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Author Topic:   New Type of Ancient Human Found—Descendants Live Today?
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 134 of 209 (599514)
01-08-2011 11:34 AM
Reply to: Message 130 by Blue Jay
01-07-2011 9:22 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
Speciation isn't really even an issue here: divergence has clearly happened, as evidenced by haplogroup distribution among different regional populations, and by the occasional observation that some races respond differently to medications, and by features like Coyote mentioned (the characteristic incisor shape of Asians). True, it's doubtful that regional populations of humans even warrant subspecies designation, but this is pretty immaterial to the whole point.
Of course it's an issue. OOA has held for the longest time that sapiens, erectus, Neanderthals, etc. are all separate species. The new genetic evidence has disproven this claim. MH, on the other hand, has held that these critters are all of the same species. The new genetic evidence has corroborated this claim.
Sure, you can switch up OOA to account for the new information, but why? There's another theory that's already accounted for it and that is completely consistent with the other data that we have available. On to the point that I have been attempting to make all along: this new evidence is support more for MH than it is for OOA.
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 130 by Blue Jay, posted 01-07-2011 9:22 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 135 by jar, posted 01-08-2011 11:37 AM Jon has replied
 Message 139 by Blue Jay, posted 01-08-2011 1:37 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 136 of 209 (599518)
01-08-2011 11:38 AM
Reply to: Message 131 by sfs
01-07-2011 9:40 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
It's worth noting that the human population seems to have been much larger over the last 50,000 years or so than it was during the preceding lengthy period when the MR development was supposed to have been taking place. The recent period is also much shorter.
Wouldn't this make it even more possible for the population disparities necessary for a 95% swamping of non-African populations by the genetic information from the more dense, more central, and more largely populated African regions?
Don't smaller populations serve to magnify the impact of these disparities on the genetic makeup of the population as a whole?
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 131 by sfs, posted 01-07-2011 9:40 PM sfs has not replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 137 of 209 (599519)
01-08-2011 11:41 AM
Reply to: Message 135 by jar
01-08-2011 11:37 AM


