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Author Topic:   Doin' It Again - Hurricane Rita
berberry
Inactive Member


Message 1 of 43 (245546)
09-21-2005 5:08 PM


Another cat 5 headed for the Gulf Coast. I'm glad to be well away from the projected path this time, but Houston is going to be rather close and on the east side. Jar, aren't you down close to the Mexican border? That would seem to be substantially to the west side so maybe you won't see much damage in your town, but this thing is another monster. On this track, if it holds together after landfall the way Katrina did, Dallas could be in for some serious trouble. Hard to believe!

Here's the latest track projection map, from Weather Underground:


Replies to this message:
 Message 2 by Yaro, posted 09-21-2005 5:17 PM berberry has responded
 Message 4 by jar, posted 09-21-2005 5:54 PM berberry has not yet responded

  
Yaro
Member (Idle past 4660 days)
Posts: 1797
Joined: 07-12-2003


Message 2 of 43 (245549)
09-21-2005 5:17 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by berberry
09-21-2005 5:08 PM


Worry not! FEMA will save us!

Oh, and Global Warming is a bunk theory put fourth by a bunch of crazy liberal tree hugers!


This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by berberry, posted 09-21-2005 5:08 PM berberry has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 3 by berberry, posted 09-21-2005 5:30 PM Yaro has not yet responded
 Message 22 by Silent H, posted 09-22-2005 5:28 PM Yaro has responded

  
berberry
Inactive Member


Message 3 of 43 (245551)
09-21-2005 5:30 PM
Reply to: Message 2 by Yaro
09-21-2005 5:17 PM


Yaro writes:

quote:
Worry not! FEMA will save us!

Well, they do have plenty of ice for the Texas hurricane victims. It's stored just nearby in PORTLAND, MAINE!!!

Seriously, this is another one to literally freak out over. All levity aside, my heart goes out to the people of Texas, particularly those poor souls who went to Houston after enduring the American equivalent of the Black Hole of Calcutta. I had already said that I can't imagine what they've been through, but to add something like this on top of it! None of us can imagine the sort of dread they must be feeling.

Life ain't fair, is it?


"I think younger workers first of all, younger workers have been promised benefits the government promises that have been promised, benefits that we can't keep. That's just the way it is." George W. Bush, May 4, 2005
This message is a reply to:
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jar
Member
Posts: 30981
From: Texas!!
Joined: 04-20-2004
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 4 of 43 (245552)
09-21-2005 5:54 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by berberry
09-21-2005 5:08 PM


Nothing to worry about. Don't blow it out of proportion.
FEMA has Pre-Positioned Supplies and First Responders in Houston.

See Message 5 for maps of the area.

Oh, one other thing.

The Mayor of Houston has asked everybody in low lying areas (If there were a Mount Houston it would probably be at 30 or 35 Foot Elevation) to beat feet.

If the HIGH over the mid section moves east Rita will probably visit Houston. If it stalls out it's likely Rita will stick her tongue in my ear.

One BIG difference. Where Houston sits about 10-20 feet on average above sea level, I'm at 100'+. And they call it the Valley.


Aslan is not a Tame Lion
This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
 Message 5 by robinrohan, posted 09-21-2005 6:06 PM jar has not yet responded
 Message 34 by Thugpreacha, posted 09-23-2005 10:43 PM jar has responded

  
robinrohan
Inactive Member


Message 5 of 43 (245558)
09-21-2005 6:06 PM
Reply to: Message 4 by jar
09-21-2005 5:54 PM


Re: Nothing to worry about. Don't blow it out of proportion.
Looks like it's jogging a teeny bit west, which is good news for Houston.
This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
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robinrohan
Inactive Member


Message 6 of 43 (245562)
09-21-2005 6:23 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by robinrohan
09-21-2005 6:06 PM


Re: Nothing to worry about. Don't blow it out of proportion.
Right now, it seems to be heading right for Palacios, one of my favorite little towns. If it was to hit Palacios as a cat-5, Palacios would cease to exist.
This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
 Message 7 by gene90, posted 09-21-2005 6:37 PM robinrohan has not yet responded

  
gene90
Member (Idle past 1987 days)
Posts: 1610
Joined: 12-25-2000


Message 7 of 43 (245567)
09-21-2005 6:37 PM
Reply to: Message 6 by robinrohan
09-21-2005 6:23 PM


Re: Nothing to worry about. Don't blow it out of proportion.
quote:
Right now, it seems to be heading right for Palacios, one of my favorite little towns. If it was to hit Palacios as a cat-5, Palacios would cease to exist.

Not that you shouldn't be paying attention to the forecast tracks, but we're still what, 48 hours or so from landfall? Today's 4 PM strike probabilities still had a 10% of landfall within 65 miles of New Orleans.

At any rate, this link, this will help put things in a little more context, since the storm isn't likely to run right down the center of the line.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT3+shtml/212054.shtml


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RAZD
Member
Posts: 19869
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 8 of 43 (245573)
09-21-2005 7:23 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by robinrohan
09-21-2005 6:06 PM


Re: Nothing to worry about. Don't blow it out of proportion.
Actually being on the east side can be almost as bad as being at the center, because of the way the wind moves

Katrina damaged the coast from NO to Mobile AL

Here's another interesting view\prediction:
AccuWeather, Rita's Projected Path (click)

The predicted size with time is a new feature ... I would also like to see iso-lines for cat1, cat2, cat3, etc winds.

