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Author Topic:   Bison at La Brea Tar Pits
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 1 of 44 (304298)
04-14-2006 5:47 PM


I recently visited the La Brea Tar Pits with my family. We had a great time and learned a lot. One interesting thing we noticed was the ages of the bison found there. Next to some of their jawbones was a sign that said this:
quote:
Migration
Not all the animals lived at Rancho La Brea year round. Some were migratory, traveling in and out of the area. How do scientists know this?
At Rancho La Brea, paleontologists have found fossils of many young bison. They can tell the age of the bison by the number and kind of teeth in the jaw and the amount of wear shown by the teeth. The young bison from the asphalt deposits are either 2 to 4 months old, 14 to 16 months old, or 26 to 30 months old. Each group is thus 12 months (one year) apart. No bison have yet been recovered that are of intermediate ages- 5 to 13 months old or 17 to 25 months old.
These clusters of ages indicate that the bison were present at Rancho La Brea only during a few months of the year. If the calves of extinct bison were born at the same time of the year as modern bison calves, then the bison were present at Rancho La Brea every year during late spring.
My husband and I found it interesting that there were no bison found with ages of 5 to 13 months or with ages of 17 to 25 months. So we did a bit of research. Here's what we discovered:
1. This statement:
quote:
These clusters of ages indicate that the bison were present at Rancho La Brea only during a few months of the year
cannot be true unless all the bison were born on or very near the same day, every year for the 30,000 years represented by the tar pits. If there was any variation (as there is with modern bison) they would've had to move very rapidly through Rancho La Brea staying only a few days at the most. Also they would've had to go through the area during the same few days every year for 30,000 years.
2. This statement:
quote:
If the calves of extinct bison were born at the same time of the year as modern bison calves, then the bison were present at Rancho La Brea every year during late spring.
is false and misleading. Modern bison calves are born mostly in may but can be born any time from mid April through July or August. There were no newborn calves, no one month old calves. If all the calves were born in May, they would've had to go through Rancho La Brea in July, August, or September (mid summer to early fall) even if all the calves were born in April, the earliest they could've traveled through Rancho La Brea would be June . For them to be present at Rancho La Brea during late spring, they would've had to have been born in February or March, which is not when modern bison are born.
3. Their scenario doesn't seem very likely. What seems more likely is that there was some sudden event which killed all those animals, and there were bison ranging from 2-4 months which had been born that year, bison ranging from 14-16 months which had been born last year, and bison ranging from 26-30 months which had been born two years previously.
I would like to point out that I want this to be a very narrow topic. I don't want to be asked to prove how the flood could cause the animals to be trapped in tar. That is not something I have researched. I simply want people to agree with me that a sudden event is more likely if you only consider the ages of the bison babies, and that the scenario given at the museum doesn't adiquately explain what was found.

Replies to this message:
 Message 3 by NosyNed, posted 04-14-2006 9:22 PM Christian has replied
 Message 4 by Chiroptera, posted 04-14-2006 9:40 PM Christian has not replied
 Message 8 by Modulous, posted 04-15-2006 11:59 AM Christian has not replied
 Message 9 by DominionSeraph, posted 04-16-2006 10:41 PM Christian has replied
 Message 17 by jar, posted 04-17-2006 12:34 PM Christian has replied
 Message 24 by MangyTiger, posted 04-17-2006 7:02 PM Christian has not replied
 Message 29 by RAZD, posted 04-17-2006 9:57 PM Christian has replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 5 of 44 (304363)
04-15-2006 12:46 AM
Reply to: Message 3 by NosyNed
04-14-2006 9:22 PM


Re: Alternate explanations.
NosyNed writes:
1) Born at about the same time ( within a couple of weeks or so --to suggest the accuracy means the same day is silly). Then arrive at the tar pits 2 months after the end of the birthing period and stay for up to 2 months.
The idea I was trying to portray was that any variation in times of births, would necessitate a shorter stay at Rancho La Brea. If they were born within a couple of weeks (a much shorter span than we see in modern bison) they would only be able to stay at La Brea for 1.5 months max. But the sign says that they stayed a few months. Seems misleading to me.
2) Born over a two month period and arrive at the tar pits at the end of that time period and stay two months.
No. Because there were no newborn and no one month old calves. Also this scenario has them traveling and giving birth at the same time.
3) Born over a two month period and arrive at the tarpits 2 months later but pass through in a few days or so (migrating through).
Yes but that is not what the sign indicated. The sign indicated that they stayed there for a few months every year. Also they would have to give birth within the same two months and travel through La Brea within the same few days every year for 30,000 years (or 44,000 according to Chiroptera)
What source do you use for the birthing period of bison?
I've looked at several. Here's one:
Requested Page Not Found (404)
That's all the time I have tonight. I am curious about your statement "Not when modern bison are born on the great plains." Do you have a source stating that modern great plains bison are born in Feb. and March?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 3 by NosyNed, posted 04-14-2006 9:22 PM NosyNed has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 6 by NosyNed, posted 04-15-2006 2:12 AM Christian has replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 10 of 44 (304726)
04-17-2006 10:21 AM
Reply to: Message 9 by DominionSeraph
04-16-2006 10:41 PM


