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Author Topic:   Can the standard "Young Earth Creationist" model be falsified by genetics alone?
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 6 of 161 (696230)
04-13-2013 5:59 PM
Reply to: Message 5 by jar
04-13-2013 4:27 PM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
Not only does genetics falsify a young earth...
Well, that was surely a quick thread. I thought we were going to have to sit through a bunch of evidence and logic.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I would say here something that was heard from an ecclesiastic of the most eminent degree; ‘That the intention of the Holy Ghost is to teach us how one goes to heaven, not how the heaven goes.’ Galileo Galilei 1615.
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 5 by jar, posted 04-13-2013 4:27 PM jar has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 7 by bluegenes, posted 04-13-2013 7:00 PM NoNukes has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 15 of 161 (697027)
04-20-2013 1:57 PM
Reply to: Message 9 by jbozz21
04-20-2013 1:42 AM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
My real question is why should I trust these studies to be accurate, correctly set up, truthful and unbiased?
You would probably need to be able to do some self verification. But by your own admission, you are utterly incapable of doing so. You cannot then reach the same conclusion that bluegenes has reached.
Of course none of that will be any kind of meaningful assessment of whether the science is correct. But you can pretend otherwise.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I would say here something that was heard from an ecclesiastic of the most eminent degree; ‘That the intention of the Holy Ghost is to teach us how one goes to heaven, not how the heaven goes.’ Galileo Galilei 1615.
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by jbozz21, posted 04-20-2013 1:42 AM jbozz21 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 18 by jbozz21, posted 04-25-2013 1:19 AM NoNukes has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 28 of 161 (697771)
04-29-2013 10:36 PM


Perhaps jbozz21 is simply saying that the kind of evidence that he can or will consider must be approachable with the kind of knowledge he currently has. Given that we are talking about displacing a strongly held belief, maybe he's just being honest about his frame of mine.
IF your goal were to convince him, rather than to berate him, would you use different evidence, or would you attempt to bridge the gap by some means other than requiring him to go to grad school?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I would say here something that was heard from an ecclesiastic of the most eminent degree; ‘That the intention of the Holy Ghost is to teach us how one goes to heaven, not how the heaven goes.’ Galileo Galilei 1615.
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 35 of 161 (705254)
08-25-2013 2:59 PM
Reply to: Message 34 by mindspawn
08-25-2013 6:33 AM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
Increases in germline mutations are related to higher temperatures and also UV damage.
Whoa dude. You are getting ahead of what you can demonstrate on the UV part. UV radiation has very low penetrating power and it is counter-intuitive that it would have an effect on the mutation rates of complex animals. If you want to link sunlight to inheritable mutations either you need to take some kind of Lamarkian approach or you should consider something other than visible and ultraviolet light.
UV exposure causes increases in mutation rates, I'm still looking into the inherited effects though :
And what kind of human mutations are discussed in the article? Skin cancer. The article also talks about mutations in single celled organisms like yeast. You haven't even begun.
Besides that, changes in mutation rate by a factor of 2 or so really aren't all that helpful to your argument are they?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 34 by mindspawn, posted 08-25-2013 6:33 AM mindspawn has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 36 by mindspawn, posted 08-25-2013 6:50 PM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 38 of 161 (705285)
08-25-2013 8:21 PM
Reply to: Message 36 by mindspawn
08-25-2013 6:50 PM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
I did say that I'm still looking into inherited UV mutations, but I did provide links that show temperature affects mutation rates to a significant extent.
Isn't it time to quit doing that? That was the point of my post.
But I did provide links that show temperature affects mutation rates to a significant extent
More than the factor of two that I mentioned in my post?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 36 by mindspawn, posted 08-25-2013 6:50 PM mindspawn has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 42 by mindspawn, posted 08-26-2013 8:16 AM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 44 of 161 (705466)
08-27-2013 2:28 PM
Reply to: Message 42 by mindspawn
08-26-2013 8:16 AM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
I don't really understand your point here. It just seems we are both agreeing I need to research the UV angle more.
If you are going to do some research, I hope you don't use the reading skills you are displaying in this forum. I gave you reasons why your research is unlikely to be fruitful, and suggested some alternative approaches. UV radiation simply does not get into human gonads.
the factor of 2 will become more significant.
You clearly have not thought this through.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 42 by mindspawn, posted 08-26-2013 8:16 AM mindspawn has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 45 by bluegenes, posted 08-27-2013 2:48 PM NoNukes has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 48 of 161 (705551)
08-28-2013 9:50 PM
Reply to: Message 47 by mindspawn
08-28-2013 5:30 AM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
The truth is I only need a factor of 2 in order to explain the differences since Noah 4500 years ago.
Why have you not done so? Go for it. The OP has already thrown down the gauntlet.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 47 by mindspawn, posted 08-28-2013 5:30 AM mindspawn has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 49 by mindspawn, posted 08-29-2013 2:34 AM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 51 of 161 (705617)
08-29-2013 7:47 PM
Reply to: Message 49 by mindspawn
08-29-2013 2:34 AM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
I faced the challenge, and have already shown that the opening post vastly underestimates the true rate of mutation, so I'm getting closer.
When will those goal post stop moving?
Your claim is that a factor of two greater than rate implied by the OP is enough to explain the issue raised by the OP. You haven't done anything even close to that.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 49 by mindspawn, posted 08-29-2013 2:34 AM mindspawn has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 52 of 161 (705626)
08-30-2013 1:41 AM
Reply to: Message 50 by bluegenes
08-29-2013 1:28 PM


