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Author | Topic: Gun Control Again | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
I thought we had already established that the problem with Chicago was with the specifics of the laws they tried to implement. Chicago seems to have based it's specific laws on this unenforceable inside/outside distinction rather than emulate what has actually worked elsewhere. Shouldn't you be saying that to Percy? He's the one who thinks those laws are already enough evidence of it working.
To say that it is not possible to successfully prohibit guns or introduce laws to that effect because one place made a hash of it by doing it in a silly way is a very weak argument on your part. I haven't made that argument. It should be interesting to see what happens in Chicago this year though. They finally struck down the handgun ban as being unconstitutional and granted us the ability to concealed carry. According to the anti-gunners, we should see a huge spike in gun deaths. I wonder how its going to pan out.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
You still haven't gotten your seemer checked?
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member
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I didn't say anything about Chicago. You mentioned Illinois. Chicago is in Illinois. The point is that looking at the state level doesn't get to the root of the problem. In Illinois, we have a bunch of people concentrated up in Chicago and they are shooting each other left and right while the rest of the state, with the remaining ~75% of the population, is getting along pretty well without shooting each other much at all. The gun laws in Illinois were passed because of all the gun violence in Chicago. They didn't work. Chicago still has terrible gun violence. But if you look at it from the state level, then you're bringing in all the other people in the state that didn't have the gun problems in the first place, and you're diluting the real problem that lies in Chicago. You're getting a false sense of the laws "working" because you're looking at it from too far away.
What I actually said was that this table of firearm death rates by state seems to indicate that states with stronger gun control laws tend to have lower firearm death rates. That table doesn't tell us anything about how strong the gun control laws for each state are. How are you judging their strength? Do you have a resource for that? It be interesting to lay out the firearm death rates with some quantification of the strength of a state's gun control laws, even if we just did a scale of 1 - 10 or something, and see just what kind of correlation is really there.
So what means do you propose for reducing gun deaths? Stronger penalties for minor gun crimes. You gotta get the guns out of the hands of the criminals, or get the criminals out of the public. Passing rules for the law abiding citizens to obey doesn't do anything to the people who aren't obeying the laws in the first place. You gotta lock up the people who are actually using guns for criminal activity, for a long time.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
What I actually said was that this table of firearm death rates by state seems to indicate that states with stronger gun control laws tend to have lower firearm death rates. Okay, so I went to your chart and pulled all the numbers into Excel. Then I went to this website: http://smartgunlaws.org/...ate-scorecard-why-gun-laws-matter And pulled all the states scores, which were A - F. I assigned a value of 5 for the A's and a value of 1 for the F's (2 for D, 3 for C and 4 for B). Here's the plot with the trend line. ABE: So I screwed that all up. I'm redoing the data, I got the numbers jumbled. ABD: Alrighty, here's the corrected data:
quote: Edited by Catholic Scientist, : No reason given. Edited by Catholic Scientist, : No reason given. Edited by Catholic Scientist, : No reason given. Edited by Catholic Scientist, : Fixed image link
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
So you do think Chicago exists in a vacuum, untouched by the world around it? No, I do not.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
Which laws? The ones in Chicago specifically? The ones you argued were un-enforcable? The ones which made little difference to the prevalence of guns in Chicago? I dunno, ask him.
You personally are fixated with Chicago because... I live in Illinois. I care mostly about the state that affects me directly.
Why you think that example trumps all the other examples where laws have been implemented effectively is a mystery. Percy brought up Illinois as an example of gun laws working. I'm simply disabusing that notion. You agree with me, but your arguing with me and not him. Weird.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
OK. Illinois came 39th out of 51 states with a rate of 8.2 per 100,000 as compared to the US figure of 10.1 What point are you making specifically about Illinois? Looking at gun crime from the state level doesn't tell the whole story. In Illinois, most of the gun crime is focused in one spot in the state while the rest of the state looks really good. 2/3 of the murders occur in 1/4 of the population. There were 145 kills per million within Chicago, but only 27 kills per million in the rest of the state. So when you look at it from the state level, with the average kills per million being 54, you're getting a false sense of the problem. Someone might go: "Oh look, they've got strict gun laws and they have a low amount of gun deaths" but that doesn't realize that the gun laws completely failed to solve the problem. People are still shooting each other left and right in Chicago, its just that the rest of the state is so good that it brings the average down to a level that doesn't seem so bad. The truth of the matter is that the gun deaths in Chicago are outrageous despite all the gun control laws we have.
This is what Percy actually said: "seems to indicate that states with stronger gun control laws tend to have lower firearm death rates". Where is the mention of Illinois in that which you felt the need to "disabuse"? Percy used Illinois as one of the examples of a state with strong gun control laws having a lower firearm death rate. He's glossed over the fact that the gun laws in Illinois completely failed and the gun crime is outrageous, its just that its all concentrated in one area of the state so when you look at the state as a whole you get a different picture than if you look at what they actual problem is.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
The point is that looking at the state level indicates that stronger gun control laws correlate with lower gun death rates. Here's your correlation:
I don't think that's impressive at all. Is that what you thought it would look like?
Stronger penalties for gun crimes is fine by me, but I was hoping for something that might address gun deaths like those at Newtown, CT. Considering that Connecticut already had very strict gun control laws (they got an A), and a low amount of gun deaths across the state (6th place at 5.9), can you see that those things don't affect the gun deaths like those at Newtown? Edited by Catholic Scientist, : Fixed image link
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
CT's gun laws had at least one gaping hole in it that even the majority of American gun owners agree ought to be closed. What's that?