Of course the project that we had set up for work just south of NO was relocated last week ... to Texas City ... :rolleyes:

I'll let you know the next location so we can predict the next hurricane :D

ps -- why has there never been a "Q" hurricane?


we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand

RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


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Replies to this message:
 Message 9 by berberry, posted 09-21-2005 7:35 PM RAZD has responded
 Message 10 by gene90, posted 09-21-2005 7:38 PM RAZD has not yet responded
 Message 37 by RAZD, posted 09-24-2005 4:48 PM RAZD has not yet responded

  
berberry
Inactive Member


Message 9 of 43 (245574)
09-21-2005 7:35 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by RAZD
09-21-2005 7:23 PM


Hurricane Naming Conventions
There aren't enough names beginning with 'Q' available to be rotated, so (I think) by international agreement that letter is skipped. So is 'Z', unless I'm mistaken, and there may be one or two others.


"I think younger workers first of all, younger workers have been promised benefits the government promises that have been promised, benefits that we can't keep. That's just the way it is." George W. Bush, May 4, 2005
This message is a reply to:
 Message 8 by RAZD, posted 09-21-2005 7:23 PM RAZD has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 11 by RAZD, posted 09-21-2005 7:39 PM berberry has not yet responded
 Message 14 by Modulous, posted 09-22-2005 10:53 AM berberry has not yet responded

  
gene90
Member (Idle past 1987 days)
Posts: 1610
Joined: 12-25-2000


Message 10 of 43 (245575)
09-21-2005 7:38 PM
Reply to: Message 8 by RAZD
09-21-2005 7:23 PM


Re: Nothing to worry about. Don't blow it out of proportion.
quote:
ps -- why has there never been a "Q" hurricane?

You mean like the "Q" tornado that slipped past the weather control nets to assassinate some former residents of the Continuum?

There aren't a lot of "Q" names though I can think of one or two. Here are the lists of names for the next few years:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml

There are a few for the Philipines and SW Indian Ocean.

This message has been edited by gene90, 09-21-2005 07:40 PM


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RAZD
Member
Posts: 19869
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 11 of 43 (245576)
09-21-2005 7:39 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by berberry
09-21-2005 7:35 PM


Re: Hurricane Naming Conventions
ah

but just think of the poetic justice of a hurricane named

Quetzalcoatl

:D


we are limited in our ability to understand
by our ability to understand

RebelAAmerican.Zen[Deist
... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ...
to share.


This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by berberry, posted 09-21-2005 7:35 PM berberry has not yet responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 12 by gene90, posted 09-21-2005 7:42 PM RAZD has responded

  
gene90
Member (Idle past 1987 days)
Posts: 1610
Joined: 12-25-2000


Message 12 of 43 (245577)
09-21-2005 7:42 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by RAZD
09-21-2005 7:39 PM


Re: Hurricane Naming Conventions
quote:
but just think of the poetic justice of a hurricane named

Quetzalcoatl


Unless it hit Central Mexico (?)


This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by RAZD, posted 09-21-2005 7:39 PM RAZD has responded

Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member
Posts: 19869
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004
Member Rating: 5.5


Message 13 of 43 (245578)
09-21-2005 7:47 PM
Reply to: Message 12 by gene90
09-21-2005 7:42 PM


Quetzalcoatl
right over the yucatan ...

serve em right for abandoning the one true religion?

This message has been edited by RAZD, 09*21*2005 07:48 PM


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Modulous
Member (Idle past 268 days)
Posts: 7789
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 14 of 43 (245717)
09-22-2005 10:53 AM
Reply to: Message 9 by berberry
09-21-2005 7:35 PM


Re: Hurricane Naming Conventions
There aren't enough names beginning with 'Q' available to be rotated, so (I think) by international agreement that letter is skipped. So is 'Z', unless I'm mistaken, and there may be one or two others.

This years list:

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Dennis
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Katrina
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
no Q
Rita
Stan
Tammy
no U
Vince
Wilma
No Y
No Z
(Greek alphabet)

This message has been edited by Modulous, Thu, 22-September-2005 04:20 PM


This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
 Message 15 by Dr Jack, posted 09-22-2005 11:03 AM Modulous has responded

  
Dr Jack
Member (Idle past 269 days)
Posts: 3507
From: Leicester, England
Joined: 07-14-2003


Message 15 of 43 (245719)
09-22-2005 11:03 AM
Reply to: Message 14 by Modulous
09-22-2005 10:53 AM


Re: Hurricane Naming Conventions
Does this mean there have been five other hurricanes since Katrina?
This message is a reply to:
 Message 14 by Modulous, posted 09-22-2005 10:53 AM Modulous has responded

Replies to this message:
 Message 16 by Modulous, posted 09-22-2005 11:15 AM Dr Jack has not yet responded
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