DominionSeraph writes:
While they just happened to be standing in tar?
No, that's not what I think, but I'm not discussing that at this point. I have limited time and have to discuss one thing at a time. Have a nice day.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by DominionSeraph, posted 04-16-2006 10:41 PM DominionSeraph has not replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 13 of 44 (304748)
04-17-2006 12:16 PM
Reply to: Message 6 by NosyNed
04-15-2006 2:12 AM


Re: Bison Calving
NosyNed writes:
However the material is NOT a scientific paper.
So it doesn't have to provide accurate information?
NosyNed writes:
."This pattern indicates that bison were at Rancho La Brea for only a few months at a time." isn't in particular disagreement with your 1.5 month stay based on calf ages.
MY 1.5 month stay? I don't think it's very likely that they stayed for 1.5 months. Bison these days are born over a period of at least 2 months, which wouldn't give them more than a day or two to stay at La Brea each year. And even if they were staying there 1.5 months, their statement would be in disagreement. "A few" generally indicates between 3 and 5.
NosyNed writes:
The paper you referenced has (during one study year) "most" (whatever that means of the calves born in the first half of May. There are "occasional" calves born in late summer. The capture in the pits could miss an "occasional" calf.
Even if we assume that all the calves were born in May. There are problems with the statment on the sign. If they were born anytime in May that gives a 1 month span for them to be born. They would have to arrive at La Brea in July (which is not late Spring)They would have to arrive towards the end of July so that the youngest calves (born end of May) would be 2 months old. They could only stay until mid September at the latest, because after that the oldest ones (born beginning of May)would look more like 5 month olds than 4 month olds. That only gives them 1.5 months which is less than "a few" . Notice that I'm allowing for some calves to actually be 4.5 months old. They would have to continue these narrow patterns for many thousands of years. The more year to year variation you allow for, the smaller the window of time for them to be born and the smaller the window of time for them to remain at the tar pits.
NosyNed writes:
You are objecting to some very minor details.
I'm only pointing out that their scenario doesn't work very well, and that their info is misleading and false.
NosyNed writes:
The age measurements are not down to a few days. The time there is only accurate to a part of a season. Where did you get "same few days" from?
That was you. Message 3
NosyNed writes:
3) Born over a two month period and arrive at the tarpits 2 months later but pass through in a few days or so (migrating through).
NosyNed writes:
Migrating animals in Africa move based on seasonal changes with a degree of precision that matches the precision of the La Brea information. (the 'few days' is yours).
It was yours. And I don't think bison migrating patterns are that precise. They seem to vary from year to year.
NosyNed writes:
Something I don't know is whether the tar pits are particularly dangerous at one time of the year and not another. In the spring they may be water covered but not later in the summer. This would mean the captured animals are not a random sample.
Whatever the case, the conditions would have to be almost exactly the same every year for many thousands of years.
NosyNed writes:
What I was saying was that I agree that modern plains bison are NOT born in Feb. and March. Why does that mean that a mirgrating coastal (perhaps Meditteranean climate) population could not birth earlier?
Do you know of any modern bison which are born in Feb and March? I agree that ancient bison could've calved earlier, but the sign said:
quote:
If the calves of extinct bison were born at the same time of the year as modern bison calves, then the bison were present at Rancho La Brea every year during late spring.
Which is false.
NosyNed writes:
The material you are referging to seems to be reasonable given the level of detail we have supplied. You will have to go back to the paleontological data from which it is derived if you want to suggest that it is misrepresenting the data.
What they have up there is clearly false. Maybe YOU can provide some information which excuses them from lying to the public?
NosyNed writes:
You are adding "information" of your own that is not there.
What "information" am I adding that's not there?
NosyNed writes:
and then suggesting an alternative that is in no way at all compatible with the available information.
If it's helpful we can just forget my alternative. I'll just stick with pointing out that the museum is posting false information and that their migration scenario seems inadequate given the ages of the animals found.
NosyNed writes:
That is exactly the kind of behavior that many creationist web sites get up to. It is precisely that kind of special pleading that is rampant among those who wish to be called creation "scientists". They only demonstrate a complete lack of intellectual honesty.
I hope you're not accusing ME of intelectual dishonesty.
NosyNed writes:
The facts that I do see from the La Brea site and the paper you referenced are that bison may well produce "most" (I want to know what % this is) of their calves in a two week period. Some calves may be born outside of this range. The calves in La Brea are all within a couple of month range. (see below).
It would be nice to see percentages. Maybe our next field trip should be a bison ranch. this one http://www.nature.org/aboutus/travel/almanac/nea.php?requ... says the babies are born May through July.
NosyNed writes:
That is all we have. We do not know how many bison and calves have been found in the pits. We do not know the climate at the time of entrapment. We do not know the actual expected precision of the ages.
Yes, I would like to see that information too. I looked and couldn't find anything. I wonder why it's so hard to get that info?
NosyNed writes:
This does not give accuracy of these ages. It may actually be the end points of error bars with most of the animals ages concentrated at 3, 15 etc months. We don't know from the available information.
But it does say
quote:
No bison have yet been recovered that are of intermediate ages- 5 to 13 months old or 17 to 25 months old.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 6 by NosyNed, posted 04-15-2006 2:12 AM NosyNed has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 22 by NosyNed, posted 04-17-2006 1:45 PM Christian has not replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 14 of 44 (304753)
04-17-2006 12:25 PM
Reply to: Message 12 by Coragyps
04-17-2006 11:00 AM


