I believe that Creationism will go the way of Geocentrism, far down into the depths where only the few really cling to it. By Creationism of course I mean using a literal interpretation of Genesis as a basis for history. I for one believe that God created the universe which is a form of Creationism just not in the way that the term is normally used.
I think the key to this belief is that really it is only the US where this is even a relativly major issue as far as I know. Even if evolution was ousted from public schools in the US it would still play a major part in college biology and in schools in the rest of the world. Even if the Creationist movement were to succeed (highly improbable), the most it would accomplish would be to set real biologists back once they start their real education. Somehow eliminating evolution from higher education would be the equivalent of remove biology completely from higher education. Some people might notice.
Creation Science in the flavor of AIG, ICR, Hovind, etc will die out first while ID might survive longer clinging to philosophy for life support while forever trying to be scientific. Specifically, the latest "discoveries" of the RATE group and "Biological Information Theory" sans a definition of information seem like the last futile gasps from the Creation Science community. These are not stupid people. They realize that their positions are untenable and continue either for profit (al la Hovind), justification that their work is a ministry, or inability to free themselves from their overly restrictive ideology.
By the way, for a fun second-term drinking game, chug a beer every time you hear the phrase, "...contentious but futile protest vote by democrats." By the time Jeb Bush is elected president you will be so wasted you wont even notice the war in Syria.
-- Jon Stewart, The Daily Show
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