Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 65 (9164 total)
3 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,916 Year: 4,173/9,624 Month: 1,044/974 Week: 3/368 Day: 3/11 Hour: 0/0


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Is the TOE falsifiable and if it was, would it advance Biblical Creationism
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 117 of 169 (344251)
08-28-2006 10:46 AM
Reply to: Message 84 by Hughes
08-28-2006 3:03 AM


Hughes writes:
The problem is that evolutionary theory has evolved to become more than a theory. It's a philosophy. And philosophies can't be falsified.
There have already been several comments on this, but I'll add my voice. If you think evolutionary theory is a philosophy and not a theory then you have to make the case for this. And I don't know whether philosophies can be falsified or not, I've never thought about it, but I think you have to make the case for that, too. In other words, all you've got is assertions of your opinion.
You go on to argue why evolution isn't falsifiable:
For if humans were found in lower strata, then evolutionary theory would adjust to say that the pre-cursors to humans are there, but didn't fossilize or haven't been found yet.
The evolutionary ancestry of human beings is an interpretation of fossils and other evidence in an evolutionary context. It is not evolutionary theory.
Evolutionary theory holds that species evolve from earlier species, and any fossil evidence that indicated this is not actually the case, such as finding human fossils of established antiquity in ancient layers, would represent a considerable challenge for the theory. In no field of science can one sample overturn established theory built upon mountains of evidence, so naturally such discoveries would have to be reinforced by other equivalent discoveries, but if a pattern emerged of modern fossils turning up in ancient layers then evolutionary theory couldn't help but be falsified. This would be an unexpected development of the first magnitude, because it would contradict all the work of the population geneticists in the first half of the 20th century that created the modern synthesis of evolutionary theory and genetics.
OR if speciation was found to have solid limits, then the theory would simply say that we've not given it enough time, that the fossil record indicates otherwise.
If geneticists established that there were solid limits to genomic change, then they couldn't claim there had been insufficient time since that would mean the solid limits weren't really solid. And it would again be a stunning development of the first magnitude falsifying the synthetic theory of evolution.
A great example of this, is the fact that it's now illegal to bring up said difficulties of evolutionary theory in the high school science classroom in Dover.
You're misrepresenting the judges ruling. He ruled that ID is not science, and that therefore the claims of ID, both about itself and about evolution, cannot be taught in science class. There is no prohibition against teaching about problems with evolutionary theory.
To answer the question posed by the thread's title, yes, the ToE is falsifiable. If it were falsified then it would be a tremendous boon to Biblical creationism because evolution would no longer, one would presume, be taught in public school science classrooms. While Biblical creationism still wouldn't be taught, since it isn't science, evolution wouldn't be taught either, and the Biblical creationists would be very satisfied and we'd hear little from them anymore.
From the standpoint of science it wouldn't advance the cause of Biblical creationism at all since none of its views are supported by evidence.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 84 by Hughes, posted 08-28-2006 3:03 AM Hughes has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 120 of 169 (344260)
08-28-2006 11:03 AM
Reply to: Message 95 by Hughes
08-28-2006 3:53 AM


Hughes writes:
Unfortunately, the judge decided that teaching the difficulties of evolution was equal to promoting a religion. So, even your "many more things to learn..." wouldn't be allowed.
Since you repeat this misinformation, I'll repeat the correction.
The judge in Dover did not rule that teaching the difficulties of evolution was equal to promoting religion. The judge ruled that ID is not science but religion, and that its views on both itself and on evolution were not permitted in public school science classrooms. There is no prohibition against teaching problems with the theory of evolution.
You concluded with this:
And yeah, and since there's over 600 qualified doctors who don't believe in evolutionary theory.
This is an attempt to impress by citing a large number. When it was pointed that millions of doctors believe otherwise, you later replied in contradictory fashion:
You are right, you win. Your theory must be correct, since you have more believers. Is that how your science works?
Is that how you argue, bait and switch?
I was simply pointing out that there is honest disagreement, enough so that one side isn't "religion" while the other side is "scientific".
There are legitimate detractors to many scientific theories, rejection of Einstein's theory of relativity being the most common. No scientific theory has unanimity. Theories are accepted through consensus, and ratios like a thousand to one is an overwhelming consensus, so evolution is overwhelmingly accepted within the scientific community. Whether or not the 600 doctors you mention exist and have, just as you say, an honest disagreement with the consensus about evolutionary theory, they are such an extreme minority as to not represent any indication whatsoever of doubt within scientific circles of evolution's basic principles.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 95 by Hughes, posted 08-28-2006 3:53 AM Hughes has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 123 of 169 (344266)
08-28-2006 11:54 AM
Reply to: Message 107 by Hughes
08-28-2006 8:26 AM


