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Author Topic:   Quality Control the Gold Standard
Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 55 of 238 (285033)
02-08-2006 5:10 PM


Hey, can I play?
I'd really like to join this discussion, it feels like one that should be right up my alley, but when it came down to finding a specific post or subissue to respond to I couldn't find one. The more I read the more uncertain I became about what this thread is discussing. But I see lots of discussion so I figure everyone else must know what this thread is about. So someone please help me out here. Is this thread about the unlikelihood of abiogenesis? Or is it about the unlikelihood of evolution being able to produce sufficient change to account for life's diversity? Something else? What?
Thanks in advance!
--Percy

Replies to this message:
 Message 56 by crashfrog, posted 02-08-2006 5:12 PM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 58 of 238 (285039)
02-08-2006 5:24 PM
Reply to: Message 56 by crashfrog
02-08-2006 5:12 PM


Re: Hey, can I play?
crash writes:
I presumed it was about what was in the OP, about how engineers would "never" use mutation and selection in the process of design.
So I'd be on-topic if I started talking about genetic algorithms? Or would that be redundant now?
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 56 by crashfrog, posted 02-08-2006 5:12 PM crashfrog has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 59 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 5:37 PM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 62 of 238 (285073)
02-08-2006 7:22 PM
Reply to: Message 59 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 5:37 PM


Re: Hey, can I play?
Sorry, Evopeach, I don't see anything I can respond to there. I can tell you believe that natural processes are insufficient because you also believe that seven sigma quality is too challenging without intelligence, but these are only your beliefs. You argue them from a position of personal incredulity ("how could anyone logically believe...") rather than from tightly argued logic. I can't tell how you're tying your various assertions together, and so there's nothing concrete to respond to.
If you want to believe seven sigma marks the deathknell for evolution, go ahead. But if you want to convince others to believe it, too, then you'll need a little more.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 59 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 5:37 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 63 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 7:49 PM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 67 of 238 (285086)
02-08-2006 8:54 PM
Reply to: Message 63 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 7:49 PM


Re: Hey, can I play?
evopeach writes:
You realize that your stament is open to interpretation":
An inability to present a case for the seven sigma quality of the genomic operation other than an assertion.
I haven't even seen you make a case for why this is a problem. If you feel further clarification is unnecessary then I guess we're done.
evopeach writes:
Most theories are able to explain and experimentally demonstrate their premises to be hightly factual but of course such is not the case in this instance, other wise it would be forthcoming.
Evolutionary theory has no premise about mutation rates. This is a measured quantity, not a theoretical one. The mutation rates do not derive from theory.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 63 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 7:49 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 68 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 11:02 PM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 72 of 238 (285132)
02-09-2006 8:11 AM
Reply to: Message 68 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 11:02 PM


Re: Hey, can I play?
Evopeach writes:
PLease there are innumerable claims about divergence of species based on mutation ESTIMATES over eons to predict the so called last common ancestor. Who measured those non-theoretical mutation rates?
I'm afraid you're going to have to connect the dots for me. How does this tie in to seven sigma?
--Percy
This message has been edited by Percy, 02-09-2006 08:13 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 68 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 11:02 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 74 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 9:13 AM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 80 of 238 (285167)
02-09-2006 10:06 AM
Reply to: Message 73 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 9:00 AM


Re: Six Sigma isn't a good comparison
Evopeach writes:
Your premise is wrong. The IBM family of OS for mainframes as well as everyother OS in teh last 25 years has error correcting code and yet the average number of patches to fix bugs is about 25 per month.
Hopefully this is just misexpressed. Hardware error correcting codes and software patches are not related in the way you imply here. Such codes have nothing to do with software bugs. I've been praying for years for the "do what I mean, not what I said" correcting code, but alas, in vain.
Seriously, you do understand that hardware error correcting codes are for correcting data read from media like DVDs and hard drives or transmitted across some types of internal buses. They do not correct software bugs. There is no such thing as correcting codes for software bugs. The best that can be done is when the error becomes fatal to raise an exception that calls a routine that attempts recovery. These recovery routines can be quite sophisticated, and many software packages include their own recovery routines, but just the same, there are no correcting codes for software bugs.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 73 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 9:00 AM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 82 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 10:24 AM Percy has not replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 83 of 238 (285171)
02-09-2006 10:30 AM
Reply to: Message 74 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 9:13 AM


