EvC Forum: Expressing your beliefs as a percentage

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Topic: Expressing your beliefs as a percentage

Jon

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Message 6 of 46 (623136)
07-08-2011 10:00 AM

Reply to: Message 1 by Butterflytyrant
07-06-2011 3:01 AM

Expressed as a percentage, how sure are you that your particular version of creation is correct? This is open to all. Whether it be the Big Bang and Evolution, Young Earth Creation, Old Earth Creation, ID or any other interpretation of the scripture.

Big Bang? About 7%

Evolution? About 12% or so.

The second part of the question is - expressed as a percentage, how many people who share your particular faith (or perceived scientific theory like evolution, ID etc) share your version or interpretation of that faith (or scientific theory etc)?

Unknown. My information on these theories is entirely derived from third-, fourth-, or even seventh-hand sources. I would assume, then, that there are many who share my version of these theories, save for minor discrepancies.

Jon

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
	Message 1 by Butterflytyrant, posted 07-06-2011 3:01 AM		Butterflytyrant has replied

Replies to this message:
	Message 7 by Butterflytyrant, posted 07-08-2011 10:29 AM		Jon has replied

Jon

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Message 13 of 46 (623224)
07-08-2011 6:17 PM

Reply to: Message 7 by Butterflytyrant
07-08-2011 10:29 AM

Out of curiosity, you advised that you are not very sure of your chosen version of creation, Big bang and Evolution 7% and 12% respectively.

What makes up the remainder?

Like jar said: doubt. If we are measuring certainty, then I am 7% certain of the Big Bang and about 93% uncertain.

From Message 9:

It may not be all doubt.

Consider the difference between these three possible replies (there are others of course)

1. 7 % BB, 12 % ToE the remainder being doubt

2. 7 % BB, 12 % ToE the remainder being 18% creationism and doubt

3. 7 % BB, 12 % ToE the remainder being 10% Hindu teachings, 6% ID and the remainder doubt.

BB and ToE are two separate theories. We are measuring the amount of certainty in each theory; the figure will be independent for each one. The theories I mentioned are the two in which I have the greatest amount of certainty. For example, I am less than 0.001% certain of Creationism (especially the Biblical variety) for the origin of the Universe, and effectively 0% certain of Creationism as a theory describing the origin of the variety of species on Earth.

You really need to compare confidence in different theories to get a good understanding of the various mentalities out there on the issue.

Jon

Love your enemies!

This message is a reply to:
	Message 7 by Butterflytyrant, posted 07-08-2011 10:29 AM		Butterflytyrant has seen this message but not replied

Jon

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Message 26 of 46 (623611)
07-11-2011 11:32 PM

Why cannot I be equally confident of a variety of different things?

Who in the hell made up this nonsense that my confidence in everything in the world has to add up to 100%?

Absolute stupidity.

Love your enemies!

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