quote:
99.9% sounds like a good enough mathematical impossibility.
...
You know what I think personally? I think they only left that 0.1% or less to give evolutionists at least some little hope to cling to...
OK, let's take that 0.1% and do the math.
p = Probability of a beneficial mutation appearing in an individual
p = 0.1% = 0.001
q = probability it will not appear (includes harmful mutations)
q = 1 - p = 0.999
Now, for a beneficial mutation to
not appear in a population of n individuals would require that it
not happen n times in a row. For it to
not happen over g generations would require that it
not happen ng times in a row. That probability Q would be:
Q = q
(ng)And hence the probability P that a beneficial mutation would occur at least once over g generations of a population of n individuals would be:
P = 1 - Q = 1 - q
(ng)
For n = 1000 and g = 100,
Q = 0.999
(1000 * 100) = 3.53852*10
-44P = 1 - Q = very nearly 100% (calc rounded it off to 1; it can't handle subtracting such a small number from 1)
Now, I feel that those values of n and g are reasonable. Let's try a much smaller case and less reasonable case, such as n = 100 and g =10:
Q = 0.999
(100 * 10) = 36.77%
P = 1 - Q = 63.23%
It's still twice as probable that a beneficial mutation would occur than not.
What? You make such a sweeping statement about something being "mathematically impossible",
and you couldn't be bothered to do the basic math?
Well, you've let us know loud and clear how much weight
your claims carry. None at all.
Consider this (as I hope your colleagues will): If the claims you make that we
can check (eg, claims about science and the natural universe) all turn out to be rubbish, then how could you ever expect us to accept the claims you make that we cannot check (eg, claims about the supernatural, including claims about your God). When will you ever learn that making false claims can only work against your cause and against the Cause of Christ?
If you really did care, then you would be scrambling to clean up your act as quickly as possible. That you will undoubtedly not do that, is just more evil fruit for the Matt 7:20 test.
Edited by dwise1, : No reason given.
Edited by dwise1, : No reason given.
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Edited by dwise1, : Finally cleaning up of the HTML