Re: Hey, can I play?
Evopeach writes:
Mutation is the only mechanism evolution has as raw material for changing the genome from the current pre-rna first replicator which would have been highly error prone step by step pair by pair into the genome and cellular machinery that operates at the 7 sigma level.
This is very difficult to parse, but I'll give it a shot.
First, I agree the early replicators were more error prone. This has been established in the lab where primitive RNA replicators have been constructed and evolved. Selection mechanisms quickly improve the accuracy.
But pre-life and early life are also thought to have traded, swapped and exchanged genetic material much more freely than modern cells currently do. And cells which consume other cells can end up also acquiring some of the genetic material. Invasive forms like viruses inject genetic material into cells that take it up into their own genetic machinery.
Sexual life has even more mechanisms for modifying the genome, since the allele frequency of a population can vary over time without a single mutation ever surviving.
So you would be incorrect to state that "Mutation is the only mechanism".
How quickly did the evolutionary mechanism get from a very high error rate to the near perfect current error rate?
Quickly enough to be consistent with the trilobite eye in fast forward evolutionary time?
I don't know. Life spent the first several billion years doing pretty much the same thing. I expect that the collective genome of life on earth was gradually building up variation and complexity until it reached the point around 700 or 800 million years ago when the first multicellular life forms began appearing. It is possible that the replication accuracy increased gradually over this period, but how would we ever know?
Are the assumptions of evolutionary mutation rates and the so called fossil record of evolving organisms internally consistant in consideration of avail time periods?
If so, how unless the rates are estimatred or assumed constant or undefined so they can be set to whatever is required to explain what is observed in evolutionary terms.
Are you trying to say the measured rates are insufficient to support observed evolution? Or are you saying the estimated rates are fabricated to give correct results? Or are you saying something else?
Whatever you're saying, raising the possibility is not the same as making the case. You haven't made any case yet.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 74 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 9:13 AM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 84 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 10:52 AM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 87 of 238 (285192)
02-09-2006 11:56 AM
Reply to: Message 84 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 10:52 AM


Re: Hey, can I play?
Evopeach writes:
Reading your post is illuminating in the sense it is consistent with all evolutionary explantions...90% I don't know, unmeasured, unquantifiable assertions about the unobservable past, just so and what if and maybe statements without a scintilla of evidence and highly improbable of occuring by any standard.
That's just unsupported assertion. Could you provide some specific examples to support your claims?
For instance explain in detail the selective mechanism that operated on the pre rna to the rna etc that resulted in a "quick" move to a more reliable replicator. Assertions are not science.
One experiment performed by the origins of life community involved putting primitive RNA replicators into a beaker of raw materials, such as amino acids and so forth. These primitive RNA replicators were fairly error prone, so changes accumulated very quickly, and the replication process was not very fast. After being in the beaker for a fixed time period, say 30 minutes, they extracted the most successul replicators and put them in a new beaker of raw materials for 30 minutes. They did this again and again, and in a relatively short time, I'm not sure how long, maybe 20 or 30 cycles, they had evolved an RNA that was very fast and highly accurate. If you'd like references to the paper I could probably find out for you.
Besides your post simply begs the question which was how do higly error prone early replicators ever evolve into the current state of seven sigma operation by evolutionary mechanisms?
I assume it would happen through some equivalent selection process to the experiment I just described. The fastest most accurate replicators win the competition for resources and get to produce more of themselves.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 84 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 10:52 AM Evopeach has not replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 102 of 238 (285298)
02-09-2006 5:43 PM
Reply to: Message 101 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 2:47 PM


Re: Unobservable past
Okay, now that you've got that out of your system, can you perhaps provide an argument or chain of logic justifying drawing a comparison between human designs and genetic copying? I think to most evolutionists the comparison seems invalid because hundreds of millions of years of evolutionary refinement through competition and changing environments should produce much better results than anything mere humans could achieve.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 101 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 2:47 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 104 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 7:16 PM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 105 of 238 (285327)
02-09-2006 7:44 PM
Reply to: Message 104 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 7:16 PM


Re: Unobservable past
Hi Evopeach,
More than anything other point, your reply makes clear that you are a believer:
Evopeach writes:
Thus it is intirely logical and scientific to conclude based on the evidence that we are in fact behaving precisely like the Intelligent designer as predicted and declared by the Designer.
As declared by the Designer with a capital "D"?
You cannot draw upon arguments of faith to form arguments of science.
This is so far factual as to observation and argument from analogy in a logical framework.
But you didn't draw a logical framework, you drew a religious one.
The alternative is to suppose that all of these human attributes were purely the result of an undirected purposeless chance process whose only "creative tool" is the preservation of certain random changes by the fortuitous intersection in time and space of the random change and a favorable environmental state in which the event occurred.
Have you forgotten that your topic is sigma seven?
No code , computer, transister, compiler, hardware or software of any kind let alone the harnessing of electrical circuits and such ever arose by evolutionary processes.
Sure they have. I believe genetic algorithms have already been mentioned in this thread. We can discuss them if you like.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 104 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 7:16 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 106 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 8:24 PM Percy has replied
 Message 107 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 8:31 PM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 108 of 238 (285338)
02-09-2006 8:43 PM
Reply to: Message 106 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 8:24 PM


