Hi Dr Adequate, we should be careful not to oversimplify and understate the issue.
It is possible to measure the rate of mutation, and to show that this accounts for the amount of evolution that's happened in the available time.
First off, the rate of mutation may be relatively steady in mature populations, but they have been shown to increase when the individuals are under stress. This is due to the relationship between development and ecology. Hormones affect development and stress affects hormones, where the stress comes from the ecology (hot, dry, predator dominated, etc).
Second, the ability of a population to fix mutations (ie pass them on to following generations) is related to the level of selection pressure: when selection pressure is low, more marginal mutations pass muster (survive long enough to breed), and resulting in more variety of mutations within the population, while under high selection pressure these individuals fail to meet the mark and the number of mutations available to the next generation is reduced.
It is possible to measure the rate of mutation, ...
This has been done, and the results show that the rate of mutations can vary in specific populations. When we try to apply that knowledge to the historical perspective, what we are really measuring is the rate of fixed mutations.
The number of fixed mutations is necessarily smaller than the number of mutations, and the proportion is variable (as noted above), so they cannot be used to extrapolate a rate of mutation for the population in general.
... and to show that this accounts for the amount of evolution that's happened in the available time.
Curiously, we get a kind of cart and horse situation here. We take, for example, the genomes of human and chimpanzee and bonobo and gorilla, and from this family tree we can see that the rates of fixed mutations in these different populations occurred at different rates, and this is generally reported as an average rate of mutation for each population - there is no way to find max and min rates within those periods.
We can compare those to the known rates of mutations today and see that they are within the range of fixed mutations in populations from the known highs to the known lows.
Many times we also find that even the low rates of known mutations are much more than sufficient for evolution to have occurred in some populations -- in other words that evolution can be lazy in getting from one place to another -- but have yet to find an instance where the amount of fixed mutations cannot be explained by known rates of mutation and the fixing of mutations in a population.
If you're still posting on these forums in twenty years, bump this thread.
I agree that his aspect of the field of genetics is still in the infancy stage, an exciting place where discoveries are waiting to be made. But I predict it will take much less than 20 years ...
Enjoy.
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