Hughes writes:
So, in your own admission, ToE is not science but philosophy. And will never be falsified because it's based on what all science is based on, the philosophy of Naturalism.
You earlier claimed that evolution was philosophy, not theory. Now you're making a different argument, that the ToE, like all science, is based upon naturalism, and anything based upon naturalism isn't falsifiable.
I can't even guess where you got this strange idea, but if you want to stick with it you'll have to support it with argument and evidence.
Here's a problem. What if design is detected? What if evidence is discovered that shows the assumptions (and that's what they are) of naturalism are false? Doesn't following an unfalsifiable philosophy hold science back?
These issues are best addressed in a thread about ID.
The nested hierarchy isn't a natural outcome of evolution, it's a detailed observation of the diversity we see *today*!
Modern evolutionary theory is a synthesis of Darwinian evolution and genetic theory. The nested hierarchy is seen by observing life today, by analyzing the fossil record, and by analyzing the genetic code of living creatures. It is one of the ways that evolution could be falsified, by finding creatures (living or fossil, doesn't matter, though with living creatures you can examine both morphology and DNA) that lie outside any possible nested hierarchical classification system.
All the animals are not evolving, but are staying within their own limits as dictated by their DNA.
As far as I know, no limits dictated by DNA have ever been identified. Identification of such limits is a potential falsification of evolutionary theory.
The "splitting" of species is not an increase in information on the DNA. If anything it's a decrease, a loss of abilities or information. Again, nothing is explained. What would be really powerful is if evolutionists could explain how mutations create new information on the DNA.
This is easily explained, but it isn't the topic of this thread. Please propose a new thread if you'd like to discuss how evolution increases information in the genome.
--Percy
Edited by Percy, : The word "information" was inadvertently omitted in the final sentence.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 107 by Hughes, posted 08-28-2006 8:26 AM Hughes has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 124 of 169 (344269)
08-28-2006 12:01 PM
Reply to: Message 109 by Hughes
08-28-2006 8:35 AM


Hughes writes:
Did I say it had to detect something supernatural? Detecting design is within the grasp of empirical science. Can't we detect design when we look at a bridge or automobile?
I'm not sure how one goes about detecting design in any formal scientific manner. If you know of one please describe it for us.
What we're actually detecting when we look at a bridge or automobile is that they are objects of human origin. We can also easily identify evidence associated with human occupation, such as footprints or garbage piles. Finding and identifying evidence of human occupation and associated artifacts is what the fields of archeology and anthropology are pretty good at. Finding evidence of design is another matter.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 109 by Hughes, posted 08-28-2006 8:35 AM Hughes has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 125 by kuresu, posted 08-28-2006 12:09 PM Percy has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 128 of 169 (344278)
08-28-2006 12:28 PM
Reply to: Message 121 by Faith
08-28-2006 11:33 AM


Re: OK I'll cahnge my mind
Hi Faith,
Responding generally, to me it looks like you're arguing that evolution not only *can* be falsified, but that there are a couple of promising candidates that might provide this falsification, such as speciation through loss of variability, and such as the genes for body plans. Do I have this right? I'm just trying to figure out whether we've reached a consensus about whether the ToE is falsifiable. You seem to think it is, while Hughes seems to think it isn't, but you seem to agree with much that Hughes is saying, so I'm not sure where you're coming down regarding falsifiability.
The first angle is the observation that speciation involves a loss of variability in the genome; that is, the process of selecting alleles that express a new phenotype eliminates other, competing alleles from the new population of necessity, so that speciation and depletion of genetic options go together.
This is untrue and is just a repetition of the same misunderstanding you were making over at the Is there really such a thing as a beneficial mutation? thread. New alleles do not eliminate existing alleles. It is certainly possible for alleles in a population to be eliminated over time if individuals possessing them compete very poorly with the rest of the population, but this takes some number of generations.
Since this seems to be a persistent misunderstanding, let me explain it at greater length. Let's consider a population and its gene for eye color. This particular population has two eye color alleles, call them blue and brown. We'll ignore the details of dominant/recessive and sexual reproduction for simplicity.
Let's say half the population has brown eyes and half blue. Now an individual is born with a mutation that produces yellow eyes. While this individual no longer has an allele for brown or blue eyes, his allele for yellow eyes has no impact on the alleles in the rest of the population. It couldn't possibly have any impact on creatures that have already been conceived, which is the time when their genome is defined. If the individual's older brother had the allele for blue eyes, then after this individual is born his older brother will still have the allele for blue eyes.
It is only when this individual reproduces that this new allele for yellow eyes can have an impact. The offspring of this individual will be a mixture of his genes and his mate's genes, so some of the offspring will, by chance, receive his eye color allele and have yellow eyes, while others, also by chance, will receive the eye color allele from his mate and will have brown or blue eyes. If yellow eyes confer some advantage then they will spread through the population. If yellow eyes confer a disadvantage then the individual might not even survive to mate, in which case the new allele goes extinct.
If you don't understand this then please ask questions, or at least don't repeat this misunderstanding again. You should either accept or rebut the explanation, not ignore it.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 121 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 11:33 AM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 129 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 1:18 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 132 of 169 (344308)
08-28-2006 2:10 PM
Reply to: Message 129 by Faith
08-28-2006 1:18 PM