Getting back on topic
Evopeach writes:
If you care to parse the posts and omit the presenirnt sections cherry picking the elements you can asset your comment into go ahead... just dont confuse it with logical rebuttal.
Say what? Are we still speaking English around here?
You offered a religious argument in the first half of your post (Designer with a capital "D" declared it be so), and you offered an argument from personal incredulity in the second half of your post. It isn't possible to respond to scientific arguments not made.
What you need to do is provide an argument or chain of logic that justifies a comparison between human designs and genetic copying. As I said earlier, the comparison seems invalid because hundreds of millions of years of evolutionary refinement through competition and changing environments should produce much better results than anything mere humans could achieve.
--Percy
This message has been edited by Percy, 02-09-2006 08:54 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 106 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 8:24 PM Evopeach has not replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 109 of 238 (285340)
02-09-2006 8:49 PM
Reply to: Message 107 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 8:31 PM


Re: Getting back on topic
Evopeach writes:
Some of the greatest scientists and thinkers in history debated the existance of God in purely logical argument.
Evopeach, you seem to have lost your way. This is your thread, and the topic is seven sigma as it pertains to genetic copying. The topic is not the existence of God. Besides, you won't be successful convincing people that ID is science and not religion if you have to rely upon God as an authority.
I still recommend that you follow my suggestion from my previous post.
--Percy
This message has been edited by Percy, 02-09-2006 08:57 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 107 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 8:31 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 110 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 9:57 PM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 118 of 238 (285455)
02-10-2006 9:36 AM
Reply to: Message 110 by Evopeach
02-09-2006 9:57 PM


Re: Getting back on topic
Hi Evopeach,
You're mostly just repeating your initial premise again. We already know you don't believe natural processes are sufficient for the emergence and evolution of life
By the way, I don't know if anyone has mentioned this yet, but your view contains an inherent contradiction. Because only human intelligence has been observed creating complex and intricate things, you conclude that only an intelligence can create something as complex and intricate as life. You draw parallels between life and human designs. Then you conclude that because human intelligence has failed to synthesize life in the lab, that proves that life must have been designed.
Your reasoning is obviously backward. If life was designed by an intelligence, and if the structures of life are really analogous to human designs, then human intelligence should be able to duplicate that feat. You must therefore reason that since human intelligence has so far failed to create life that intelligence is insufficient for the task, and that life must have been created naturally.
Of course, the fallacy in all this is that the structures of life are not analogous to human designs. False assumptions yield false conclusions.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 110 by Evopeach, posted 02-09-2006 9:57 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 122 by Evopeach, posted 02-10-2006 11:25 AM Percy has replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 128 of 238 (285579)
02-10-2006 1:26 PM
Reply to: Message 122 by Evopeach
02-10-2006 11:25 AM


Re: Getting back on topic
Evopeach writes:
The Intelligent Designer would have no limits to their creative abilities, obviously we do, and by definition could accomplish instantaneously de novo what was designed.
You're describing God again. All the rest of your argument is based upon God as a premise, and hence fails to qualify as science.
On a more general level, if you have evidence for the qualities of the ID designer, please let us know what that evidence is.
Keeping you on track and not wandering off into goat trails...
If you really think the above about the Designer is off-topic then we should drop it, but it was you that offered an argument about the Designer when I asked how you justify a comparision between human designs and genetic copying. I'm not the IDist here. I don't tend to introduce the Designer into discussions. You did that yourself.
Why cannot evolutionists demonstrate the fundamental premise that a seven sigma quality biologic process , namely the copying of a single human DNA molecule with only 1 error per billion base pairs copied can arise step by step from precursers of life right up to the current life we observe.
First, I don't think evolutionists think of the genetic copying process in terms of seven sigma. The modern synthesis of evolution and genetics into the synthetic theory of evolution was solidified long before we had any idea of genetic error rates. But you are correct to note that it is a very high level of accuracy.
But second, understanding how this came about *is* something that the origins of life community is working on. In response to your original inquiry about this I provided you an example of such an experiment in Message 87. You never replied. Why don't you take a look at it now and see what you think.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 122 by Evopeach, posted 02-10-2006 11:25 AM Evopeach has not replied

Percy
Member
Posts: 22504
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 140 of 238 (285793)
02-11-2006 4:12 AM
Reply to: Message 137 by Evopeach
02-10-2006 2:34 PM


Re: References
Hi Evopeach,
I think you must have missed the last paragraph of Message 128. It's an on-topic answer to your inquiry about the origin-of-life community's investigations into the possible evolutionary development of the modern cell's genetic machinery. It actually references Message 87, which you also missed.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 137 by Evopeach, posted 02-10-2006 2:34 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 141 by Evopeach, posted 02-11-2006 9:09 AM Percy has replied

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