Coragyps writes:
Of course, Bison antiquus needn't have had the same breeding season as modern bison - they might have calved in February in Tiajuana, for all we on this board know at this point. I don't really see where the dates are all that odd, and I'll bet that published data exists that clears the phenomenon up.
But then why does the sign say
quote:
If the calves of extinct bison were born at the same time of the year as modern bison calves, then the bison were present at Rancho La Brea every year during late spring.
?
Also I would be very interested to see that published data.
This message has been edited by Christian, 04-17-2006 12:26 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 12 by Coragyps, posted 04-17-2006 11:00 AM Coragyps has not replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 16 of 44 (304757)
04-17-2006 12:32 PM
Reply to: Message 11 by Yaro
04-17-2006 10:41 AM


Yes, I'm still around. I'm even a moderator! Though I don't have time to do much moderating.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by Yaro, posted 04-17-2006 10:41 AM Yaro has not replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 18 of 44 (304760)
04-17-2006 12:35 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by Modulous
04-17-2006 12:25 PM


Modulous writes:
Assuming there are no other factors involved would seem to suggest Christian was right - however as you say, there are likely other factors not discussed in the brief text presented.
Thanks Modulous, I would like to see what those other factors are.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by Modulous, posted 04-17-2006 12:25 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 19 by Modulous, posted 04-17-2006 12:38 PM Christian has replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 20 of 44 (304766)
04-17-2006 12:54 PM
Reply to: Message 17 by jar
04-17-2006 12:34 PM


Re: You have reached an important point ...
jar writes:
If that is true, then certain other things also must be true and the evidence for them must be equally apparent.
Then let's not assume it's true. Lets assume the migration scenario is true and see how well that fits the evidence. I'd rather take things one step at a time. I want to know if I am right that their scenario is unsatisfactory. That's all.
jar writes:
Aslan is not a Tame Lion
no, but He is good.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by jar, posted 04-17-2006 12:34 PM jar has not replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 21 of 44 (304769)
04-17-2006 1:08 PM
Reply to: Message 19 by Modulous
04-17-2006 12:38 PM


Modulous writes:
I covered a couple of possibilities at the bottom of my Message 8.
Oh yeah, I almost forgot to reply to that one.
Modulous writes:
Perhaps the calves we see in the pits were weaned? We'd need more information to be sure (the nature of the teeth wearing for example).
yes, nature of teeth wearing would help. But I have a book on Bison that says the calves nurse for about 8-12 months. So If the ancient bison nursed for that long too, it wouldn't work because most of the bison were between 2-4 months. I have a picture of a graph which illustrates that, but I don't have time to get the picture up for you now. It will have to wait.
Modulous writes:
Alternatively, as Lithoid has said, it could be that we are getting the information worded within error bars (that is, the ages of the calves found are 3 months plus or minus one month).
I'm not sure how this would explain anything.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 19 by Modulous, posted 04-17-2006 12:38 PM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 23 by Modulous, posted 04-17-2006 2:49 PM Christian has not replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 31 of 44 (305257)
04-19-2006 2:14 PM


more info
I am going to request information from the museum as to the exact numbers and ages of animals found. I'll ask for the numbers of all large mammels. I think this will help. I'll also ask what the error margin is for judging the ages of the bison calves. I'm glad to see that at least some of you can see problems with the clarity of the information given on the sign.