Re: OK I'll cahnge my mind
Faith writes:
Most of the particulars of the ToE such as the specific life that is supposed to have existed in a particular time frame is unfalsifiable because it is based on the interpretation of one way of looking at the geologic layers and there are no correctives to it.
I'm not going to get into dating in any detail with you in this thread, it's off topic, except to note that everytime you've been asked to substantiate your assertions regarding dating you beg off. Until you actually successfully defend your position on dating at least once, it seems presumptious to offer it in defense of your other opinions.
Faith writes:
Sorry I don't always state it precisely but I have made this clear on a number of occasions and I would think you would remember those and give a reminder rather than your usual total rejection of the idea.
I can see now that you're saying something different than I thought.
So it sounds like you believe evolution is falsifiable, and I suppose Hughes will chime in at some point, but perhaps we can move on to the second part of the question. What would be the effect of the falsification of evolution upon creationism/ID? I think there should be two answers, one regarding public education, the other regarding science itself.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 129 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 1:18 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 139 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 4:06 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 136 of 169 (344321)
08-28-2006 2:30 PM
Reply to: Message 131 by Faith
08-28-2006 1:51 PM


Re: OK I'll change my mind
Faith writes:
That will also work. It kills T cells in the process I understand. Interesting. Just as sickle cell kills people slowly in the process of saving them from a more rapid death by malaria.
Uh, no.
People who have one sickle cell allele and one normal allele are provided resistance to malaria and are otherwise healthy. They are known as carriers, since they can pass the sickle cell allele on to their children but do not experience the disease themselves. For this case it is incorrect to say that "sickle cell kills people slowly in the process of saving them from a more rapid death by malaria." They are not affected by the disease, but they are at much reduced risk from malaria.
When both parents are carriers the potential exists for their children to receive two copies of the sickle cell allele with a 1-in-4 chance. People with two copies of the sickle cell allele develop the illness known as sickle cell anemia, and they are also resistant to malaria. For this case, too, it is incorrect to say that "sickle cell kills people slowly in the process of saving them from a more rapid death by malaria," because the disease is so severe that the malarial benefit plays a minimal role in determining an affected person's lifespan. Without sophisticated medical care an early death is assured.
The reason the sickle cell allele persists in malarial regions is because it provides an advantage to half the offspring of carrier parents without otherwise affecting health.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 131 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 1:51 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 137 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 3:56 PM Percy has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 140 of 169 (344351)
08-28-2006 4:18 PM
Reply to: Message 139 by Faith
08-28-2006 4:06 PM


Re: OK I'll change my mind
Faith writes:
I suppose it depends on which if either system is able to establish the validity of its scientific claims.
Since we're assuming evolution has been falsified, it is no longer accepted science and cannot be taught in science class.
But whatever replaces evolution must have scientific evidence supporting it, and it must not already be falsified by existing evidence. It doesn't matter that evolution is out of the picture - Biblical creationism has no supporting evidence and is already falsified many different ways, so it can't replace evolution in schools. But this shouldn't matter to Biblical literalists, who only want to remove evolution from educational curicula.
You are correct about the process of science continuing on unchanged, since the process is independent of the theories built from it.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 139 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 4:06 PM Faith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 141 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 4:27 PM Percy has replied
 Message 142 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 4:34 PM Percy has not replied
 Message 143 by Modulous, posted 08-28-2006 4:35 PM Percy has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 150 of 169 (344415)
08-28-2006 7:01 PM
Reply to: Message 141 by Faith
08-28-2006 4:27 PM


