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Author | Topic: Why is evolution so controversial? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: Well I have never backed off the fact that human population follows an exponential curve. The continuous-growth formula is accepted in all kinds of scientific fields. It is a good statistical tool to determine future population levels. I generalized a (r) to cover the entire human growth history from 1300 bc (I admit this is not very accurate). Here are contemporary growth rates:
The factors affecting global human population are very simple. They are fertility, mortality, initial population, and time. The current growth rate of ~1.3% per year is smaller than the peak which occurred a few decades ago (~2.1% per year in 1965-1970), but since this rate acts on a much larger population base, the absolute number of new people per year (~90 million) is at an all time high. http://www.globalchange.umich.edu/...uman_pop/human_pop.html That is between .013 to .02 for the value of (r). As I have maintained all along growth rates vary (adjust the r). Now a growth rate for 400 bc when Israel entered Egypt. That would be about (.018) for 700 entering Egypt and 1 million exiting. Does this seem so fantastic?
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
Now you can answer the question How could a breeding population of humans remain at effective zero growth for 50,000 years?
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
Your posts are too wordy, just condense the thought
You have never answered my question. How can human population growth hover around zero for 50,000 years with an initial population of 10,000. This is ridiculous and in need of explanation.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
It is used in population gains for bacteria samples, wild fish populations etc. all the time I believe it is a good local approximation You really need to address the zero population growth over 50,000 years. I still say that a local calculated (r) can estimate population gains for humans.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
Would you be surprised if there is no answer for a zero growth rate in human population. I have been needling you for a answer that does not exist. You seem like a good sport I would like to talk to you again Thanks for the exchange.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: I am not joking about this, there is no answer. You see one near extinction event after another does not do the job of keeping down the diversity of the population. As soon as the population grows past 10,000 individuals, pocket isolation drives up the diversity. The population must be keep homogenous. The compared genomes of all humans today is observed to be homogenous in this manner. If you allow a bumpy multitude of near extinction events a homogenous population is not sustained . The growth percentage must remain literally zero over 50,000 years. That is like balancing a bowling ball on the head of a pencil. It has never been seen in any wild population ever. You balance your bowling ball on the pencil, I will accept a recent origin of our species.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: Neanderthals are clearly not a different species than man If they could interbreed frequently Your definition is not my definition of a species.
quote: My definition of homogeneous here refers particularly to the genome. In the sense that humanity shows considerable linkage disequilibrium in the population genome. in fact the claim has been that this linkage disequilibrium has been stable in the human genome for about 5 million years and cross over has just manifested itself in the last 5000 years. (research by John Hawks Ph.D., University of Michigan, 1999Associate Professor of Anthropology At UW-Madison since 2002) quote: Your perspective is purely from common descent. Which I have effectively argued against in this thread. No common descent from a HCLCA dictates Homo sapiens are in stasis. Edited by zaius137, : Pasting error....
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: Please present the empirical evidence, I have only run across contradictory speculation in the papers I have seen.
quote: Please be specific. Without writing a novel.
quote: My friend to explain linkage disequilibrium in the human genome, there is no recovery except for extended time frames, some as long as 100,000 years.
On the other hand, in 2000, a Molecular Biology and Evolution paper suggested a transplanting model or a 'long bottleneck' to account for the limited genetic variation, rather than a catastrophic environmental change.[7] This would be consistent with suggestions that in sub-Saharan Africa numbers could have dropped at times as low as 2,000, for perhaps as long as 100,000 years, before numbers began to expand again in the Late Stone Age.[8] Population bottleneck - Wikipedia quote: Authorities have issued conflicting theories in that area. As far as I know the recovery time is still tens of thousands of years. I am particularly interested in you showing me a proposed recovery time.
quote: Again no citation I can look at Please less Razmataz and more citation... thanks Edited by zaius137, : No reason given.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
OK DocI honestly could not follow your reasoning.
I think stability in this case can best be represented by a phase-plot using population dynamics.
The logistic model is:
Setting the differential to zero, two zero growth crossings are found, one stable the other unstable. The upper population (N (k)) is dictated by the carrying capacity of the environment and growth is exponential to that point. The lower population(N(0)) is the population dictated by the statistical model needed to fulfill the requirement of the bottleneck and is determined by statistics (some low population over long time spans).
I want to make it clear that carrying capacity is variable per the environment. Any "assigned population" on the populaten axis will exhibit the same instability as the first crossing point. It is a bowling ball resting on the head of a pencil. All the details found here: NO REDIRECT Edited by zaius137, : No reason given. Edited by zaius137, : No reason given. Edited by Admin, : Make equations more easily visible.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote:Yet you still draw the same wrong conclusions. Inventing impossible bottleneck scenarios because evolution science needs to establish why the human genome exhibits linkage disequilibrium; it is ad-hock and scientifically unsustainable. quote: I have backed up all my arguments with accepted science. Just because speculative extreme views are held by some does not deter a logical examination by curious laymen (myself). As for your other comments. You still do not understand, that the low population choices that evolutionists present have nothing to do with caring capacity; because they do not know it (their argument is circular). We are not Buffalos or even bacteria, we have reason and intelligence, Humans can and do modify the caring capacity of their environments. Yes human population growth is exponential and with adequate normalization can be modeled mathematically.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: Possibly, but I usually consider the Occam’s razor in such matters and reject fairy tails out of hand.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: Unfortunately, I can not persuade a individual that has outgrown logic. "Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75."Benjamin Franklin
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
Bozo could prove Evolution.
A final hope for the theory of evolution could rest on Bozo. He is the ideal example of natural selection, symbiosis, mutation, gene drift and horizontal gene transfer. The fossil record shows that Tiktaalik’s flippers explain Bozo’s flipper like feet in an amazing way. Fossil evidence may be somewhat lacking for his direct ancestry but that should not be considered an obstacle for traditional evolution. Although my right wing Christian friends have cast doubts that maybe Bozo is just some want to be actor dressed up as some freak. What do they know? They also consider evolution as want to be science.My frustration here is not with the critics of evolution but the lack there of. The branches of that hominid family tree, according to the theory, should support the phylogenic tree. But these days’ recent findings in the fossils are causing an explosion of new supposed of hominids. You evolutionists have no reason for concern; evolution will just change its view (again).
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: I apologize for being off point. Most of what we have talked about here has been rehashed many times in other threads, so it is hard to keep things fresh.
quote: I think it might be a good idea for you to clarify any points in this discussion and what responses are incomplete. From my perspective, I would like some citations of actual papers (that are available in full) when you claim my point is unsubstantiated. This subject is changing fast in scientific circles and even recent papers throw out previous axioms.
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zaius137 Member (Idle past 3440 days) Posts: 407 Joined: |
quote: It was a jest nothing more.
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