Hey, why not have another moderator chime in!
Tymygy, what no one has mentioned yet is that you likely won't find the mathematical derivation for your probability figure, nor an accurate description of what it applies to. If you want to tell us which of the many Creationist websites you got your figures from, we could promote this thread with an eye toward discussing the deficiencies in their argument.
I know it must seem unfair that your premise is being ruled invalid before it has even been discussed. This argument has been discussed here many times, but there are always new members and the mix of members in active participation is constantly changing, so we're more than willing to discuss the same topic many times. But the purpose of reviewing thread proposals before promotion is to make sure the author understands the position he's advocating to make sure he's capable of defending it. Since it is already well known that this probability argument is not founded upon any real world data, it really isn't capable of being defended, so all that's left to discuss is the poorly conceived nature of the argument itself.
So if you tell us where you got the argument from we could discuss it in its original form.
| -- | Percy |
| | EvC Forum Director |
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