Re: The Y-chromosome falsification.
e age group from 15 to 25 could certainly account for half of the births in some cultures, but the 25 to 50 year olds would usually match them. For non-human apes as a whole, I'd accept 18,
18 might be high. Chimps, for example live to be only about 40ish. One thing that is fairly non-symmetric about the two arguments (evolution from non-humans and evolution since Noah) is that mindsprawn is pretty much stuck with what works for people pretty much like us. On the other hand our common ancestor with chimps did not survive, but that ancestor must have been very different from us in many ways. We did not actually evolve from chimps, and chimps have evolved too.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 50 by bluegenes, posted 08-29-2013 1:28 PM bluegenes has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 65 of 161 (706968)
09-20-2013 8:18 AM
Reply to: Message 64 by mindspawn
09-20-2013 5:34 AM


Re: Lots of apes on the Ark?!
What nucleotide diversity would reflect a bottleneck? Have you or Jar any estimate or evidence of the type of nucleotide diversity that would reflect a bottleneck? Anything?
There cannot be a fixed number. The diversity expected would increase with time after the bottleneck. And surely mutation rates vary among organisms.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 64 by mindspawn, posted 09-20-2013 5:34 AM mindspawn has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 68 by mindspawn, posted 09-20-2013 8:19 PM NoNukes has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(2)
Message 89 of 161 (707201)
09-24-2013 2:45 PM
Reply to: Message 84 by mindspawn
09-24-2013 3:21 AM


Re: DNA continuity
I regard any human fossils less than alleged 250 million years old as post-flood)
What should the rest of us make of statements like this? Because what this statement looks like to me is naked dismissal of evidence or argument provided by others without having to provide an evidence or logic based argument of your own.
There is no reason to give your "regard" any credit at all.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 84 by mindspawn, posted 09-24-2013 3:21 AM mindspawn has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 92 of 161 (707255)
09-25-2013 11:01 AM
Reply to: Message 90 by mindspawn
09-25-2013 8:27 AM


If it is a human, then why can't you find the quote?
The caption under Figure 1 talks about the roles of both the chimpanzee reference and the human reference. I did not find the caption to clearly answer the question, but it does at least provide evidence that there is a human reference involved.
Beyond that, bluegenes explanations for why the reference cannot be the chimpanzee are fairly strong. Why do you keep ducking them?
Also aren't there 36 humans involved? Why are you reducing the count to 34?
So if you claiming the reference sequence is the chimp, then you have a huge problem.
What a strange thing to say. Isn't that your claim?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 90 by mindspawn, posted 09-25-2013 8:27 AM mindspawn has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 95 of 161 (707295)
09-26-2013 4:31 AM
Reply to: Message 94 by mindspawn
09-26-2013 3:20 AM