Re: Continuity of the Species
Is it not possible to distinguish Neanderthal remains from Hss?
Of course, but physical differences do not indicate speciation. Look at early and late erectus skeletal differences.
When we look at Neanderthal and sapiens, we are likely just looking at the same species at different times in its evolution, just like with early and late erectus.
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 135 by jar, posted 01-08-2011 11:37 AM jar has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 138 by jar, posted 01-08-2011 11:52 AM Jon has not replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 140 of 209 (599567)
01-08-2011 8:50 PM
Reply to: Message 139 by Blue Jay
01-08-2011 1:37 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
Even if OoA was originally formulated to include a universal negative claim ("nobody, anywhere has a non-African ancestor") and even if it was strictly dependent on H. sapiens, Neanderthals and Denisovans being distinct species based on the biological species concept, what is your objection to simply letting it relax these assumptions?
It may relax these, but then where does that get us?
What is important to me is that we not overturn a very successful paradigm based on whimsical population genetics models and trace evidence that can be easily assimilated into the current paradigm.
We may assimilate as we wish, but then where does that get us?
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 139 by Blue Jay, posted 01-08-2011 1:37 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 141 by Blue Jay, posted 01-10-2011 12:44 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 142 of 209 (599780)
01-10-2011 2:51 PM
Reply to: Message 141 by Blue Jay
01-10-2011 12:44 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
To the point where we realize that evidence of interbreeding is not a valid reason to question whether or not there was an out-of-Africa migration.
And what of the point of an alternate theory with verified predictions?
To the point where we realize that there really isn't that great a difference between a 100% explanation and a 95% explanation.
This has me a little confused. Could you expand?
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 141 by Blue Jay, posted 01-10-2011 12:44 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 143 by Blue Jay, posted 01-10-2011 3:56 PM Jon has replied
 Message 144 by Taq, posted 01-10-2011 4:04 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 145 of 209 (599899)
01-11-2011 2:02 PM
Reply to: Message 144 by Taq
01-10-2011 4:04 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
What predictions does the MR model make that differ from an OoA model with very limited interbreeding with Neanderthals and others?
Well, my claim was regarding the continuity of regional traits. The main issue is that the old OOA model proposes a replacement with no continuity of regional characteristics (especially genes). Certainly, we can alter the old model to include the new evidence of such continuity. However, the MH model (old and new) does propose such continuity, both morphological and genetic.
Granted, we can conceive of OOA and MH models that are not only compatible but almost identical. But, of course, using such models makes debating one against the other pointless. So, clearly, the debate must be made involving the incompatible versions of the models, and this means regional continuity for MH and none for OOA. If you want to say that OOA and MH are identical in regards their proposals on regional continuity (and not adhere to the full-replacement scheme), then there's really no debate as far as the discovery laid out in the OP is concerned.
Doing this, however, requires alteration of the OOA model to incorporate what is a prediction in the MH model, so that, as was originally the theme of this discussion, the discovery in the OP of regional continuity is a point in favor of the MH model.
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 144 by Taq, posted 01-10-2011 4:04 PM Taq has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 148 by Taq, posted 01-11-2011 5:02 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 146 of 209 (599900)
01-11-2011 2:10 PM
Reply to: Message 143 by Blue Jay
01-10-2011 3:56 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
Opponents of OoA are ready to jump all over the model as a whole because one of the more dubious claims associated with it was defeated. It's like failing to beat one's opponent in the ring, and then declaring victory over the whole team after shooting his pet dog in retaliation.
Like I said, the discovery in the OP does not disprove OOA. The reason it adds support to MH is because it verifies a prediction made by the MH model. This cannot be said of the OOA model, since its traditional form was against regional continuity. Yes, OOA can be altered to fit this new evidence, but a theory that makes accurate predictions is stronger than one which must constantly shim-shammy around to keep up with new discoveries.
Since OOA and MH are both compatible with the other available genetic evidence (e.g., mtDNA), verification of predictions is all we have for judging the strength of each of the theories (especially since both are likely wrong anyway).
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 143 by Blue Jay, posted 01-10-2011 3:56 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 147 by Blue Jay, posted 01-11-2011 3:43 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 149 of 209 (599943)
01-11-2011 5:06 PM
Reply to: Message 147 by Blue Jay
01-11-2011 3:43 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
But, you've been arguing as if it does. You've presented several reasons why it's more compatible with a diffusion/hybridization model than it is with a migration model.
Not really; I've mentioned that I find diffusion and gene flow more plausible and inline with other evidence, but I don't think I've made the argument that the evidence from the OP is more compatible with either gene diffusion or migration. Depending on the degree of 'absoluteness' in any given diffusion or migration model, the new evidence can be incorporated rather effortlessly into either. In fact, I've admitted to it several times that the OOA model is perfectly capable of incorporating the evidence of regional continuity.
Sure, "disprove" is probably too strong a word for what you've been arguing, but you have been using it as the key component of a case against OoA.
I am guilty of going off-topic from the original theme. Some of my posts were not in the vein of which theory's predictions are better confirmed by the new evidence, but were simply arguments in favor of MH and against OOA. However, strictly on the topic of the discovery from the OP, I would definitely not argue that it disproves or casts doubt on the OOA model beyond simply strengthening an alternative model.
But, does it really verify a prediction made by MR? Look at it more realistically: did MR predict admixture, or did it predict substantial amounts of admixture?
I think 'admixture' is the wrong word to use in terms of the MH model. The degree to which various erectus traits in Asians, for example, survive to the present day should not be seen as a measure of the degree to which Asian sapiens can be linked to Asian erectus. That we see few pure erectus characteristics in Asian AMH is no more evidence against Asian erectus being ancestral to Asian sapiens than the lack of pure Australopithecus traits in any modern sapiens is evidence against Austra. being ancestral to AMH. In evolution, we do not expect daughter varieties to be identical to their ancestors. So, to really get to the heart of this issue, we cannot rely on present genetic/skeletal evidence; instead, we have to look at the skeletal(/behavioral?) evidence from the period that sapiens is believed to have replaced erectus.
For all intents and purposes, MR is essentially useless as an explanatory model for the ancestry of modern humans. There's no real call to resurrect it over 5% of one unusual population.
Absolutely false.
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 147 by Blue Jay, posted 01-11-2011 3:43 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 154 by Blue Jay, posted 01-11-2011 9:45 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 150 of 209 (599950)
01-11-2011 5:20 PM
Reply to: Message 148 by Taq
01-11-2011 5:02 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
And this is what we see with 95% of the genome. Only 5% of the regional DNA is kept which seems very discontinuous to me. It would seem to me that the major driving force was replacement with regional additions making up a small percentage of the resulting genome.
Why is this a problem for an MH model?