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 32 of 44 (305258)
04-19-2006 2:18 PM
Reply to: Message 29 by RAZD
04-17-2006 9:57 PM


"time troubles"
RAZD writes:
ps -- how goes the time troubles?
Thanks for asking. I'm still working slowly through that book (Ancient Earth Ancient Skis). It's a bit over my head, but is also raising some questions which I am looking into.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 29 by RAZD, posted 04-17-2006 9:57 PM RAZD has not replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 34 of 44 (305265)
04-19-2006 2:36 PM


Here's what I sent
In case anyone is interested, this is the email I sent to the museum. Hopefully they will provide me with the requested information soon.
quote:
I recently visited your museum with my family. One display about bison migration sparked my interest, and I have been doing some research regarding it. I am having trouble, however, finding some of the desired information. Could you please provide me with the following:
-The number of bison found in the tar pits divided into the various ages found. (how many 2-4 month olds; how many 14-16 month olds, etc)
-the ratio of male vs. female bison found
-the margin of error in determining the ages of the bison calves
-the numbers and ages of other large mammals found at the Rancho La Brea tar pits
Thank you very much for your time

Replies to this message:
 Message 35 by NosyNed, posted 04-19-2006 4:54 PM Christian has replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 36 of 44 (305327)
04-19-2006 6:49 PM
Reply to: Message 35 by NosyNed
04-19-2006 4:54 PM


Re: good questions
Yes, it would be interesting to see what their answer would be. I didn't have time today, however to articulate my problem to them, but I did get an answer to my email. Here's what they said:
quote:
I was very pleased to learn that your visit to the Page Museum stimulated your further research into the bison migration story.
I was not involved in the original research but believe the information you seek may be found in the following publication:
Jefferson, G. T. and J. Goldin 1989. Seasonal migration of Bison antiquus from Rancho La Brea.
Quaternary Research, 31: 107-112.
The numbers of the different kinds of large mammal fossils changes annually as our excavation progresses but a summary of the numbers of fossils before our current excavation started may be found in:
Marcus, L. F. 1960. A census of the abundant large Pleistocene mammals from Rancho La Brea. Contributions in Science No. 38 pp 1-11.
Kind regards,
John Harris
I don't have time now to look for the sources he referenced, but maybe one of you want to do that. Perhaps this info will clear up the problem, otherwise I'll send them another email.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 35 by NosyNed, posted 04-19-2006 4:54 PM NosyNed has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 37 by Coragyps, posted 04-19-2006 7:40 PM Christian has not replied
 Message 38 by RAZD, posted 04-19-2006 8:59 PM Christian has not replied
 Message 39 by Coragyps, posted 04-23-2006 12:33 PM Christian has replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 40 of 44 (306174)
04-23-2006 6:10 PM
Reply to: Message 39 by Coragyps
04-23-2006 12:33 PM


Re: good questions
Do either of those papers have the specific information I requested?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 39 by Coragyps, posted 04-23-2006 12:33 PM Coragyps has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 41 by NosyNed, posted 04-23-2006 7:08 PM Christian has replied

  
Christian
Member (Idle past 6285 days)
Posts: 157
Joined: 10-16-2005


Message 42 of 44 (306195)
04-23-2006 8:40 PM
Reply to: Message 41 by NosyNed
04-23-2006 7:08 PM


Re: answers
Ok, so the sample size is smaller than what I would've thought. I would like to know how many of those were calves and of which ages. Of course a bigger sample would give us more accurate information. With a smaller sample, it's hard to draw any conclusions. I would like to read those papers myself. Hopefully I'll get a chance to do that. I also may ask again for the requested information if it isn't on those papers. It has to be somewhere. My contention is that the information on the sign is still incorrect.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 41 by NosyNed, posted 04-23-2006 7:08 PM NosyNed has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 43 by Coragyps, posted 04-23-2006 9:12 PM Christian has replied

  
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