Shuckin' and Jiving started...
I feel generally this whole thread is irrelevant because of the uncertainty about germline mutation rates:
....
quote:
"Right now, it's not clear which method is most reliable, Peter Visscher, a quantitative geneticist at the University of Queensland, who was not involved in the study, wrote in an email to LiveScience."
Of course you do. Now that your butt has been totally kicked, you are copping out. How long did you google to find your weak exit point?
Q: Is the purported uncertainty enough to make a difference for you?
A: Nope.
From the first line of the article you cite:
quote:
Our early human ancestors may have left Africa more recently than thought, between 62,000 and 95,000 years ago, suggests a new analysis of genetic material from fossil skeletons.
In other words, not only is the uncertainty in rates only between a factor of 2 or 3, the evidence for mutation rates completely rules out the Young Earth Creationist model including a Flood occurring only 1500 years after the earth was created. This kind of uncertainty would still place Y chromosome Adam at a point well before Noah and the YEC date of creation of the universe.
How can you possibly be debating in good faith here?
You are not. I don't see any way to continue to give you any benefit of the doubt.
Isn't it well place time to start blaming the observed diversity on the Nephilim? That's what you fellow YECers normally do once pressed to this point. Because multiple lines of genetic evidence show that mutation rates are way to low, by a factor of 10 to 30, to have the current diversity arise from the 8 people on the arc; particularly when 3 of them are direct offspring of two of the others.
Bottom line -- the evidence all shows no relevant bottleneck for humans at anything like a relevant time, and you are left with making excuses why that evidence is not enough.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 94 by mindspawn, posted 09-26-2013 3:20 AM mindspawn has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 97 by mindspawn, posted 09-26-2013 8:15 AM NoNukes has replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


(2)
Message 98 of 161 (707309)
09-26-2013 8:34 AM
Reply to: Message 97 by mindspawn
09-26-2013 8:15 AM


Re: Shuckin' and Jiving started...
A factor of 2 or 3 is huge.
Perhaps it is huge. But would not be large enough to prevent ruling out a YEC model based on genetic evidence alone. I've provided arguments for why not that I note are completely ignored.
If carbon dating is out by a large factor as well, this would have an extreme effects on dates.
Then if carbon dating is wrong, this will additionally affect this new actual mutation rate by the same degree that carbon dating is out.
Red herring. You must think the people you are debating are complete idiots. And the dates expressed in the article are quite obviously not carbon dates because they are greater that 50,000+ years ago.
But Yes; a factor of 2 two three would be huge for carbon dates, but of course we can calibrate carbon dating so we know that it is not so inaccurate. And of course even a factor of two or three does not help you win that debate either. Wouldn't that make those cave paintings in France and Spain only about 20,000 years old? How does that help you?
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.
Edited by NoNukes, : No reason given.

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 97 by mindspawn, posted 09-26-2013 8:15 AM mindspawn has not replied

  
NoNukes
Inactive Member


Message 99 of 161 (707311)
09-26-2013 8:59 AM
Reply to: Message 82 by bluegenes
09-23-2013 4:36 PM


Once you know the number of variables (Single Neucliotide Polymorphisms) between two individuals, you can divide by two to get the aproximate number of mutations going back down each line to the common Y-ancestor.
This would seem to be okay when comparing people in a single generation, but I don't think that it works when comparing people of disparate generations. How does this affect your calculations?

Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy.
Richard P. Feynman
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. Frederick Douglass

This message is a reply to:
 Message 82 by bluegenes, posted 09-23-2013 4:36 PM bluegenes has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 102 by bluegenes, posted 09-27-2013 4:09 AM NoNukes has replied

  
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