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We have seen that many evolutionists avoid aprobability analysis as if it were the plague. Small Wonder! The implications drawn from such analysis are horribly unnerving to those who embrace a non-theistic philosophy.
It is unnerving because the probabilities are all unwarranted. They make evo's cringe because they are bad math, and the people that use them are self-professed experts.
Just as an example, lets use some creationist math to prove that you or I were never born.
Just as an estimate, let's say there are 1 million cities in the world. This means, using creationist math, that the chances of you being born in the city your were born are 1 in a million. The chances of me being born in a certain city is also 1 in a million. The chances of both of us being born in precise cities is 1 in a million million, or 1:10
12. Therefore, I can say that these odds are too high and that neither of us were born. Of course, we know this isn't true. The odds of us being born are 1:1, because it happened, just as the odds of life occuring are 1:1, because there is life.
The other flaw in creationist probabilities is that there is no agreement on what the first life was. Before probabilities can be ascribed to a specific DNA, RNA, or protein sequence, the actual sequence has to be known. To put it mildly, creationist construct their own probabilities from their day dreams in order to make people like yourself feel better about their faith. These probabilities have no ties to reality, nor are they indicative of reality.