict humans evolving from frogs, or frogs from humans. Kind of a disingenuous tactic to oppose an argument we're not making, isn't it?
Anyone should be able to see that the color scheme on a woodduck's head is so precise and orderly that it couldn't have happened via random processes even in 100 billion years. I say that it's chaotic and haphazard. Prove me wrong. (These are the assertions without evidence that we've been warning you about.)
Would you think these leaves arranged themselves in this manner? Precisely the same as the leaves being in any other single, discreet arrangement.
Can you calculate those odds? No, and I don't have to. It's your argument from personal incredulity - you do your own homework. Don't you find it just a little ill-advised for you to be making arguments from probability with no actual understanding of probabilities? It's hilarious how you vacillate between arrogant ignorance and feigned supercilliousness. I threatened to stop taking with you after your next unsupported assertion - which you committed above - but it's honestly too much fun to read your attempts at trolling.
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