RAZD writes:
To answer Straggler's persistent tangential question - the believability is related to how much we think we know about the question, when we think we know a lot, we have a high confidence in our conclusion, and when we think we know little we have a low confidence in our conclusion, no matter what that conclusion is. This is part of the world view, not independent of it. Different people have different world views (their collective opinions and deductions they've made based on evidence, experience, education, training and knowledge) and will come to different (and necessarily) subjective conclusions. Once you have moved away from the area of scientific knowledge where concepts can be tested against reality, all you have are subjective conclusions.
In other words Straggler, the SETI project / excitement over the possibility of water on Mars / etc.. presume life arose naturalistically on Earth. That presumption, the product of a world view - isn't science - it's the religion called Scientism.