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
Ok. Where do you think the guns used in Chicago, and other urban areas, come from? All over the place. The one the guy bought at a licensed dealer probably came straight from the manufacturer. The one the guy bartered from his gang brother has probably been around a bit more. I'd bet there's some vatos that got theirs right out of mexico.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
So are you for or against more consistent national gun laws? No, not really. I don't think consistency is a worthy endeavor, though. You don't have to travel far to see that the U.s. is inconsistent. What doesn't work in some places might work in another. Our diversity is one of the beauties of America. And I certainly won't like letting those buffoons at the federal level decide. The shit they put out that I actually pay attention to makes them look like they don't know what they're talking about. Its not just guns, that SOPA crap made me think that they didn't even have a basic understanding of how the internet works, let alone the capability of governing it well. Well shit, I guess that makes me against it. Don't get me wrong, the Feds have their place. And we're doing pretty well so far. They don't do well with the particulars (which is understandable if you're gonna go with a partisanship ), but you gotta admit that from their view its a jumbled mess down here. Sometimes things are better left with the localities that probably have a better understanding of what particulars should work. One last thing, I think the founding fathers were genius to look at the situation of governing a body of people and realize that you don't give the governing body the control of the guns. Thank God they put that shit in our Constitution.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
How can you remove peoples' capacity to administer lethal force without eliminating their ability to defend themselves?
Is lethal force the only form of self defence? Of course not. But all self-defenses have the capacity to be lethal. That's why when you say that the average person should not have the capacity for lethal force, then what follows from what you are saying is that they will be unable to defend themself at all. Because all of the defenses have the capacity for being lethal. If I'm wrong, then provide me with a mode of defense that cannot be lethal.
No. The issue you're failing to realize is that all modes of defending yourself have the capacity to be lethal. That's why if you remove the capacity to be lethal, then you remove all modes of defending yourself.
Utter rubbish. why do you think that without a gun, a person is completely defenceless? I don't think that. As I said before, you could use your fist, or say, a frying pan. But again, those have the capacity to be lethal. So if you remove the average persons' capacity to use lethal force, then they cannot use those things to defend themself. Now, what can you use to defend yourself that does not have the capacity to be lethal?
Why do you think that lethal force is the only defence? Lethal force is not the only defense but all defenses have the capacity to be lethal.
In a physical conflict, the best defence of all is to get your self out of the dangerzone, i.e. run away= not lethal. Running away is not self-defense. Its retreating.
I agree that removing a gun does not remove the capacity to be lethal, but it does remove the possibility that a momentary, instantaneous (bad) judgement could result in the death of someone who does not deserve to die. Okay, well that's not what you've been saying so far.
That's why if you remove the capacity to be lethal, then you remove all modes of defending yourself.
bollocks. Defence does not = lethal force, and lethal force is not the only defence. Capacity. The capacity for being lethal. That's what you said. That's what we're talking about.
For the third time: I don't think anyone deserves to die for committing any crime.
Then why do you support making it easy for people to be killed as a result of bad judgement while committing a relatively minor crime? Because people have a fundamental right to self-defense.
The right to use lethal force to defend yourself is already written into law.
If there is an imminent threat/danger to your life. Or your property, or the well being of another person.
but if you catch someone stealing your DVD player can you shoot them in the back as they run away? is that self defence? Depends on where you are and what the local laws are.
And you're just assuming the judgement was bad
Well shooting someone dead for burglary, seems to me to be bad judgement.Shooting someone dead for shoplifting seems to me to be bad judgement. Shooting someone dead for carjacking seems to me to be bad judgement What you are doing is glancing over all of the most dangerous elements of a crime to strip it down to the least threatening description possible so that you can make the resulting action look as bad as possible. That's not an honest assessment, that's a biased smear. If someone robs a store with a gun and the clerk shoots them, then they didn't get shot for just "burglary". They assaulted a person with a deadly weapon and that person defended themself. The robber didn't get punished for committing a crime, he assaulted a person who defended themself. There is no judgement of guilt, a person acted in their own self-defense. People have a right to be able to defend themselves.
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
First, thanks for putting this graph together. You're welcome. That's the second chart I've put together for this thread. It didn't stop you from insulting my efforts though
Second, yes, that's pretty much what I thought it would look like. They way you talk about it makes it sound like you think the correlation is much stronger.
A much stronger relationship should exist between gun prevalence and gun deaths. Its hard to get a "count" of the guns that are out there, but I did find percentages of gun owners at this site: A Look at Gun Ownership by State Using those numbers with the death numbers from that other page gets you this:
That's a much better correlation than the gun law strength one. Here's the numbers I used:
quote: What would you propose to address just this one tiny part of the gun problem, namely guns getting into the hands of the mentally ill. I don't know. I don't know anything about how the mentally ill are treated. Edited by Catholic Scientist, : Fixed image link
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
In a similar vein, I can acknowledge that background checks are beneficial, but ultimately, I would like to see greater efforts in the fields of mental illness. My first reply to the OP:
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New Cat's Eye Inactive Member |
Insulting your efforts? Even as a joke (you included a smiley) I have no idea what you're referring to. Stuff like this:
quote: I've now created three original charts for this thread.
Your image might have a typo in the URL Is this one better:
I could see the other one, even in your quote. But the other one was a .png and this one is a .jpg, could that matter?
How about reducing gun prevalence? How?
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