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 148 by Taq, posted 01-11-2011 5:02 PM Taq has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 151 by Taq, posted 01-11-2011 5:31 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 152 of 209 (599955)
01-11-2011 5:50 PM
Reply to: Message 151 by Taq
01-11-2011 5:31 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
Because the major driving force (>95%) was migration of DNA instead of gene flow.
How does 'migration of DNA' differ from 'gene flow'?
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 151 by Taq, posted 01-11-2011 5:31 PM Taq has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 153 by Taq, posted 01-11-2011 5:59 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 155 of 209 (600124)
01-12-2011 4:51 PM
Reply to: Message 153 by Taq
01-11-2011 5:59 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
Okay, so by 'migration of DNA' you mean 'migration of people'? Am I understanding that correctly?
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 153 by Taq, posted 01-11-2011 5:59 PM Taq has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 159 by Taq, posted 01-13-2011 12:01 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 156 of 209 (600131)
01-12-2011 5:35 PM
Reply to: Message 154 by Blue Jay
01-11-2011 9:45 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
Modern Asians are only descended from Homo erectus to the extent that they inherited traits from them. Subsequent evolution that may have happened along the proposed H. erectus-Asian lineage is taken into account when these analyses are done, so, as far as I am aware, this is not a serious confounding factor for this type of analysis.
I'm uncertain as to what you mean with this, though it appears this statement involves the assumption of the conclusion. The evidence regarding the amount of erectus characteristics in modern Asians doesn't point to Asians being 'only descended from Homo erectus to the extend that they inherited traits from them' in the way you imply it as an inheritance of rather negligible proportions. As I stated in the post above, even within an MH framework, given the time span, gene exchange factors, higher selection pressures, etc., there is no reason to expect resemblance at all, let alone beyond whole percentages, between present Asian populations and populations of Asians a million years ago. Given more time, the genetic and morphological evidence of regional continuity here may disappear entirely; that we have this evidence available to us at present is extremely fortuitous. Thus the degree of regional continuity is not evidence for the degree of contribution of the older regional populationsit is simply a measure of the degree of preservation/survival of the regional characteristics/DNA in question. To get to these measures (of actual contribution), we must look at the skeletal/genetic(/behavioral?) evidence from the period that sapiens is believed to have replaced erectus in these areas.
But, we also don't expect the daughter varieties of one ancestor to be identical to the daughter varieties of a different ancestor.
But they're not identical, and even if they were, it wouldn't be a problem for MH. I already mentioned ways, means, and reasons for peripheral populations having genetic material that appears originating from other locales. In fact, given an MH model, we should quite expect the DNA of our various populations to have a variety of sources, with the primary source being the most dense, highly populated, central populations. Shared features across populations, in any degree, is in no way damning to the MH model.
If MR is to explain the differences between regional populations (as it's supposed to), then those differences should be inherited by modern humans from the ancient humans in the same region, with or without mutations.
I'm not sure I understand this. The degree to which various regional characteristics have been preserved to the present is a factor of many things that could have occurred from the initial appearance of the characteristics up until our measuring of them in present populations. That certain traits survive while others do not isn't a problem for MH.
A model that only explains 5% of the data is not essentially useless? Why not?
MH explains much more than 5% of the data. By whatever means you've made this gross miscalculation it is assuredly just that: a gross miscalculation.
Jon
Edited by Jon, : clarity
Edited by Jon, : more clarity
Edited by Jon, : yet more clarity
Edited by Jon, : phrasing this time