Re: OK I'll change my mind
Faith writes:
I meant either YE creationism or ID, not evolution since it would have been falsified.
Oh, okay, but the answer remains the same. The falsification of evolution would cause scientists to seek alternatives that have supporting scientific evidence. YECism and IDism, lacking as they do any supporting scientific evidence, would not be alternatives they would consider.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 141 by Faith, posted 08-28-2006 4:27 PM Faith has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 156 of 169 (344468)
08-28-2006 9:12 PM
Reply to: Message 152 by Hughes
08-28-2006 7:02 PM


Re: Attempt at replying to many folks...
Hughes writes:
Near as I can tell, the engine of evolution is mutation (caused by various things). So how does one get from an ameba to an elephant for example? Lot's new information has to be added in there somehow. How did it get there? Does a mutation have something that isn't observed, some special property that it designs what is needed to survive in the current environment?
As I said earlier, if you'd like to discuss how information is added to the gene pool of a population, please propose a new thread.
Seems to me that this has happened many times. And the cry from believers is that not enough time has been given to the experiment. The fruit fly Drosophila comes to mind. It's been turned colors made different sizes and shapes, and legs coming out various places. Yet, nothing has ever indicated that it's evolving into anything else but another fruit fly Drosophila.
So, in my mind, ToE has been falsified by this. Which is why I don't think it's strictly a scientific theory anymore.
Okay, so in your view evolution has already been falsified, so you agree that evolution is falsifiable. That scientists don't share your views on this is different matter having nothing to do with falsifiability or the topic of this thread.
My point is that there isn't really a "mountain" of evidence at all. Each and every supposed connection made by paleontologists [of different ancestors] is made in their minds, not in any empirical/testable way, hence it isn't falsifiable at all.
But what you're referring to isn't evidence. The places where paleontologists put the pieces of the puzzle, indeed the very shape of the puzzle itself, is just an interpretation of the evidence made within an evolutionary framework. Interpretations are not evidence.
There are, of course, many mountains of evidence for evolution. The fossil evidence alone if actually placed in a pile would probably create a literal mountain by itself. I think what you mean to say is that you disagree with the interpretations of the evidence.
If geneticists are reluctant to make such a claim because they believed that evolution has no limits, even though everyone of their attempts to push the envelope failed. Then you begin to see the problems to finding a falsification to evolution. And the pressure that one's world view places on science.
The problem for you is that geneticists have discovered no such limits, but bringing the discussion back to the topic, your point was that discovering such a limit would falsify evolution, so once again you take the position that evolution is falsifiable. True, you and scientists disagree about whether falsification has already occurred, but that's not the topic of this thread.
In the field of archeology, often times the source of the objects aren't known. However, they are identifiable as "created by an intelligence source..." (Man). This process is also used in forensics. Where one has died, and if this death was an accident or an elaborate scheme designed by an intelligent source (a criminal).
Both cases above are viewed as scientific methodologies for discovering whether intelligence was the source of said artifact or event. Yet, ID is not?
I'll leave the semantic games to you. Needless to say, archeology and forensics seek signs of human presence and activity, not of intelligence. I suppose one could even argue that when forensics dusts for fingerprints they're actually seeking signs of human stupidity.
My opinion is that evolution as a science has already been falsified...
There, you've said it yet again. Clearly you believe evolution is falsifiable, and I think everyone else here agrees. If you'd like to discuss whether this falsification has actually already taken place then I suggest you propose a new thread.
Since everyone in the thread agrees that evolution is falsifiable, we can now move on to consider the hypothetical question of what would be the effect on Biblical creationism if evolution were one day falsified.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 152 by Hughes, posted 08-28-2006 7:02 PM Hughes has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22506
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 160 of 169 (344661)
08-29-2006 9:42 AM


I repeat...
Repeating what I said at the end of my previous message...
Since everyone in the thread agrees that evolution is falsifiable, we can now move on to consider the hypothetical question of what would be the effect on Biblical creationism if evolution were one day falsified.
--Percy

Replies to this message:
 Message 167 by ReverendDG, posted 09-10-2006 2:23 AM Percy has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024