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 154 by Blue Jay, posted 01-11-2011 9:45 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 162 by Blue Jay, posted 01-13-2011 3:04 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 158 of 209 (600166)
01-12-2011 11:33 PM
Reply to: Message 157 by Coyote
01-12-2011 8:58 PM


Re: New article
Interesting. Thank you for sharing that.
One part that I find problematic is the estimate Stringer gives for the initial population size differences that would be necessary for creating the present distribution:
quote:
Chris Stringer in Ancient Denisovans and the human family tree:
If the populations were very small, that component [5% Denisovan genes] might represent as few as 50 Denisovans mixing with 1000 pre-Melanesians, but it was sufficient to give the present-day inhabitants of places like New Guinea and Bougainville as much as 8% archaic genes - a small Neanderthal component they acquired first, probably in western Asia, and an additional Denisovan component they acquired later, on their long journey towards Melanesia.
It seems that given the regular variations in population sizes and the selective favoring of fully AMH traits that an original contribution of 5% would have disappeared long ago. As a matter of common sense, I'd say the original contribution would have had to have been greater than what is found today as a continuity in the regional populations. Thus, his statement that a 50:1000 mix of 'archaics' to moderns would be sufficient just seems baseless.
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 157 by Coyote, posted 01-12-2011 8:58 PM Coyote has not replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 160 of 209 (600243)
01-13-2011 2:22 PM
Reply to: Message 159 by Taq
01-13-2011 12:01 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
... not gene flow into indigenous gene pools.
But as this discovery, along with others, shows there was gene flow. Furthermore, your assumptions regarding mate selection are misplaced, as the continuation of pre-sapiens traits clearly shows selection of mates outside of the sapiens group, not to mention the fact that it is fallacious to impose a model based on modern racial behavior onto a group of people so far removed in time and culture from the moderns.
But now given your clarification on 'migration of DNA', I can say that your statement that 'the major driving force (>95%) was migration of DNA instead of gene flow'1 is exactly the claim that remains to be proven. One way we can check for verification is, as I've already mentioned, to look at actual evidence from the time of the supposed replacement.
Jon
__________
1 From Message 151.
Edited by Jon, : Added reference.

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 159 by Taq, posted 01-13-2011 12:01 PM Taq has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 161 by Taq, posted 01-13-2011 2:31 PM Jon has replied

  
Jon
Inactive Member


Message 163 of 209 (600269)
01-13-2011 5:17 PM
Reply to: Message 162 by Blue Jay
01-13-2011 3:04 PM


Re: Continuity of the Species
How on earth do you draw a distinction between the "degree of regional continuity" and the "degree of contribution of older regional populations"?
I think I already addressed this: Whatever the initial contribution, we cannot determine its size by only making measurements of the present population; all our measurements of present populations tell us is whether or not we have evidence of continuity and how much of that evidence remains.
"Regional continuity," as claimed by MR, refers to genealogical descent from older regional populations, which entails genetic contributions to the modern regional gene pool. Otherwise, MR is not a hypothesis about the descent of modern humans.
These contributions have been shown. Nevertheless, MH does not require a survival of these 'genetic contributions to the modern regional gene pool'. Furthermore, the degree of survival of regional characteristics is not a measurement of how much of a present population's decent can be traced to the same region's earliest populations.
Jon

Check out No webpage found at provided URL: Apollo's Temple!
Ignorance is temporary; you should be able to overcome it. - nwr

This message is a reply to:
 Message 162 by Blue Jay, posted 01-13-2011 3:04 PM Blue Jay has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 169 by Blue Jay, posted 01-14-2011 10:08 AM Jon has replied

  
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